last week's recap: went T10 instead of T20 and of course Rory finishes T15. i needed a strong finish on his final 9, and right on cue he faded into oblivion. 2-over his last 5 holes. i just expect it to happen every time now. i'm not quitting until i win one of these.
@galaxy27 said:
last week's recap: went T10 instead of T20 and of course Rory finishes T15. i needed a strong finish on his final 9, and right on cue he faded into oblivion. 2-over his last 5 holes. i just expect it to happen every time now. i'm not quitting until i win one of these.
-5084.92
I saw the Rory fade last week. Reminds me of my Hovland fade on the 18th last 2 days of play in an event a few years ago. Bogeyed the 18th last 2 days. Hope you have better luck this time around.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I just checked out the "other" website, odds listed below. It's weird because the odds on football and basketball with the two websites, are usually close or identical. But not on this golf tourney. That first website mentioned should be ashamed of themselves taking out that much juice.
Top 20
Scottie Scheffler -400
Rory McIlroy -165
Collin Morikawa -140
Ludvig Aberg -105
Crazy day for Spieith. 3 birdies,2 chip in eagles,3 bogeys,1 double bogey. All in all he is in -2 for the day.
i'm pulling for your wager for multiple reasons. obviously i want you to win some $$$, but he's my favorite player thus you winning means that he had a good tourney. he's been showing signs of life since his surgery and i'm starting to feel optimistic about his game for the first time in years.
Aberg had a couple of doubles which will just wreck a round, but at least he ducked par for the day
Justin Thomas lit it up Friday. After his +6 on the opening round he fires a -10 on Friday to get back into it. What a turnaround. Spieth remains in the hunt. Looking forward to Saturday/Sunday coverage.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Small play in the NASCAR race in Vegas on Sunday. Blaney for top 5 finish. He starts about 2/3rds down. Larson is the favorite. Hendrick team has good starting slots. Bell going for 4 in a row. Kyle Busch is the home town boy.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Race Winner:
Kyle Larson
William Byron
Christopher Bell
Tyler Reddick
Joey Logano
Kyle Busch
Ross Chastain
Ryan Blaney
Interesting that Bell is going for 4 in a row, as you stated. Yet he is only the third favorite? And at a lusty 7-1 odds considering how well he's been driving.
We all know that bookies aren't in the habit of giving away money. Those lusty odds tells me that Bell has virtually no chance of winning this race.
Aberg had almost as many doubles as birdies over the course of two completely fruitless rounds. And naturally the week after I unload and whiff on Rory he is going to come in 1st or 2nd today
Troy: +100000
Omaha: +100000
Montana: +100000
Yale: +100000
Mount St. Mary's: +100000
UNC Wilmington: +100000
McNeese: +100000
High Point: +100000
American: +100000
Saint Francis PA: +100000
Norfolk State: +100000
Wofford: +100000
Lipscomb: +100000
Bryant: +100000
Robert Morris: +100000
Alabama State: +100000
SIU Edwardsville: +100000
That's right, place a dime on any one of these teams, and if it wins the tourney, you're a millionaire.
It'd be pretty exciting to think about those possible riches. You might even get lucky, and your long shot team wins a few early games. Then you not only begin thinking about your new beautiful house, but also picking out the furniture.
However in one of the later games, reality sets in, as your team gets hopelessly blown-out in the first half by a far superior team. But that thrill sure was fun while it lasted.
Interesting in today's 2:30 game, Auburn ML is at -100000 which means a $100 winning bet nets ya 10 cents. Yes a mortal lock, but a waste of time. However if a large bet of say 10k would bring added "profit boost" or "no sweat" rewards, then there may be some value in doing it.
I'm not sure how they calculate their rewards. IE does a 10k bet matter to their rewards system, whether it is on a heavy favorite or a long shot? I would have to believe that it would matter, IE they give you virtually no rewards on a -100000 bet versus a +100000 bet, but I'm not sure.
