I was reminded that the Chiefs were 1.5 point underdogs earlier this year when they played the 49ers, a game in which the Chiefs win outright. Mahomes is 12-1-1 ATS and 11-3 outright in his career as an underdog.
.
@galaxy27 said:
this may be the absolute kiss of death for steve's team, as my big bets have been calamitous over the past 4 months or so. but i like Philly here for myriad reasons. they're at home, they're riding a 5-game win streak, and they're #2 in rushing offense.
meanwhile, Washington just lost at home, and three weeks ago it took a miracle to prevent another loss at home to the........wait for it.......Bears(!). not to mention they're sitting near the bottom at 28th in rushing defense. Saquon should go CRAZY on them.
at Philly -3.5 with 3 baked into the cake for home field advantage, i'm not understanding why oddsmakers view these two teams as virtually even right now?
i'm going to ignore that and proceed
fly Eagles fly
-4842.26
I see where Saquon is at -1800 to gain 40 yards rushing for the game. Yes that's only paying around 5% on a bet. But it seems more dependable than a money market fund. LOL
@galaxy27 said:
this may be the absolute kiss of death for steve's team, as my big bets have been calamitous over the past 4 months or so. but i like Philly here for myriad reasons. they're at home, they're riding a 5-game win streak, and they're #2 in rushing offense.
meanwhile, Washington just lost at home, and three weeks ago it took a miracle to prevent another loss at home to the........wait for it.......Bears(!). not to mention they're sitting near the bottom at 28th in rushing defense. Saquon should go CRAZY on them.
at Philly -3.5 with 3 baked into the cake for home field advantage, i'm not understanding why oddsmakers view these two teams as virtually even right now?
i'm going to ignore that and proceed
fly Eagles fly
-4842.26
I see where Saquon is at -1800 to gain 40 yards rushing for the game. Yes that's only paying around 5% on a bet. But it seems more dependable than a money market fund. LOL
You bet there are whales out there putting 100k+ on prop bets like that for fun, they win but that one time when a player gets hurt or just has one of those games and it's a force march for a million dollars to break even again.
@galaxy27 said:
this may be the absolute kiss of death for steve's team, as my big bets have been calamitous over the past 4 months or so. but i like Philly here for myriad reasons. they're at home, they're riding a 5-game win streak, and they're #2 in rushing offense.
meanwhile, Washington just lost at home, and three weeks ago it took a miracle to prevent another loss at home to the........wait for it.......Bears(!). not to mention they're sitting near the bottom at 28th in rushing defense. Saquon should go CRAZY on them.
at Philly -3.5 with 3 baked into the cake for home field advantage, i'm not understanding why oddsmakers view these two teams as virtually even right now?
i'm going to ignore that and proceed
fly Eagles fly
-4842.26
I see where Saquon is at -1800 to gain 40 yards rushing for the game. Yes that's only paying around 5% on a bet. But it seems more dependable than a money market fund. LOL
You bet there are whales out there putting 100k+ on prop bets like that for fun, they win but that one time when a player gets hurt or just has one of those games and it's a force march for a million dollars to break even again.
This bet with Barkley is similar in odds to a $2.10 payoff on a $2.00 bet at the track. Of course the basic challenge is you have to hit on 20 out of 21 bets just to break even. You alluded to that.
There are those at the track, they call them bridge jumpers, whereby on like a 1-9 seemingly mortal lock to win horse, they will bet large amounts of money to show. So all the horse has to do is run third, and it's an easy 5% payoff.
Frankly, some of my best scores at the track were betting against bridge jumpers. I'm not going to go into a long explanation because likely if not definitely everyone here already knows about this. Suffice to say that a heavily bet horse for show that runs out of the money, the payoffs on the winning tickets for show can be enormous. In say in a 5 horse field, you simply bet the other 4 horses to show, and if the 1-9 shot runs out, you've got three very juicy show tickets. I've seen them sometimes pay over $100 for a $2 bet, and you've got 3 of them.
Of course this type of wagering is called pari-mutuel wagering. So let's say that was allowed in the US on the NFL. You could then make a bet on Barkley that he wouldn't gain 40 yards in the game, and perhaps make a very nice percentage score if that happened. But to my knowledge, I don't think that is legal is the US.
Galaxy stated, "Saquon should go CRAZY on them." So considering the spectacular season Barkley is having, him gaining 40 years against the Commanders does seem like a license to print money, even though it's only 5%. Just hope and pray he doesn't get injured early in the game, and the coach decides to sit him for the entire game.
In your example, the show price on the winning horse, with the 1-9 shot out of the money, the show payoff is always more than the win payoff for that winning horse.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
In your example, the show price on the winning horse, with the 1-9 shot out of the money, the show payoff is always more than the win payoff for that winning horse.
