Thanks Galaxy, haven’t wagered much this season yet but I had a lot of parlays last year that went haywire so it’s just sweet to hit a couple good ones.
Darin, very nice score. However to complain again and again after the Eagles helped you hit a nice bet? Frankly, that is silly.
The Eagles suffered a freak play near the end of the first half with that blocked easy field goal attempt, returned for a Browns touchdown. You should know that is a rarity, which resulted in a 10 point swing in favor of the Browns. Yet despite that bad break, the Eagles still came thru for you in the money line parlay.
You wanna knock the Eagles? That's fine, and your premise about their ability this season has merit. But geez, why not quit the dam griping and enjoy the nice win for crying out loud.
@stevek said:
Darin, very nice score. However to complain again and again after the Eagles helped you hit a nice bet? Frankly, that is silly.
The Eagles suffered a freak play near the end of the first half with that blocked easy field goal attempt, returned for a Browns touchdown. You should know that is a rarity, which resulted in a 10 point swing in favor of the Browns. Yet despite that bad break, the Eagles still came thru for you in the money line parlay.
You wanna knock the Eagles? That's fine, and your premise about their ability this season has merit. But geez, why not quit the dam griping and enjoy the nice win for crying out loud.
I’m not knocking the Eagles, I’m saying I had them overrated. I shouldn’t have had them as one of my top two teams to come up with a win(Texans and Eagles) but that’s on me… won’t happen again.
Aren’t you a little sensitive for someone with a Chiefs collapse thread who insults them and their coach at every opportunity?
@stevek said:
Darin, very nice score. However to complain again and again after the Eagles helped you hit a nice bet? Frankly, that is silly.
The Eagles suffered a freak play near the end of the first half with that blocked easy field goal attempt, returned for a Browns touchdown. You should know that is a rarity, which resulted in a 10 point swing in favor of the Browns. Yet despite that bad break, the Eagles still came thru for you in the money line parlay.
You wanna knock the Eagles? That's fine, and your premise about their ability this season has merit. But geez, why not quit the dam griping and enjoy the nice win for crying out loud.
I’m not knocking the Eagles, I’m saying I had them overrated. I shouldn’t have had them as one of my top two teams to come up with a win(Texans and Eagles) but that’s on me… won’t happen again.
Aren’t you a little sensitive for someone with a Chiefs collapse thread who insults them and their coach at every opportunity?
I already explained how you hit the Eagles a lot easier than you think. IE a 10 point mistake, but the Eagles still covered the money line for you. Unfortunately that rare freak play cost the spread bettors on the Eagles which at game time was around Eagles -9. If the Eagles simply kick that easy field goal, the Eagles spread bettors cash out.
BTW - I've got a lot more smack coming in that Chiefs thread. Yes, right now, I'm not looking too good over there, but still a lot of season yet to play. 😉
Thanks perk… if I had known Dallas would get completely blown out it would have been even sweeter! 😂
I thought they would at least have a close game with Detroit so I just stayed away.
Haha your fortune is my misfortune
Sunday night I had a family dinner and couldn't watch the game, I snuck a peak on my phone and when Dallas was down 10-3 in the first quarter or early 2nd quarter the ML was Dallas +450 so I threw $200 on them and that proved to be a big mistake to wrap up my crappy weekend lol
NFL is tough enough but to be spot on like you were twice is amazing!!
Thanks perk… if I had known Dallas would get completely blown out it would have been even sweeter! 😂
I thought they would at least have a close game with Detroit so I just stayed away.
Haha your fortune is my misfortune
Sunday night I had a family dinner and couldn't watch the game, I snuck a peak on my phone and when Dallas was down 10-3 in the first quarter or early 2nd quarter the ML was Dallas +450 so I threw $200 on them and that proved to be a big mistake to wrap up my crappy weekend lol
NFL is tough enough but to be spot on like you were twice is amazing!!
Great job bro, congrats again
I have been out of the loop for sports betting for well over twenty years. It's fascinating to say the least how today's computers quickly adjust the lines and odds during the game. Actually it can sometimes go almost play by play.
