Home Precious Metals

well silver just dipped past 12 an ounce... expected or no?

fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
well silver just dipped past 12 an ounce... expected or no?

all i know is that i am quite happy i have held off on my large
purchase!

image

Comments

  • halfhunterhalfhunter Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭
    Looks like a great time to add to the kiddy . . .

    If it can be found at a reasonable price over spot.

    What is the best price on ASE rolls now? Who has them?

    Regards, John
    Need the following OBW rolls to complete my 46-64 Roosevelt roll set:
    1947-P & D; 1948-D; 1949-P & S; 1950-D & S; and 1952-S.
    Any help locating any of these OBW rolls would be gratefully appreciated!
  • APMEX has, for the moment, some in stock...... buttttt the price image
    Silver Baron
    ********************
    Silver is the mortar that binds the bricks of loyalty.
  • SmittysSmittys Posts: 9,876 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Of course it went down I bought another 220 ounces Saturday
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,897 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This is one of those times when you should be playing by your own rulebook, on your own schedule. Price isn't important here, but having a position is.

    When the price takes off, you won't have the luxury of nickel & diming your sources, because they will be sold out.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • BlackhawkBlackhawk Posts: 3,898 ✭✭✭
    All will look jolly until the election...the real question regarding your investing in PMs s what will happen to oil, PMs, etc., after November. We've got a lot of people losing their jobs in my area, and it doesn't appear that there's any real (non-taxpayer supplied) relief for the economy around the corner, so I can't imagine metals will keep going down. It always seems to take longer than expected for people to figure out that the emperor has no clothes on...this is especially true during an election cycle.
    "Have a nice day!"


  • << <i>This is one of those times when you should be playing by your own rulebook, on your own schedule. Price isn't important here, but having a position is.

    When the price takes off, you won't have the luxury of nickel & diming your sources, because they will be sold out. >>




    Im not so sure. A large price increase might actually help to get some physical metal back into the marketplace.
  • mkman123mkman123 Posts: 6,849 ✭✭✭✭
    halfhunter, the stores in my area are charging 15+ dollars for ASEs if they have any in. I traded some 90% silver and got 4 canadian maples. They wanted 15 for the maples.
    Successful Buying and Selling transactions with:

    Many members on this forum that now it cannot fit in my signature. Please ask for entire list.
  • secondrepublicsecondrepublic Posts: 2,619 ✭✭✭


    << <i>We've got a lot of people losing their jobs in my area, and it doesn't appear that there's any real (non-taxpayer supplied) relief for the economy around the corner, so I can't imagine metals will keep going down. >>



    I don't understand this comment. How is increasing unemployment going to cause metal prices to increase? It will have the opposite effect as it forces people to sell in order to survive, and will make others more hesitant to pull the trigger on purchases.
    "Men who had never shown any ability to make or increase fortunes for themselves abounded in brilliant plans for creating and increasing wealth for the country at large." Fiat Money Inflation in France, Andrew Dickson White (1912)
  • Its my understanding that when unemployment reaches a level that becomes uneasy to the fed, they lower rates to accomodate
    thus increasing liquidity.... Inflationary
    NumbersUsa, FairUs, Alipac, CapsWeb, and TeamAmericaPac


  • << <i>This is one of those times when you should be playing by your own rulebook, on your own schedule. Price isn't important here, but having a position is.

    When the price takes off, you won't have the luxury of nickel & diming your sources, because they will be sold out. >>




    I love the knowledge and experience on this forum......I have read no wiser words on here recently than the above.

    On word of honor between two people, I was able to lock in on silver price today at $11.94 for 2 BIG bars....will pick them up tomorrow. I work Mondays but off on Tuesdays.......and called my guy today from work........and told him I wanted them...but could not make it today....he pulled silver price up...and offered to lock in now on my word I would pickup and pay tomorrow...I jumped on it....

    Didn't really have the ready funds on this since I made another large purchase last week.....but I juggled some finances....to make this happen...... as I truly feel if I did not act now at these prices...I will have missed the chance in a blink of an eye.

    My "rulebook" said jump...so I did. image




  • mkman123mkman123 Posts: 6,849 ✭✭✭✭
    rah, great price that you got!
    Successful Buying and Selling transactions with:

    Many members on this forum that now it cannot fit in my signature. Please ask for entire list.


  • << <i>halfhunter, the stores in my area are charging 15+ dollars for ASEs if they have any in. I traded some 90% silver and got 4 canadian maples. They wanted 15 for the maples. >>



    Be careful with paying such a large premium on Maples...They do not carry the same premiums as an ASE when going to sell.