I'd like for Corey Conners to win the dam thing, just to see Galaxy get hissed off, but in a good way.
i'd welcome that outcome with open arms. that would mean a stress-free W, which is something i could definitely use at the present moment
gl bluejay with your plays
Conners has a good chance to score for you. He was one of my considerations and I swapped him out and went with Bezuidehout, who is 3 over for the day. That's what usually happens, the one you toss comes back to haunt you. Had it happen with the nags too. Usually, but not always, I follow up the following week on a previous loss bet. Of course I did not do it with a Daytona 500 loss, Bell. Then he goes on a 3 wins in a row tear after I bet and lost on him.
Hope Conners scores for you. End the negative drought.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@stevek said:
I'd like for Corey Conners to win the dam thing, just to see Galaxy get hissed off, but in a good way.
I know that every place or show bet I ever won at the track, I was more than fine when the horse won the race. 😎
If Conners wins at least there can be no tie to dilute the top 20 pay off. Payoff is what's stated at time of bet. Far as track bets go I never backed up a favorite play to show. But with a LS I go w/s. If LS shows the payoff for show covers the win play. I like a 4,6,10 WPS bet on a horse I really like.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@stevek said:
I'd like for Corey Conners to win the dam thing, just to see Galaxy get hissed off, but in a good way.
I know that every place or show bet I ever won at the track, I was more than fine when the horse won the race. 😎
If Conners wins at least there can be no tie to dilute the top 20 pay off. Payoff is what's stated at time of bet. Far as track bets go I never backed up a favorite play to show. But with a LS I go w/s. If LS shows the payoff for show covers the win play. I like a 4,6,10 WPS bet on a horse I really like.
The only "system" I ever used that showed a long term profit at the track was betting against bridge jumpers. I'm sure you know what that is.
Semi-interesting story. Wait for the end. In the early days of simulcasting, the local track I frequented would show an occasional race from a NY track. At the time there was no co-mingling of pools. Usually the odds were different at the two tracks. Anyway, there's a lower class stakes race being simulcast from Aqueduct, a five horse field. Well somebody from my track popped around 40k to show, on a 1-9 horse in that race that I didn't like at all. So i bet $50 to show on the other four horses. Well that heavy favorite takes an early lead in a 6f race, then died like the dog that i thought it was, and finishes dead last. I'm extremely happy waiting for the show payoffs which I knew would be a very nice score. The total return for the bet was around 3.5k but here's the interesting part. The teller is counting out my 35 hundred dollar bills, hands them to me, and almost all the bills were around 1920's to 1930's currency. I've always been an avid coin collector and I know basic currency values. So I immediately knew there was nothing of numismatic value as the bills were well worn. However it struck me as interesting that somebody, it was probably one person, took this old currency that he must have had stashed in his closet or whatever, and placed it to show on that dog horse. Well I got $3,500 of it. LOL
I look for those short fields with big favs. Like to make a show bet, if allowed against the favorite. They run out and your show bet always pays more than win price for the same horse.
I follow you on the co-mingled point. Many,many years ago NY OTB did not co-mingle NH flat tracks. On occasion one could get good prices on an entry that was a fav. at NH ,but paid better at the OTB due to a lack of co-mingling.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
I look for those short fields with big favs. Like to make a show bet, if allowed against the favorite. They run out and your show bet always pays more than win price for the same horse.
I follow you on the co-mingled point. Many,many years ago NY OTB did not co-mingle NH flat tracks. On occasion one could get good prices on an entry that was a fav. at NH ,but paid better at the OTB due to a lack of co-mingling.
Not sure if this is the case any longer, but the two West Virginia tracks used to have a minimum payout of $2.20 versus $2.10 at other US tracks. The whales loved betting big with heavy favorites on those WV show pools, to receive 10% on their money. Still a tough game though. You have to hit 10 out of 11 of those $2.20 payouts just to break even. But of course that's better than having to hit 20 out of 21 on $2.10 payouts just to break even.