I may be wrong, but it seems like the bookies for the most part allow the computers to set the odds strictly based on the score and field position, with little or perhaps no regard for the human element of the situation.
just a quick thought if anyone wishes to comment. Say a star QB leads his team to say a two touchdown lead at half time. Thus the line on the other team increases dramatically. But what if it is announced that their starting QB suffered a game ending injury and won't be back for the second half? And their backup is some dead head loser QB. Say the computer doesn't pick-up on that fact. Would that not be a license to print money, quickly getting a wager in on the trailing team? Yes you may not win every bet, but I would think that the odds might be in your favor in the long run jumping on a situation such as this.
Anything I'm missing here in your opinion? Thanks in advance for any replies!
After a not so great start to the year, I hit two parlays last weekend to squeak into the green for the NFL season.
Got insanely lucky with Hopkins catching the end of the game pass before all the laterals. Additionally, Pickens hit a long pass late in the game for the Steelers. Otherwise would have missed on both of these in addition to the other 23 parlays I did that didn't hit (I have been making 20-25 $20 parlays per week).
I will say, whatever simulation software the oddsmakers run for receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards has to be amazing. There are so many lines that are within 5 yards plus or minus each week that it can be a little mind boggling.
@fergie23 said:
After a not so great start to the year, I hit two parlays last weekend to squeak into the green for the NFL season.
Got insanely lucky with Hopkins catching the end of the game pass before all the laterals. Additionally, Pickens hit a long pass late in the game for the Steelers. Otherwise would have missed on both of these in addition to the other 23 parlays I did that didn't hit (I have been making 20-25 $20 parlays per week).
I will say, whatever simulation software the oddsmakers run for receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards has to be amazing. There are so many lines that are within 5 yards plus or minus each week that it can be a little mind boggling.
and
Robb
I'm not sure about the simulation software. But I know on prop and all other payouts, the gambling websites go with the official NFL stats.
Twenty years ago, I was 100% convinced for a good multitude of reasons, that nobody in the long run could make money sports betting. But with all these "computer props" during the game, I'm wondering if a sharp, quick to react bettor could in fact make money?
I'll give ya a quick example. I think the bookie's computer offers odds on most of the first plays of each series. I think if ya have a fundamental understanding of the particular team's coach and players, and their tendencies, combining that with the score and time left in the game, it doesn't seem that difficult to predict the first play of the series. The caveat is that I think with a successfully called rushing play by the bettor, the runner has to gain at least one yard for it to be a winning bet. Not sure how it works with a successfully called pass. Probably has to at least be a completion for positive yardage.
I plan on investigating this further, knowing the bookies aren't stupid. They're certainly not in business to allow anyone to win in the long run. But nobody is infallible, so perhaps, just maybe they've overlooked a few things with all this overwhelming number of bets available out there?
@fergie23 said:
After a not so great start to the year, I hit two parlays last weekend to squeak into the green for the NFL season.
Got insanely lucky with Hopkins catching the end of the game pass before all the laterals. Additionally, Pickens hit a long pass late in the game for the Steelers. Otherwise would have missed on both of these in addition to the other 23 parlays I did that didn't hit (I have been making 20-25 $20 parlays per week).
I will say, whatever simulation software the oddsmakers run for receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards has to be amazing. There are so many lines that are within 5 yards plus or minus each week that it can be a little mind boggling.
and
Robb
I'm not sure about the simulation software. But I know on prop and all other payouts, the gambling websites go with the official NFL stats.
Twenty years ago, I was 100% convinced for a good multitude of reasons, that nobody in the long run could make money sports betting. But with all these "computer props" during the game, I'm wondering if a sharp, quick to react bettor could in fact make money?
I'll give ya a quick example. I think the bookie's computer offers odds on most of the first plays of each series. I think if ya have a fundamental understanding of the particular team's coach and players, and their tendencies, combining that with the score and time left in the game, it doesn't seem that difficult to predict the first play of the series. The caveat is that I think with a successfully called rushing play by the bettor, the runner has to gain at least one yard for it to be a winning bet. Not sure how it works with a successfully called pass. Probably has to at least be a completion for positive yardage.
