Anyone here see where an amateur golfer had to relieve himself in a stream on the course? When you gotta go you gotta go. He will not be penalized for the act.
Rahm off to a rough start. Lost his patience as well. And will lose the event.
Bubba Watson at age 46 up the leaderboard early.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
i didn't necessarily want to do this, but it's the right thing to do. a small hedge going into the final round. if Rory doesn't win, roughly +330. if he does, roughly +700. when you have an ugly figure like mine, you take the guaranteed profit.
elsewhere, Morikawa came through for me once already, and he has a chance to do it again tomorrow.
the fugly figure below is going to shrink, it's only a matter of by how much. this could end up being a good Masters for me, which was sorely needed.
I figured you might be thinking about cashing out on that bet. Yes, Rory has a two stroke lead, but he's got some tough hombres behind him who are certainly capable of getting hot. Rory could pull away, or if he messes up a hole or two, he could relinquish that lead.
I'm sure you looked at the cash-out option to just close out a winning bet, versus the hedge option. Either way, considering the amount of money involved, and other factors, I think you made a wise decision.
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
My Masters plays. Drum roll please🥁. All $5. Win:Xander,Dechambeau,Rahm. Top 20:Xander, Dechambeau,Rahm,Conners,Fleetwood,Hatton, Bezuidehout. Total play $50.
Some excellent handicapping from you and Galaxy. You've got Dechambeau and Conners mentioned who are in second and third place.
I'm sure you looked at the cash-out option to just close out a winning bet, versus the hedge option. Either way, considering the amount of money involved, and other factors, I think you made a wise decision.
no such option for me, unfortunately. i'm just a lowly Texan using an offshore, but reputable, sportsbook that etches my wagers in granite. i can play fantasy sports on DK all day long, but if i try to step inside the sportsbook there i get my wrists slapped. and based on what i've seen from perk's action, you can cash out all day long if you so choose.
as for tomorrow, i'm going to go out on a limb and say that the ratings may shatter records. Rory & DeChambeau in the final pairing, with the potential for the former to join Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus, and Tiger Woods in one of the most exclusive and prestigious clubs around -- the very few who have completed the career Grand Slam. the pressure on McIlroy is going to be immense. as i said previously, he hasn't won a major in over a decade, and this is the one that will complete the salami. problem for him is, there's a shark lurking right behind him who has the pedigree to suck him up. if Rory doesn't seal the deal it's going to be dejection the likes of which haven't been seen before in the world of golf. it's either going to be the absolute best day he has ever had on a golf course, or the worst. there will be no in-between.
I know it will never happen but I would really like to walk the Augusta course just once. A leisurely walk on a cool but sunny day begining around 1-2 PM on a late April day. Just to soak in it's scenery while reminiscing about all of it's majestic history as the sun begins to fade.
But it would have to begin with a "Hello Friends" from Jim Nance.😀
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
My Masters plays. Drum roll please🥁. All $5. Win:Xander,Dechambeau,Rahm. Top 20:Xander, Dechambeau,Rahm,Conners,Fleetwood,Hatton, Bezuidehout. Total play $50.
Some excellent handicapping from you and Galaxy. You've got Dechambeau and Conners mentioned who are in second and third place.
Surprises me a bit that offshore book doesn't offer a cash-out option. I can guess who it probably is. If not "B", then one or two others who have "decent" reputations. I'd still be careful with offshore books. I've read too many stories about folks hitting on very large bets, say five figures, etc, and either not getting paid or getting paid less than expected. The book conjures up lame reasons why they won't pay you. And legally there's absolutely nothing you can do about it. They basically own the legal system in their country of origin, and there is no US law jurisdiction to prosecute any US lawsuit against them.
Definitely never keep a large account balance with them, and I do mean never. If ya have a nice hit of say a couple thou or more, I'd transfer it the yell out of there as soon as possible. Get it safely into your bank account.
Back to the cash-out option. Companies such as DK, FD, etc, absolutely dwarf the size of any offshore book, it's not even remotely close. My guess is that cash-out software must be very expensive to buy and maintain, thus the offshore books simply can't afford it, or they would surely offer it. My calculations have been on the average, a book grabs another approximate 10% juice on a cash-out. So there's no reason a bookie wouldn't offer it, if they could afford to install it.
Frankly, cashing out too often gives the bookies an insurmountable house edge in the long run. Almost always, you're better off letting a bet play-out, and so there's only the juice on the original bet, and not more juice on the cash-out. But as mentioned, in a case such as the described golf bet, it may be worth the extra juice to enjoy a sure thing winner.
The news story didn't mention any name, but it stated that today a new record had been set by a fan consuming the most nitroglycerin pills during a sports event. 😉
Surprises me a bit that offshore book doesn't offer a cash-out option. I can guess who it probably is. If not "B", then one or two others who have "decent" reputations. I'd still be careful with offshore books. I've read too many stories about folks hitting on very large bets, say five figures, etc, and either not getting paid or getting paid less than expected. The book conjures up lame reasons why they won't pay you. And legally there's absolutely nothing you can do about it. They basically own the legal system in their country of origin, and there is no US law jurisdiction to prosecute any US lawsuit against them.
