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Current Price Levels of High End Vintage…

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  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Buy blue chip cards just as well as blue chip stocks. I find more enjoyment in cards than stocks. However, I do own stock as well.

    mint_only_pls
  • @80sOPC said:
    50k in cards can cost 5-10k depending on what you have and take 90-120 days if using an auction house.

    I always thought that the buyer's premium charged by auction houses covered their services fully. Are auction houses actually paid by both sellers and buyers? If so, that seems like highway robbery to me!

  • 1948_Swell_Robinson1948_Swell_Robinson Posts: 1,923 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 7:56AM

    @mintonlypls said:
    Buy blue chip cards just as well as blue chip stocks. I find more enjoyment in cards than stocks. However, I do own stock as well.

    Yup, buy both. Stock profits bring joy, Cards bring a different kind of joy, and if they end up profiting then you double dip your happiness.

  • 82FootballWaxMemorys82FootballWaxMemorys Posts: 1,520 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 8:35AM

    @reelinintheyears said:

    @80sOPC said:
    50k in cards can cost 5-10k depending on what you have and take 90-120 days if using an auction house.

    I always thought that the buyer's premium charged by auction houses covered their services fully. Are auction houses actually paid by both sellers and buyers? If so, that seems like highway robbery to me!

    Seller's Fee Percentage depends on Auction House and what if any deal you are able to cut with them. But yep you are correct it is mostly Highway Robbery.

    It's the singer not the song - Peter Townshend (1972)

  • olb31olb31 Posts: 3,350 ✭✭✭✭✭

    i have never used an auction house, but for expensive cards, it seems almost the best way of doing without a mano to mano transaction. hard to trust ebay, unless you know exactly who you are dealing with.

    Work hard and you will succeed!!
  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 10:27AM

    A reputable auction house such as Heritage Auctions should have a lot of eye balls …and should maximize sale price. I have consigned 27 cards to its January Winter Auction. So…I will see how I do.

    mint_only_pls
  • JoeBanzaiJoeBanzai Posts: 11,789 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @82FootballWaxMemorys said:

    @80sOPC said:
    Like any investment it depends on when you got in, and your cost to get out. Which can be quite high in the case of sports cards.

    I can sell 50k of the SP500 - which is up nearly 20% YTD - Monday at market open for 9 bucks. 50k in cards can cost 5-10k depending on what you have and take 90-120 days if using an auction house.

    Yep. There are reasons Buffet and the like don't have Trading Card holdings.

    I don't know about Mr Buffett, but I completely disagree with that comment.

    Lot's of sports loving millionaires out there. They are only buying the best of the best. "Blue chip" cards can make you a lot of money, as an investment, yes, harder to liquidate if you are in a hurry, but a solid long term investment.

    Diversifying your investments is always a good plan, and PSA 10 Ruth's Mantles, Clemente's, Ryan's etc wouldn't be selling for such INSANE prices if the wealthy investors weren't involved.

    2013,14 and 15 Certificate Award Winner Harmon Killebrew Master Set and Master Topps Set
  • 80sOPC80sOPC Posts: 1,355 ✭✭✭✭✭

    They will for sure get a lot of eyeballs and in exchange take 1/5th of the sale, and even more as a percentage of the profit (assuming your cost basis isn’t zero). It’s incredible how expensive it is to buy and sell cards.

    @mintonlypls said:
    A reputable auction house such as Heritage Auctions should have a lot of eye balls …and should maximize sale price. I have consigned 27 cards to its January Winter Auction. So…I will see how I do.

  • 80sOPC80sOPC Posts: 1,355 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Well it does, but when someone quotes the price of a sale, it almost always includes the BP, which in most cases doesn’t go to the seller.

    @reelinintheyears said:

    @80sOPC said:
    50k in cards can cost 5-10k depending on what you have and take 90-120 days if using an auction house.

    I always thought that the buyer's premium charged by auction houses covered their services fully. Are auction houses actually paid by both sellers and buyers? If so, that seems like highway robbery to me!

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I negotiated 15% w/Heritage Auctions…

    mint_only_pls
  • BBBrkrrBBBrkrr Posts: 1,255 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @mintonlypls said:
    I negotiated 15% w/Heritage Auctions…

    Good for you. Now go break some records!