I plan on investigating this further, knowing the bookies aren't stupid. They're certainly not in business to allow anyone to win in the long run. But nobody is infallible, so perhaps, just maybe they've overlooked a few things with all this overwhelming number of bets available out there?
The amount of prop bets for a live game is simply overwhelming, throwing a dart for a missed FG is typically like +2500 on most typical drives which is always tempting but absurdly difficult.
Prop bets are not for the faint of heart, penalties kill drive prop bets, last year on DK they had a special "TE Day" which was great odds for the first TE to score a TD on the day and I took Dawson Knox who of course got the first TD but wiped out by a ridiculous penalty, as the next play unfolded Darren Waller rang up.a TD and I lost my bet.
@fergie23 said:
After a not so great start to the year, I hit two parlays last weekend to squeak into the green for the NFL season.
Got insanely lucky with Hopkins catching the end of the game pass before all the laterals. Additionally, Pickens hit a long pass late in the game for the Steelers. Otherwise would have missed on both of these in addition to the other 23 parlays I did that didn't hit (I have been making 20-25 $20 parlays per week).
I will say, whatever simulation software the oddsmakers run for receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards has to be amazing. There are so many lines that are within 5 yards plus or minus each week that it can be a little mind boggling.
and
Robb
I'm not sure about the simulation software. But I know on prop and all other payouts, the gambling websites go with the official NFL stats.
Twenty years ago, I was 100% convinced for a good multitude of reasons, that nobody in the long run could make money sports betting. But with all these "computer props" during the game, I'm wondering if a sharp, quick to react bettor could in fact make money?
I'll give ya a quick example. I think the bookie's computer offers odds on most of the first plays of each series. I think if ya have a fundamental understanding of the particular team's coach and players, and their tendencies, combining that with the score and time left in the game, it doesn't seem that difficult to predict the first play of the series. The caveat is that I think with a successfully called rushing play by the bettor, the runner has to gain at least one yard for it to be a winning bet. Not sure how it works with a successfully called pass. Probably has to at least be a completion for positive yardage.
I plan on investigating this further, knowing the bookies aren't stupid. They're certainly not in business to allow anyone to win in the long run. But nobody is infallible, so perhaps, just maybe they've overlooked a few things with all this overwhelming number of bets available out there?
The amount of prop bets for a live game is simply overwhelming, throwing a dart for a missed FG is typically like +2500 on most typical drives which is always tempting but absurdly difficult.
Prop bets are not for the faint of heart, penalties kill drive prop bets, last year on DK they had a special "TE Day" which was great odds for the first TE to score a TD on the day and I took Dawson Knox who of course got the first TD but wiped out by a ridiculous penalty, as the next play unfolded Darren Waller rang up.a TD and I lost my bet.
It was infuriating
That would be infuriating to me as well. But it brings up an interesting point about tendencies. Is the computer programmed for that, or just programmed sort of randomly? I mean on a certain play in a certain situation, if ya know the coach, etc, as already mentioned, you just know there is a good chance the play is gonna go to a specific receiver. Nobody of course is always going to be right. However if you can quickly calculate the odds in your head that this particular coach is going to throw to that receiver in that situation 50 % of the time, and say 50% of the time it will be a completion of 5 yards or more, and you're getting say 10-1 odds on that bet, well then you've just found yourself a license to print money.
It can't be this easy I wouldn't think, but I'm still going to investigate it. If the books only offer say 2-1 odds on the mentioned receiver bet, then it would be basically impossible to win money in the long run under those circumstances.
at least i was right about one thing -- my figure did get uglier
Bama collapsed in the 4th yesterday, both of my golfers finished one shot out of dead heat money today (which would have still been profitable), then Brock Purdy blew up the last leg of a 4-teamer because he couldn't prevent himself from throwing the football to a Chiefs player. that one is on me, because i knew this Niners team is nothing compared to the ones from the past few years.