Definitely never keep a large account balance with them, and I do mean never. If ya have a nice hit of say a couple thou or more, I'd transfer it the yell out of there as soon as possible. Get it safely into your bank account.
Back to the cash-out option. Companies such as DK, FD, etc, absolutely dwarf the size of any offshore book, it's not even remotely close. My guess is that cash-out software must be very expensive to buy and maintain, thus the offshore books simply can't afford it, or they would surely offer it. My calculations have been on the average, a book grabs another approximate 10% juice on a cash-out. So there's no reason a bookie wouldn't offer it, if they could afford to install it.
Frankly, cashing out too often gives the bookies an insurmountable house edge in the long run. Almost always, you're better off letting a bet play-out, and so there's only the juice on the original bet, and not more juice on the cash-out. But as mentioned, in a case such as the described golf bet, it may be worth the extra juice to enjoy a sure thing winner.
good advice and i don't disagree with anything you said. i did my due diligence before i decided on this one. luckily unluckily for me, i haven't had the "problems" you alluded to. no 5-fig wins here..........i've been paying their light bill. but when i have withdrawn money, it has been seamless.
Surprises me a bit that offshore book doesn't offer a cash-out option. I can guess who it probably is. If not "B", then one or two others who have "decent" reputations. I'd still be careful with offshore books. I've read too many stories about folks hitting on very large bets, say five figures, etc, and either not getting paid or getting paid less than expected. The book conjures up lame reasons why they won't pay you. And legally there's absolutely nothing you can do about it. They basically own the legal system in their country of origin, and there is no US law jurisdiction to prosecute any US lawsuit against them.
Definitely never keep a large account balance with them, and I do mean never. If ya have a nice hit of say a couple thou or more, I'd transfer it the yell out of there as soon as possible. Get it safely into your bank account.
Back to the cash-out option. Companies such as DK, FD, etc, absolutely dwarf the size of any offshore book, it's not even remotely close. My guess is that cash-out software must be very expensive to buy and maintain, thus the offshore books simply can't afford it, or they would surely offer it. My calculations have been on the average, a book grabs another approximate 10% juice on a cash-out. So there's no reason a bookie wouldn't offer it, if they could afford to install it.
Frankly, cashing out too often gives the bookies an insurmountable house edge in the long run. Almost always, you're better off letting a bet play-out, and so there's only the juice on the original bet, and not more juice on the cash-out. But as mentioned, in a case such as the described golf bet, it may be worth the extra juice to enjoy a sure thing winner.
good advice and i don't disagree with anything you said. i did my due diligence before i decided on this one. luckily unluckily for me, i haven't had the "problems" you alluded to. no 5-fig wins here..........i've been paying their light bill. but when i have withdrawn money, it has been seamless.
It's interesting that Texas doesn't allow sports betting. I have watched a number of times on Youtube, the Doug Polk owned poker show from the "Lodge", that is located in Texas. They aren't exactly playing for match sticks. Texas also for a long time has had horse racing tracks with pari-mutuel wagering.
Surprising because Texas has always had a "gambling spirit" with all the wildcatting for oil, etc. Independent as well. Most Americans probably don't know that Texas was once actually its own country.
Bottom line - it's infinitely better to have Americans gambling in America, than at some offshore site. Keep the money in this country. And not risk having somebody who finally hits on a huge score at an offshore site, but the offshore site conjures up some ridiculous lying excuse not to pay him. Them doing that is not an isolated incident by any means.
It's interesting that Texas doesn't allow sports betting.
It is not surprising. The people in charge of Texas are the same ones currently in charge in DC. These folks fervently believe they should be able to do whatever they want. Conversely, they also believe that other folks should only be able to do what the current folks in charge believe is right or proper It is an odd take on freedom but not particularly surprising.
That said, they will eventually see the light on sports gambling because there is too much revenue being lost for the state.
@fergie23 said: It's interesting that Texas doesn't allow sports betting.
It is not surprising. The people in charge of Texas are the same ones currently in charge in DC. These folks fervently believe they should be able to do whatever they want. Conversely, they also believe that other folks should only be able to do what the current folks in charge believe is right or proper It is an odd take on freedom but not particularly surprising.
That said, they will eventually see the light on sports gambling because there is too much revenue being lost for the state.
Robb
Your premise is understood, and I'm not going there for reasons you should know. Suffice to say that your conclusion is incorrect, because California does not allow DK or FD either.
I only mentioned Texas because Galaxy is from there and posts often in this thread. The bottom line is every state has its various reasons for legalizing or not legalizing sports betting, that can sometimes be quite convoluted.
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Produced a small profit, $3, on my Masters play. Regardless, a win is a win. Was surprised no splits on my 5 winning top 20 plays.
That's good. But now the pressure is on ya to call another cold Kentucky Derby winner. 😉
Working on it. May even box an exact. Tough to narrow it down now with an unknown track condition. My play would be based on a fast track. If track comes up muddy/sloppy it's anyone's guess so my play would be limited. Closers in that case are up against it as they pick up 8-16 pounds of track material by end of race. Jockeys will have 6-9 pairs of goggles to flip up during such a race condition.
