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The Decline of the Forum and Reasons For It

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  • ExbritExbrit Posts: 1,286 ✭✭✭✭

    Too much fluff

    Too much sarcasm at times

    Too many personal attacks

    its about the coins!

    Other than that - just a change according to the times and collecting focus - there is still a lot of good information being passed along, it's just mixed in with the fluff

  • Cougar1978Cougar1978 Posts: 8,191 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 8, 2020 6:53AM

    I find it better especially possibly bc some of those banned. It has had some interesting discussions. I don’t believe it sb a place where somebody trashes mods (many collect those) or less expensive material. Different individuals collect different things many can only afford so much per item. At shows - it has been a learning opportunity. One dealer doing a booming business at a recent show: 6 world coins for a dollar.

    Some threads I find interesting some don’t. Be familiar w the rules and use common sense.

    Coins & Currency
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  • coindeucecoindeuce Posts: 13,474 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I may have posted here all of a half dozen times in the last 12 months. Social media sites are way more attractive.

    "Everything is on its way to somewhere. Everything." - George Malley, Phenomenon
    http://www.americanlegacycoins.com

  • oih82w8oih82w8 Posts: 12,205 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Where is that "disagree" button when I need it?

    oih82w8 = Oh I Hate To Wait _defectus patientia_aka...Dr. Defecto - Curator of RMO's

    BST transactions: dbldie55, jayPem, 78saen, UltraHighRelief, nibanny, liefgold, FallGuy, lkeigwin, mbogoman, Sandman70gt, keets, joeykoins, ianrussell (@GC), EagleEye, ThePennyLady, GRANDAM, Ilikecolor, Gluggo, okiedude, Voyageur, LJenkins11, fastfreddie, ms70, pursuitofliberty, ZoidMeister,Coin Finder, GotTheBug, edwardjulio, Coinnmore, Nickpatton, Namvet69,...
  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 10,135 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @coindeuce said:
    I may have posted here all of a half dozen times in the last 12 months. Social media sites are way more attractive.

    Well glad to have you back.

  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,522 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 8, 2020 11:17AM

    I think the issue with the forum mirrors numismatics in general. One prominent person in the business I know recently retired. Another told me that it's not as much fun, or profitable as in the past. Both of them told me that margins are getting squeezed.

    As a collector, I need only a few coins to complete my type set. They rarely become available, and are expensive for me. I used to find many attractive, for me, mid priced coins available at the major show I attend. That is not the case any longer.

    Fewer dealers are going to shows now, due to more business being conducted on the internet. I'm old school, in that I need to see a coin before I buy it. Yes, I know many dealers have fair return privileges, but unless it's a dealer that I know and trust, I just don't want to open a package and hope it meets my standards; you don't know what a coin actually looks like until you see it yourself.

    I observe at shows that an increasing amount of attention is directed to collectors with deep pockets, a group in which I am not a member.

    There has been a general drop in value of almost all coins minted after the middle of the 19th century, extreme rarities excepted. I couldn't afford those coins back in the day, and I can't afford them now. For example, a specific Liberty Nickel in a grade I collected had a market value of $14K in December 2014; its market value was $6K when I saw it in September of 2016. I stopped collecting the series when I saw this.

    Another issue which I think Brett is trying to address, is changing grading standards over the decades. It is disheartening to me when I see the same coins in the same grade, which were graded at different points in time, where some are clearly nicer than others.

    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 10,135 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Very good post, Elcontador.

    One wonders to what degree dealers are buried in steeply depressed coin inventory. It is difficult to sell a coin for $1000 that was acquired at $1500 and absorb show and travel fees as well.

    When i entered the business I recall the Heritage 2005 FUN show which as I recalled 10,000 US coin lots. Heritage said the goal was a hundred million dollars in realized sales. I not only had a consignment, but bought several coins as well.

    Checked in a moment ago and there are only 3,900 lots in this year's sale. The sizzle is gone from the market outside of whatever Mr. Hansen is buying or $65 silver proofs than bring Moon money.

    No knock on Heritage of course, they have been a good business partner for several years, but how do you encourage consignments when valuations are in the tank? I think that many collectors, investors figure that it is better to hang on to the coins and hope for a rebound. Nobody is anxious to go backwards when liquidating a collection.