anywho, my word means absolutely nothing because I'm dropping a bomb on the Jets tonight after i said i was done with them less than a week ago. but this is the type of thing that happens when you're tilting hard, which is exactly what i'm experiencing at the moment.
worst-case scenario, i'll be almost halfway to my mythical buy-in/bust out at the WSOP main event. so i'll still be winning either way! 😆
@galaxy27 said:
at least i was right about one thing -- my figure did get uglier
Bama collapsed in the 4th yesterday, both of my golfers finished one shot out of dead heat money today (which would have still been profitable), then Brock Purdy blew up the last leg of a 4-teamer because he couldn't prevent himself from throwing the football to a Chiefs player. that one is on me, because i knew this Niners team is nothing compared to the ones from the past few years.
anywho, my word means absolutely nothing because I'm dropping a bomb on the Jets tonight after i said i was done with them less than a week ago. but this is the type of thing that happens when you're tilting hard, which is exactly what i'm experiencing at the moment.
worst-case scenario, i'll be almost halfway to my mythical buy-in/bust out at the WSOP main event. so i'll still be winning either way! 😆
-3644.76
I'm SO hoping the Jets pull this off for you Brother 🍀💯💥🥁🤟🍻
@galaxy27 said:
at least i was right about one thing -- my figure did get uglier
Bama collapsed in the 4th yesterday, both of my golfers finished one shot out of dead heat money today (which would have still been profitable), then Brock Purdy blew up the last leg of a 4-teamer because he couldn't prevent himself from throwing the football to a Chiefs player. that one is on me, because i knew this Niners team is nothing compared to the ones from the past few years.
anywho, my word means absolutely nothing because I'm dropping a bomb on the Jets tonight after i said i was done with them less than a week ago. but this is the type of thing that happens when you're tilting hard, which is exactly what i'm experiencing at the moment.
worst-case scenario, i'll be almost halfway to my mythical buy-in/bust out at the WSOP main event. so i'll still be winning either way! 😆
-3644.76
I'm SO hoping the Jets pull this off for you Brother 🍀💯💥🥁🤟🍻
Huge TD for the Jets!
The jets coach throwing the challenge flag too late and then Rodgers running the play and throwing the TD might just finally be the good break Galaxy needs to turn this thing around.
as i told perk via text, the worst part of that bet was me not sticking to my guns. i said less than a week ago that i wouldn't drop another dime on the Jets, and in another thread i laid out my opinion of Rodgers -- living off his reputation and closer to being completely washed up than he is to ever show glimpses of the QB he was in GB. then i turned around and dropped a bag on him and them. i got what i deserved, truthfully.
from the top of that organization on down, the Jets ooze a dysfunctional, losing culture. can't wait to see whose fault tonight's outcome was, according to A-Rodg. i'm sure he'll want to cut Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson tomorrow and sign Ahman Green and Sterling Sharpe to fix the problems.
from a betting standpoint, it's crazy the sensation you experience when you're running bad. you literally feel like every wager you place is going to find a way to turn to dust. at no point did i ever feel confident during that game. i'm sure there were probably some Jets backers who were counting their dollars when they were up 15-6 and driving at the end of the 1st half to extend the lead. wanna know what my thought was, honestly? "when is the misstep gonna happen that triggers the avalanche?" next thing i knew, Rodgers tosses one to the Steelers on that drive and the Jets literally did not one thing right the rest of the game. outscored 31-0 from that point forward. from controlling the game to getting boat raced on a dime. welcome to my gambling world.
Jets phoned in that second half. And the Rodgers interception late in the first half which led to a Steelers touchdown, was a momentum killer. A veteran QB getting paid all that money is not supposed to make a throw like that.
Yes, on paper that pick didn't seem to matter in the final score. In reality, football being a game of momentum, that play deflated the Jets and psyched up the Steelers.
I'm not saying Aaron Rodgers is the worst free agent bust of all time. However it's crystal clear he hasn't been close to being worth the money. And the Jets will have wasted two seasons when they could have been grooming a young QB.
As Galaxy stated, certainly a dysfunctional organization for sure.