As it stands now there are 2-4 speedsters that should guarantee an honest pace for closers to dig into. However if one gets loose and dictates a slow
pace up front, closers will have a tough time closing off pedestrian fractions. There is always one or two anxious jockeys who decide to gun it out of the gate that you were not aware of them doing this before race time. Usually a first time jockey and his lack of nerve/experience. Trying to give the owners something to get excited about .
Have a few closers in mind as well.
Derby week will have a better idea on the weather.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
RBC golf plays this week. Top 20 Cauley, Fleetwood, Bezuidehout, Straka. Top 10 and top 20 Xander. $5 each play. Delete top 20 Xander and switch to Horshel.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Produced a small profit, $3, on my Masters play. Regardless, a win is a win. Was surprised no splits on my 5 winning top 20 plays.
That's good. But now the pressure is on ya to call another cold Kentucky Derby winner. 😉
Working on it. May even box an exact. Tough to narrow it down now with an unknown track condition. My play would be based on a fast track. If track comes up muddy/sloppy it's anyone's guess so my play would be limited. Closers in that case are up against it as they pick up 8-16 pounds of track material by end of race. Jockeys will have 6-9 pairs of goggles to flip up during such a race condition.
As it stands now there are 2-4 speedsters that should guarantee an honest pace for closers to dig into. However if one gets loose and dictates a slow
pace up front, closers will have a tough time closing off pedestrian fractions. There is always one or two anxious jockeys who decide to gun it out of the gate that you were not aware of them doing this before race time. Usually a first time jockey and his lack of nerve/experience. Trying to give the owners something to get excited about .
Have a few closers in mind as well.
Derby week will have a better idea on the weather.
Very interesting analysis. I can see why you are good at picking winners in the big races.
Frankly, I always thought the "mudders" angle was overrated. I've read where yes, very rarely a horse is born with a certain type of hoof confirmation, that may enable it a better grip on a muddy track. However, I've never viewed it as anything definitive. That being said, there is a theory that a muddy track may help a horse that is a bit lame. The softer footing because of the mud, makes it less painful for it to run.
I've never observed any definitive info that shows favorites or longshots doing any better or worse on a sloppy/muddy track. The interesting thing I have observed that a track drying out from the rain, over say the next day of the meet, I have noticed form reversals there. That phenomenon does seem to influence how a horse runs. But the influence in my opinion is that the track may dry out differently depending on a number of factors. One time the inside may be fast, and another time the inside may be a quagmire. The better jockeys do pick-up on this, and when possible, place their mounts accordingly throughout the race.
My best winning days at the track were usually a drying out track, especially during the winter time, when "freezing" plays into it as well. My best score ever was a card at Garden State Park. It was obvious after a race or two, that the inside was lightening fast. I just played and boxed exactas with inside posts, didn't even bother handicapping that much, and had a pocket full of money by the end of the day.
Of course the problem with horse racing, is those type of conditions are few and far between, and the humongous takeout from each race, makes it realistically an impossibility to make money in the long run when someone is a railbird.
I like the way you do it, just put a few dollars on a horse once in awhile and have some fun. The regulars who frequently go to the track, always wind-up getting slaughtered. No exceptions.
I've got nothing against Nick Dunlap, but there he is again, dead last.
Perhaps he should try pickleball? LOL
having played most sports at one time or another in my lifetime, i can safely say there is no bigger mindf*** than golf. a golf swing is such an intricate movement, with a fraction of an inch resulting in compromised distance/accuracy. then when you get to the green you're dealing with very delicate strokes that require a deft touch and nerves of steel. toss in a pressurized moment and all of a sudden your body and brain are put to the ultimate test......over and over again.
look at Rory last Sunday. the guy was hitting shots that made him look like an all-time great, which he is, but he also manifested just how difficult the sport can be. his third shot on #13 when he dumped a lob wedge into Rae's Creek is one such example. arguably the worst shot of his career at the most inopportune time. golf got him in that instance. but to his credit -- and it's why he's now a member of the elusive grand slam club -- he kept persevering. his resiliency was something to behold. he fought the golf demons tooth and nail and won.
no one mastered the sport quite like Tiger in his prime. the guy made an exceedingly difficult sport look easy on a regular basis. and by regular basis i mean years upon years. he had the obvious skill set and talent to hit the right golf shots time and again, but that was accomplished because no one was tougher between the ears than him. he was such a competitive warrior that it placed him in a class by himself, a la Jordan. there will never be another Tiger Woods.
success in golf is reached by few, and even fewer are able to sustain it. most tour players are JAGs. the ones that aren't have a difficult time staying on top. look no further than Scheffler. he's been on a Tiger-esque tear the past couple of years, yet here we are almost 4 months into the '25 season and he hasn't won't a tournament. it is not easy.