@stevek said:
Interesting in today's 2:30 game, Auburn ML is at -100000 which means a $100 winning bet nets ya 10 cents. Yes a mortal lock, but a waste of time. However if a large bet of say 10k would bring added "profit boost" or "no sweat" rewards, then there may be some value in doing it.
I'm not sure how they calculate their rewards. IE does a 10k bet matter to their rewards system, whether it is on a heavy favorite or a long shot? I would have to believe that it would matter, IE they give you virtually no rewards on a -100000 bet versus a +100000 bet, but I'm not sure.
The rewards are usually on teams that are roughly like -200 at best especially for parlays
@stevek said:
Interesting in today's 2:30 game, Auburn ML is at -100000 which means a $100 winning bet nets ya 10 cents. Yes a mortal lock, but a waste of time. However if a large bet of say 10k would bring added "profit boost" or "no sweat" rewards, then there may be some value in doing it.
I'm not sure how they calculate their rewards. IE does a 10k bet matter to their rewards system, whether it is on a heavy favorite or a long shot? I would have to believe that it would matter, IE they give you virtually no rewards on a -100000 bet versus a +100000 bet, but I'm not sure.
The rewards are usually on teams that are roughly like -200 at best especially for parlays
Not much you can do with that type of Auburn ML
You're right about that. I'm not sure why they do that? I mean they're getting juice on a -200 or +200 bet, so why should they care about how a player uses an earned reward? I guess they have some reason. Perhaps their juice is less on -200 bets?
I know at the track, I received rewards based on the monthly dollar amount bet. Didn't matter whether the horses were 1-9 or 9-1.
Oh well just curious. At least they give ya something. Thanks for the reply.
These college basketball playoff games are especially difficult to handicap. Although the very heavily favored teams kept their form and won their games, unless I missed one. More heavy favorites playing today.
Conners in the house at T12 heading into the weekend as I write this
the amount of time it took me to stick this wager in was longer than the college hoops I've watched this season. but GC is in my alma mater's conference and they have a pretty good team every year.
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
I look for those short fields with big favs. Like to make a show bet, if allowed against the favorite. They run out and your show bet always pays more than win price for the same horse.
I follow you on the co-mingled point. Many,many years ago NY OTB did not co-mingle NH flat tracks. On occasion one could get good prices on an entry that was a fav. at NH ,but paid better at the OTB due to a lack of co-mingling.
Not sure if this is the case any longer, but the two West Virginia tracks used to have a minimum payout of $2.20 versus $2.10 at other US tracks. The whales loved betting big with heavy favorites on those WV show pools, to receive 10% on their money. Still a tough game though. You have to hit 10 out of 11 of those $2.20 payouts just to break even. But of course that's better than having to hit 20 out of 21 on $2.10 payouts just to break even.
On one of my golf bets I bet $5 on a top 20 finish. There were so many ties that the bet returned only my $5. A push. Least with the horses you get a $2.10 minimum return for your $2.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
I look for those short fields with big favs. Like to make a show bet, if allowed against the favorite. They run out and your show bet always pays more than win price for the same horse.
I follow you on the co-mingled point. Many,many years ago NY OTB did not co-mingle NH flat tracks. On occasion one could get good prices on an entry that was a fav. at NH ,but paid better at the OTB due to a lack of co-mingling.
Not sure if this is the case any longer, but the two West Virginia tracks used to have a minimum payout of $2.20 versus $2.10 at other US tracks. The whales loved betting big with heavy favorites on those WV show pools, to receive 10% on their money. Still a tough game though. You have to hit 10 out of 11 of those $2.20 payouts just to break even. But of course that's better than having to hit 20 out of 21 on $2.10 payouts just to break even.
On one of my golf bets I bet $5 on a top 20 finish. There were so many ties that the bet returned only my $5. A push. Least with the horses you get a $2.10 minimum return for your $2.
That can also happen with British horse racing which can be wagered on here. You can technically win the bet, but if the track isn't making enough money on it, the bet is a push. There are no minimum payout laws there.
Comments
Utah Tech ML and California ML parlay in the the 4:30 games.
