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Let's talk about our "Jimmy the Greek specials"

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  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,822 ✭✭✭✭✭

    had a dream that i lost a parlay because a 4 TD favorite lost outright

    boy am i glad that was just a dream

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I honestly woke up this AM and got immediately pissed off at how stupid this was that I lost because Notre Dame couldn't beat Northern Illinois

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    After securing the Chiefs win and needing the Packers to win the 2 leg parlay a few posts back, I partially hedged on Friday with a 5 legger with a 50% profit boost involving an Eagles win. All heavy favorites.
    .

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Haven't seen this brought up, but here's a screenshot of a pretty bad beat. (Not my bet.)
    .

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @countdouglas said:
    Haven't seen this brought up, but here's a screenshot of a pretty bad beat. (Not my bet.)
    .

    Here in detail is what's so ugly about it. The Chiefs were a 2.5 point favorite leading by 7 points, 27-20, before that play. If that Ravens pass play is good, the score is then 27-26. At the time I "knew" that Harbaugh would probably go for two. Because Mahomes would be such a beast in an OT game, plus it's a long season and it was a tough game. Harbaugh didn't want his troops going further into making it an even tougher game with overtime, risking injuries.

    Turns out Harbaugh had called to go for two, as he stated he wanted to quickly surprise the Chiefs. Either way, if the Ravens were successful or not, i thought it was a good call, the right call for the situation.

    So as far as the betting, if the 6 point touchdown held up, going for the two, a Ravens bet at +2.5 wins the bet either way. The final score would be 27-26 or 28-27.

    Kicking the extra point sends the game into overtime whereby a Ravens bet would still be at risk with a Chiefs FG or touchdown.

    Sure would have been a very enjoyable two point attempt for a Ravens bettor, knowing either way he wins coin. That toenail on the line, made it about as ugly a way to lose as it gets.

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @countdouglas said:
    Haven't seen this brought up, but here's a screenshot of a pretty bad beat. (Not my bet.)
    .

    Damn!!

    And I thought I got a bad beat with Notre Dame lol

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,822 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 8, 2024 8:27AM

    what's great about being a degenerate gambler is how you get creative with the justifications for your losses. for years I've wanted to go play in the WSOP main event, but just never have. if i had, I more than likely would have been out 10k plus all other expenses. so theoretically speaking I'm actually way, way up right now!

    Buff-Ari is the game I'm most interested in today. I think the Cardinals' offense has a chance to be very good this season, but I think their D is gonna be a sieve. very few people are giving them a shot today, and that scares me a little. with the way I'm running, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if K1 and Marvin the Martian inch me closer to 10k

    enjoy the games today compadres

    edit: and **** you Notre Dame you lame *** ****** ******* losing to Northern Illinois school of retardation at home you sorry sacks of ******* **** I'm glad your season is over

    that was cathartic o:)

    -2374.29

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Always therapeutic to let the anger out. Keeping it bottled up for the next 50 years or so isn't healthy. 😉

    i think i told this story here before. Just don't tear the steering wheel off your car as I once did after a microscopic beat on a horse race cost me thousands, possibly over 10k. Surprisingly though it did calm me down because i was then so totally hissed off at myself after breaking my steering wheel, I couldn't get any further hissed off...if that makes any sense. 😆

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 9, 2024 11:35AM




    The weekends action, not terrible since I won $300 at the casino Thursday night, some of these were carry over winnings as well

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Are there odds tonight on Rodgers getting injured in the first series of Jets possession, and out for the season again? 😆

    I'm sorry, I guess that isn't funny. I'm so ashamed of myself for posting it. But I just can't will my fingers into deleting it. 🤣

  • GroceryRackPackGroceryRackPack Posts: 3,201 ✭✭✭✭✭


    Lemme tell ya Brent...
    I'm Pickin' The Chiefs...

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,822 ✭✭✭✭✭

    this is getting so embarrassing that i'm not even embarrassed by it. now that's pretty embarrassing.

    my one and only play this weekend. just need two superior teams to win at home. is that asking too much?

    probably 💩

    -2429.29

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:
    this is getting so embarrassing that i'm not even embarrassed by it. now that's pretty embarrassing.

    my one and only play this weekend. just need two superior teams to win at home. is that asking too much?

    probably 💩

    -2429.29

    Week 2 at first glance looks like there are a lot of delicious looking games which means they will turn into a bad tasting sandwich probably

    Hope it turns around, you need to get on a heater ( You will )

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Sort of an "interesting" situation in tonight's NFL Thursday game in my unknowledgeable opinion. Bills versus the Dolphins who are the home team.

