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What am I missing on this 1931-S Buffalo Nickel?

Cleaning out some saved auctions I once watched on GC. Came across this one I remember surprising me. It's a 1931-S Buffalo Nickel (PCGS MS-65) CAC. Without the CAC green bean, the PCGS price guide had it valued at $300 then back on Oct 31st and still does today, Greysheet at $266, and NGC at $300. What did the bidders see? CAC could not have added that much of a premium. Did two competitive bidders go nuts with the wrong year in mind without realizing it?


Comments

  • erwindocerwindoc Posts: 5,286 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 30, 2022 2:42PM

    What's missing...unhappy consignor? LOL!

    Seriously, I don't know. Even at the MS66 bid does not justify it.

  • LanceNewmanOCCLanceNewmanOCC Posts: 19,999 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 30, 2022 2:48PM

    first thing to mind. are the pops for ms65 or better cac buffs in pc holders low?

    second thing is , will it make it to 66+.

    i'd go deeper but don't have the link and am not up for looking it up just now. got a taco salad that isn't gonna eat itself. ;)

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  • Steven59Steven59 Posts: 10,003 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The Buyers Premium alone was what the coin was worth?

    "When they can't find anything wrong with you, they create it!"

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  • jesbrokenjesbroken Posts: 10,591 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Even if it was a DDR it shouldn't bring that much, but who knows what happens in an auction when two people with the wherewithal to buy want the same coin. I have seen it quite often in auctions I used to attend regularly in the 70's
    Jim


    When a man who is honestly mistaken hears the truth, he will either quit being mistaken or cease to be honest....Abraham Lincoln

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  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,716 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Maz03 said:
    Can only guess they had 1913-S Type 2 in mind and realized way too late. How many generations will it take to recoup the cost might be the better question.

    THis is a possibility, if two people made the same mistake. Decades ago the 1915 Lincoln cent was way overpriced because at some auction two guys both thought they were bidding on the previous lot, a 1914-D cent. The winning bid got factored into the pricing data instead of being thrown out as an obvious error, and it stuck.

    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • Joey29Joey29 Posts: 458 ✭✭✭

    @Maz03 said:
    Cleaning out some saved auctions I once watched on GC. Came across this one I remember surprising me. It's a 1931-S Buffalo Nickel (PCGS MS-65) CAC. Without the CAC green bean, the PCGS price guide had it valued at $300 then back on Oct 31st and still does today, Greysheet at $266, and NGC at $300. What did the bidders see? CAC could not have added that much of a premium. Did two competitive bidders go nuts with the wrong year in mind without realizing it?


    Coin looks very clean in photos. I think they see ms 67 upgrade.

  • coinbufcoinbuf Posts: 11,817 ✭✭✭✭✭

    A couple of bidders think this is a 67 and went for it.

    My Lincoln Registry
    My Collection of Old Holders

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  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,800 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If it was an MS67 in an MS65 slab, don't you think CAC would identify it with a gold bean instead of a green one?

    peacockcoins

  • mr1931Smr1931S Posts: 6,410 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Once again we see people spending their money on something they don't understand. 1913-S confused with 1931-S?
    Easily could have been a shill bidder against a beginner. Ouch!

    Whoever is careless with the truth in small matters cannot be trusted with important matters.

  • Joey29Joey29 Posts: 458 ✭✭✭

    @braddick said:
    If it was an MS67 in an MS65 slab, don't you think CAC would identify it with a gold bean instead of a green one?

    Absolutely. They were betting 66 but got carried away or they went nuts for this lot

  • coinbufcoinbuf Posts: 11,817 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @braddick said:
    If it was an MS67 in an MS65 slab, don't you think CAC would identify it with a gold bean instead of a green one?

    There have been many examples posted over the years where a coin with a green bean has been cracked upgraded and received a green bean again at the new higher grade. In fact I recall at least one or two that went through two upgrades and still green beaned after the second upgrade, and I have no doubt that there are many others. No firm in numismatics, be that TPG's, dealers, collectors, or giver of beans will ever be 100% consistent.

    As I type this there is a thread on the first page where the member cracked a green bean rattler hoping for an upgrade, he did not get the upgrade and it failed to receive the green bean when resubmitted. Consistency in grading or beans is a hope, something to strive for but not something that should ever be expected to be obtained until coins are no longer graded by humans.

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    My Collection of Old Holders

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  • Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Looks like it may be a DDR you can see it on the “E” on the word FIVE on the bottom, but not a MS-67 maybe a MS-65+/6 that’s it. Here are some MS-67’s but maybe new blood in the grading room may push it.





