@stevek said:
Yankees now at -142 - odds came up.
Dodgers at +120 - they were at +130
Perhaps some whales jumped on that better Dodgers line?
I’m surprised the dodgers were the dogs. Usually the starters have the most influence on the odds and to me the dodgers had a clear advantage. A position player, even as good as ohtani, shouldn’t have that much of an influence especially with a stacked lineup like LA has.i guess the game being in NY probably played a factor but it looks like a bettor could have profited on the uncertainty over ohtani’s injury.
Of course who knows the dodgers are ahead but the Yankees could still come back but if I was at the casino instead of work I would have been all over the dodgers
Oh I had some football parlays, I won my college parlay but lost a couple nfl parlays thanks to the ravens unbelievably losing to the browns. Lost about $200 overall
@Darin said:
Oh I had some football parlays, I won my college parlay but lost a couple nfl parlays thanks to the ravens unbelievably losing to the browns. Lost about $200 overall
@Darin said:
Oh I had some football parlays, I won my college parlay but lost a couple nfl parlays thanks to the ravens unbelievably losing to the browns. Lost about $200 overall
@stevek said:
Yankees now at -142 - odds came up.
Dodgers at +120 - they were at +130
Perhaps some whales jumped on that better Dodgers line?
I’m surprised the dodgers were the dogs. Usually the starters have the most influence on the odds and to me the dodgers had a clear advantage. A position player, even as good as ohtani, shouldn’t have that much of an influence especially with a stacked lineup like LA has.i guess the game being in NY probably played a factor but it looks like a bettor could have profited on the uncertainty over ohtani’s injury.
Of course who knows the dodgers are ahead but the Yankees could still come back but if I was at the casino instead of work I would have been all over the dodgers
I'm not sure what the odds were of a Dodgers sweep, but I think a 5 dime bet, if they win game 4, may have resulted in new luxury car buying money.
I had a bunch of parlays with Baltimore being involved in all of them ranging from ML, -2.5 and even 7.5 but they got vaporized, I had a nice one with a Derek Henry anytime TD mixed in which is a shame because it was tied in with the ML bet and would have paid ok, college was gross I had Missouri +14.5 as the only loss in a few parlays and they got completely run over in Tuscaloosa so dropped about $300
I tried to recoup some funds last night and came close, I'm pissed because I almost hit the Daniel Jones over 275 yard number but he threw a pick and landed at 264 yards, I was also flip.flopping between Soto and Freeman 2+ total based and went with Soto thinking he would do better since the Yanks seemed like they were due but I knew I made the wrong decision when Freeman went yard which stung,
Still amazes me how the bookie's computers can keep up with all this chit. Considering all the different human variables.
I can see where despite the math of them taking out a larger percentage on prop bets, sometimes a ghastly high percentage, that if you're sharp enough, and understand the human situation better than their computers, there might be some interesting opportunities at times.
Soto screwed me in game 3 and I know how this goes so I stuck with him and he snagged a double late so I capitalized on it.
How about this for game 3, my buddy was adamant that the Yankees were going to explode for a lot of runs and he put $100 dart on the over run total for the Yankees at 9.5, had he did it again last night he would have cashed for $1100
Dam, that's a toughie to hit, 9.5 for one team when it appears they're in a slump, especially their best hitter. But your buddy had the right idea about a Yankees "wake-up." Just wish he would have popped another dollar on it in the following game.
In game 4, when the first inning ended with the score 2-0 Dodgers leading, it seemed like the Yankees were going to go down in the game and series like like a wounded duck. I imagine those 9.5 line odds may have gone up to around $1200 for a dollar, maybe higher depending on how the bookie's computer is programmed.
I got froggy and live bet Duke like an idiot when they were up thinking THAT was going to be the upset in my parlays.
Then after I got home from dinner out with the girlfriend I threw a live $50 Hale Mary at some games and Kentucky screwed me.
Banner day yesterday.
The worst part of my day is I had a $100 ML Vanderbilt bet locked and loaded and at the last minute decided not to and went on a different losing safari.