I like Gonzaga ML a tiny bit in the 9:00 game.
I like Nevada ML in the 4:30 game.
Short odds, but better than tearing up the ticket.
last week's recap: went T10 instead of T20 and of course Rory finishes T15. i needed a strong finish on his final 9, and right on cue he faded into oblivion. 2-over his last 5 holes. i just expect it to happen every time now. i'm not quitting until i win one of these.
-5084.92
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I saw the Rory fade last week. Reminds me of my Hovland fade on the 18th last 2 days of play in an event a few years ago. Bogeyed the 18th last 2 days. Hope you have better luck this time around.
You're sure getting much better odds at -105 versus this other popular website:
Top 20 Finish (Incl. Ties)
Scottie Scheffler -600
Rory McIlroy -200
Collin Morikawa -185
Ludvig Aberg -140
$250 on Aberg only pays $178.57
I just checked out the "other" website, odds listed below. It's weird because the odds on football and basketball with the two websites, are usually close or identical. But not on this golf tourney. That first website mentioned should be ashamed of themselves taking out that much juice.
Top 20
Scottie Scheffler -400
Rory McIlroy -165
Collin Morikawa -140
Ludvig Aberg -105
I like North Carolina ML in the 2:30 game.
I like Seattle ML a little bit in the 9:00 game.
Crazy day for Spieith. 3 birdies,2 chip in eagles,3 bogeys,1 double bogey. All in all he is in -2 for the day.
i'm pulling for your wager for multiple reasons. obviously i want you to win some $$$, but he's my favorite player thus you winning means that he had a good tourney. he's been showing signs of life since his surgery and i'm starting to feel optimistic about his game for the first time in years.
Aberg had a couple of doubles which will just wreck a round, but at least he ducked par for the day
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I see Aberg going into the second round, for top 20 is now at -110
Interesting, they may have listed this before but I didn't see it or know they offered it. They now have a top 30 on there.
Aberg is listed at -195
Justin Thomas lit it up Friday. After his +6 on the opening round he fires a -10 on Friday to get back into it. What a turnaround. Spieth remains in the hunt. Looking forward to Saturday/Sunday coverage.
I like VCU a little bit in the 1:00 game.
I like Iona a little bit in the 7:30 game.
Small play in the NASCAR race in Vegas on Sunday. Blaney for top 5 finish. He starts about 2/3rds down. Larson is the favorite. Hendrick team has good starting slots. Bell going for 4 in a row. Kyle Busch is the home town boy.
Race Winner:
Kyle Larson
William Byron
Christopher Bell
Tyler Reddick
Joey Logano
Kyle Busch
Ross Chastain
Ryan Blaney
Interesting that Bell is going for 4 in a row, as you stated. Yet he is only the third favorite? And at a lusty 7-1 odds considering how well he's been driving.
We all know that bookies aren't in the habit of giving away money. Those lusty odds tells me that Bell has virtually no chance of winning this race.
I like VCU ML in the 1:00 game.
Hopefully I can make amends for that gosh awful Iona pick yesterday. 😣
I also like Florida ML a little bit, also a 1:00 game.
My NASCAR play was a DNF. Picked the wrong Ford. Golf went South as well.
is there any other direction?
Aberg had almost as many doubles as birdies over the course of two completely fruitless rounds. And naturally the week after I unload and whiff on Rory he is going to come in 1st or 2nd today
the struggle continues to be very real
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Here's some March Madness flyers:
Troy: +100000
Omaha: +100000
Montana: +100000
Yale: +100000
Mount St. Mary's: +100000
UNC Wilmington: +100000
McNeese: +100000
High Point: +100000
American: +100000
Saint Francis PA: +100000
Norfolk State: +100000
Wofford: +100000
Lipscomb: +100000
Bryant: +100000
Robert Morris: +100000
Alabama State: +100000
SIU Edwardsville: +100000
That's right, place a dime on any one of these teams, and if it wins the tourney, you're a millionaire.
