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It doesn't look good for coin market in short term..........

Bear market for stocks, crashing PM and commodity prices, massive wealth destruction with housing decline, etc, etc.

We can stick our heads in the sand and boast about 'buying opportunity' but short term these events bode badly for collectables in general.

Comments

  • 291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,518 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The coin market has no top.

    The coin market has no top.

    The coin market has no top.

    You must believe ... at least until the "right" people have gotten their money out.image
    All glory is fleeting.
  • dohdoh Posts: 6,457 ✭✭✭
    I wish all the people who started these threads would get together, vote a leader, and make just one thread a month. I'm sick of hearing you people complain when your "collectables" dip in price after nearly a decade of increasing. Go buy a used Economics 101 book before you post the same thing over and over and over again. Thank you.

    Positive BST transactions with: too many names to list! 36 at last count.
  • garsmithgarsmith Posts: 5,894 ✭✭
    << It doesn't look good for coin market in short term.......... >>

    It looks great to me; prices dropping time to buy, buy, buy


  • lordmarcovanlordmarcovan Posts: 43,673 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm in, through thick and thin.

    Explore collections of lordmarcovan on CollecOnline, management, safe-keeping, sharing and valuation solution for art piece and collectibles.
  • jdillanejdillane Posts: 2,365 ✭✭✭
    Opportunities abound for the contrarian!
  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    image Cheers, RickO
  • ambro51ambro51 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Explain then why the PCGS 3000 has been going up and up? Charts don't lie.

    And very few of the "too much money, too much free time, too much to say" crowd on this message board have been groaning about their coins losing value.

    Someone is buying.
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Explain then why the PCGS 3000 has been going up and up? Charts don't lie. And very few of the "too much money, too much free time, too much to say" crowd on this message board have been groaning about their coins losing value. Someone is buying. >>

    When they go away, we'll be at a top. --Jerry
  • Looks fine to me............I am a buyerimage
    Becoming informed but still trying to learn every day!
    1-Dammit Boy Oct 14,2003

    International Coins
    "A work in progress"


    Wayne
    eBay registered name:
    Hard_ Search (buyer/bidder, a small time seller)
    e-mail: wayne.whatley@gmail.com
  • FullStrikeFullStrike Posts: 4,353 ✭✭✭
    Wake me up when full strike 1921 Peace dollars have dropped about 98%.

    Maybe then I could afford one.
  • image


    As a collector and not an investor, falling coin prices are OK with me. Unfortunately I see very little evidence of price declines in the coins I collect.
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,799 ✭✭✭✭✭
    As a collector and not an investor, falling coin prices are OK with me. Unfortunately I see very little evidence of price declines in the coins I collect.

    I second that.
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  • mozinmozin Posts: 8,755 ✭✭✭
    I really do not care whether or not the coin market drops a little. If it drops, I buy cheaper. If it goes up, I sell higher.
    I collect Capped Bust series by variety in PCGS AU/MS grades.
  • BECOKABECOKA Posts: 16,961 ✭✭✭
    Already said by others:

    not good for who, as a collector I like lower prices. Also hard times unfortunately for some force good material out of the woodwork.
  • If the coin market is in the dumpster, why do I keep getting outbid at full retail for the coins I want?

    Garrow


  • << <i>I wish all the people who started these threads would get together, vote a leader, and make just one thread a month. I'm sick of hearing you people complain when your "collectables" dip in price after nearly a decade of increasing. Go buy a used Economics 101 book before you post the same thing over and over and over again. Thank you. >>



    Good idea!
    Maybe we could also get a leader to once a month post some insanely stupid questions like 'Would the earth falling into the sun change your collecting?'
    A few more threads about dealer ethics might also be nice.
    Oh and lets not forget about problems with Ebay.
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,462 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My desires did not subside, though my knowledge has increased. So that means my spending on certain coins will cost more than ever before.
    As a collector it's looking bad, in that respect.


  • << <i>If the coin market is in the dumpster, why do I keep getting outbid at full retail for the coins I want?

    Garrow >>


    Happened to me too last night on Teletrade ;(

    Guess I'm just a cheap båstard.. ha
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If the coin market is in the dumpster, why do I keep getting outbid at full retail for the coins I want?

    Garrow >>



    because you are competing with how many other people at home
    sitting in front of their PCs going to the same auction sites day
    after day after day...

    while the same date/mint of coins sit at dealer shows, B&M shops,
    and etc... in similair quality... for possibly a lot less money then
    you are bidding.

    you are shopping at the most looked at places where competition
    is stiff and wondering why you have to pay moon money prices to
    capture a coin? sorta funny.

    try visiting 5 local coin stores some friday/sat and see how things
    can be very different depending on where you plan to spend your
    money.

    also keep in mind everyone is competing for the nicest of the bunch
    in the auction... while others go begging.

    my two cents.
  • ambro51ambro51 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭✭
    ...are there still "five local coin stores" anywhere?
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭


    << <i>...are there still "five local coin stores" anywhere? >>



    heh. touche. i am thinking in an hour radius from the city you live in.
    of course your mileage may vary in the huge states like Montana
    for example.

    I live in NH and can visit 5 coin stores in one day if i put my mind
    to it. Even more if I cross the border to MA.
  • Bayard1908Bayard1908 Posts: 4,080 ✭✭✭✭
    If the stock market and housing are not paying good returns, people will look to put their money elsewhere. The stock market did poorly from 1966 through 1982, roughly coinciding with the biggest coin boom in history.
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If the stock market and housing are not paying good returns, people will look to put their money elsewhere. The stock market did poorly from 1966 through 1982, roughly coinciding with the biggest coin boom in history. >>



    same for stamps and look where they are now... and countless
    other areas of collectibles.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,702 ✭✭✭✭✭
    In 1980 most dealer profits were coming from the purcase and sale
    of metals. These profits were plowed back into an overheated market.