I deserve what I get
@Galaxy471 Bro the worm will turn eventually brother.
Last week I watched A&M put in on LSU pretty good and walked away impressed. I think that was 7 in a row for them, so I circled last night's game against 3-loss South Carolina. Admittedly I didn't know much about the Cocks, so I caught college gameday to glean some info before I proceeded. Those dudes broke them and the game down, then of course they made their own picks. Everyone on the panel chose the Aggies......Herbstreit, Saban, Des Howard, Corso, McAfee, all of them......except for one person.........the guest/celebrity picker.
Moral of the story: if you drop on a team that's picked by everyone with the exception of one person who seemingly doesn't know what they are doing, that's instant death
I see you're half-way home in the $150 parlay. You're so overdue for a hit, it's not even funny.
I sincerely hope I'm not jinxing it, and apologize in advance if I do. But all things being equal, I don't see how the Ravens and Chiefs lose those games.
was tied up all afternoon and didn't get a chance to post this one but dammit I'm giving myself credit for it. was in such a rush that I didn't initially bet the amount I wanted to and had to go back to toss the extra 40 on it lol
i said it would be crazy to bet on Chi-Ari, but I thought about that game all week long and came to the conclusion that it would be very difficult to rebound on the road after throwing a game away the previous weekend. that was such a kick to the nuts. plus the Cardinals have been finding their groove lately, so i dropped on them in their own crib.
have KC tied into 2 live parlays, so I'm gonna semi-hedge and maybe i can get lucky and win em all. if they lose their first game of the season at home against a Bucs team without Evans and Godwin tomorrow night, I'm gonna give darin a wedgie for the ages
have so many completed & active bets that i'm gonna save calculations for tomorrow night after the game
Forgive me I'm just thinking out loud, trying to learn the ins and outs of all this.
Okay so you've got $228.25, that's your money, cash. If ya happen to go back and play the Chiefs ML, the $228.25 at -430 would net ya $53.08 totaling $281.33
However leaving in the $228.25 and letting the parlay ride and winning, your total would be the $310.81 - that's approximately a 10% difference.
Not trying to judge, of course not, the $228.25 is a bird in hand, completely understand the reasoning. But I'd have to think perhaps not cashing out early too often, and giving the book even more of a house edge on your money, would be a better long term move.
Plus I don't think on an early cash out, that the "parlay boost" or whatever it's called, would be in play. I'm not 100% sure on that. If the book takes off the parlay boost for an early cash out, frankly, it would be a terrible long term idea to cash out under those circumstances. With a parlay boost or any other type of boost, ya just have to let it ride.
My action today, Trying to get a little lettuce back from yesterday's College abomination.
That parlay with the $228 cash out option is tempting but really I just can't see KC losing at home to the Bucs without Godwin or Evens
I still might cash it out though KC is overdo for a L
Oh geez, I misconstrued the website info. With that green cash out, i thought that meant you had cashed out. I realize now that it's just the button to click if ya want to cash out.
BTW - I happen to agree with your reasoning about KC overdue for a loss. I've seen this before whereby good teams on a roll, they come home as a heavy favorite, get a bit too complacent, and wind-up losing the game.
I just don't think it's going to happen in this particular game for a number of reasons.
@stevek said:
Forgive me I'm just thinking out loud, trying to learn the ins and outs of all this.
Okay so you've got $228.25, that's your money, cash. If ya happen to go back and play the Chiefs ML, the $228.25 at -430 would net ya $53.08 totaling $281.33
However leaving in the $228.25 and letting the parlay ride and winning, your total would be the $310.81 - that's approximately a 10% difference.
Not trying to judge, of course not, the $228.25 is a bird in hand, completely understand the reasoning. But I'd have to think perhaps not cashing out early too often, and giving the book even more of a house edge on your money, would be a better long term move.