That being said, the Jets fooled a lot of people in that game, as I think the Jets were around a -2.5 or -3 point favorite going into that game. Towards the end of the first half with the Jets having a comfortable 9 point lead, driving the football at around their own 40 yard line, and getting to receive the football first in the second half, the money line at that point must have been very short. I'm guessing at least -500 or probably more. Any whales who jumped on that "sure thing" Jets money line at that point in the game, right before the pick, got absolutely crushed.
get this fellas. my book had the Jets @ 17.5 points last night. i saw the over go from -125 to -155 prior to kickoff, meaning bettors pounded it.
last night the Jets scored their 15th point with 5 minutes left in the 2nd quarter. they, as you know, ended the game with 15 points. imagine unloading on them to score at least 18 and not getting (at the very least) that field goal the rest of the way
i guarantee you there are innumerable people who woke up today tilting harder than i was
@galaxy27 said:
get this fellas. my book had the Jets @ 17.5 points last night. i saw the over go from -125 to -155 prior to kickoff, meaning bettors pounded it.
last night the Jets scored their 15th point with 5 minutes left in the 2nd quarter. they, as you know, ended the game with 15 points. imagine unloading on them to score at least 18 and not getting (at the very least) that field goal the rest of the way
i guarantee you there are innumerable people who woke up today tilting harder than i was
As stated they are a complete joke and a bunch of frauds spearheaded by Aaron the has been Rodgers.
I simply couldn't imagine that point total not being met, because you know without question that bettors were spending that over 18 at half time.
Galaxy,looks like we were one week early on our previous week golf bets. In the zozo after 3 rounds Fowler 4th, Vegas 8th. Figures. Still one more round.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I'm not going to make a prediction on the MLB series, now at 1-0 Dodgers. However I would like to add this. Doyle Brunson used to say about poker, paraphrase, "That it's not about winning or losing, it's about making the right decisions." The meaning behind that for one example, is when you get the money into the pot as say a 90% favorite, you're still going to lose around 10% of the hands, but in the long run you will come out ahead.
With this Yankees-Dodgers WS, I would have to believe that the big money is going to come from NY fans, regardless of the odds, within reason. Especially on those games 3,4,5 soon coming to New York. I think Yankees fans are going to absolutely pound the Yankees on those games.
The bookie's goal is to adjust their odds accordingly, so they make money off their juice regardless of who wins. But if the money coming in from NY fans is sort of overwhelming, the bookies are going to be forced to increase the odds on the Dodgers to get money flowing in on that side. Which could lead to a situation whereby betting the Dodgers, the realistic odds are actually in your favor.
Bookies may have already calculated all this into their opening odds. But in any event, even if anyone makes a nice score betting the Yankees in this series, I think Doyle would say it wasn't the right decision.
Better to be lucky than good? Well if the Yankees win it, then in this case that old adage would certainly be true.
Comments
Thanks Galaxy, haven’t wagered much this season yet but I had a lot of parlays last year that went haywire so it’s just sweet to hit a couple good ones.
Darin, very nice score. However to complain again and again after the Eagles helped you hit a nice bet? Frankly, that is silly.
The Eagles suffered a freak play near the end of the first half with that blocked easy field goal attempt, returned for a Browns touchdown. You should know that is a rarity, which resulted in a 10 point swing in favor of the Browns. Yet despite that bad break, the Eagles still came thru for you in the money line parlay.
You wanna knock the Eagles? That's fine, and your premise about their ability this season has merit. But geez, why not quit the dam griping and enjoy the nice win for crying out loud.
I’m not knocking the Eagles, I’m saying I had them overrated. I shouldn’t have had them as one of my top two teams to come up with a win(Texans and Eagles) but that’s on me… won’t happen again.
Aren’t you a little sensitive for someone with a Chiefs collapse thread who insults them and their coach at every opportunity?
I already explained how you hit the Eagles a lot easier than you think. IE a 10 point mistake, but the Eagles still covered the money line for you. Unfortunately that rare freak play cost the spread bettors on the Eagles which at game time was around Eagles -9. If the Eagles simply kick that easy field goal, the Eagles spread bettors cash out.