    Hoard the keys.
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  • BuffaloIronTailBuffaloIronTail Posts: 7,545 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Because it is a Depression Coin, 1931-S was better struck then a lot of San Francisco coins. But the OP coin IMHOP is lucky to have made MS-65.

    The central details are weak. Iron Tail's knot has no detail. Compare it to @Type2's top coin. Black Diamond's mane is also weak.

    It's not my intention to slam anyone, but I wanted to put forth my opinion.

    Pete

    "I tell them there's no problems.....only solutions" - John Lennon
  • OmegaraptorOmegaraptor Posts: 541 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BuffaloIronTail said:
    Because it is a Depression Coin, 1931-S was better struck then a lot of San Francisco coins. But the OP coin IMHOP is lucky to have made MS-65.

    The central details are weak. Iron Tail's knot has no detail. Compare it to @Type2's top coin. Black Diamond's mane is also weak.

    It's not my intention to slam anyone, but I wanted to put forth my opinion.

    Pete

    Right. Around MS-65 is when strike really starts to play into the grade. A coin needs a sharp strike to make 66 or higher if I'm correct.

    "You can't get just one gun." "You can't get just one tattoo." "You can't get just one 1796 Draped Bust Large Cent."

  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If this were a GTG, I would have guessed 64....More wear than I would like on a 65. JMO The possible DDR may have been a factor in the bidding. Cheers, RickO

  • P0CKETCHANGEP0CKETCHANGE Posts: 3,027 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 31, 2022 5:39AM

    @Omegaraptor said:
    Right. Around MS-65 is when strike really starts to play into the grade. A coin needs a sharp strike to make 66 or higher if I'm correct.

    The recent thread about the 20c piece that ended up in a PCGS 67 holder contradicts this. The strike on that coin is pretty weak, especially on the obverse. I have a 63 with a far superior strike.

    Edit: link to other thread https://forums.collectors.com/discussion/1070386/1875-s-twenty-cent-piece-in-pcgs-ms67-from-regency-50#latest

    Nothing is as expensive as free money.

  • ChrisH821ChrisH821 Posts: 6,724 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Maz03 said:

    @Type2 said:
    Looks like it may be a DDR you can see it on the “E” on the word FIVE on the bottom, but not a MS-67 maybe a MS-65+/6 that’s it. Here are some MS-67’s but maybe new blood in the grading room may push it.

    I had to go back to the original pic on GC's website. I can see it on the bottom of the "E". However that coin does not look like a possible MS66 after comparing to these MS65 Buffalo nickels. The fields are nice but the hair above the braid and the tie have more wear.


    That is not wear. The lack of detail in the hair and braid is due to a weak strike.

    Collector, occasional seller

  • ike126ike126 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The 67s posted make it sure look like 2 me that the OP coin will never get in a 67 holder in my eyes..

  • WAYNEASWAYNEAS Posts: 7,005 ✭✭✭✭✭

    IMO:
    This is what happens when two nuclear bids collide.
    Wayne

    Kennedys are my quest...

  • ms71ms71 Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 31, 2022 10:29AM

    CAC price guide today is MS65: $329 MS66: $673 MS67: $21,600

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  • Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Ouch, live and learn.



    Hoard the keys.
  • fathomfathom Posts: 1,878 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Yeah I think its a 67 play. Good luck.

  • lkeneficlkenefic Posts: 8,562 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @WAYNEAS said:
    IMO:
    This is what happens when two nuclear bids collide.
    Wayne

    This^^^

    I wonder if two bidders put up their ridiculous nuclear bids thinking they'd win the coin at a somewhat "reasonable" price... ooops!

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  • crazyhounddogcrazyhounddog Posts: 14,068 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @mr1874 said:
    Once again we see people spending their money on something they don't understand. 1913-S confused with 1931-S?
    Easily could have been a shill bidder against a beginner. Ouch!

    Why would anyone think it’s a 13-s type 2? I don’t understand that. As for the price paid I will assume it was a bidding war that got bloody. No way that coin is worth that kinda money. Must have been a couple of brainless twits going at it for all the wrong reasons.

    The bitterness of "Poor Quality" is remembered long after the sweetness of low price is forgotten.
  • WAYNEASWAYNEAS Posts: 7,005 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @lkenefic said:

    @WAYNEAS said:
    IMO:
    This is what happens when two nuclear bids collide.
    Wayne

    This^^^

    I wonder if two bidders put up their ridiculous nuclear bids thinking they'd win the coin at a somewhat "reasonable" price... ooops!


    Wayne

    Kennedys are my quest...

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