Plus I don't think on an early cash out, that the "parlay boost" or whatever it's called, would be in play. I'm not 100% sure on that. If the book takes off the parlay boost for an early cash out, frankly, it would be a terrible long term idea to cash out under those circumstances. With a parlay boost or any other type of boost, ya just have to let it ride.
Yes the cash out option is your total. cash you will get, they configure in the value of any boosts.
Started a 4 leg parlay with KC ML. Was impressed with TB. Hadn't seen them play all year. Were missing a few of their top players, but replacements played hard. Good game. Tough loss for TB.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
BTW - the comment I made in the Patriots thread about the Patriots coach not going for 2 to win the game. The Bucs coach made the exact same mistake. But this mistake was even more egregious against a much better football team than the Titans.
The Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime, quickly marched down the field, scored a touchdown, and it was over.
@stevek said:
BTW - the comment I made in the Patriots thread about the Patriots coach not going for 2 to win the game. The Bucs coach made the exact same mistake. But this mistake was even more egregious against a much better football team than the Titans.
The Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime, quickly marched down the field, scored a touchdown, and it was over.
If I were the Bucs I would have gone for 2 as well.
I'm not crucifying Bowles for not going for the 2 but I think it would have been the best call to try and win it right there while the D was gassed
@stevek said:
BTW - the comment I made in the Patriots thread about the Patriots coach not going for 2 to win the game. The Bucs coach made the exact same mistake. But this mistake was even more egregious against a much better football team than the Titans.
The Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime, quickly marched down the field, scored a touchdown, and it was over.
If I were the Bucs I would have gone for 2 as well.
I'm not crucifying Bowles for not going for the 2 but I think it would have been the best call to try and win it right there while the D was gassed
Pasted:
The odds of making a two-point conversion in the NFL are between 40% and 55%. This is significantly lower than the success rate for one-point conversions, which is between 90% and 95%. However, the two-point conversion has a higher expected value because of its higher value.
On average, the number of points a team can expect from a two-point conversion or an extra point attempt is roughly the same. However, the decision to go for two or kick the extra point depends on several factors, including the time left in the game and the team's defense. For example, if there are fewer than seven minutes left in the game, it's usually better to go for two than to kick the extra point.
Comments
Dodgers now up 2-0. Back to Yankee Stadium on Monday.
The moneyline I saw is Yankees -146
Be interesting to see how the line moves by Monday's game?
Yankees at -154 already.
The stadium will be a rocking.
I think the NY money might be flowing into this 3rd game like water from a broken dam.
Aaron Judge having a dreadful series thus far. Maybe the NY wagering fans figure at home he might break out of it?
Yankees now at -142 - odds came up.
Dodgers at +120 - they were at +130
Perhaps some whales jumped on that better Dodgers line?
Or someone knows the true status of Ohtani
Yankees line now at -146 which is where it started.
Is NYC out of money or something? LOL
I’m surprised the dodgers were the dogs. Usually the starters have the most influence on the odds and to me the dodgers had a clear advantage. A position player, even as good as ohtani, shouldn’t have that much of an influence especially with a stacked lineup like LA has.i guess the game being in NY probably played a factor but it looks like a bettor could have profited on the uncertainty over ohtani’s injury.
Of course who knows the dodgers are ahead but the Yankees could still come back but if I was at the casino instead of work I would have been all over the dodgers
Oh I had some football parlays, I won my college parlay but lost a couple nfl parlays thanks to the ravens unbelievably losing to the browns. Lost about $200 overall
Same here, around $300
Ravens was the culprit
I have a feeling when the MLB history books are written, there won't be any comparison of this Yankees team to the 1927 Yankees team.
I'm not sure what the odds were of a Dodgers sweep, but I think a 5 dime bet, if they win game 4, may have resulted in new luxury car buying money.
I was curious of the odds for a Dodger sweep as well. Could not locate one.
