Gold just fell off a cliff

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123457

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  • OPA
    OPA Posts: 17,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    << <i>Not again!!!!!! image

    image >>



    I'm getting "sea sick"image
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • HearingDr
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    Sea sick would imply and up and down motion---this is just dddown!
    Eric
  • BBN
    BBN Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭
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    Not gonna lie. I'd love to see $500 gold and $10 silver for about 4-5 years so I could stock up very heavy on both. I'd pull all the OT I could at work if that happened. Don't see that happening, but I can only dream

    Positive BST Transactions (buyers and sellers): wondercoin, blu62vette, BAJJERFAN, privatecoin, blu62vette, AlanLastufka, privatecoin

    #1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
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  • DeepCoin
    DeepCoin Posts: 2,781 ✭✭✭
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    Testing support at 1200, last I saw was 1200.20. It will be interesting to see if it holds at 1200.
    Retired United States Mint guy, now working on an Everyman Type Set.
  • TwoSides2aCoin
    TwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,216 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    The thread is five years old and this chart is a ten year history.
    Opportunity is better than no opportunity. It's better having some than none.

    image
  • edmundfitzgerald
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    << <i>Not gonna lie. I'd love to see $500 gold and $10 silver for about 4-5 years so I could stock up very heavy on both. I'd pull all the OT I could at work if that happened. Don't see that happening, but I can only dream >>




    image


    I'll take 900 gold and 14 silver.
  • OPA
    OPA Posts: 17,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    << <i>Sea sick would imply and up and down motion---this is just dddown! >>



    I get sea sick on minor daily swingsimage
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • Kip
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    Going to $950...
    UCSB Electrical Engineering....... USCG and NASA
  • Goldbully
    Goldbully Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    << <i>The thread is five years old and this chart is a ten year history.
    Opportunity is better than no opportunity. It's better having some than none.

    image >>



    Love your chart, TS2C.

    image
    image
  • ricko
    ricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Just another day in the gold market....hang on, towards the end of the year it will be up......Cheers, RickO
  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    The big boys, particularly JPM, remain extremely long in gold, oil is up, dollar index shows no strength. What we are seeing is preliminary panic that FED will taper next week. They may do so, but it will most likely just be a small, token gesture and gold will continue to provide dollar insurance. If they don't taper at all gold will have a field day in lieu of the pre FED meeting declines.

    I personally think it all amounts to just another tree shaking to free up physical gold at a cheap price.

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • mrpaseo
    mrpaseo Posts: 4,753 ✭✭✭
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    << <i>Just another day in the gold market....hang on, towards the end of the year it will be up......Cheers, RickO >>



    I enjoy your confidence RickO.
  • jmski52
    jmski52 Posts: 24,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    I can remember, not too long ago that $850 gold was wishful thinking on the high end. Store of value. Carry on.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Store of value? For who?

    Most asset classes have outperformed gold since it was $850, even bonds.

    Gold is just another asset class that will have to wait again for its day in the sun.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • OPA
    OPA Posts: 17,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    << <i>

    << <i>Just another day in the gold market....hang on, towards the end of the year it will be up......Cheers, RickO >>



    I enjoy your confidence RickO. >>



    I'm happy for you. Personally, I'd prefer some one who is more accurate with their crystal ball gazing or gut feelings.
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • jmski52
    jmski52 Posts: 24,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Store of value? For who?

    Most asset classes have outperformed gold since it was $850, even bonds.

    Gold is just another asset class that will have to wait again for its day in the sun.



    lol, I'll do you this favor and tell you what gold really is, and why you want so badly to think otherwise.

    Yes, it is a store of value. It's also a vote against and a hedge against the gross mismanagement and malfeasance by the people who run the system in which you place so much confidence. It's much more than just another asset. I'll continue to use metals as my savings plan. You can keep trading the charts. See? Everybody's happy.image
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • Goldbully
    Goldbully Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally
    image
  • mrearlygold
    mrearlygold Posts: 17,862 ✭✭✭
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    I'm not watching

    image
  • Goldbully
    Goldbully Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    << <i>

    << <i>The thread is five years old and this chart is a ten year history.
    Opportunity is better than no opportunity. It's better having some than none.

    image >>



    Love your chart, TS2C.

    image
    image >>



    Couldn't resist posting this chart yet again!
  • Goldbully
    Goldbully Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 17, 2021 6:55AM
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    This thread is 15 years old.

    There are some great posts from some of the old timers.




  • jmski52
    jmski52 Posts: 24,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    I suspect that people in the paper metals contracts are pretty unhappy at this juncture.