Dunlap is in the midst of realizing just how tough the sport can be. shooting 90 at the Masters is about a humiliating as it can possibly get for a tour player. but do you know what he came back and did in round #2? he actually broke par, which is quite extraordinary all things considered. something to build upon heading into the next tourney, right? nope, back to DFL after round one of the RBC. it's golf's world and you're just living in it, Nick.
a lot of people don't view golf as an actual sport that tests your physical and mental abilities.......then they go play themselves and quickly pivot on that thought. why do you think so many pro athletes from other sports gravitate toward it? because it provides the ultimate challenge......and athletes love a good challenge.
I've got nothing against Nick Dunlap, but there he is again, dead last.
Perhaps he should try pickleball? LOL
having played most sports at one time or another in my lifetime, i can safely say there is no bigger mindf*** than golf. a golf swing is such an intricate movement, with a fraction of an inch resulting in compromised distance/accuracy. then when you get to the green you're dealing with very delicate strokes that require a deft touch and nerves of steel. toss in a pressurized moment and all of a sudden your body and brain are put to the ultimate test......over and over again.
look at Rory last Sunday. the guy was hitting shots that made him look like an all-time great, which he is, but he also manifested just how difficult the sport can be. his third shot on #13 when he dumped a lob wedge into Rae's Creek is one such example. arguably the worst shot of his career at the most inopportune time. golf got him in that instance. but to his credit -- and it's why he's now a member of the elusive grand slam club -- he kept persevering. his resiliency was something to behold. he fought the golf demons tooth and nail and won.
no one mastered the sport quite like Tiger in his prime. the guy made an exceedingly difficult sport look easy on a regular basis. and by regular basis i mean years upon years. he had the obvious skill set and talent to hit the right golf shots time and again, but that was accomplished because no one was tougher between the ears than him. he was such a competitive warrior that it placed him in a class by himself, a la Jordan. there will never be another Tiger Woods.
success in golf is reached by few, and even fewer are able to sustain it. most tour players are JAGs. the ones that aren't have a difficult time staying on top. look no further than Scheffler. he's been on a Tiger-esque tear the past couple of years, yet here we are almost 4 months into the '25 season and he hasn't won't a tournament. it is not easy.
Dunlap is in the midst of realizing just how tough the sport can be. shooting 90 at the Masters is about a humiliating as it can possibly get for a tour player. but do you know what he came back and did in round #2? he actually broke par, which is quite extraordinary all things considered. something to build upon heading into the next tourney, right? nope, back to DFL after round one of the RBC. it's golf's world and you're just living in it, Nick.
a lot of people don't view golf as an actual sport that tests your physical and mental abilities.......then they go play themselves and quickly pivot on that thought. why do you think so many pro athletes from other sports gravitate toward it? because it provides the ultimate challenge......and athletes love a good challenge.
You're exactly right, and frankly there are a number of golfers who play a lot, who still don't fully understand the game. Especially those who get hustled.
You mentioned Jordan. Without a doubt, he is one of the greatest marks in golf history. I'm guessing because he figures that since he was so great in one sport, that he should be great in golf as well. That mind frame has gotten him hustled out of many millions of dollars over the years, by inferior athletes compared to him, but superior golfers. Jordan should have learned his lesson about this when he tried playing professional baseball.
Your comment about "no bigger mindf" is spot on. I've only played golf around 100 times, which as you know, isn't all that much. But I enjoyed often going to the range and hitting a bucket of balls, sometimes two buckets. I mentioned playing that LPGA course. My long game and middle game, was probably on a near professional level. My favorite club was a 3 iron, and I was deadly with it. But woe is me, the short game. No sense getting into details, but dam I seemed to be able to read a green just fine, but couldn't come close to mastering the skill necessary to succeed at it, at anywhere close to a high level. With sand traps, I might as well be playing on the beach - LOL.
All that being said, In my view from the many sports I have played, hitting a baseball (hardball) is the toughest thing to do in sports.
I'm just having some fun with Dunlap. To get to a level of playing in the Masters, or even just a regular PGA event, a player has to have tons of talent. Dunlap obviously has that or he wouldn't be there.
My long game and middle game, was probably on a near professional level.
Have you ever played with a pro before? I was a low single digit handicap and played some rounds with several PGA tour pros (Justin Leonard, JJ Spaun, and a few others). They are all so good off the tee and with their irons that it is truly unbelievable. It was especially evident when there is basically no pressure on them.
Suffice to say that your conclusion is incorrect
Having had lived in Texas for many years, my conclusion is spot on regardless of what the loonies in CA allow.
@fergie23 said: My long game and middle game, was probably on a near professional level.
Have you ever played with a pro before? I was a low single digit handicap and played some rounds with several PGA tour pros (Justin Leonard, JJ Spaun, and a few others). They are all so good off the tee and with their irons that it is truly unbelievable. It was especially evident when there is basically no pressure on them.
Suffice to say that your conclusion is incorrect
Having had lived in Texas for many years, my conclusion is spot on regardless of what the loonies in CA allow.
Robb
I never played with a Pro. But good for you.
I made the comment because I virtually never missed a fairway. Once on the fairway, I usually did with the 3 iron exactly what I wanted to do. Wasn't bad with a 3 wood either, but I preferred the iron for better accuracy. Also, I practiced on the range probably more than most ever did. I had that swing down to a science. Not that I enjoyed the game of golf so much, I enjoyed other sports better. However I found going to the range to be a great stress reliever after a hard day at work. Sometimes i even went there during the day. Never told the boss that though - LOL.