All depends on the betting pools. If there are no bridge jumpers, the show payoffs would look normal.
@galaxy27 said:
this may be the absolute kiss of death for steve's team, as my big bets have been calamitous over the past 4 months or so. but i like Philly here for myriad reasons. they're at home, they're riding a 5-game win streak, and they're #2 in rushing offense.
meanwhile, Washington just lost at home, and three weeks ago it took a miracle to prevent another loss at home to the........wait for it.......Bears(!). not to mention they're sitting near the bottom at 28th in rushing defense. Saquon should go CRAZY on them.
at Philly -3.5 with 3 baked into the cake for home field advantage, i'm not understanding why oddsmakers view these two teams as virtually even right now?
i'm going to ignore that and proceed
fly Eagles fly
-4842.26
Hope you make the big score.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Looks like the line is holding at -3.5 for the Eagles. However the juice went to -120 so the bigger money is coming in for the Eagles.
Tough game to handicap in my opinion. A number of different factors in play. In my view the most important is the usual, if Jalen Hurts stays within himself and eliminates the costly picks at the wrong time, then the Eagles should prevail. He had been playing some solid football lately, but did make one of those stupid picks early in the Cowboys game. Turns out it didn't matter, but he can't do that against the Commanders tonight.
Certainly the Barkley acquisition has greatly helped Hurts with his confidence and performance this season. One of the best, if not the best, Eagles free agent signings of all time.
This game was scaring me in the first half but Philly got their act together and didn't disappoint for our friends @stevek and @Galaxy471
In all fairness under full disclosure laws, regarding sports team rooting. When the Eagles missed that extra point. Which kept the game at 12-10 instead of 13-10, any young child football fan understanding how important that 1 point is in that situation. I released a barrage of four letter words that not only would get me banned from here if I posted them, it might get me banned from the entire internet. LOL
This game was scaring me in the first half but Philly got their act together and didn't disappoint for our friends @stevek and @Galaxy471
In all fairness under full disclosure laws, regarding sports team rooting. When the Eagles missed that extra point. Which kept the game at 12-10 instead of 13-10, any young child football fan understanding how important that 1 point is in that situation. I released a barrage of four letter words that not only would get me banned from here if I posted them, it might get me banned from the entire internet. LOL
This game was scaring me in the first half but Philly got their act together and didn't disappoint for our friends @stevek and @Galaxy471
In all fairness under full disclosure laws, regarding sports team rooting. When the Eagles missed that extra point. Which kept the game at 12-10 instead of 13-10, any young child football fan understanding how important that 1 point is in that situation. I released a barrage of four letter words that not only would get me banned from here if I posted them, it might get me banned from the entire internet. LOL
I'd release my kicker immediately after the game, every single time a kicker missed an extra point.
This game was scaring me in the first half but Philly got their act together and didn't disappoint for our friends @stevek and @Galaxy471
In all fairness under full disclosure laws, regarding sports team rooting. When the Eagles missed that extra point. Which kept the game at 12-10 instead of 13-10, any young child football fan understanding how important that 1 point is in that situation. I released a barrage of four letter words that not only would get me banned from here if I posted them, it might get me banned from the entire internet. LOL
I'd release my kicker immediately after the game, every single time a kicker missed an extra point.
it's just something you can't let happen
I'm not joking
Especially these days when a 50 yard field goal is almost like a chip shot.
the Commanders defense isn't that good to begin with. middle of the pack at best, i'd say. but to their credit, they had the look of a unit playing with a sense of urgency for the majority of the first 3 quarters. Philly's offense, for those same ~3 quarters, mirrored what i've seen from the Bears' O all year long. very few chunk plays, very few points, a very hard watch. it really did feel like deja vu from the previous weekend when i watched Chi stuck in quicksand vs NE. Philly's O looked like it was sleepwalking and going through the motions. sluggish, lethargic and not playing with the sense of urgency that the Commanders' D was. i just couldn't believe they were not gashing them with all of those weapons.
then it finally happened.
in the 4th, THEY looked like they were playing with a sense of urgency, and their talent finally won out. but that's what i expected from the opening kick. doesn't always work that way, however. if you don't show up and show out for 60 minutes, anyone can beat you. and if Grant Calcaterra hadn't -- to steve's point -- been at the right place at the right time, they (and i) could have easily lost. the complexion of that game would have been different, and the outcome may have been too.
and speaking of kicks, if Jake Elliott had missed one more i was going to lose my ever-loving mind. i'm soo thankful it didn't come down to him, because every time he trotted out on the field he scared the living pop tarts out of me. miss one kick? happens. miss two FGs and an XP? now you're doing your best to help us lose a very important game. wtf dude
Elliot has been a very dependable kicker for a number of years. But here is the inherent problem with kickers. Once they start going bad, they usually deteriorate rather fast. History has shown this, and I'd be sure Sirianni knows it.