BTW - I've got a lot more smack coming in that Chiefs thread. Yes, right now, I'm not looking too good over there, but still a lot of season yet to play. 😉
Haha your fortune is my misfortune
Sunday night I had a family dinner and couldn't watch the game, I snuck a peak on my phone and when Dallas was down 10-3 in the first quarter or early 2nd quarter the ML was Dallas +450 so I threw $200 on them and that proved to be a big mistake to wrap up my crappy weekend lol
NFL is tough enough but to be spot on like you were twice is amazing!!
Great job bro, congrats again
Oops
maybe the best post yet -- you just summed up my existence in this thread and it only took 4 letters
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I have been out of the loop for sports betting for well over twenty years. It's fascinating to say the least how today's computers quickly adjust the lines and odds during the game. Actually it can sometimes go almost play by play.
I may be wrong, but it seems like the bookies for the most part allow the computers to set the odds strictly based on the score and field position, with little or perhaps no regard for the human element of the situation.
just a quick thought if anyone wishes to comment. Say a star QB leads his team to say a two touchdown lead at half time. Thus the line on the other team increases dramatically. But what if it is announced that their starting QB suffered a game ending injury and won't be back for the second half? And their backup is some dead head loser QB. Say the computer doesn't pick-up on that fact. Would that not be a license to print money, quickly getting a wager in on the trailing team? Yes you may not win every bet, but I would think that the odds might be in your favor in the long run jumping on a situation such as this.
Anything I'm missing here in your opinion? Thanks in advance for any replies!
oh em gee that lunatic is betting on golf again
-2994.38
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Best of luck. Totally forgot about golf after Presidents Cup. Will take a shot on 2 top 20 plays. J.Vegas and T.Kim.
@BLUEJAYWAY you as well chief
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Totally hunch bets for the Shriners. Kim for the 3peat and Vegas in Vegas.
As always good luck fellas!!
Saturday is going to be a big day for me I need to see if I can follow through with what I said and not bet until Sunday lol
Picture taken of Perkdog, being restrained from making any bets until Sunday.
They put a muzzle on me already because I was yelling so loud 😂😂😂😂
After a not so great start to the year, I hit two parlays last weekend to squeak into the green for the NFL season.
Got insanely lucky with Hopkins catching the end of the game pass before all the laterals. Additionally, Pickens hit a long pass late in the game for the Steelers. Otherwise would have missed on both of these in addition to the other 23 parlays I did that didn't hit (I have been making 20-25 $20 parlays per week).
I will say, whatever simulation software the oddsmakers run for receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards has to be amazing. There are so many lines that are within 5 yards plus or minus each week that it can be a little mind boggling.
and
Robb
No NFL plays for me tonight. Delaying the "agony of defeat" until Sunday.
I'm not sure about the simulation software. But I know on prop and all other payouts, the gambling websites go with the official NFL stats.
Twenty years ago, I was 100% convinced for a good multitude of reasons, that nobody in the long run could make money sports betting. But with all these "computer props" during the game, I'm wondering if a sharp, quick to react bettor could in fact make money?
I'll give ya a quick example. I think the bookie's computer offers odds on most of the first plays of each series. I think if ya have a fundamental understanding of the particular team's coach and players, and their tendencies, combining that with the score and time left in the game, it doesn't seem that difficult to predict the first play of the series. The caveat is that I think with a successfully called rushing play by the bettor, the runner has to gain at least one yard for it to be a winning bet. Not sure how it works with a successfully called pass. Probably has to at least be a completion for positive yardage.
I plan on investigating this further, knowing the bookies aren't stupid. They're certainly not in business to allow anyone to win in the long run. But nobody is infallible, so perhaps, just maybe they've overlooked a few things with all this overwhelming number of bets available out there?
The amount of prop bets for a live game is simply overwhelming, throwing a dart for a missed FG is typically like +2500 on most typical drives which is always tempting but absurdly difficult.