    Not a rule set in stone. But the general opinion from collectors here... I personally like and buy Maples regularly.
    My local B@M prices them the same as rounds and bars. And their buy prices reflect the same when buying..

    Teletrade direct has Maples as low as 14.59 as of 5pm cst


  • << <i>

    << <i>This is one of those times when you should be playing by your own rulebook, on your own schedule. Price isn't important here, but having a position is.

    When the price takes off, you won't have the luxury of nickel & diming your sources, because they will be sold out. >>




    I love the knowledge and experience on this forum......I have read no wiser words on here recently than the above.

    On word of honor between two people, I was able to lock in on silver price today at $11.94 for 2 BIG bars....will pick them up tomorrow. I work Mondays but off on Tuesdays.......and called my guy today from work........and told him I wanted them...but could not make it today....he pulled silver price up...and offered to lock in now on my word I would pickup and pay tomorrow...I jumped on it....

    Didn't really have the ready funds on this since I made another large purchase last week.....but I juggled some finances....to make this happen...... as I truly feel if I did not act now at these prices...I will have missed the chance in a blink of an eye.

    My "rulebook" said jump...so I did. image >>






    imageimage couldn't have happened to a nicer person....image
  • mkman123mkman123 Posts: 6,849 ✭✭✭✭
    cinman, thanks for the advice. I'll be more careful next time. I just had some 90% silver and wanted some bullion and my eyes got fixated on the nice look of the maples so I asked if I could trade them in for the maples.

    They really didn't have any other bullion rounds like mexican onzas, ASEs, etc so I went and got the maples.
    Successful Buying and Selling transactions with:

    Many members on this forum that now it cannot fit in my signature. Please ask for entire list.
  • Nothing wrong with trading straight across.... 90% and maples are on level ground on the buy and sell side
    from my own personal experence.

    I personally like the Maple look. And contrary to the belief on the boards. I like the fact it is .9999 pure
    and not .999 like rounds and ASEs





  • << <i>This is one of those times when you should be playing by your own rulebook, on your own schedule. Price isn't important here, but having a position is.

    When the price takes off, you won't have the luxury of nickel & diming your sources, because they will be sold out. >>



    My experience has been the opposite. When prices were moving up, I found it easier to find good deals, such as under spot, sometimes significantly under. When prices are falling fast, people are reluctant to sell at a loss. When they have a profit, some folks don't mind taking less than spot, as long as they get out with a profit. YMMV.

  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    How is increasing unemployment going to cause metal prices to increase? It will have the opposite effect as it forces people to sell in order to survive, and will make others more hesitant to pull the trigger on purchases.

    Increasing unemployment along with increasing inflation was one of the drivers of the 70's stagflation, where metals rose dramatically.
    As the business cycle slows down money gravitates to areas where it can see a true return.

    In a nutshell, the business cycle spins downward, less revenue making it to local, state, and federal govts, that means less investment on the corporate level....ultimately rates will have to be raised to generate new investment in this country. Real interest rates are still negative which favors commodity investing. Until real rates are much higher than actual inflation (not the CPI and GDP fed BS). Raising rates above inflation rates will eventually spur new investing. Until that time, enough investors will stay with metals and commodities to try and earn an inflation-adjusted positive return.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • storm888storm888 Posts: 11,701 ✭✭✭
    The baggies that bought at $20+/-, will not panic real good until about $10.

    I will start building another big stash at around <$8.

    ..............................

    Folks are worried about jobs, food, housing, medical care.
    PMs are waaaaaaaaaaaay down on the list of things folks
    can spend money on.

    .....................

    I am still SHORT both SLV and GLD. Real green on both, but
    will not add unless there is BIG strength.

    ................

    Lower-Highs and Lower-Lows tell us ALL everything we need to know.

    PMs are basement bound.


    Folks Who Bite Get Bitten. Folks Who Don't Bite Get Eaten.
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Previous cycle low was in the $11's. If silver holds in the upper 11's the uptrend remains intact.

    I'd say probably a good enough buying opportunity.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • I didn't think they (gold and silver) would go this low. Since I'm pretty well loaded I won't buy more unless it goes down a bit further. I do think we are heading into a '70s like stagflation so expect these metals, and all commodities, to recover in a big way sometime in 2009.
  • storm888storm888 Posts: 11,701 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Previous cycle low was in the $11's. If silver holds in the upper 11's the uptrend remains intact.