I'm sure that Elliot in practice coming up is going to be judged as though he is a rookie trying out for the team. He knows that as well. So he'd better look good in practice, and I mean dam good, or he and the Eagles have a problem.
Frankly, if Elliot doesn't look good the first day of practice coming up, I would expect the Eagles to quickly bring in some other kickers for tryouts.
my team is an unmitigated disaster, and i'm supposed to believe that we're suddenly going to get it right against a well-rested foe that always makes us their bitch?
@galaxy27 said:
my team is an unmitigated disaster, and i'm supposed to believe that we're suddenly going to get it right against a well-rested foe that always makes us their bitch?
Bailed out with passing yardage props, I missed out on that $85 parlay since Purdy couldn't penetrate the Seahawks D for 200.yards passing, that really pissed me off.
I dropped $150 on Tyson which I'm extremely embarrassed out.
Tough to make money gambling, I can say that I'm probably not going to bet another College Parlay until the bowl games, I've invented new ways to lose betting College
Speaking of embarrassing bets, I've made a lot of them. But the worst for me, the dumbest bet I've ever made also involved Mike Tyson. If I'm remembering this right because I'd like to forget it (LOL), Michael Spinks was a pretty good light heavyweight, he might have been light heavyweight champion at the time. He stepped up in weight class to fight Mike.
To bet against Tyson at that time was basically monetary suicide. And I knew that. However for some inexplicable reason, I talked myself into believing that a quicker, very talented. light heavyweight like Spinks, might be able to out box Tyson, and maybe get a decision.
I still had no intentions of betting the fight until I saw the odds. Again, if I'm remembering right, Spinks was an 8-1 dog, and I just couldn't resist odds that juicy. I had to bet something. It wasn't a big bet, I think it was $50.
So I'm watching the fight live on TV, and within the first few seconds i'm saying to myself, WTF was I thinking? Betting against this wrecking machine named Mike Tyson. It was painfully obvious right away that Tyson was quicker than Spinks, plus he weighed more. And I knew that all things being equal, a heavier weight fighter will beat a lighter weight fighter, which of course is exactly why they have weight divisions in various sports.
It was hopeless. At the end which happened in the first round, Spinks looked like he had been hit by a Mack truck.
Frankly, i think a lot of those who bet Tyson against Paul, either remembered this fight or watched the below video of it, and figured the same thing would happen. The problem was that Mike did that a long time ago.
I had another one of these with Purdy to throw for over 200 that would have been another $400 which he only threw for 159 which was a complete joke.
Still feel lucky to have hit the one I did, had Indy not taken the lead I would have lost because of Aaron Rodgers but he got the yardage total in the last 40 seconds of the game
my one and only bet over the weekend was rather interesting. and yes, it included sweat that perk just spoke of. seems like every wager has it.
anywho, it should have been put to sleep after the first leg because the Bears should have won that game. but they didn't because, well, they're the Bears. so my teaser was very lucky to be alive going into KC/Buff. but that minor miracle meant i was gonna win, right?
fast forward to the final 2+ minutes of Chiefs/Bills. Buffalo winning by 2, I had KC plus 7.5. The Chiefs only had 1 timeout left. Buffalo faced with a 4th and 2 from the KC 26. My thought was, "I don't see how I can lose this bet, but I have a feeling I'm going to."
If Buffalo attempts a field goal, I win (unless Mahomes throws a pick six after the kick)
If they go for it on 4th and miss, I win (unless Mahomes throws a pick six after the Bills get stopped)
If they go for it on 4th and get the first down without scoring, I win (unless the Chiefs can't prevent Buffalo from scoring a TD when they're simply trying run out the clock)
in other words, it was a winner
unless.......
........Josh Allen houses one from 26 out with his legs on 4th and 2, AND Mahomes doesn't turn around and lead the O down the field for at least a FG with plenty of time left on the clock (they had to score twice)
betting Gods: "you should've been dead. now you are biotch."
Uhhk that Allen TD was a tough one, I understood why they went for it, giving KC yet another chance to beat them with a marathon TD drive would have put every single Buffalo. player in full on revolt mode.
I think McDermott is an idiot but I respected that call.