  • gemintgemint Posts: 6,101 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I would never use an auction house that takes 20% from buyer and 20% from seller. No auction house consistently delivers record breaking prices. In most cases, you'd make out better listing it slightly below market price on eBay and paying 12-15%. For expensive cards ($10k+), AH's are the way to go because you have a better pool of buyers and eBay puts up roadblocks when bidding over $10k (pre approval required for each item you want to bid on). Also, AH's will lower their rates significantly for high $ cards.

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 8:31PM

    For Heritage Auctions…I receive the entire amount before the buyers premium as well as 5% of the 20% buyers premium. So…it is close to EBay w/more eyeballs. Auction houses such as Heritage promote the items which is not done on EBay.

    mint_only_pls
  • coolstanleycoolstanley Posts: 2,863 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 8:47PM

    There are auction houses that have zero sellers premium. Mile high auctions is one. I would never do business that charges 15% to the sellers.

    Terry Bradshaw was AMAZING!!

    Ignore list -Basebal21

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 8:48PM

    Mike High still charges a 20% buyers premium which might go to the auction house or a percentage of that buyers premium. You would have to consign a very expensive item for the auction house not to receive a cut of the amount that the buyer pays for that item (final bid + 20% buyers premium). An auction house does not work for free! No one does…

    mint_only_pls
  • coolstanleycoolstanley Posts: 2,863 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @mintonlypls said:
    Mike High still charges a 20% buyers premium which might go to the auction house or a percentage of that buyers premium.

    Yeah 20% buyers premium is standard no?

    Terry Bradshaw was AMAZING!!

    Ignore list -Basebal21

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 10, 2023 8:57PM

    Yep. Then…negotiate how much of that 20% the consignor can receive. Again…they will not work for free. Even EBay takes a cut…

    Only a private transaction will save you a fee.

    mint_only_pls
  • coolstanleycoolstanley Posts: 2,863 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @mintonlypls said:
    Yep. Then negotiate how much of that 20% the consignor can receive. Again…they will not work for free. Even EBay takes a cut…

    I didnt know buyers could negotiate consignor fees. Learn something every day.

    Terry Bradshaw was AMAZING!!

    Ignore list -Basebal21

  • sayheywyosayheywyo Posts: 499 ✭✭✭✭

    @mintonlypls said:
    For Heritage Auctions…I receive the entire amount before the buyers premium as well as 5% of the 20% buyers premium. So…it is close to EBay w/more eyeballs. Auction houses such as Heritage promote the items which is not done on EBay.

    So you sell card for $10K, buyer pays $12K, you net $10K plus $100 and auction house nets $1900.

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 11, 2023 7:56AM

    Sayheywyo…

    Yes, that’s how it works. At least , I receive some amount of the $2000. eBay would take $1560 off the final bid for an identical item (13% off $12,000)…but as I see the advantage with Heritage Auctions is that the visibility for the items with Heritage Auctions is much better than eBay or strictly sports card auction houses since Heritage has offices worldwide …and therefore, many more eyeballs see an item.

    mint_only_pls
  • CakesCakes Posts: 3,629 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @coolstanley said:

    @mintonlypls said:
    Yep. Then negotiate how much of that 20% the consignor can receive. Again…they will not work for free. Even EBay takes a cut…

    I didnt know buyers could negotiate consignor fees. Learn something every day.

    This is generally only on higher end, premium products.

    Successful coin BST transactions with Gerard and segoja.

    Successful card BST transactions with cbcnow, brogurt, gstarling, Bravesfan 007, and rajah 424.
  • “Vintage high end” refers to something that 99.99 percent of collectors don’t think about. You’re talking about a different class of people. Money is never the issue with these collectors.

    High end vintage in the categories that I collect is down (deservedly so). I’m sitting on the sidelines and waiting for contagion. To the dealers/collectors, you did it to yourselves….

  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,693 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @sayheywyo said:

    @mintonlypls said:
    For Heritage Auctions…I receive the entire amount before the buyers premium as well as 5% of the 20% buyers premium. So…it is close to EBay w/more eyeballs. Auction houses such as Heritage promote the items which is not done on EBay.

    So you sell card for $10K, buyer pays $12K, you net $10K plus $100 and auction house nets $1900.