    I'd say probably a good enough buying opportunity.

    roadrunner >>



    /////////////////////////////////////////


    You will go broke looking at longterm charts of PMs.

    50-DMA is all I need to see, in order to KNOW the
    bull is croaked.

    PMs always take the path of least resistance; the current path is downhill.
    Folks Who Bite Get Bitten. Folks Who Don't Bite Get Eaten.
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,897 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Real interest rates are still negative which favors commodity investing. Until real rates are much higher than actual inflation (not the CPI and GDP fed BS). Raising rates above inflation rates will eventually spur new investing. Until that time, enough investors will stay with metals and commodities to try and earn an inflation-adjusted positive return.

    Bingo! As usual, rr is on the mark.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • storm888storm888 Posts: 11,701 ✭✭✭
    "Until that time, enough investors will stay with metals and commodities to try and earn an inflation-adjusted positive return."

    //////////////////////////////////

    The "inflation-adjusted" return from $21 to $12 was sort of poor.

    image
    Folks Who Bite Get Bitten. Folks Who Don't Bite Get Eaten.


  • << <i>The "inflation-adjusted" return from $21 to $12 was sort of poor. >>



    Ya think?? image
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,897 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The "inflation-adjusted" return from $21 to $12 was sort of poor.

    (Unless your basis happened to be $6.00, in which case it's really not a problem).image
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • jdimmickjdimmick Posts: 9,691 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I hope you folks are right sittin n all these PM;s cause Ithink its over!
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I bought most of my silver in the $5-$8 range. Some smaller amount in the $10-$13 range. I'm not hurtin nor looking to sell any. I've yet to sell one single ounce. I will admit to buying 550 oz. at $20/oz during the BSC panic weekend. Emotions got the best of me.

    The "inflation-adjusted" return from $21 to $12 was sort of poor.

    Yes it was. But silver still far, far better from 2002-2008 than anything in the general stock indicies. Silver shows a decent positive return and stocks quite negative even with dividends factored in. Dividends don't help much if the return is still negative. Which one protected one's buying power?

    How good did the dollar do from 2001 to 2008 as it fell from index of 120 down to 71....but currently at approx 80....still a 30%+ fall. Take that 30% off all your stock gains and what do you have? Silver wins again....by 12 lengths. How much will all this matter if in several years silver is at $30 or $50 or even $100? Will it matter than it went to $21, fell to $9, went back to $16, fell to $12, etc....but ended up multiples higher?

    Jim, if you think metals are over, you might want to consider that the coin market will fall apart within months of the first metals washout. Interesting that the last few coin bulls ended in March or April. A demise in the fall is decidedly against the trends.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • storm888storm888 Posts: 11,701 ✭✭✭
    "Will it matter than it went to $21, fell to $9, went back to $16, fell to $12, etc....but ended up multiples higher?"

    ///////////////////////

    It should matter TONIGHT, to folks who got suckered into
    the junk at $20+, right before it went to $9.

    Those folks will have lost HALF of their money. IF they had
    waited, they would have TWICE as much metal in their account.

    ////////////////


    Those $855 Krugs from 1980 did great, too. It only took 'em 28-years to shine.
    Now, they have turned to junk ............again.







    Folks Who Bite Get Bitten. Folks Who Don't Bite Get Eaten.


  • << <i>Its my understanding that when unemployment reaches a level that becomes uneasy to the fed, they lower rates to accomodate
    thus increasing liquidity.... Inflationary >>



    Not now. The Fed is basically out of ammunition with the Fed funds rate at 2%. Lowering to this level from well over 4% over the past few months didn't really add much liquidity to the system. that's why mortgage rates didn't come down in tandem. Notice though, that by taking over Fannie and Freddy, 15 and 30 year mortgage rates have tumbled. I think the next Fed move will be to raise interest rates although not until well into 2009.
    “When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.” — Benjamin Franklin


    My icon IS my coin. It is a gem 1949 FBL Franklin.
  • DeepCoinDeepCoin Posts: 2,781 ✭✭✭
    As I look at the 10 year silver prices, it seems to me the floor may be around $8 when this all sorts out. The issues causing the big run up did not have to do with actual demand for industrial purposes, imho there were other forces at work. We have seen this behavior in the past and eventually things settled back down. I accept the point that manipulators may keep the prices moving in strange directions... see the current run up in all commodity prices, especially oil. It is interesting to observe and the next month or two will be very telling.
    Retired United States Mint guy, now working on an Everyman Type Set.
Sign In or Register to comment.