And for the record nobody should ever sweat KC with +7.5, that's sucks man, sorry that it didn't hit
As you know I've been on the gut wrenching side of those type of losses more times than I care to remember
I had a profit boost so I decided to put the max bet of $30 on Stroud to. have North of 275 yards passing bet, I figured he would breeze over that number but I had a funny feeling that Rush might have a good game and was thinking of a dart throw at +1100 for him to throw for 300+ yards but I used common sense and said no way and of course he throws for 350+
you guys are gonna get a kick out of this. my mom is 80. she and my dad play in an NFL pickem contest at the gym they go to. she takes it pretty seriously, but outside of the Cowboys her knowledge is fairly limited. sure she watches games from time to time, but breaking down individual players and teams the way we do is something she could not.
well, she sent me a text this morning with a pic attached. she picked 13 out of 14 games right in week 11, and if the Seahawks hadn't scored at the very end of the game against SF, she would have got em all. even very nearly nailed the tiebreaker for crying out loud.
if you're wondering what her strategy is, check out her sheet. it's hilarious. she basically picks the team with the best record. and if two teams have the same record, she goes with the home team. the only exception was Buffalo-KC. for some reason she chose the Bills -- I'll have to ask about that. she even writes down all the scores lol
what makes it even more amusing is that her loser son -- who follows the league intently -- loses like it's going out of style.
after she sent that i called her:
Me: "VERY impressive. How'd you do that?"
Her: "It was just luck."
Me: "Well sheesh could you send some of it my way?"
"the only exception was Buffalo-KC. for some reason she chose the Bills"
I'm going to venture a guess. Since your Mom reviews the team records, she figured a team at 9-0 was due for a loss.
Your phone conversation for some reason reminded me of an old joke.
Husband and wife visit the casino. They split up, she went to play the slots, he went to play blackjack. They meet up later, and the man asks his wife how did she do? She said she lost a hundred dollars. The man starts shouting at her a bit loudly, admonishing her for losing that much money. The wife responds asking him how he did. The man replies, I lost a thousand dollars. The wife says, why are you yelling at me, you lost a thousand dollars but I only lost a hundred. The man says, yea but I know how to gamble.
a special thank you to the 10-point favorite Thunder who got punked by the no Wemby + 2 other starters Spurs
"mom can i see your week 12 sheet?"
Gross, I was looking at making a prop. bet and specifically looked for Wemby and saw he was out for whatever reason fans remember thinking that OKC was going to destroy them.
Made my SB bets yesterday. Had it narrowed down to 4 picks,SF,Baltimore,KC, Detroit. Threw out SF,Detroit. Detroit is now the favorite at 4-1. When Baltimore signed Henry I decided on them at that time. Went with KC until as the second choice in the odds as a saver bet. Will see if they make history with a 3peat. Was a concern to throw out Detroit as I really like the coach,but can't play them all. One team that is the one to watch is Philadelphia. Barkley the key being there. If I decide to throw in 1 more team later,if the price is right, would be Detroit or Philadelphia.
I know it is a passing game today, but a good back allows ball control,that's where Henry and Barkley come into play.
Good luck to all on your SB plays
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
How I wish we could make legal bets here in GA. There is a fortune to be made for whatever charities are associated with legal gambling. A casino alone would generate untold millions. Sadly, it will take a herculean effort to break down this stupid barrier...it's a religious thing here, and the Baptists have a lock on this issue. We do have the lottery, so maybe there might be a crack in the wall someday.
If I want to play blackjack, I have to make a 6 hour R/T to Cherokee, NC. The drive is somewhat pastoral, but still, it limits time there. Not offering surrender, kinda tightens the game, so prudent play is paramount to reduce the edge. I do meet a couple of friends there from time to time and have gone solo, but doing so lacks part of the excitemnt, and eating alone is just a matter of shoving it in and back to the felt.
Enjoy your ability to have some fun...may all your long shots come in from time to time.
@MCMLVTopps said:
How I wish we could make legal bets here in GA. There is a fortune to be made for whatever charities are associated with legal gambling. A casino alone would generate untold millions. Sadly, it will take a herculean effort to break down this stupid barrier...it's a religious thing here, and the Baptists have a lock on this issue. We do have the lottery, so maybe there might be a crack in the wall someday.
If I want to play blackjack, I have to make a 6 hour R/T to Cherokee, NC. The drive is somewhat pastoral, but still, it limits time there. Not offering surrender, kinda tightens the game, so prudent play is paramount to reduce the edge. I do meet a couple of friends there from time to time and have gone solo, but doing so lacks part of the excitemnt, and eating alone is just a matter of shoving it in and back to the felt.
Enjoy your ability to have some fun...may all your long shots come in from time to time.