  • ZoinsZoins Posts: 34,113 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited January 8, 2020 1:03PM

    @coindeuce said:
    I may have posted here all of a half dozen times in the last 12 months. Social media sites are way more attractive.

    So that’s where you’ve been! I’ve been missing your posts here. Which social media sites do you use for coins?

  • streeterstreeter Posts: 4,312 ✭✭✭✭✭

    By tomorrow, every forth post will be glicker commenting on one of his previous posts. Might even hit that ratio by midnight.

    When you're allegedly in the coin business & you're digging up 8yr old threads, that is the definition of...THINGS HAVE SLOWED DOWN.

    Have a nice day
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭

    did everyone expect that we'd be up, up, up forever??? the way the coin market moved from 1999-2012 was exciting to be sure but everything evens out in the end.

  • TurtleCatTurtleCat Posts: 4,600 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Like the stock market, there are seasons to buy and seasons to sell. It’s a good time to buy from what I’m hearing. :)

  • BoosibriBoosibri Posts: 12,104 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Lots of banned members in this post. I always wonder what they did to earn their fate especially when reading their insightful and coherent posts.

  • CoinHoarderCoinHoarder Posts: 2,583 ✭✭✭✭✭

    As far as I know, many of these banned members had been given at least a second chance. Apparently, some did not feel that they had to live by the forum rules.

  • TurtleCatTurtleCat Posts: 4,600 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Boosibri said:
    Lots of banned members in this post. I always wonder what they did to earn their fate especially when reading their insightful and coherent posts.

    Well, when I was here before years ago during the first wave of banning, it was because many of the people were trashing our hosts. Basically bad behavior by many. There was a sense that people could say what they want. I remember one person who went on a personal campaign about PCGS not recognizing a Norweb provenance. That went on for a long time and was the source of a lot of venting.

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 10,135 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @streeter said:
    By tomorrow, every forth post will be glicker commenting on one of his previous posts. Might even hit that ratio by midnight.

    When you're allegedly in the coin business & you're digging up 8yr old threads, that is the definition of...THINGS HAVE SLOWED DOWN.

    I count 24 new posts since this got resuscitated, that were not mine.

    Seems to be some life in the topic.

    Now add something constructive and you can be #25.

    :*

  • MizzouMizzou Posts: 507 ✭✭✭✭

    I posted my thoughts and the post got deleted - Wow, I'll skip dinner and go to my room now.

    Sometimes I think that animals are smarter than humans, animals would never allow the dumbest one to lead the pack

  • FlatwoodsFlatwoods Posts: 4,122 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Mizzou said:
    I posted my thoughts and the post got deleted - Wow, I'll skip dinner and go to my room now.

    aaahhh an angle I hadn't considered.
    Reason #2
    Mods deleting liquored up old guy posts.

  • coinkatcoinkat Posts: 23,079 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The more things change the more they remain the same...

    Experience the World through Numismatics...it's more than you can imagine.

  • MgarmyMgarmy Posts: 2,296 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Unless they are paid being a mod is a thankless job. I was a mod for years at military.com. It sucked. Everybody hanging on the cross that the mods were out to get them....got an idea...don’t be an ass and the mods will leave you be.

    100% positive transactions with SurfinxHI, bigole, 1madman, collectorcoins, proofmorgan, Luke Marshall, silver pop, golden egg, point five zero,coin22lover, alohagary, blaircountycoin,joebb21

  • amwldcoinamwldcoin Posts: 11,269 ✭✭✭✭✭

    As to the number of lots in the FUN auction 2005 vrs now, Heritage's minimum lot value has gone up quite a bit since then. It will be interesting to see if those 3900 lots exceed 100 million.

    @Coinstartled said:
    Very good post, Elcontador.

    One wonders to what degree dealers are buried in steeply depressed coin inventory. It is difficult to sell a coin for $1000 that was acquired at $1500 and absorb show and travel fees as well.

    When i entered the business I recall the Heritage 2005 FUN show which as I recalled 10,000 US coin lots. Heritage said the goal was a hundred million dollars in realized sales. I not only had a consignment, but bought several coins as well.

    Checked in a moment ago and there are only 3,900 lots in this year's sale. The sizzle is gone from the market outside of whatever Mr. Hansen is buying or $65 silver proofs than bring Moon money.