    The Dolphins Tyreek Hill, recently had that well publicized traffic stop incident with the police. That's already been discussed in another thread, so no need to discuss that here.

    Suffice to say I think that if anyone on the Dolphins team likes Tyreek at all, particularly the QB, they are going to try their best to get him the football, perhaps as early as possible. Will this increase his chances of scoring the first touchdown or at least one TD in the game?

    One minor problem is the Bills may be aware of this situation as well, and pay extra caution to defend Tyreek. Possibly a lot of double teaming. Maybe he usually gets double teamed anyway?

    I just looked at one of the betting websites, and they've got Tyreek at -120 to catch a touchdown pass, which normally seems to be terribly low prop bet odds, based on his past performance of catching TD passes. In my view the normal odds should be around +130 or so, perhaps more.

    Nothing gets past the dam bookies. They know bettors are going to see this angle and wager on Tyreek almost at any odds. The bookie bastiges never cut their customers a break. All that being said, it may still be an interesting wager anyway despite the warped low odds.

    To summarize, I do think that the Dolphins will at least give Tyreek some chances in this game to catch a touchdown pass, and a number of regular passes as well. We shall see.

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,051 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Captain obvious makes an appearance.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I just saw on the news that a mystery bettor named Darin just placed a million dollar bet on Tyreek Hill to score the first touchdown tonight.

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,051 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I probably would if I had a million bucks to spare.
    You had a good thought but Tyreek had almost 2,000 yards last year so their game plan is always get him the ball as much as possible.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:
    I probably would if I had a million bucks to spare.
    You had a good thought but Tyreek had almost 2,000 yards last year so their game plan is always get him the ball as much as possible.

    Tyreek has 77 career touchdown passes in 125 career games. Based on that, his odds of him catching one tonight are around +160.

    Last season, he led the league with 13 touchdown passes in 16 games. Based on that, his odds of catching one tonight are around +120.

    He caught one in the last game. Based on that his odds should be around even money.

    I just saw where the odds tonight of him catching a touchdown pass just dipped to -130.

    In the long run, it is impossible to beat bookies juice such as this. It just can't be done, and it's not even close. Which is exactly why DraftKings and FanDuel has become grossly rich.

    But tonight, the odds maybe, just maybe, might be in the favor of the bettor for reasons already stated. Qualitative reasons that don't show in the stats. Of course there's still some luck involved as we all know.

    The line of +600 on him scoring the first touchdown of the game, is especially interesting. The bookies juice on this one is brutal. I'm guessing at least 40%. But I think his teammates will be dying to get him a touchdown pass on their first possession.

    My luck, the Bills would score the first touchdown. The +600 bet is then lost. Then on the first possession of the Dolphins, Tyreek catches an 80 yard TD pass. LOL

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,102 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I felt both teams tonight played light Sunday in anticipation of this division matchup. Both teams fell behind early at home before they got it in gear. I took the over tonight,48.5 with ML Ravens Sunday.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I like Purdue at home +10 against Notre Dame

    I also like Oregon State +16.5 at home against Oregon

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭


    So I took "Mr Captain obvious and friend" @stevek and threw a dart on Hill after his dissertation, although I put a spin on it and lost since said spin was the first TD bet however it was a no sweat bet on DK so I got my bet money back and cashed on a live prop bet.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:

    So I took "Mr Captain obvious and friend" @stevek and threw a dart on Hill after his dissertation, although I put a spin on it and lost since said spin was the first TD bet however it was a no sweat bet on DK so I got my bet money back and cashed on a live prop bet.

    They threw a bomb early to Tyreek when it was really a bad call in my opinion, considering the circumstances. But at least ya got one play for the money, just didn't work out.

    Glad ya hit on the other bet and took some of DraftKings money. I like it! 👍

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Still a little chance at the Tyreek one touchdown bet. Especially since the game is basically over.

    Dolphins may as well just throw almost everything to Tyreek and see what happens. That's what the coach should do.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I still can't believe the Bills went for it on 4th down and 3, I think they were on the Dolphins 17 with no score yet very early in the game. I don't remember ever seeing a call like that, and it turned into a TD. I mean that should be a field goal attempt 100 out of 100 times? Of course unfortunately that strange call which succeeded destroyed the Tyreek first touchdown bet.

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,051 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I really had a good day with scratch offs. Total profit $260.
    Hit a Chiefs scratcher for $100 in addition to this ancient Egypt hit.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Okay the idiot should now throw three straight bombs to Tyreek.

    Try to score a garbage touchdown.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Now or never - perfect opportunity.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Didn't even attempt to throw the ball to Tyreek?