    No, you net $10,500 if you are getting back 5% of the BP. (10K X 1.05=10,500)



    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Thx, Grote for clarifying. I like that even better…

    mint_only_pls
  • UFFDAHUFFDAH Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 13, 2023 2:25PM
    • Never pay a commission to an auction company to sell your stuff. Make sure that has been eliminated from your consignment agreement
    • Always negotiate for a piece of the standard 20% Buyers Premium. If you are consigning over some juicy stuff you should at a minimum get the Hammer Price + 5% = 1.05
    • If you are consigning juicy high ticket/feature item stuff push for even higher. Push for 1.10 +
  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,991 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

  • BBBrkrrBBBrkrr Posts: 1,255 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    I agree.

    No matter what happens next fall, '24 will be VERY different than '23. For sure.

    They'll crank down rates sometime next spring/summer. That will open up a ton of money sitting on the sides just waiting for timing. This is one reason I'm considering selling my entire PC next year, but I'm going to wait and see how it goes through June.

  • pdoidoipdoidoi Posts: 656 ✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    The stock market is be up and so is everything else. I just came back from Walmart food shopping and it truly feels I get less but the price is higher and higher. Have you seen the price of the sports cards in Walmart and Target. I think with the very high price of the cards they are not selling like they have is years past. The shelves are so full of cards and have not been bare in a very very long time. In years past I would find the shelves with cards bare very often.

  • 19591959 Posts: 626 ✭✭✭

    It will interesting when Fanatics runs shops and marketing next year.

  • olb31olb31 Posts: 3,350 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Smoke and mirrors. The economy is not good. Hard to find good employees. Anything tied to Real Estate is in the tank. Retail stores are closing left and right, Lots of small business can't afford to hire people or pay rent. But since I have stocks I was happy it went up.

    The market and cards values are definitely tied together.

    Work hard and you will succeed!!
  • brad31brad31 Posts: 2,783 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Not sure on rates. People have a short memory but the Fed rate has an.average 5.71% from 1971 to 2023 and the 30 year mortgage rate has an average of 7.74%. Nearly free money was not going to last forever. Inflation is difficult to curb.

    The cost of labor is up forever and we all will have to pay for that. Wages have been outpacing inflation for years. That has shifted. I don’t think inflation is in the rear view mirror yet.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,991 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @brad31 said:
    Not sure on rates. People have a short memory but the Fed rate has an.average 5.71% from 1971 to 2023 and the 30 year mortgage rate has an average of 7.74%. Nearly free money was not going to last forever. Inflation is difficult to curb.

    The cost of labor is up forever and we all will have to pay for that. Wages have been outpacing inflation for years. That has shifted. I don’t think inflation is in the rear view mirror yet.

    I don't think that most folks fully understand the full effects of inflation. For example if everything in life you need to buy goes up 10% in price, and your card collection increases 10% in price, all things being equal, your card collection really didn't gain any value, even though on paper it appears that way.

    The killer of course is inflation occurring and card values or whatever collectible it is, doesn't rise in the same percentage. Same as the previous example, if inflation rises 10% but your cards remain the same, then you've lost value.

    Fortunately, at least with a good number of key, high grade, PSA cards, the values over the years have generally outpaced inflation, and in some cases have been spectacular investments.

  • olb31olb31 Posts: 3,350 ✭✭✭✭✭

    countdouglas

    No doubt there are some people who have done better, but far more are worse off, thus the declining card prices. In 2021, after all the stimuluses were handed out card prices went through the roof, but for the last year and a half at least most prices are down, some significantly. The Real Estate market is practically zilch or worse. Affordable new home construction no longer exists because of regulations, costs of land, etc.

    I bought my first house (interest rate was 7%) for 86,000. Nice first house split level, totally finished. That same house today (30 years later) would sell for $225,000 ( same rate 7%). Median income where I live is around $45,000 up about $6,000 from 1993. You do the math. People can't afford basic simple living.

    These same people are the ones that help make the card industry thrive. Losing them, hurts the card industry. Personally I am with countdouglas, I'm doing ok, but my town/city is not doing better.

