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Auction Results Should Not Be Released for 60 Days
So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree?
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You got to have a dealers liscense to buy cars at auto auctions and a ffl to buy firearms from wholesalers but coin dealers have to rub elbows with the common riff raff at coin auctions. To me that is retail and then another profit layer on retail.
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<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
That's why you sell on eBay where 95% of bidders won't check a coin's auction appearances.
EAC 6024
<< <i>That's why you sell on eBay where 95% of bidders won't check a coin's auction appearances. >>
On better coins, many more than 5% of Ebay bidders are savvy enough to examine recent sales. High margins on an auction buy and flip are super thin and depend on buying the coins right. Many Ebay buyers like the return privilege, free shipping and Ebay bucks offers, not to mention the ability to use Paypal on larger purchases. These benefits are not offered on many auction venues.
The vise on flippers continues to tighten, but opportunities still exist for those with a keen eye and a sense of current value.
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<< <i>I think most dealers are beginning to accept the way things are changing. If you stretch at auction you may have a hard sell on your hands. The only problem I see with it is that people seem to think that if you got a deal at auction for whatever reason you shouldn't be able to sell at current value, but based on some preset percentage. it also seems that when people are searching auction results to buy they don't always look at the coins and apples are compared to oranges quite often based on the numbers alone. >>
This is a very good point as a value for a coin should be based on a consistent amount of sales unless very rare then that presides not just on the last sale. The business of selling coins would colapse if every dealer listed every transaction they had until it evened out to a set percentage over a good many years. This would aso eventually end up driving coins to an unattainable price if every sail added 10-20% to the last sale price. The fact that profits and losses happen proves that the market is a viable living thing that changes every day just like a person does, some days we are doing good and some we are not.
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greed does strange things to the mind...especially an insecure mind like said dealer
insecure and greedy...sounds like a recipe for disaster
makes me think of an opening to a black sabbath song...WAR PIGS
EVIL MINDS THAT PLOT DESTRUCTION
Someone will be inside track and get the info. Technology is part of coin trading now. Learn to deal with it.
Hoard the keys.
Not EVERY coin purchased at auction is going to increase in value. If auction flippers don't like the way the game is set up, then perhaps they should get out and start attending real estate auctions?
The name is LEE!
Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
<< <i>I never liked that! When a customer says how much did you pay for it, I don't want to lie so you try to say it in a way that says it's none of your business but you try to be nice about it. But if you say I bought it at $50 for a $250 coin they think you should price it at $70 or $80 it's just the way it is. When I'm buying I just say what do you need on it and go from there. It's a big world out there and a big mix of buyers and sellers. >>
You could say that untill the coin actully sells and you figure out all the costs involved that you are not sure of the exact amount the coin cost you to sell it.
<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
Sounds like the dealer in question is going to have to depend on other ways of hiding information from his customers. I wonder if he also wants to have market information withheld from him for 2 months.
Keeper of the VAM Catalog • Professional Coin Imaging • Prime Number Set • World Coins in Early America • British Trade Dollars • Variety Attribution
<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
Sure ... and all participants and viewers should sign a non-disclosure agreement so that they are also barred from sharing the auction results for a couple of months.
Also ... there should be a 60-day moratorium on disclosing the sale price of coins at a show or purchases made at a coin shop. Better yet ... nobody is allowed to talk for 2 months after they buy or sell a coin!
What utter nonsense!
If Flipper wants more money on resale, he/she should pay less for the coin. Poor Flipper.
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces
It should be easier to find auction results on coins, not more difficult. A transparent market is better for buyers and sellers.
<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
Sure it's harder. So that means you gotta be smarter and better than most everyone else when buying at auction, or at least better capitalized. I guess this "problem" wasn't so much of a problem before the internet when the only way to know what sold for how much at auction was to actually be there, or wait for the Prices Realized to be mailed out. Back in those old days you could call in a few days after the sale and get them to give you a dozen or so lot prices over the phone. And even back then there was no 5-10% limit on a flip. I recall Dave Akers buying the James Stack 1901-s quarter in March 1975 for $5500. He tried to flip it for nearly $10,000. And it wasn't like every dealer and major collector in the country didn't know what it sold for. It did eventually sell for close to that amount about a year later. But, I think he could have gotten a real nice 20-30% flip on that within 30-60 days of the sale.
In a flat to declining market, I would venture that 50-75% of what sells in a typical auction will be worth less in the following hours/days/weeks/months. But their will plenty of available good flips and rips to those who don't have to depend on the holder. That's what keeps the dealers coming back. It's a lot harder to make auctions "work" for you when the market is flat or in decline. A lot of auction buyers today (including dealers) haven't gone through an extended down period like 1990-1997. It's certainly not fun. Only the sharpest tools in the drawer make it work for them. It became really hard to flip coins at coin shows in 2009-2011 and as a result a lot of dealers folded up their tents...and stopped attending auctions. If you buy an under-priced coin at auction you WILL be able to flip it to someone with knowledge at least equal to yours. And if it happens to be under-priced by say 30-100% then you will be able to flip it for a LOT more than the 5-10% most would want to give you for it. Coin auctions have worked like this for a hundred years before a TPG even existed. They will continue to work this way.