    Pathetic performance by the Dolphins at home tonight in so many ways. Dolphins fans should demand their money back for this BS.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:
    I really had a good day with scratch offs. Total profit $260.
    Hit a Chiefs scratcher for $100 in addition to this ancient Egypt hit.

    Now that's good handicapping.

    Certainly better than what I did. 👎

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,102 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BLUEJAYWAY said:
    I felt both teams tonight played light Sunday in anticipation of this division matchup. Both teams fell behind early at home before they got it in gear. I took the over tonight,48.5 with ML Ravens Sunday.

    Fortunately, I only watched the last 5 minutes.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    An 8 legger that I placed on Tuesday, and a 10 legger with a 50% profit boost that I placed this morning, all favorites.
    .


    .

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Threw my change on a 16 legger today. Had to get the parlay to at least +400 to qualify for a 100% profit boost. All big favorites, which is why it took 16 games to get there. Easy, peazy, extra cheesy!

    The one team that was considered the "least of the favorites" was the team that scored the biggest blowout. Lol
    .





  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Hit on 16 games? Wow - even as heavy favs that's a toughie to hit. Nice call!

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,051 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I wish you would have missed on the Utah win, my nieces husband is the head coach at Utah State, Nate Dreiling. Looks like at least they kept it close until the 4th quarter.

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:
    Hit on 16 games? Wow - even as heavy favs that's a toughie to hit. Nice call!

    I posted a successful 25 legger that I hit on a bunch of heavy NCAA basketball favorites back in December of last year. Lol!

    It was only a little over +700 odds for 25 legs. 25 legs is the max parlay allowed, at least on the Caesars app.

    My bread and butter is mostly 3 leg MLB parlays. I usually don't bet more than a dollar or 2 at a time on each parlay, so I don't post a lot of my picks because I don't want to clog up the thread. Even with small bets, I've built up a nice little pile in my accounts as I wait for sports gambling to be approved in my state, and I can legally bet from my couch instead of having to cross over into Kansas (finally on the ballot in November).

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:
    I wish you would have missed on the Utah win, my nieces husband is the head coach at Utah State, Nate Dreiling. Looks like at least they kept it close until the 4th quarter.

    I'm just throwing darts when it comes to NCAA. It's solely the gambling gods that are determining the hits and misses.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @countdouglas said:

    @stevek said:
    Hit on 16 games? Wow - even as heavy favs that's a toughie to hit. Nice call!

    I posted a successful 25 legger that I hit on a bunch of heavy NCAA basketball favorites back in December of last year. Lol!

    It was only a little over +700 odds for 25 legs. 25 legs is the max parlay allowed, at least on the Caesars app.

    My bread and butter is mostly 3 leg MLB parlays. I usually don't bet more than a dollar or 2 at a time on each parlay, so I don't post a lot of my picks because I don't want to clog up the thread. Even with small bets, I've built up a nice little pile in my accounts as I wait for sports gambling to be approved in my state, and I can legally bet from my couch instead of having to cross over into Kansas (finally on the ballot in November).

    If ever I see advertised the Count Douglas Hotel & Casino, I'll know that you broke the bank there, and you now own it. 😊

  • countdouglascountdouglas Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭✭✭

    In the early days of legalized riverboat gambling, Missouri had some laws on the books that put single boat Sam's Town North Kansas City at a terrible disadvantage to the twin boat casinos on either side of the highway from it, Harrah's North Kansas City and Station Casino North Kansas City.

    Because of this, Sam's Town was where all of the sharps went to play, and we quickly put it out of business. Going to the casino was like going to the ATM.

    Sam's Town only lasted 2 or 3 years, closing around 1998, I think. If you've ever read the book "Bringing Down the House", it does a pretty good job of describing how those small casinos were ripe for the picking. 25 years on, and I'll still run into people that want to reminisce wistfully about all of the winning that went on there. Lol

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,822 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @countdouglas said:

    so I don't post a lot of my picks because I don't want to clog up the thread

    bro all i've done is clog up this thread, primarily with examples of what not to do the past year or so. i say post whatever you'd like, whenever you'd like. i love seeing bets -- doesn't matter the type or amount. i'm sure anyone else who frequents this thread would echo the same.

    that was a sweet 16-legger you hit!

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @countdouglas said:
    In the early days of legalized riverboat gambling, Missouri had some laws on the books that put single boat Sam's Town North Kansas City at a terrible disadvantage to the twin boat casinos on either side of the highway from it, Harrah's North Kansas City and Station Casino North Kansas City.

    Because of this, Sam's Town was where all of the sharps went to play, and we quickly put it out of business. Going to the casino was like going to the ATM.