Wow that's quite a trek, like going to Atlantic City before Foxwoods for us in Mass, not sure if Foxwoods and Mohegan was around when you lived here Foxwoods opened in 1994, it was a 2.5 hour drive for me, the place was elbow to elbow for years, they expanded and then gambling became legal in NH and Mass, now when you go there half the place is empty and it's a ghost town, almost have if not more of the table games are cordoned off, the hotels are barely getting a 1/4 capacity
Now casinos are popping up everywhere, I got one 10 minutes from my house
@MCMLVTopps said:
How I wish we could make legal bets here in GA. There is a fortune to be made for whatever charities are associated with legal gambling. A casino alone would generate untold millions. Sadly, it will take a herculean effort to break down this stupid barrier...it's a religious thing here, and the Baptists have a lock on this issue. We do have the lottery, so maybe there might be a crack in the wall someday.
If I want to play blackjack, I have to make a 6 hour R/T to Cherokee, NC. The drive is somewhat pastoral, but still, it limits time there. Not offering surrender, kinda tightens the game, so prudent play is paramount to reduce the edge. I do meet a couple of friends there from time to time and have gone solo, but doing so lacks part of the excitemnt, and eating alone is just a matter of shoving it in and back to the felt.
Enjoy your ability to have some fun...may all your long shots come in from time to time.
Wow that's quite a trek, like going to Atlantic City before Foxwoods for us in Mass, not sure if Foxwoods and Mohegan was around when you lived here Foxwoods opened in 1994, it was a 2.5 hour drive for me, the place was elbow to elbow for years, they expanded and then gambling became legal in NH and Mass, now when you go there half the place is empty and it's a ghost town, almost have if not more of the table games are cordoned off, the hotels are barely getting a 1/4 capacity
Now casinos are popping up everywhere, I got one 10 minutes from my house
Yes, agree with you casinos are everywhere. They seem to pop up like convenience stores. Used to be a special outing much like going to a horse race track before OTB. Does not take too many visits for either OTB or casinos to wear out their welcome.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I'm glad that hopefully, nobody here is thinking about playing at those "off shore" sites, located in countries you may not have even heard of before. Two quick points and I'm not going to discuss it further.
Everyone knows about the RNG, meaning "random number generator" that is used for the table games. Well on these offshore sites, the better name for it is rigged number generator. The RNG at these sites is so abominably rigged. This includes blackjack, craps, roulette, slots, and yes even online poker.
Then you might think, well I'll just focus on games they can't possibly rig such as sports betting, horse racing, etc, because of course these games and results are public information. The problem is these sites are so inherently crooked and corrupt, that even if you do happen to hit a nice score, they will promptly come up with a thousand and one reasons not to pay you. I just read a review about one of the offshore sites, a player hit a 16k trifecta which was the payoff at the track. However the site only paid him $375. This is by no means an isolated incident. Actually the player is lucky if you could call him that, because often he wouldn't be paid anything at all.
Comments
I was reminded that the Chiefs were 1.5 point underdogs earlier this year when they played the 49ers, a game in which the Chiefs win outright. Mahomes is 12-1-1 ATS and 11-3 outright in his career as an underdog.
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I see where Saquon is at -1800 to gain 40 yards rushing for the game. Yes that's only paying around 5% on a bet. But it seems more dependable than a money market fund. LOL
You bet there are whales out there putting 100k+ on prop bets like that for fun, they win but that one time when a player gets hurt or just has one of those games and it's a force march for a million dollars to break even again.
This bet with Barkley is similar in odds to a $2.10 payoff on a $2.00 bet at the track. Of course the basic challenge is you have to hit on 20 out of 21 bets just to break even. You alluded to that.
There are those at the track, they call them bridge jumpers, whereby on like a 1-9 seemingly mortal lock to win horse, they will bet large amounts of money to show. So all the horse has to do is run third, and it's an easy 5% payoff.
Frankly, some of my best scores at the track were betting against bridge jumpers. I'm not going to go into a long explanation because likely if not definitely everyone here already knows about this. Suffice to say that a heavily bet horse for show that runs out of the money, the payoffs on the winning tickets for show can be enormous. In say in a 5 horse field, you simply bet the other 4 horses to show, and if the 1-9 shot runs out, you've got three very juicy show tickets. I've seen them sometimes pay over $100 for a $2 bet, and you've got 3 of them.
Of course this type of wagering is called pari-mutuel wagering. So let's say that was allowed in the US on the NFL. You could then make a bet on Barkley that he wouldn't gain 40 yards in the game, and perhaps make a very nice percentage score if that happened. But to my knowledge, I don't think that is legal is the US.
Galaxy stated, "Saquon should go CRAZY on them." So considering the spectacular season Barkley is having, him gaining 40 years against the Commanders does seem like a license to print money, even though it's only 5%. Just hope and pray he doesn't get injured early in the game, and the coach decides to sit him for the entire game.