PNG Dealer David Carr was one of the sharpest guys I ever had the pleasure to associate with. He rarely, if ever attended big auctions even though he had the skills. If you brought him something that came out of auction the week before, he'd have no problem paying you whatever your asking price was as long as he saw additional value. The auction price realized is just a single data point, on a single point time. And that's no different than the grade on a slabbed coin...a single grade achieved at one specific point in time under conditions never to be duplicated again.
<< <i>I think transparency in this industry is a great thing, to be able to see exactly what any coin brought immediately after it sold levels the playing field. The auction archives that Heritage maintains do more to educate and protect against scumbags looking to rape a customer since the inception of the TPG's. I've no problem if I'm buying retail paying a reasonable mark up on a coin, so to be clear I'm not taking an anti-dealer stance. >>
With so many collectors bidding against the coin dealers these days I would guess that most coins bring close to retail prices so the chance to flip for a big markup is not all that prevalent. Or, am I way off base with my opinion?
Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
<< <i>With so many collectors bidding against the coin dealers these days I would guess that most coins bring close to retail prices so the chance to flip for a big markup is not all that prevalent. Or, am I way off base with my opinion? >>
You are correct. The spread between auction realized pricing and dealer storefront selling price is quite narrow. It takes a unique auction find or an upgrade for a dealer score.
I am sure a lot of auction flippers simply put the item in their case at a show or on the Bay. The reality of the numismatic marketplace is that the ease of research has expanded big time, so get used to it. Really big ticket coin activity is going to be more highly available especially in the CDN weekly commentary. I don't doubt that the availability of auction data online (Coin Facts, Ebay, other sources) has put a lot of auction flippers out of business. What these people need to do is go back to old fashion basics buying off the bourse floor or from walkup sellers at shows, their shop, etc. A dealer in the coin club even has craigs list ads to solicit sellers of material but I do not recommend this. The dealers going to mods have found a way around this by exploiting slabbing USM products coming out like the HOF, the 70 craze, etc.
Coin Facts and the ebay research tool can reveal what a coin traded at auction for. However, you will see wild swings in prices realized due to factors like rainbow toning, coins that are PQ, etc.
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CJ: 'No one!' [Ain't no angels in the coin biz]
<< <i>Transparency is better than the alternative. >>
Unless you discuss someone's coin at auction....
The court jester does not play, but gently pulls the strings…
<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
Can he walk it over to the PCGS booth and request a reholder with a different cert number?
<< <i>
<< <i>So said a dealer I spoke with at the FUN show. They felt that it was harder to flip coins coming out of auctions when everyone knows how much you paid and won't allow you more than 5-10% on a resale. Agree or disagree? >>
Can he walk it over to the PCGS booth and request a reholder with a different cert number? >>
He can ask for a regrade, with a guarantee it won't grade lower, and get a new holder with a new cert#.
Lance.
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"Sou Mangueira......."
<< <i>Auction Results Should Not Be Released for 60 Days
To je govno. >>
Had to look that one up!
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces
At any rate a dealer should be able to market what he buys at auction for a profit, if he is worth his salt. If I want an item I don't mind paying a dealer a reasonable profit for what he is selling. He deserves to be compensated for his time and expertise to locate items at auction.
<< <i>Sounds like a monopolistic, protectionist or pricing fixing type of mentality. Knowledge, fairness and honesty are needed in every business. There is something wrong IMO when someone picks up a coin at auction for $30K then lists it for $47K, high mark-ups leave the customer in a predicament when they go to sell. >>
No there isn't. He paid for the coin--he is welcome to relist it for any amount he wants. Doesn't mean that it will sell for that, but if it does, so what? The second buyer obviously thought that it was worth the markup. An ability to make a profit is never guaranteed to any seller--collector or dealer--nor, should it be.
This does not mean that I think auction results should be withheld. It merely means that I couldn't care less what someone else paid for a coin that I want. If it's worth the asking price TO ME then I will buy it even if I do know that the seller is doubling his money after a week. If it isn't, then even if I know he is taking a 50% loss then I won't.
<< <i>Sounds like a monopolistic, protectionist or pricing fixing type of mentality. Knowledge, fairness and honesty are needed in every business. There is something wrong IMO when someone picks up a coin at auction for $30K then lists it for $47K, high mark-ups leave the customer in a predicament when they go to sell. >>
Huh? Since when are buyers forced to pay any particular price for a coin? It's a free market of luxury items. Buying coins is optional.
If someone picks up a coin at auction for $30K and then lists it for $47K, what's not to say that the buyer got a rip and the coin has a market value of $50K and they are offering it at a low price to move it fast. Would you still say that $47K was too much? I've known plenty of dealers who have got great deals at auction while others were sleeping only to resell the coin at a "discount" from the market value to turn over their money.
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces
RIP Mom- 1932-2012