    Work hard and you will succeed!!
  • AhmanfanAhmanfan Posts: 4,389 ✭✭✭✭

    @UFFDAH said:

    • Never pay a commission to an auction company to sell your stuff. Make sure that has been eliminated from your consignment agreement
    • Always negotiate for a piece of the standard 20% Buyers Premium. If you are consigning over some juicy stuff you should at a minimum get the Hammer Price + 5% = 1.05
    • If you are consigning juicy high ticket/feature item stuff push for even higher. Push for 1.10 +

    Uffdah, do they usually look at per piece or total of consignment? Would one 50k piece be easier for me to move the needle rather that 10 5k pieces? Or about the same?
    Thx

    Collecting
    HOF SIGNED FOOTBALL RCS
  • gemintgemint Posts: 6,101 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @brad31 said:
    Not sure on rates. People have a short memory but the Fed rate has an.average 5.71% from 1971 to 2023 and the 30 year mortgage rate has an average of 7.74%. Nearly free money was not going to last forever. Inflation is difficult to curb.

    The cost of labor is up forever and we all will have to pay for that. Wages have been outpacing inflation for years. That has shifted. I don’t think inflation is in the rear view mirror yet.

    I don't think that most folks fully understand the full effects of inflation. For example if everything in life you need to buy goes up 10% in price, and your card collection increases 10% in price, all things being equal, your card collection really didn't gain any value, even though on paper it appears that way.

    The killer of course is inflation occurring and card values or whatever collectible it is, doesn't rise in the same percentage. Same as the previous example, if inflation rises 10% but your cards remain the same, then you've lost value.

    Fortunately, at least with a good number of key, high grade, PSA cards, the values over the years have generally outpaced inflation, and in some cases have been spectacular investments.

    For your example, you're probably actually losing money. Here's why. Let's say you paid $1000 for a card. Inflation increases 10% and the card's value increases 10% to $1100. Since the card kept pace with inflation, you are basically at break even. Yet the IRS considers this a $100 gain with taxes due. You would have been better off having the card stay at the purchase price and be able to see it without taxable gains. Of course I'm ignoring selling costs in this example but it makes my point in a simple way.

  • jayhawkejayhawke Posts: 1,306 ✭✭✭

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    Dow closed at an all time high. You must be in a money market account.

  • jayhawkejayhawke Posts: 1,306 ✭✭✭

    @olb31 said:
    countdouglas

    No doubt there are some people who have done better, but far more are worse off, thus the declining card prices. In 2021, after all the stimuluses were handed out card prices went through the roof, but for the last year and a half at least most prices are down, some significantly. The Real Estate market is practically zilch or worse. Affordable new home construction no longer exists because of regulations, costs of land, etc.

    I bought my first house (interest rate was 7%) for 86,000. Nice first house split level, totally finished. That same house today (30 years later) would sell for $225,000 ( same rate 7%). Median income where I live is around $45,000 up about $6,000 from 1993. You do the math. People can't afford basic simple living.

    These same people are the ones that help make the card industry thrive. Losing them, hurts the card industry. Personally I am with countdouglas, I'm doing ok, but my town/city is not doing better.

    People were locked in their homes and had vacation money to spend on cards.

  • coolstanleycoolstanley Posts: 2,863 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 15, 2023 7:39PM

    Americans right now owe a record $1.079 trillion in credit card debt. Add that with millions of new illegals in the last 3 years, and 40 year high inflation, its no wonder why sales in collectibles have been flat the last couple years.

    Terry Bradshaw was AMAZING!!

    Ignore list -Basebal21

  • jordangretzkyfanjordangretzkyfan Posts: 2,451 ✭✭✭✭✭

    What did people think would happen when the last administration printed $3 trillion in funny money from June 2020 through March 2021 while simultaneously sending 70% of the workforce home? Fake money and a stagnant GDP leads to rampant inflation, just ask Venezuela. It has taken 3 years to dig out of that economic disaster and curb the 11%+ inflation triggered by that decision. The proverbial can was literally kicked down the road and here we are.

    Economies take time to stabilize when you screw up on that epic level. Thankfully the COVID impact was global and not only in the US. We are pacing the recovery since we were among the first countries to open back up, so unemployment remains among all time lows which is preventing a great recession. To dig out, Americans will have to continue to be more productive to get back to prosperity. The challenge is that no one wants to work and innovate after that paid vacation, so our country’s productivity is stuck in neutral. This is why middle class is languishing and treading water. Have to innovate to eat. Cannot run the same playbook and expect different results.