    This is not the case now. Dealers have not been making a lot of money
    buying metal from the public. The market is mostly based on collector
    buying.
    Tempus fugit.
  • veryfineveryfine Posts: 1,763 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>If the coin market is in the dumpster, why do I keep getting outbid at full retail for the coins I want?

    Garrow >>



    because you are competing with how many other people at home
    sitting in front of their PCs going to the same auction sites day
    after day after day...

    while the same date/mint of coins sit at dealer shows, B&M shops,
    and etc... in similair quality... for possibly a lot less money then
    you are bidding.

    you are shopping at the most looked at places where competition
    is stiff and wondering why you have to pay moon money prices to
    capture a coin? sorta funny.

    try visiting 5 local coin stores some friday/sat and see how things
    can be very different depending on where you plan to spend your
    money.

    also keep in mind everyone is competing for the nicest of the bunch
    in the auction... while others go begging.

    my two cents. >>


    The largest coin shows will still be missing many hard to find dates. If you have the time and energy to go hopping around to every coin show in the country to get that great deal, by all means, go for it. Even then, you won't find certain dates in the right grades with positive eye appeal. And by the time the "little people" like me, get to the show, the choice material is long gone.
    Often, auctions are the best place to get desirable coins, and in some cases, the cheapest.
    And I don't know where you are located, but I can go to 20 different local coin shops and see the largest collection of crap under the sun. If I do see something scarce or desirable, the price is out of this world.
  • Bayard1908Bayard1908 Posts: 4,080 ✭✭✭✭
    >>

    And I don't know where you are located, but I can go to 20 different local coin shops and see the largest collection of crap under the sun. If I do see something scarce or desirable, the price is out of this world. >>



    Sad but true.
  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,607 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If you want to buy a POS, they're cheap, because no one wants them. There are no bargains and little acceptable material around in what I collect. I'm thinking of not bothering to go to Long Beach next week because of this.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • lope208lope208 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭
    I've learned a few things in my short time here...

    1) Seek out quality, problem-free coins from a variety of venues.
    I have bought some crappy looking coins just to fill a date or type in my set. Only a few though.
    Not surprisingly, they were all cheap too. So at least I got that goin for me, which is nice.
    Luckily, I found this place to give me advice on how not to do that.

    2) Sometimes, you have to pay for quality.
    If I find a coin I love the look of, I don't mind paying more for it. I've been able to do this with a few really
    nice coins now and when I look at them I never think of the cost anymore b/c I love them.

    3) Quality coins always seem to perform well in the long term.
    I'm in this hobby primarily to collect and build a nice collection while having fun. I'm young, I enjoy learning
    as I go. I'm not worried about selling my collection. I'll dump some stuff along the way, but the really
    nice stuff is staying around for a while!
    Successful BST transactions:
    commoncents123, JrGMan2004, Coll3ctor (2), Dabigkahuna, BAJJERFAN, Boom, GRANDAM, newsman, cohodk, kklambo, seateddime, ajia, mirabela, Weather11am, keepdachange, gsa1fan, cone10
    -------------------------


  • << <i>If you want to buy a POS, they're cheap, because no one wants them. There are no bargains and little acceptable material around in what I collect. I'm thinking of not bothering to go to Long Beach next week because of this. >>



    I'll second that. My last Long Beach show was by far my shortest trip to a coin show (about 1.25 hours). I believe there are no bargains because so little acceptable material can be found.
  • ad4400ad4400 Posts: 2,135 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>If the coin market is in the dumpster, why do I keep getting outbid at full retail for the coins I want?

    Garrow >>



    Because you have good taste?
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Aside from key date coins, poor looking garbage

    never, never, never goes up in value.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,607 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Deus - Ditto re the last Long Beach Show. Although in all fairness, there was a lot of Unc. Seated & Barber coinage for sale, I did not look at any of it because I already had what I needed from these series of coins for my type set. I only saw two coins on the floor that interested me, and one of them was an auction coin, which I wound up buying.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭


    << <i> >>

    And I don't know where you are located, but I can go to 20 different local coin shops and see the largest collection of crap under the sun. If I do see something scarce or desirable, the price is out of this world. >>



    Sad but true. >>



    sorry to pick on you.. but you just posted a thread labeled "buyer's
    remorse". in it you put a bid on a coin without even seeing pictures...
    now you can view the pics and it appears to be a dog.

    sad but true. ;-)

    --------

    on another note... one out of 500 coins posted here is something
    i would consider rare and super desirable. most of it can be bought
    at the local show or B&M if you visit it often enough.

    morgans, wheat pennies, common date gold, etc...

    a small percentage of people who post here really target coins
    that are grade rarities or have pops less then 75. the rest buy
    widgets.. in quantity.. to get their fix... and pay a lot for them.


  • << <i>Deus - Ditto re the last Long Beach Show. Although in all fairness, there was a lot of Unc. Seated & Barber coinage for sale, I did not look at any of it because I already had what I needed from these series of coins for my type set. I only saw two coins on the floor that interested me, and one of them was an auction coin, which I wound up buying. >>



    If I was in the market stripped, dipped, over graded, and downright ugly Charlotte gold I would have had a field day. Since I'm not I spent the afternoon with my wife.image In all fairness too, I was only focused on a small corner of the overall coin market. But normally I can walk down the isles and something would jump out at me no matter the series. Didn't happen....

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