Prop bets are not for the faint of heart, penalties kill drive prop bets, last year on DK they had a special "TE Day" which was great odds for the first TE to score a TD on the day and I took Dawson Knox who of course got the first TD but wiped out by a ridiculous penalty, as the next play unfolded Darren Waller rang up.a TD and I lost my bet.
It was infuriating
That would be infuriating to me as well. But it brings up an interesting point about tendencies. Is the computer programmed for that, or just programmed sort of randomly? I mean on a certain play in a certain situation, if ya know the coach, etc, as already mentioned, you just know there is a good chance the play is gonna go to a specific receiver. Nobody of course is always going to be right. However if you can quickly calculate the odds in your head that this particular coach is going to throw to that receiver in that situation 50 % of the time, and say 50% of the time it will be a completion of 5 yards or more, and you're getting say 10-1 odds on that bet, well then you've just found yourself a license to print money.
It can't be this easy I wouldn't think, but I'm still going to investigate it. If the books only offer say 2-1 odds on the mentioned receiver bet, then it would be basically impossible to win money in the long run under those circumstances.
i may be a wanker, but i have the most fun!
go spoilermakers!
-2994.38
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
@galaxy27
I hope Purdue goes up 3 to 0 in the first series just so you can get a teeny bit of excitement before Oregon smashes them like 77-3 lol
Go get 'em bro
just making sure everyone is awake in this scandalous thread lol
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
! see one website has it as Oregon -7500 and another at -10000
You're stealing money at -5000 😉
Definitely an eye opener. Get em.
T. Kim won't make the cut. Still a shot with Vegas.
Bama up 4 and I was getting 4 with 8:30 left in the 4th, then they proceed to give up a TD and a FG to Tennessee to end the game
i have no problem losing bets, but i'm officially sick of losing them like that
this figure could get uglier by the end of the day
-3269.76
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
That Alabama game was greasy
Complete nonsense with Milton just throwing the ball to Tennessee defenders
Alley like return this AM with lotsa London action.
I was gifted the 275+ passing yards to make it a profitable morning
The Pats live bet was a complete bait and switch play, they were up 7 and +120 ML and I fell for it
Best of luck @galaxy27
I'm rooting for you as always bro
As always best of luck to all. I forgot to post my plays. Am alive with Vegas in Vegas golf for top 20.
thanks homie!
way to bounce back 💪
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
at least i was right about one thing -- my figure did get uglier
Bama collapsed in the 4th yesterday, both of my golfers finished one shot out of dead heat money today (which would have still been profitable), then Brock Purdy blew up the last leg of a 4-teamer because he couldn't prevent himself from throwing the football to a Chiefs player. that one is on me, because i knew this Niners team is nothing compared to the ones from the past few years.
anywho, my word means absolutely nothing because I'm dropping a bomb on the Jets tonight after i said i was done with them less than a week ago. but this is the type of thing that happens when you're tilting hard, which is exactly what i'm experiencing at the moment.
worst-case scenario, i'll be almost halfway to my mythical buy-in/bust out at the WSOP main event. so i'll still be winning either way! 😆
-3644.76
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I'm SO hoping the Jets pull this off for you Brother 🍀💯💥🥁🤟🍻
Me too!
I’m no Jets fan but I will be tonight!🥳
Huge TD for the Jets!
The jets coach throwing the challenge flag too late and then Rodgers running the play and throwing the TD might just finally be the good break Galaxy needs to turn this thing around.
Well that game went bad real fast. 🤬
Sorry Galaxy tough loss.
as i told perk via text, the worst part of that bet was me not sticking to my guns. i said less than a week ago that i wouldn't drop another dime on the Jets, and in another thread i laid out my opinion of Rodgers -- living off his reputation and closer to being completely washed up than he is to ever show glimpses of the QB he was in GB. then i turned around and dropped a bag on him and them. i got what i deserved, truthfully.
from the top of that organization on down, the Jets ooze a dysfunctional, losing culture. can't wait to see whose fault tonight's outcome was, according to A-Rodg. i'm sure he'll want to cut Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson tomorrow and sign Ahman Green and Sterling Sharpe to fix the problems.