In your example, the show price on the winning horse, with the 1-9 shot out of the money, the show payoff is always more than the win payoff for that winning horse.
All depends on the betting pools. If there are no bridge jumpers, the show payoffs would look normal.
Anyone wanna lend me a million bucks? I'll place it on Saquon to pick-up an easy 40 yards. Win 50k, and I'll split the winnings with ya. 😉
Hope you make the big score.
Looks like the line is holding at -3.5 for the Eagles. However the juice went to -120 so the bigger money is coming in for the Eagles.
Tough game to handicap in my opinion. A number of different factors in play. In my view the most important is the usual, if Jalen Hurts stays within himself and eliminates the costly picks at the wrong time, then the Eagles should prevail. He had been playing some solid football lately, but did make one of those stupid picks early in the Cowboys game. Turns out it didn't matter, but he can't do that against the Commanders tonight.
Certainly the Barkley acquisition has greatly helped Hurts with his confidence and performance this season. One of the best, if not the best, Eagles free agent signings of all time.
Knock Knock....Present for Galaxy. 😊
It was close - Barkley only covered that 40 yard bet by a meager 100 yards. 😂😂😂
if i had a daughter i'd let Grant Calcaterra have sex with her
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Right place at the right time. 👍
A tale of 2 half's
This game was scaring me in the first half but Philly got their act together and didn't disappoint for our friends @stevek and @Galaxy471
In all fairness under full disclosure laws, regarding sports team rooting. When the Eagles missed that extra point. Which kept the game at 12-10 instead of 13-10, any young child football fan understanding how important that 1 point is in that situation. I released a barrage of four letter words that not only would get me banned from here if I posted them, it might get me banned from the entire internet. LOL
And thoughts of Taylor Swift kicking balls.
I'd release my kicker immediately after the game, every single time a kicker missed an extra point.
it's just something you can't let happen
I'm not joking
Especially these days when a 50 yard field goal is almost like a chip shot.
now for a serious take.
the Commanders defense isn't that good to begin with. middle of the pack at best, i'd say. but to their credit, they had the look of a unit playing with a sense of urgency for the majority of the first 3 quarters. Philly's offense, for those same ~3 quarters, mirrored what i've seen from the Bears' O all year long. very few chunk plays, very few points, a very hard watch. it really did feel like deja vu from the previous weekend when i watched Chi stuck in quicksand vs NE. Philly's O looked like it was sleepwalking and going through the motions. sluggish, lethargic and not playing with the sense of urgency that the Commanders' D was. i just couldn't believe they were not gashing them with all of those weapons.
then it finally happened.
in the 4th, THEY looked like they were playing with a sense of urgency, and their talent finally won out. but that's what i expected from the opening kick. doesn't always work that way, however. if you don't show up and show out for 60 minutes, anyone can beat you. and if Grant Calcaterra hadn't -- to steve's point -- been at the right place at the right time, they (and i) could have easily lost. the complexion of that game would have been different, and the outcome may have been too.
and speaking of kicks, if Jake Elliott had missed one more i was going to lose my ever-loving mind. i'm soo thankful it didn't come down to him, because every time he trotted out on the field he scared the living pop tarts out of me. miss one kick? happens. miss two FGs and an XP? now you're doing your best to help us lose a very important game. wtf dude
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Elliot has been a very dependable kicker for a number of years. But here is the inherent problem with kickers. Once they start going bad, they usually deteriorate rather fast. History has shown this, and I'd be sure Sirianni knows it.
I'm sure that Elliot in practice coming up is going to be judged as though he is a rookie trying out for the team. He knows that as well. So he'd better look good in practice, and I mean dam good, or he and the Eagles have a problem.
Frankly, if Elliot doesn't look good the first day of practice coming up, I would expect the Eagles to quickly bring in some other kickers for tryouts.
my team is an unmitigated disaster, and i'm supposed to believe that we're suddenly going to get it right against a well-rested foe that always makes us their bitch?
no, just no
and Mahomes getting more than a touchdown?
yes please
-4351.86
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/college-football-games-week-12-georgia-as-a-sizable-favorite-over-tennessee-should-raise-some-eyebrows/
Interesting bit on the Georgia vs Tennessee game
Solid play imo
My $5 parlay. Tonight UCLA game over 46.5,ML Lions,KC +2.
Bailed out with passing yardage props, I missed out on that $85 parlay since Purdy couldn't penetrate the Seahawks D for 200.yards passing, that really pissed me off.
I dropped $150 on Tyson which I'm extremely embarrassed out.