I had a bunch of parlays with Baltimore being involved in all of them ranging from ML, -2.5 and even 7.5 but they got vaporized, I had a nice one with a Derek Henry anytime TD mixed in which is a shame because it was tied in with the ML bet and would have paid ok, college was gross I had Missouri +14.5 as the only loss in a few parlays and they got completely run over in Tuscaloosa so dropped about $300
I tried to recoup some funds last night and came close, I'm pissed because I almost hit the Daniel Jones over 275 yard number but he threw a pick and landed at 264 yards, I was also flip.flopping between Soto and Freeman 2+ total based and went with Soto thinking he would do better since the Yanks seemed like they were due but I knew I made the wrong decision when Freeman went yard which stung,
Still amazes me how the bookie's computers can keep up with all this chit. Considering all the different human variables.
I can see where despite the math of them taking out a larger percentage on prop bets, sometimes a ghastly high percentage, that if you're sharp enough, and understand the human situation better than their computers, there might be some interesting opportunities at times.
I have read that stock exchange computers disect trades in milliseconds or greater. Must be the ones the books use.
Can we get a hold of one of these please!!!!
Soto screwed me in game 3 and I know how this goes so I stuck with him and he snagged a double late so I capitalized on it.
How about this for game 3, my buddy was adamant that the Yankees were going to explode for a lot of runs and he put $100 dart on the over run total for the Yankees at 9.5, had he did it again last night he would have cashed for $1100
Dam, that's a toughie to hit, 9.5 for one team when it appears they're in a slump, especially their best hitter. But your buddy had the right idea about a Yankees "wake-up." Just wish he would have popped another dollar on it in the following game.
In game 4, when the first inning ended with the score 2-0 Dodgers leading, it seemed like the Yankees were going to go down in the game and series like like a wounded duck. I imagine those 9.5 line odds may have gone up to around $1200 for a dollar, maybe higher depending on how the bookie's computer is programmed.
After the slam the TV camera had a shot of the fans in one large section tossing beer,soda, and popcorn. Was funny
Trout finally woke-up with a home run.
have a good (and profitable) weekend amigos
-4789.81
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Can't keep a good man down!
Hit that!!!!
I'm with you on Georgia 🍀💥🤟🍻
whoop!
-4789.91
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Yep got my balls kicked in yesterday.
I got froggy and live bet Duke like an idiot when they were up thinking THAT was going to be the upset in my parlays.
Then after I got home from dinner out with the girlfriend I threw a live $50 Hale Mary at some games and Kentucky screwed me.
Banner day yesterday.
The worst part of my day is I had a $100 ML Vanderbilt bet locked and loaded and at the last minute decided not to and went on a different losing safari.
I deserve what I get
@Galaxy471 Bro the worm will turn eventually brother.
Someday somehow I will finally realize that parlays are really bad bets
Oh I forgot add this cute lil nugget
A silly $10 bet that would have paid $520+ but Duke just let Miami ring up points like it was a pin ball machine.
This one really stung, missing out on such a sweet payoff by a 1/2 a point
Yeah, that Miami game was insane.
Last week I watched A&M put in on LSU pretty good and walked away impressed. I think that was 7 in a row for them, so I circled last night's game against 3-loss South Carolina. Admittedly I didn't know much about the Cocks, so I caught college gameday to glean some info before I proceeded. Those dudes broke them and the game down, then of course they made their own picks. Everyone on the panel chose the Aggies......Herbstreit, Saban, Des Howard, Corso, McAfee, all of them......except for one person.........the guest/celebrity picker.
Moral of the story: if you drop on a team that's picked by everyone with the exception of one person who seemingly doesn't know what they are doing, that's instant death
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
have the Ravens and Chiefs in another live parlay
gonna add the Falcons to them in another
then turn around and take the Broncos & Dolphins & a bushel of points
-5340.81
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Good Luck @galaxy27
you as well!
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I see you're half-way home in the $150 parlay. You're so overdue for a hit, it's not even funny.