I once in a while wonder how good I may have been if I had practiced my short game, in the same manner of devotion as the long game. However for a number of reasons, I don't think it would have mattered as far as getting to a pro level. I was always a good athlete, but I don't think I had quite the extreme dexterity necessary for the short game to succeed at a high level, so I figured why waste the time trying? I can't recall ever practicing putting once in my entire life, too boring.
I didn't post this because I wasn't all that confident in it. But I did catch 6 out of 7 MLB games ML including two miraculous 9th inning comebacks with the Rays and Rangers, the Rays winning in extra innings. The only game i lost was the Pirates losing 3-0.
No complaints, because at one point it looked like it was gonna be a lousy 3 out of 7 day, as I also had the Red Sox who did manage to squeak out an extra inning win for me.
But the call I was gonna make here was a 7 team parlay, each game with a +3.5 run line alternative. The Pirates game would have been a winner by 1/2 a run. The odds would have been short, it wouldn't have been a monster parlay, but it still would have been fun to hit. Unfortunately, I didn't test to see what it would have paid. Oh well. 🤷♂️
@stevek said:
I didn't post this because I wasn't all that confident in it. But I did catch 6 out of 7 MLB games ML including two miraculous 9th inning comebacks with the Rays and Rangers, the Rays winning in extra innings. The only game i lost was the Pirates losing 3-0.
No complaints, because at one point it looked like it was gonna be a lousy 3 out of 7 day, as I also had the Red Sox who did manage to squeak out an extra inning win for me.
But the call I was gonna make here was a 7 team parlay, each game with a +3.5 run line alternative. The Pirates game would have been a winner by 1/2 a run. The odds would have been short, it wouldn't have been a monster parlay, but it still would have been fun to hit. Unfortunately, I didn't test to see what it would have paid. Oh well. 🤷♂️
Well, I just punched in the same 7 team parlay, +3.5 "run line alternative", for today's games. Figuring they are again playing the same teams, so overall the odds should be about the same.
This 7 team parlay for $10 is only paying $18.90. IE only a $8.90 profit for hitting 7 games? A lot lower than I thought it would be. However now I don't feel so bad that I didn't play it. LOL
Took a dip in my golf plays. About a $10 loss. Scored with Fleetwood and Straka.
Not bad for 4 days of action. Xander came up 2 strokes short for my top 10 play and Horshel short by 1 stroke. Cauley a late run Sunday came up short as well.
NASCAR Talledega this week,home of the "big one", wreck's. Will have a play on this as well as the upcoming Kentucky Derby.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Comments
Anyone here see where an amateur golfer had to relieve himself in a stream on the course? When you gotta go you gotta go. He will not be penalized for the act.
Rahm off to a rough start. Lost his patience as well. And will lose the event.
Bubba Watson at age 46 up the leaderboard early.
Rahm just snuck in under the wire to make the cut. Shaping up for a good final 2 rounds
I saw where Dunlap couldn't afford bus fare to get home.
So i wired him $10 to help out, just because that's the nice guy that I am.
Well the cream is certainly rising to the top in this tourney, at least the names I'm familiar with. It's the Masters, no big surprise.
Scottie sitting there ready to pounce. Although he's got some tough bodies to climb over, so I'm not sure if he will get there.
I agree, should be a good final 2 rounds.
I like the Phillies ML in the 2:00 game.
I like the Yankees ML a little bit in the 3:00 game.
Phillies ML-Yankees ML parlay.
Why not? LOL
i didn't necessarily want to do this, but it's the right thing to do. a small hedge going into the final round. if Rory doesn't win, roughly +330. if he does, roughly +700. when you have an ugly figure like mine, you take the guaranteed profit.
elsewhere, Morikawa came through for me once already, and he has a chance to do it again tomorrow.
the fugly figure below is going to shrink, it's only a matter of by how much. this could end up being a good Masters for me, which was sorely needed.
-5361.17
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I figured you might be thinking about cashing out on that bet. Yes, Rory has a two stroke lead, but he's got some tough hombres behind him who are certainly capable of getting hot. Rory could pull away, or if he messes up a hole or two, he could relinquish that lead.
I'm sure you looked at the cash-out option to just close out a winning bet, versus the hedge option. Either way, considering the amount of money involved, and other factors, I think you made a wise decision.
Some excellent handicapping from you and Galaxy. You've got Dechambeau and Conners mentioned who are in second and third place.