Tough to make money gambling, I can say that I'm probably not going to bet another College Parlay until the bowl games, I've invented new ways to lose betting College
Speaking of embarrassing bets, I've made a lot of them. But the worst for me, the dumbest bet I've ever made also involved Mike Tyson. If I'm remembering this right because I'd like to forget it (LOL), Michael Spinks was a pretty good light heavyweight, he might have been light heavyweight champion at the time. He stepped up in weight class to fight Mike.
To bet against Tyson at that time was basically monetary suicide. And I knew that. However for some inexplicable reason, I talked myself into believing that a quicker, very talented. light heavyweight like Spinks, might be able to out box Tyson, and maybe get a decision.
I still had no intentions of betting the fight until I saw the odds. Again, if I'm remembering right, Spinks was an 8-1 dog, and I just couldn't resist odds that juicy. I had to bet something. It wasn't a big bet, I think it was $50.
So I'm watching the fight live on TV, and within the first few seconds i'm saying to myself, WTF was I thinking? Betting against this wrecking machine named Mike Tyson. It was painfully obvious right away that Tyson was quicker than Spinks, plus he weighed more. And I knew that all things being equal, a heavier weight fighter will beat a lighter weight fighter, which of course is exactly why they have weight divisions in various sports.
It was hopeless. At the end which happened in the first round, Spinks looked like he had been hit by a Mack truck.
Frankly, i think a lot of those who bet Tyson against Paul, either remembered this fight or watched the below video of it, and figured the same thing would happen. The problem was that Mike did that a long time ago.
@perkdog
what did your 11-legger consist of exactly?
very nice hit homie 🤙
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I had another one of these with Purdy to throw for over 200 that would have been another $400 which he only threw for 159 which was a complete joke.
Still feel lucky to have hit the one I did, had Indy not taken the lead I would have lost because of Aaron Rodgers but he got the yardage total in the last 40 seconds of the game
Looks easy but believe me I sweated it out lol
my one and only bet over the weekend was rather interesting. and yes, it included sweat that perk just spoke of. seems like every wager has it.
anywho, it should have been put to sleep after the first leg because the Bears should have won that game. but they didn't because, well, they're the Bears. so my teaser was very lucky to be alive going into KC/Buff. but that minor miracle meant i was gonna win, right?
fast forward to the final 2+ minutes of Chiefs/Bills. Buffalo winning by 2, I had KC plus 7.5. The Chiefs only had 1 timeout left. Buffalo faced with a 4th and 2 from the KC 26. My thought was, "I don't see how I can lose this bet, but I have a feeling I'm going to."
If Buffalo attempts a field goal, I win (unless Mahomes throws a pick six after the kick)
If they go for it on 4th and miss, I win (unless Mahomes throws a pick six after the Bills get stopped)
If they go for it on 4th and get the first down without scoring, I win (unless the Chiefs can't prevent Buffalo from scoring a TD when they're simply trying run out the clock)
in other words, it was a winner
unless.......
........Josh Allen houses one from 26 out with his legs on 4th and 2, AND Mahomes doesn't turn around and lead the O down the field for at least a FG with plenty of time left on the clock (they had to score twice)
betting Gods: "you should've been dead. now you are biotch."
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Uhhk that Allen TD was a tough one, I understood why they went for it, giving KC yet another chance to beat them with a marathon TD drive would have put every single Buffalo. player in full on revolt mode.
I think McDermott is an idiot but I respected that call.
And for the record nobody should ever sweat KC with +7.5, that's sucks man, sorry that it didn't hit
As you know I've been on the gut wrenching side of those type of losses more times than I care to remember
I'm fuming right now
I had a profit boost so I decided to put the max bet of $30 on Stroud to. have North of 275 yards passing bet, I figured he would breeze over that number but I had a funny feeling that Rush might have a good game and was thinking of a dart throw at +1100 for him to throw for 300+ yards but I used common sense and said no way and of course he throws for 350+
I'm infuriated at myself for not following my gut
you guys are gonna get a kick out of this. my mom is 80. she and my dad play in an NFL pickem contest at the gym they go to. she takes it pretty seriously, but outside of the Cowboys her knowledge is fairly limited. sure she watches games from time to time, but breaking down individual players and teams the way we do is something she could not.
well, she sent me a text this morning with a pic attached. she picked 13 out of 14 games right in week 11, and if the Seahawks hadn't scored at the very end of the game against SF, she would have got em all. even very nearly nailed the tiebreaker for crying out loud.
if you're wondering what her strategy is, check out her sheet. it's hilarious. she basically picks the team with the best record. and if two teams have the same record, she goes with the home team. the only exception was Buffalo-KC. for some reason she chose the Bills -- I'll have to ask about that. she even writes down all the scores lol
what makes it even more amusing is that her loser son -- who follows the league intently -- loses like it's going out of style.
after she sent that i called her:
Me: "VERY impressive. How'd you do that?"