I sincerely hope I'm not jinxing it, and apologize in advance if I do. But all things being equal, I don't see how the Ravens and Chiefs lose those games.
was tied up all afternoon and didn't get a chance to post this one but dammit I'm giving myself credit for it. was in such a rush that I didn't initially bet the amount I wanted to and had to go back to toss the extra 40 on it lol
i said it would be crazy to bet on Chi-Ari, but I thought about that game all week long and came to the conclusion that it would be very difficult to rebound on the road after throwing a game away the previous weekend. that was such a kick to the nuts. plus the Cardinals have been finding their groove lately, so i dropped on them in their own crib.
have KC tied into 2 live parlays, so I'm gonna semi-hedge and maybe i can get lucky and win em all. if they lose their first game of the season at home against a Bucs team without Evans and Godwin tomorrow night, I'm gonna give darin a wedgie for the ages
have so many completed & active bets that i'm gonna save calculations for tomorrow night after the game
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
My action today, Trying to get a little lettuce back from yesterday's College abomination.
That parlay with the $228 cash out option is tempting but really I just can't see KC losing at home to the Bucs without Godwin or Evens
I still might cash it out though KC is overdo for a L
Forgive me I'm just thinking out loud, trying to learn the ins and outs of all this.
Okay so you've got $228.25, that's your money, cash. If ya happen to go back and play the Chiefs ML, the $228.25 at -430 would net ya $53.08 totaling $281.33
However leaving in the $228.25 and letting the parlay ride and winning, your total would be the $310.81 - that's approximately a 10% difference.
Not trying to judge, of course not, the $228.25 is a bird in hand, completely understand the reasoning. But I'd have to think perhaps not cashing out early too often, and giving the book even more of a house edge on your money, would be a better long term move.
Plus I don't think on an early cash out, that the "parlay boost" or whatever it's called, would be in play. I'm not 100% sure on that. If the book takes off the parlay boost for an early cash out, frankly, it would be a terrible long term idea to cash out under those circumstances. With a parlay boost or any other type of boost, ya just have to let it ride.
Oh geez, I misconstrued the website info. With that green cash out, i thought that meant you had cashed out. I realize now that it's just the button to click if ya want to cash out.
Well good luck however ya call it.
BTW - I happen to agree with your reasoning about KC overdue for a loss. I've seen this before whereby good teams on a roll, they come home as a heavy favorite, get a bit too complacent, and wind-up losing the game.
I just don't think it's going to happen in this particular game for a number of reasons.
Yes the cash out option is your total. cash you will get, they configure in the value of any boosts.
At least vs the spread. TS magic may be waning.
Chiefs didn't beat the spread in that game.
If I viewed the parlays correctly, I think the bookies are going to be light a few coins this time. 👍
Started a 4 leg parlay with KC ML. Was impressed with TB. Hadn't seen them play all year. Were missing a few of their top players, but replacements played hard. Good game. Tough loss for TB.
i spent 32.49 on fuel tonight
i want to be reimbursed
-4756.62
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
The odds should be lower than that.
The payout should be .01 cent. LOL
AP, NYT, NBC
Anything could happen.
Not for Texas. Even those three aren't that corrupt yet.
Now if it was the same bet for New York, I'd say the payout should be at least one billion. LOL
BTW - the comment I made in the Patriots thread about the Patriots coach not going for 2 to win the game. The Bucs coach made the exact same mistake. But this mistake was even more egregious against a much better football team than the Titans.
The Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime, quickly marched down the field, scored a touchdown, and it was over.
If I were the Bucs I would have gone for 2 as well.
I'm not crucifying Bowles for not going for the 2 but I think it would have been the best call to try and win it right there while the D was gassed
Pasted:
The odds of making a two-point conversion in the NFL are between 40% and 55%. This is significantly lower than the success rate for one-point conversions, which is between 90% and 95%. However, the two-point conversion has a higher expected value because of its higher value.
On average, the number of points a team can expect from a two-point conversion or an extra point attempt is roughly the same. However, the decision to go for two or kick the extra point depends on several factors, including the time left in the game and the team's defense. For example, if there are fewer than seven minutes left in the game, it's usually better to go for two than to kick the extra point.