Winner:
Rory McIlroy -200
Bryson DeChambeau +250
Corey Conners +1800
no such option for me, unfortunately. i'm just a lowly Texan using an offshore, but reputable, sportsbook that etches my wagers in granite. i can play fantasy sports on DK all day long, but if i try to step inside the sportsbook there i get my wrists slapped. and based on what i've seen from perk's action, you can cash out all day long if you so choose.
as for tomorrow, i'm going to go out on a limb and say that the ratings may shatter records. Rory & DeChambeau in the final pairing, with the potential for the former to join Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus, and Tiger Woods in one of the most exclusive and prestigious clubs around -- the very few who have completed the career Grand Slam. the pressure on McIlroy is going to be immense. as i said previously, he hasn't won a major in over a decade, and this is the one that will complete the salami. problem for him is, there's a shark lurking right behind him who has the pedigree to suck him up. if Rory doesn't seal the deal it's going to be dejection the likes of which haven't been seen before in the world of golf. it's either going to be the absolute best day he has ever had on a golf course, or the worst. there will be no in-between.
it's going to be great theater
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I know it will never happen but I would really like to walk the Augusta course just once. A leisurely walk on a cool but sunny day begining around 1-2 PM on a late April day. Just to soak in it's scenery while reminiscing about all of it's majestic history as the sun begins to fade.
But it would have to begin with a "Hello Friends" from Jim Nance.😀
Have Bryson to win,at 18-1, and top 20 placing. And top 20 with Connors. Also some other top 20 plays still alive.
I don't mind losing but the Dodgers getting blanked? really?
Surprises me a bit that offshore book doesn't offer a cash-out option. I can guess who it probably is. If not "B", then one or two others who have "decent" reputations. I'd still be careful with offshore books. I've read too many stories about folks hitting on very large bets, say five figures, etc, and either not getting paid or getting paid less than expected. The book conjures up lame reasons why they won't pay you. And legally there's absolutely nothing you can do about it. They basically own the legal system in their country of origin, and there is no US law jurisdiction to prosecute any US lawsuit against them.
Definitely never keep a large account balance with them, and I do mean never. If ya have a nice hit of say a couple thou or more, I'd transfer it the yell out of there as soon as possible. Get it safely into your bank account.
Back to the cash-out option. Companies such as DK, FD, etc, absolutely dwarf the size of any offshore book, it's not even remotely close. My guess is that cash-out software must be very expensive to buy and maintain, thus the offshore books simply can't afford it, or they would surely offer it. My calculations have been on the average, a book grabs another approximate 10% juice on a cash-out. So there's no reason a bookie wouldn't offer it, if they could afford to install it.
Frankly, cashing out too often gives the bookies an insurmountable house edge in the long run. Almost always, you're better off letting a bet play-out, and so there's only the juice on the original bet, and not more juice on the cash-out. But as mentioned, in a case such as the described golf bet, it may be worth the extra juice to enjoy a sure thing winner.
The news story didn't mention any name, but it stated that today a new record had been set by a fan consuming the most nitroglycerin pills during a sports event. 😉
good advice and i don't disagree with anything you said. i did my due diligence before i decided on this one. luckily unluckily for me, i haven't had the "problems" you alluded to. no 5-fig wins here..........i've been paying their light bill. but when i have withdrawn money, it has been seamless.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
It's interesting that Texas doesn't allow sports betting. I have watched a number of times on Youtube, the Doug Polk owned poker show from the "Lodge", that is located in Texas. They aren't exactly playing for match sticks. Texas also for a long time has had horse racing tracks with pari-mutuel wagering.
Surprising because Texas has always had a "gambling spirit" with all the wildcatting for oil, etc. Independent as well. Most Americans probably don't know that Texas was once actually its own country.
Bottom line - it's infinitely better to have Americans gambling in America, than at some offshore site. Keep the money in this country. And not risk having somebody who finally hits on a huge score at an offshore site, but the offshore site conjures up some ridiculous lying excuse not to pay him. Them doing that is not an isolated incident by any means.
I like the Braves ML a little bit in the 7:00 game.
I like the Twins ML a little bit in the 7:30 game.
I like the Tigers ML in the 7:30 game.
It's interesting that Texas doesn't allow sports betting.
It is not surprising. The people in charge of Texas are the same ones currently in charge in DC. These folks fervently believe they should be able to do whatever they want. Conversely, they also believe that other folks should only be able to do what the current folks in charge believe is right or proper It is an odd take on freedom but not particularly surprising.
That said, they will eventually see the light on sports gambling because there is too much revenue being lost for the state.
Robb
Your premise is understood, and I'm not going there for reasons you should know. Suffice to say that your conclusion is incorrect, because California does not allow DK or FD either.
I only mentioned Texas because Galaxy is from there and posts often in this thread. The bottom line is every state has its various reasons for legalizing or not legalizing sports betting, that can sometimes be quite convoluted.
Talk about a rear end frosta,. these jumbled numbers were k's, Total Bases and team run scored from various teams.
The Red Sox scored 1 run
Had they scored just 1 more run I would have hit for over $600 PROFIT on a $10.bet 🤬🤬🤬🤬
I like the Astros ML in the 7:45 game.
Better than losing
Produced a small profit, $3, on my Masters play. Regardless, a win is a win. Was surprised no splits on my 5 winning top 20 plays.
Dam Yankees couldn't get another run for ya.
I didn't realize that a "run line alternative" was available.
Seems like there have been more blow-outs so far this MLB season than in other seasons. Even sometimes with the dogs blowing out the favorites.