from a betting standpoint, it's crazy the sensation you experience when you're running bad. you literally feel like every wager you place is going to find a way to turn to dust. at no point did i ever feel confident during that game. i'm sure there were probably some Jets backers who were counting their dollars when they were up 15-6 and driving at the end of the 1st half to extend the lead. wanna know what my thought was, honestly? "when is the misstep gonna happen that triggers the avalanche?" next thing i knew, Rodgers tosses one to the Steelers on that drive and the Jets literally did not one thing right the rest of the game. outscored 31-0 from that point forward. from controlling the game to getting boat raced on a dime. welcome to my gambling world.
lesson learned. i think. i hope?
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Not much I can add. I've had stretches like the one you had today. The golf loss is hard to take with 2 plays within 1 stroke of a score.
Jets phoned in that second half. And the Rodgers interception late in the first half which led to a Steelers touchdown, was a momentum killer. A veteran QB getting paid all that money is not supposed to make a throw like that.
Yes, on paper that pick didn't seem to matter in the final score. In reality, football being a game of momentum, that play deflated the Jets and psyched up the Steelers.
I'm not saying Aaron Rodgers is the worst free agent bust of all time. However it's crystal clear he hasn't been close to being worth the money. And the Jets will have wasted two seasons when they could have been grooming a young QB.
As Galaxy stated, certainly a dysfunctional organization for sure.
That being said, the Jets fooled a lot of people in that game, as I think the Jets were around a -2.5 or -3 point favorite going into that game. Towards the end of the first half with the Jets having a comfortable 9 point lead, driving the football at around their own 40 yard line, and getting to receive the football first in the second half, the money line at that point must have been very short. I'm guessing at least -500 or probably more. Any whales who jumped on that "sure thing" Jets money line at that point in the game, right before the pick, got absolutely crushed.
get this fellas. my book had the Jets @ 17.5 points last night. i saw the over go from -125 to -155 prior to kickoff, meaning bettors pounded it.
last night the Jets scored their 15th point with 5 minutes left in the 2nd quarter. they, as you know, ended the game with 15 points. imagine unloading on them to score at least 18 and not getting (at the very least) that field goal the rest of the way
i guarantee you there are innumerable people who woke up today tilting harder than i was
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Need the under,43.5, in the AZ game for a parlay win.
As stated they are a complete joke and a bunch of frauds spearheaded by Aaron the has been Rodgers.
I simply couldn't imagine that point total not being met, because you know without question that bettors were spending that over 18 at half time.
Simply gross
I was going to sit out the NFL weekend but I thought this parlay was nice so I ran it twice.
Nice work @Darin
indeed
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Thanks Freddie. Keeps my LA parlay alive. One more Sunday.
Galaxy,looks like we were one week early on our previous week golf bets. In the zozo after 3 rounds Fowler 4th, Vegas 8th. Figures. Still one more round.
I'm not going to make a prediction on the MLB series, now at 1-0 Dodgers. However I would like to add this. Doyle Brunson used to say about poker, paraphrase, "That it's not about winning or losing, it's about making the right decisions." The meaning behind that for one example, is when you get the money into the pot as say a 90% favorite, you're still going to lose around 10% of the hands, but in the long run you will come out ahead.
With this Yankees-Dodgers WS, I would have to believe that the big money is going to come from NY fans, regardless of the odds, within reason. Especially on those games 3,4,5 soon coming to New York. I think Yankees fans are going to absolutely pound the Yankees on those games.
The bookie's goal is to adjust their odds accordingly, so they make money off their juice regardless of who wins. But if the money coming in from NY fans is sort of overwhelming, the bookies are going to be forced to increase the odds on the Dodgers to get money flowing in on that side. Which could lead to a situation whereby betting the Dodgers, the realistic odds are actually in your favor.
Bookies may have already calculated all this into their opening odds. But in any event, even if anyone makes a nice score betting the Yankees in this series, I think Doyle would say it wasn't the right decision.
Better to be lucky than good? Well if the Yankees win it, then in this case that old adage would certainly be true.