    Did some major news happen that we should all know about? Has anything affecting the metals markets changed? Did the Fed and gov.com decide to become fiscally and financially responsible all of a sudden?

    Yeah, I didn't think so either.

    I note that all of the wishful thinking about $500 or $900 gold in this thread never did happen. What iteration of QE are we in now? I forget.

    ...............waiting for the trolls to chime in.................

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • Baley
    Baley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Maybe the pandemic is ending, HotVax summer is starting, and gold coins still just sit there. Is it trollish to suggest that some of the new PM investors might be moving back out?

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 17, 2021 1:24PM
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    Performance of "stores of value" since the OP..

    Gold ....up 98%
    Silver ....up 53%
    TLT-treasury bond etf...up 130%
    SPY-SP500 etf....up 314%
    Median home price....up 55%

    No trolls. Just facts.

    Let the manipulated conspirators chime in.....

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • TwoSides2aCoin
    TwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,216 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 18, 2021 12:10AM
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    Took a big drop yesterday. This thread has legs.



    I like other things, although this is the precious metals forum.
    In 2008 these were like $800. IIRC Now they're $2000 ( or close to).
    Now we are in a new decade.
    Enjoy the ride !
    So here is the most recent ten year gold chart.

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 18, 2021 5:20AM
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    @cohodk said:
    Performance of "stores of value" since the OP..

    Gold ....up 98%
    Silver ....up 53%
    TLT-treasury bond etf...up 130%
    SPY-SP500 etf....up 314%
    Median home price....up 55%

    I've paid tens of thousands for insurance for my home and autos since then.
    Compared to that my dollar insurance (PMs) is very cheap.

    You left out cryptos (my other dollar policy). . .
    up a zillion%

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • pmh1nic
    pmh1nic Posts: 3,503 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Funny how a thread started in 2008, last posted in 2013 is still valid today.

    In my opinion gold is a short term investment, if you buy low and sell high, and a long term store of wealthy. If you had $200,000 in 2000 and used $100,000 to buy gold and did nothing with the other $100,000 the purchasing power of your dollars would have declined 27% while the value of the gold would have increased 500%. Of course if you had purchased Apple stock then you would have done much better.

    The longer I live the more convincing proofs I see of this truth, that God governs in the affairs of men. And if a sparrow cannot fall to the ground without His notice is it possible for an empire to rise without His aid? Benjamin Franklin
  • Higashiyama
    Higashiyama Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    And turning to lumber...market forces are bringing them down to earth as well.

    Higashiyama
  • Justacommeman
    Justacommeman Posts: 22,852 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @Higashiyama said:
    And turning to lumber...market forces are bringing them down to earth as well.

    Thank goodness. I just built a greenhouse in April and it cost 4x of what it would have in 2019. I've been waiting for lumber to fall so I can start a new out building

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @derryb said:
    I've paid tens of thousands for insurance for my home and autos since then.
    Compared to that my dollar insurance (PMs) is very cheap.

    >

    Performance of "dollar insurance" since the OP..

    Gold ....up 98%
    Silver ....up 53%
    TLT-treasury bond etf...up 130%
    SPY-SP500 etf....up 314%
    Median home price....up 55%

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Since you apparently are not aware, the purpose of insurance is to protect, not to profit. LOL

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @derryb said:
    Since you apparently are not aware, the purpose of insurance is to protect, not to profit. LOL

    You are a living oxymoron. Lol

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 19, 2021 7:35AM
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    judgement from you is meaningless. LOL

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited June 19, 2021 3:08PM
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    Why any interest rate increases will end in disaster. And when the market wakes up to this gold will be on a new cliff looking down at the last one.

    Oh, and the crazy bulgarians were spot on with their last prediction of failure concerning a FED rise in rates:

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • Goldbully
    Goldbully Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Here we go again!

  • TwoSides2aCoin
    TwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,216 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Bye-bye
    Buy-buy
    By-bi-metal

    Homonyms , like synonyms.

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    A gold whale surfaces.

    "Data over the past 4 reporting weeks indicate that a large non-commercial trader has amassed as many as 40,000 COMEX gold contracts, the equivalent of 4 million ounces of gold. The large, long gold futures position was established and added to on the deliberate price smash into August 10 – almost as if the buyer was waiting to start accumulating on lower prices."

    John Paulson?

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • Meltdown
    Meltdown Posts: 9,283 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Crazy amount of money here... Question, do we know how "long" the position is? I know it means roughly that it was bought to hold long term, but how long?