That's good. But now the pressure is on ya to call another cold Kentucky Derby winner. 😉
Working on it. May even box an exact. Tough to narrow it down now with an unknown track condition. My play would be based on a fast track. If track comes up muddy/sloppy it's anyone's guess so my play would be limited. Closers in that case are up against it as they pick up 8-16 pounds of track material by end of race. Jockeys will have 6-9 pairs of goggles to flip up during such a race condition.
As it stands now there are 2-4 speedsters that should guarantee an honest pace for closers to dig into. However if one gets loose and dictates a slow
pace up front, closers will have a tough time closing off pedestrian fractions. There is always one or two anxious jockeys who decide to gun it out of the gate that you were not aware of them doing this before race time. Usually a first time jockey and his lack of nerve/experience. Trying to give the owners something to get excited about .
Have a few closers in mind as well.
Derby week will have a better idea on the weather.
RBC golf plays this week. Top 20 Cauley, Fleetwood, Bezuidehout, Straka. Top 10 and top 20 Xander. $5 each play. Delete top 20 Xander and switch to Horshel.
I like the Braves a little bit in the 1:00 game.
Very interesting analysis. I can see why you are good at picking winners in the big races.
Frankly, I always thought the "mudders" angle was overrated. I've read where yes, very rarely a horse is born with a certain type of hoof confirmation, that may enable it a better grip on a muddy track. However, I've never viewed it as anything definitive. That being said, there is a theory that a muddy track may help a horse that is a bit lame. The softer footing because of the mud, makes it less painful for it to run.
I've never observed any definitive info that shows favorites or longshots doing any better or worse on a sloppy/muddy track. The interesting thing I have observed that a track drying out from the rain, over say the next day of the meet, I have noticed form reversals there. That phenomenon does seem to influence how a horse runs. But the influence in my opinion is that the track may dry out differently depending on a number of factors. One time the inside may be fast, and another time the inside may be a quagmire. The better jockeys do pick-up on this, and when possible, place their mounts accordingly throughout the race.
My best winning days at the track were usually a drying out track, especially during the winter time, when "freezing" plays into it as well. My best score ever was a card at Garden State Park. It was obvious after a race or two, that the inside was lightening fast. I just played and boxed exactas with inside posts, didn't even bother handicapping that much, and had a pocket full of money by the end of the day.
Of course the problem with horse racing, is those type of conditions are few and far between, and the humongous takeout from each race, makes it realistically an impossibility to make money in the long run when someone is a railbird.
I like the way you do it, just put a few dollars on a horse once in awhile and have some fun. The regulars who frequently go to the track, always wind-up getting slaughtered. No exceptions.
decided to take a week off after an almost 1k Masters. if i had dropped on the RBC, i was gonna take Patrick Cantgetlaid T20.
instead, i'll be rooting for Cauley, Fleetwood, Bezuidenhout, Straka, Xander, Horschel (blue's plays)
gl
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Yep depending on the game you can bring the run line to plus or minus 5.5 or even 6, that's as high as it usually goes.
I like the Phillies ML in the 4:00 game.
Also like the Phillies RLA +3.5 at -950.
I figure a bit of a partial saver if the Phillies lose a close game.
An appetizer if the Phillies win. LOL
Thanks. Appreciate the support.
Enjoy the time off and toast your winnings with a tall brewski or two.🍺🍺
I've got nothing against Nick Dunlap, but there he is again, dead last.
Perhaps he should try pickleball? LOL
having played most sports at one time or another in my lifetime, i can safely say there is no bigger mindf*** than golf. a golf swing is such an intricate movement, with a fraction of an inch resulting in compromised distance/accuracy. then when you get to the green you're dealing with very delicate strokes that require a deft touch and nerves of steel. toss in a pressurized moment and all of a sudden your body and brain are put to the ultimate test......over and over again.
look at Rory last Sunday. the guy was hitting shots that made him look like an all-time great, which he is, but he also manifested just how difficult the sport can be. his third shot on #13 when he dumped a lob wedge into Rae's Creek is one such example. arguably the worst shot of his career at the most inopportune time. golf got him in that instance. but to his credit -- and it's why he's now a member of the elusive grand slam club -- he kept persevering. his resiliency was something to behold. he fought the golf demons tooth and nail and won.
no one mastered the sport quite like Tiger in his prime. the guy made an exceedingly difficult sport look easy on a regular basis. and by regular basis i mean years upon years. he had the obvious skill set and talent to hit the right golf shots time and again, but that was accomplished because no one was tougher between the ears than him. he was such a competitive warrior that it placed him in a class by himself, a la Jordan. there will never be another Tiger Woods.
success in golf is reached by few, and even fewer are able to sustain it. most tour players are JAGs. the ones that aren't have a difficult time staying on top. look no further than Scheffler. he's been on a Tiger-esque tear the past couple of years, yet here we are almost 4 months into the '25 season and he hasn't won't a tournament. it is not easy.