Her: "It was just luck."
Me: "Well sheesh could you send some of it my way?"
Her: "Why?"
Me: "Oh no reason."
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Hahaha AWESOME @galaxy27
i wonder if loser son can win just THREE games one dayum time
-4466.86
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
"the only exception was Buffalo-KC. for some reason she chose the Bills"
I'm going to venture a guess. Since your Mom reviews the team records, she figured a team at 9-0 was due for a loss.
Your phone conversation for some reason reminded me of an old joke.
Husband and wife visit the casino. They split up, she went to play the slots, he went to play blackjack. They meet up later, and the man asks his wife how did she do? She said she lost a hundred dollars. The man starts shouting at her a bit loudly, admonishing her for losing that much money. The wife responds asking him how he did. The man replies, I lost a thousand dollars. The wife says, why are you yelling at me, you lost a thousand dollars but I only lost a hundred. The man says, yea but I know how to gamble.
well that didn't take long
a special thank you to the 10-point favorite Thunder who got punked by the no Wemby + 2 other starters Spurs
"mom can i see your week 12 sheet?"
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Gross, I was looking at making a prop. bet and specifically looked for Wemby and saw he was out for whatever reason fans remember thinking that OKC was going to destroy them.
Just ridiculous
Made my SB bets yesterday. Had it narrowed down to 4 picks,SF,Baltimore,KC, Detroit. Threw out SF,Detroit. Detroit is now the favorite at 4-1. When Baltimore signed Henry I decided on them at that time. Went with KC until as the second choice in the odds as a saver bet. Will see if they make history with a 3peat. Was a concern to throw out Detroit as I really like the coach,but can't play them all. One team that is the one to watch is Philadelphia. Barkley the key being there. If I decide to throw in 1 more team later,if the price is right, would be Detroit or Philadelphia.
I know it is a passing game today, but a good back allows ball control,that's where Henry and Barkley come into play.
Good luck to all on your SB plays
I put in 2 separate plays for Buffalo vs Detroit
Doesn't matter who wins
How I wish we could make legal bets here in GA. There is a fortune to be made for whatever charities are associated with legal gambling. A casino alone would generate untold millions. Sadly, it will take a herculean effort to break down this stupid barrier...it's a religious thing here, and the Baptists have a lock on this issue. We do have the lottery, so maybe there might be a crack in the wall someday.
If I want to play blackjack, I have to make a 6 hour R/T to Cherokee, NC. The drive is somewhat pastoral, but still, it limits time there. Not offering surrender, kinda tightens the game, so prudent play is paramount to reduce the edge. I do meet a couple of friends there from time to time and have gone solo, but doing so lacks part of the excitemnt, and eating alone is just a matter of shoving it in and back to the felt.
Enjoy your ability to have some fun...may all your long shots come in from time to time.
Wow that's quite a trek, like going to Atlantic City before Foxwoods for us in Mass, not sure if Foxwoods and Mohegan was around when you lived here Foxwoods opened in 1994, it was a 2.5 hour drive for me, the place was elbow to elbow for years, they expanded and then gambling became legal in NH and Mass, now when you go there half the place is empty and it's a ghost town, almost have if not more of the table games are cordoned off, the hotels are barely getting a 1/4 capacity
Now casinos are popping up everywhere, I got one 10 minutes from my house
Yes, agree with you casinos are everywhere. They seem to pop up like convenience stores. Used to be a special outing much like going to a horse race track before OTB. Does not take too many visits for either OTB or casinos to wear out their welcome.
I'm glad that hopefully, nobody here is thinking about playing at those "off shore" sites, located in countries you may not have even heard of before. Two quick points and I'm not going to discuss it further.
Everyone knows about the RNG, meaning "random number generator" that is used for the table games. Well on these offshore sites, the better name for it is rigged number generator. The RNG at these sites is so abominably rigged. This includes blackjack, craps, roulette, slots, and yes even online poker.
Then you might think, well I'll just focus on games they can't possibly rig such as sports betting, horse racing, etc, because of course these games and results are public information. The problem is these sites are so inherently crooked and corrupt, that even if you do happen to hit a nice score, they will promptly come up with a thousand and one reasons not to pay you. I just read a review about one of the offshore sites, a player hit a 16k trifecta which was the payoff at the track. However the site only paid him $375. This is by no means an isolated incident. Actually the player is lucky if you could call him that, because often he wouldn't be paid anything at all.