    For the record, nearly 40,000 contracts of COMEX gold futures has a total notional dollar value of $7.2 billion (at $1800 per ounce) and each dollar move higher or lower would equate to $4 million for the holder, and $400 million for each $100 move in the gold price. Minimum initial margin requirements would run $8250 per contract or $330 million for 40,000 contracts. My best guess is that the position in question was acquired at roughly a $1770 per ounce average price.

  • blitzdude
    blitzdude Posts: 7,721 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @Meltdown said:
    Crazy amount of money here... Question, do we know how "long" the position is? I know it means roughly that it was bought to hold long term, but how long?

    For the record, nearly 40,000 contracts of COMEX gold futures has a total notional dollar value of $7.2 billion (at $1800 per ounce) and each dollar move higher or lower would equate to $4 million for the holder, and $400 million for each $100 move in the gold price. Minimum initial margin requirements would run $8250 per contract or $330 million for 40,000 contracts. My best guess is that the position in question was acquired at roughly a $1770 per ounce average price.

    Bi hi sel lo. Thanks!
    PS By it all. The Bulgarians will thank you.

    The whole worlds off its rocker, buy Gold™.
    BOOMIN!™
    Wooooha! Did someone just say it's officially "TACO™" Tuesday????
    Retiring at 55, what day is today? :sunglasses:

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    reminder for those that need one:

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • blitzdude
    blitzdude Posts: 7,721 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Orinting $8T up in here for reelZ

    The whole worlds off its rocker, buy Gold™.
    BOOMIN!™
    Wooooha! Did someone just say it's officially "TACO™" Tuesday????
    Retiring at 55, what day is today? :sunglasses:

  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @derryb said:
    reminder for those that need one:

    Thanks for the reminder----shoulda bought land which could have been had for 25c to $2/acre in the 1800s. So that $20 double eagle would have gotten 10 to 80 acres which would be worth upwards of $500,000 now.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derryb
    derryb Posts: 38,604 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 15, 2021 6:38AM
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    @cohodk said:

    Thanks for the reminder----shoulda bought land which could have been had for 25c to $2/acre in the 1800s. So that $20 double eagle would have gotten 10 to 80 acres which would be worth upwards of $500,000 now.

    which of those years since the 1800's would that land have been exempt from property tax? There is an annual fee to hold real estate.

    Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. - Bastiat

  • TwoSides2aCoin
    TwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,216 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Stack on.

  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @derryb said:

    @cohodk said:

    Thanks for the reminder----shoulda bought land which could have been had for 25c to $2/acre in the 1800s. So that $20 double eagle would have gotten 10 to 80 acres which would be worth upwards of $500,000 now.

    which of those years since the 1800's would that land have been exempt from property tax? There is an annual fee to hold real estate.

    Oh, you mean the annual "gain" one gets from holding real estate.

    Any tax would be much less than the value of the goods produced from that land. Timber was harvested, grains were grown, naturally reproducing proteins were harvested. Rocks were turned into building material. Energy was produced. All of these things, and many more, vastly overcame any "tax". The value of goods produced over the years in many cases has far exceeded even the current land value.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • Meltdown
    Meltdown Posts: 9,283 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Dropping like a rock this morning...

  • RedneckHB
    RedneckHB Posts: 20,236 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    So taxmad, whats so funny about what I wrote?

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • taxmad
    taxmad Posts: 1,198 ✭✭✭✭
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    Aside from the banality of your argument? You chose to ignore all the events that would have occurred during the 200+ years you would have owned the land - not the least of which is people wondering how a 200+ year old person is still kicking around on his 10 to 80 acres selling logs, grains, proteins, rocks and oil/gas...

  • Goldminers
    Goldminers Posts: 4,414 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @OPA said:
    << Not again!!!!!!

    >

    I'm getting "sea sick"

    and yes here it is again...

  • Soldi
    Soldi Posts: 2,177 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @57loaded said:
    everything is goofy right now....

    deleveraging
    profit taking
    conspiracy
    worthless yellow stuff
    no faith in the paper trades
    no physical settlements

    take your pick more than one may be right

    i would think that the carry traders would need another place to go, maybe they are "here", too?

    It's a good post by "57". It seems to me one of the bigger investment banks had given out a prediction of $1650 and an end of year rise back towards $2000. I'd post the article if I can find it. "no physical settlements" looms large, but a rise to $2000 is one heck of a coaster ride.

  • TwoSides2aCoin
    TwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,216 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Oh it's not manipulated.