Dunlap is in the midst of realizing just how tough the sport can be. shooting 90 at the Masters is about a humiliating as it can possibly get for a tour player. but do you know what he came back and did in round #2? he actually broke par, which is quite extraordinary all things considered. something to build upon heading into the next tourney, right? nope, back to DFL after round one of the RBC. it's golf's world and you're just living in it, Nick.
a lot of people don't view golf as an actual sport that tests your physical and mental abilities.......then they go play themselves and quickly pivot on that thought. why do you think so many pro athletes from other sports gravitate toward it? because it provides the ultimate challenge......and athletes love a good challenge.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
speaking of pro athletes who are fanatical about golf, this picture was taken at the tournament last week
who is the dude on the right?
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Saquan??
You're exactly right, and frankly there are a number of golfers who play a lot, who still don't fully understand the game. Especially those who get hustled.
You mentioned Jordan. Without a doubt, he is one of the greatest marks in golf history. I'm guessing because he figures that since he was so great in one sport, that he should be great in golf as well. That mind frame has gotten him hustled out of many millions of dollars over the years, by inferior athletes compared to him, but superior golfers. Jordan should have learned his lesson about this when he tried playing professional baseball.
Your comment about "no bigger mindf" is spot on. I've only played golf around 100 times, which as you know, isn't all that much. But I enjoyed often going to the range and hitting a bucket of balls, sometimes two buckets. I mentioned playing that LPGA course. My long game and middle game, was probably on a near professional level. My favorite club was a 3 iron, and I was deadly with it. But woe is me, the short game. No sense getting into details, but dam I seemed to be able to read a green just fine, but couldn't come close to mastering the skill necessary to succeed at it, at anywhere close to a high level. With sand traps, I might as well be playing on the beach - LOL.
All that being said, In my view from the many sports I have played, hitting a baseball (hardball) is the toughest thing to do in sports.
I'm just having some fun with Dunlap. To get to a level of playing in the Masters, or even just a regular PGA event, a player has to have tons of talent. Dunlap obviously has that or he wouldn't be there.
I'm not sure who he is, but he should have won the NFL MVP last season.
My long game and middle game, was probably on a near professional level.
Have you ever played with a pro before? I was a low single digit handicap and played some rounds with several PGA tour pros (Justin Leonard, JJ Spaun, and a few others). They are all so good off the tee and with their irons that it is truly unbelievable. It was especially evident when there is basically no pressure on them.
Suffice to say that your conclusion is incorrect
Having had lived in Texas for many years, my conclusion is spot on regardless of what the loonies in CA allow.
Robb
I never played with a Pro. But good for you.
I made the comment because I virtually never missed a fairway. Once on the fairway, I usually did with the 3 iron exactly what I wanted to do. Wasn't bad with a 3 wood either, but I preferred the iron for better accuracy. Also, I practiced on the range probably more than most ever did. I had that swing down to a science. Not that I enjoyed the game of golf so much, I enjoyed other sports better. However I found going to the range to be a great stress reliever after a hard day at work. Sometimes i even went there during the day. Never told the boss that though - LOL.
I once in a while wonder how good I may have been if I had practiced my short game, in the same manner of devotion as the long game. However for a number of reasons, I don't think it would have mattered as far as getting to a pro level. I was always a good athlete, but I don't think I had quite the extreme dexterity necessary for the short game to succeed at a high level, so I figured why waste the time trying? I can't recall ever practicing putting once in my entire life, too boring.
I'm going through this silly missing everything with baseball right now
I bet Ohtanhi HR and SB parlay, hits a HR but no SB, next day gets a SB
I bet Corbin Carrol to hit a HR 2 days in a row, I don't bet him today and he hits one
Couple other stupid examples that I feel. like smashing my phone over but nothing too crazy, just total baseball betting BS
I would hate to have played HR props on the Phillies today. They score 11 runs on 18 hits, but not one HR.
Seems like almost an impossibility.
LOL agreed 100%
I didn't post this because I wasn't all that confident in it. But I did catch 6 out of 7 MLB games ML including two miraculous 9th inning comebacks with the Rays and Rangers, the Rays winning in extra innings. The only game i lost was the Pirates losing 3-0.
No complaints, because at one point it looked like it was gonna be a lousy 3 out of 7 day, as I also had the Red Sox who did manage to squeak out an extra inning win for me.
But the call I was gonna make here was a 7 team parlay, each game with a +3.5 run line alternative. The Pirates game would have been a winner by 1/2 a run. The odds would have been short, it wouldn't have been a monster parlay, but it still would have been fun to hit. Unfortunately, I didn't test to see what it would have paid. Oh well. 🤷♂️
Well, I just punched in the same 7 team parlay, +3.5 "run line alternative", for today's games. Figuring they are again playing the same teams, so overall the odds should be about the same.
This 7 team parlay for $10 is only paying $18.90. IE only a $8.90 profit for hitting 7 games? A lot lower than I thought it would be. However now I don't feel so bad that I didn't play it. LOL
I like the Red Sox ML in today's early 11:00 am game.
Took a dip in my golf plays. About a $10 loss. Scored with Fleetwood and Straka.
Not bad for 4 days of action. Xander came up 2 strokes short for my top 10 play and Horshel short by 1 stroke. Cauley a late run Sunday came up short as well.
NASCAR Talledega this week,home of the "big one", wreck's. Will have a play on this as well as the upcoming Kentucky Derby.