    No knock on Heritage of course, they have been a good business partner for several years, but how do you encourage consignments when valuations are in the tank? I think that many collectors, investors figure that it is better to hang on to the coins and hope for a rebound. Nobody is anxious to go backwards when liquidating a collection.

  • seanqseanq Posts: 8,648 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Nothing like bumping an eight year old thread about the imminent demise of this Forum. Rumors of its death continue to be greatly exaggerated.

    Sean Reynolds

    Incomplete planchets wanted, especially Lincoln Cents & type coins.

    "Keep in mind that most of what passes as numismatic information is no more than tested opinion at best, and marketing blather at worst. However, I try to choose my words carefully, since I know that you guys are always watching." - Joe O'Connor
  • jmlanzafjmlanzaf Posts: 34,046 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @TurtleCat said:
    Like the stock market, there are seasons to buy and seasons to sell. It’s a good time to buy from what I’m hearing. :)

    That's what the stamp collectors said for 20 years...and then they realized that prices were never going back up.

    Doesn't mean it isn't a good time to buy. But it's a good time to buy relative to 10 years ago because prices are cheaper. Whether it's a good time to buy relative to 5 years from now depends on whether the bottom is in or we're still sliding.

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 10,135 ✭✭✭✭✭

    It is down a bit today in an up market.

    :o

  • coinlieutenantcoinlieutenant Posts: 9,310 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Boosibri said:
    Lots of banned members in this post. I always wonder what they did to earn their fate especially when reading their insightful and coherent posts.

    Keep it up with those type of questions and you'll be next buster!

  • WCCWCC Posts: 2,571 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Elcontador said:
    There has been a general drop in value of almost all coins minted after the middle of the 19th century, extreme rarities excepted. I couldn't afford those coins back in the day, and I can't afford them now. For example, a specific Liberty Nickel in a grade I collected had a market value of $14K in December 2014; its market value was $6K when I saw it in September of 2016. I stopped collecting the series when I saw this.

    If the posting volume has actually declined, I'd rate this the number one reason. The NGC forum was very active when I joined but is now a dead zone. Some have attributed it to other reasons, but I think this is the main one. The same thing happened on the South African coin forum too about a year after the price peak in 2012. Never as active as US forums but posting activity has collapsed.

    Most buyers (not always primarily collectors) don't like losing money and my primary explanation for it is because they don't actually like collecting or what they collect enough to treat it mostly or substantially as a consumption expense. Some take a break but others quit for good.

    If the falling price level is the primary root cause, I expect it to continue indefinitely, as I concurrently expect the coins you described to mostly lose value, with intermittent counter trend rallies. I expect most others to lose value as well, maybe including those I own now.

  • Coin FinderCoin Finder Posts: 7,162 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I wonder if the old time dealers like Max Mel and the like ever had these kinds of conversations about the coin market etc.... I'll bet they did.

  • dpooledpoole Posts: 5,940 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The issue is not that the market is down. The issue (as always) is whether the market will come back up.

  • neildrobertsonneildrobertson Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dpoole said:
    The issue is not that the market is down. The issue (as always) is whether the market will come back up.

    Some of us will be adding to our collections and posting here regardless.

    IG: DeCourcyCoinsEbay: neilrobertson
    "Numismatic categorizations, if left unconstrained, will increase spontaneously over time." -me

  • jmlanzafjmlanzaf Posts: 34,046 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @thebigeng said:
    I wonder if the old time dealers like Max Mel and the like ever had these kinds of conversations about the coin market etc.... I'll bet they did.

    Doubt it. The market was undeniably growing in the early part of the 20th century.

  • KkathylKkathyl Posts: 3,762 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I lost my job Oct 10th and have been busy with Netflix relaxation and a few Job interviews. I want to stay in the collectible space but those jobs are limited. In meanwhile, we had Christmas Hanukkah and rebuilding resume and rebuild my computer that was wiped clean and destroyed URR. No worry I was able to get back most Board minutes and other critical data for my other businesses 😉I will have to work soon so will hit the Jobs market hard post Fun show. I will try to participate more soon.

    In short life got in my way. But no worry will try to post more soon

    Kathy

    Best place to buy !
    Bronze Associate member

  • Cougar1978Cougar1978 Posts: 8,191 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I understand what your going thru. Been there - there is light at end of tunnel. Hang in there.

    Coins & Currency

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