    This parallels why the overproduced segment of the hobby (junk wax era and current post COVID boom overproduction) have sunk like a stone, and high end vintage and elite modern rarities continue to hold value. Those who are leading the innovation continue to earn more and spend record prices on cards. Those that run the same playbook are struggling to keep up. One of the many reasons a free economy is where everyone wants to live. The immigrants aren’t coming here for welfare (they would be far better off in Canada)….they are here for opportunity because they are hungry and have never had a prosperous paid vacation.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,991 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @jayhawke said:

    @stevek said:
    The stock market up nicely today. I'm not going to get into politics, but if certain things happen around a year from now, and folks would in the future be making more money in a very prosperous economy, I think cards would be an extremely sound investment.

    Some key cards might go to the moon.

    Dow closed at an all time high. You must be in a money market account.

    Nope, only stocks and mutuals.

    And of course cards and coins. 😎

  • 1948_Swell_Robinson1948_Swell_Robinson Posts: 1,923 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 16, 2023 1:34PM

    What did people think would happen when the last administration printed $3 trillion in funny money from June 2020 through March 2021 while simultaneously sending 70% of the workforce home? Fake money and a stagnant GDP leads to rampant inflation, just ask Venezuela. It has taken 3 years to dig out of that economic disaster and curb the 11%+ inflation triggered by that decision. The proverbial can was literally kicked down the road and here we are.

    Economies take time to stabilize when you screw up on that epic level. Thankfully the COVID impact was global and not only in the US. We are pacing the recovery since we were among the first countries to open back up, so unemployment remains among all time lows which is preventing a great recession. To dig out, Americans will have to continue to be more productive to get back to prosperity. The challenge is that no one wants to work and innovate after that paid vacation, so our country’s productivity is stuck in neutral. This is why middle class is languishing and treading water. Have to innovate to eat. Cannot run the same playbook and expect different results.

    This parallels why the overproduced segment of the hobby (junk wax era and current post COVID boom overproduction) have sunk like a stone, and high end vintage and elite modern rarities continue to hold value. Those who are leading the innovation continue to earn more and spend record prices on cards. Those that run the same playbook are struggling to keep up. One of the many reasons a free economy is where everyone wants to live. The immigrants aren’t coming here for welfare (they would be far better off in Canada)….they are here for opportunity because they are hungry and have never had a prosperous paid vacation.

    The country was shut down at the very beginning, and then half the states (all with one thing in common) kept it shut down while other states opened quickly, Those leaders of THOSE states made people lose their jobs and shut down industries. They hurt student growth.. They had ill advised mask mandates that did not work. They did this all in the name of covid and none of it stopped covid.

    Take a look at the spending bills passed in 2021/22.

    Sure, oil is still being pumped in the US at a high level, but with how many costly regulations, and it could still be produced more, and certainly more efficiently.

    But more importantly it is the inability to have any influence over OPEC that has made energy costs and gas prices surge worldwide the last few years, and that is the main cause for the spike in prices for everything that is produced or transported on something that requires energy(which is EVERYTHING bought and sold).

    OPEC knows that some want to go green so they have no desire to pump more oil and that affects gas prices.

    The bad players in the world are currently having their way and that hurt as well.

    Yes, the DOW is high etc, but is being carried by some astronomical prices of some stocks while many are back to near covid lows. So unless someone is lucky to have hit the lottery on those few stocks, most are seeing stagnation or loss in those investments while prices and cost surge.

    We are told that prices are high for food because of an increase in demand after COVID. Really? People didn't eat during COVID? The demand for milk, eggs, steak...anything, did NOT spike after covid. It was the same. So it wasn't demand that caused prices to rise.

    Supply chain issues were also a big factor but those issues were made from strict Covid and energy policies by some of our states. Yes, other countries did the same thing, and those leaders did the same thing...and caused prices to spike everywhere

  • mintonlyplsmintonlypls Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited December 16, 2023 7:30AM

    This thread is a train wreck…crash and burn. All aboard!

    mint_only_pls
  • jayhawkejayhawke Posts: 1,306 ✭✭✭

    Gas is so cheap now, I have more money for vintage cards. Keeping this thread on track.

This discussion has been closed.