    Sam's Town only lasted 2 or 3 years, closing around 1998, I think. If you've ever read the book "Bringing Down the House", it does a pretty good job of describing how those small casinos were ripe for the picking. 25 years on, and I'll still run into people that want to reminisce wistfully about all of the winning that went on there. Lol

    I've never read the book and I've only ever seen clips of the movie on Youtube. I believe there was a lot of fiction in that movie and leave it at that. Suffice to say that there are lots of folks out there who make money through illegal activities such as drug dealing, etc, who put on their income tax returns that they made the money by gambling.

    There are ways that casinos go out of business. The obvious way is too many expenses and too few customers. But there's an interesting way that John Scarne details in his famous book that I've read. If a gambler with deep pockets gets hot, he could Martingale a casino out of business. It has happened. Smart casinos keep caps on their betting to prevent that. But I could envision a greedy casino owner when a whale walks in the door, for him the casino owner removes the caps, and possibly by the end of the night the whale now owns the casino. LOL

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,102 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:

    @countdouglas said:

    so I don't post a lot of my picks because I don't want to clog up the thread

    bro all i've done is clog up this thread, primarily with examples of what not to do the past year or so. i say post whatever you'd like, whenever you'd like. i love seeing bets -- doesn't matter the type or amount. i'm sure anyone else who frequents this thread would echo the same.

    that was a sweet 16-legger you hit!

    Okay. Here you go. My 2 parlay beats, so far, today. Had over the Dallas game. Was covered in first half. Needed SF money line for a win. SF loses. Other parlay:over in Jets/SF game on Sept9th. Covered. Needed Ravens win ML today. Ravens lose.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    There is no such thing as clogging up this thread, post away!!

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭







  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,822 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog profitable weekend, i like it 🤙

    Nico = NICE 🍻

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    That Nico Collins bet was a good one!

    Over 13-1 odds! With the odds boost of 50%, the odds may very well have been in your favor on that play. 👍

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,102 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 16, 2024 11:31AM

    Going with a parlay. The over,46.5, tonight with a ML game on Thursday.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,102 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BLUEJAYWAY said:
    Going with a parlay. The over,46.5, tonight with a ML game on Thursday Jets.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Eagles-Falcons game:

    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Saquon Barkley -175

    Saquon Barkley - Alt Rushing Yds
    Saquon Barkley 40+ Yards -800
    Saquon Barkley 50+ Yards -420
    Saquon Barkley 60+ Yards -250
    Saquon Barkley 70+ Yards -154
    Saquon Barkley 80+ Yards -102
    Saquon Barkley 90+ Yards +144

    Some of these look like a license to print money. But what do I know? My Tyreek call died like a pig.

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,632 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 16, 2024 12:01PM

    @stevek said:
    Eagles-Falcons game:

    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Saquon Barkley -175

    Saquon Barkley - Alt Rushing Yds
    Saquon Barkley 40+ Yards -800
    Saquon Barkley 50+ Yards -420
    Saquon Barkley 60+ Yards -250
    Saquon Barkley 70+ Yards -154
    Saquon Barkley 80+ Yards -102
    Saquon Barkley 90+ Yards +144

    Some of these look like a license to print money. But what do I know? My Tyreek call died like a pig.

    Prop bets a harder than they look

    Barkley gets hurt or by some weird set of circumstances the Eagles could be up 21 to 0 after the first quarter and Barkley could have 17 yards on 4 carries then they don't pound the ball with him for the rest of the game

    Or he could run for 180.yards and 4 TD's lol

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,989 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:

    @stevek said:
    Eagles-Falcons game:

    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Saquon Barkley -175

    Saquon Barkley - Alt Rushing Yds
    Saquon Barkley 40+ Yards -800
    Saquon Barkley 50+ Yards -420
    Saquon Barkley 60+ Yards -250
    Saquon Barkley 70+ Yards -154
    Saquon Barkley 80+ Yards -102
    Saquon Barkley 90+ Yards +144

    Some of these look like a license to print money. But what do I know? My Tyreek call died like a pig.

    Prop bets a harder than they look

    Barkley gets hurt or by some weird set of circumstances the Eagles could be up 21 to 0 after the first quarter and Barkley could have 17 yards on 4 carries then they don't pound the ball with him for the rest of the game

    Or he could run for 180.yards and 4 TD's lol

    I wonder if somebody put 8 dimes to win 1k on the Saquon Barkley 40+ Yards, and he picks up 39 yards on the first play of the game. But gets injured and is out for the rest of the game. If DraftKings would offer at least a partial refund?

    😂😂😂😂😂

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