It'd be pretty exciting to think about those possible riches. You might even get lucky, and your long shot team wins a few early games. Then you not only begin thinking about your new beautiful house, but also picking out the furniture.
However in one of the later games, reality sets in, as your team gets hopelessly blown-out in the first half by a far superior team. But that thrill sure was fun while it lasted.
I like San Diego State +4.5 a little bit.
Hawks ML a little bit.
Bucks ML a little bit.
Hawks ML, Bucks ML, Celtics ML parlay.
over halfway home to the mythical Main Event buy-in/bust out
-5334.92
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Valspar play:Lowery top 10. Bezuidehout top 20.
I think there's going to be a lot of NCAA, 13 team ML parlays on Thursday using double digit favorites.
$100 gets ya $62.13 profit.
All that needs to happen is every team winning their game. A good number of mortal locks in there, but a few not so mortal.
I'd like for Corey Conners to win the dam thing, just to see Galaxy get hissed off, but in a good way.
I know that every place or show bet I ever won at the track, I was more than fine when the horse won the race. 😎
Figured I'd toss a little parlay in to have some fun and of course the first leg last night gets destroyed so that ruined any potential "Fun"
Interesting in today's 2:30 game, Auburn ML is at -100000 which means a $100 winning bet nets ya 10 cents. Yes a mortal lock, but a waste of time. However if a large bet of say 10k would bring added "profit boost" or "no sweat" rewards, then there may be some value in doing it.
I'm not sure how they calculate their rewards. IE does a 10k bet matter to their rewards system, whether it is on a heavy favorite or a long shot? I would have to believe that it would matter, IE they give you virtually no rewards on a -100000 bet versus a +100000 bet, but I'm not sure.
i'd welcome that outcome with open arms. that would mean a stress-free W, which is something i could definitely use at the present moment
gl bluejay with your plays
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Conners -2 after only 4 holes. 👍
Conners has a good chance to score for you. He was one of my considerations and I swapped him out and went with Bezuidehout, who is 3 over for the day. That's what usually happens, the one you toss comes back to haunt you. Had it happen with the nags too. Usually, but not always, I follow up the following week on a previous loss bet. Of course I did not do it with a Daytona 500 loss, Bell. Then he goes on a 3 wins in a row tear after I bet and lost on him.
Hope Conners scores for you. End the negative drought.
If Conners wins at least there can be no tie to dilute the top 20 pay off. Payoff is what's stated at time of bet. Far as track bets go I never backed up a favorite play to show. But with a LS I go w/s. If LS shows the payoff for show covers the win play. I like a 4,6,10 WPS bet on a horse I really like.
Had my top 20 play down to Conners, Bezuidehout, or Theegala. Opted for Bezuidehout, he +3 for the day. Not surprised.
The only "system" I ever used that showed a long term profit at the track was betting against bridge jumpers. I'm sure you know what that is.
Semi-interesting story. Wait for the end. In the early days of simulcasting, the local track I frequented would show an occasional race from a NY track. At the time there was no co-mingling of pools. Usually the odds were different at the two tracks. Anyway, there's a lower class stakes race being simulcast from Aqueduct, a five horse field. Well somebody from my track popped around 40k to show, on a 1-9 horse in that race that I didn't like at all. So i bet $50 to show on the other four horses. Well that heavy favorite takes an early lead in a 6f race, then died like the dog that i thought it was, and finishes dead last. I'm extremely happy waiting for the show payoffs which I knew would be a very nice score. The total return for the bet was around 3.5k but here's the interesting part. The teller is counting out my 35 hundred dollar bills, hands them to me, and almost all the bills were around 1920's to 1930's currency. I've always been an avid coin collector and I know basic currency values. So I immediately knew there was nothing of numismatic value as the bills were well worn. However it struck me as interesting that somebody, it was probably one person, took this old currency that he must have had stashed in his closet or whatever, and placed it to show on that dog horse. Well I got $3,500 of it. LOL
I look for those short fields with big favs. Like to make a show bet, if allowed against the favorite. They run out and your show bet always pays more than win price for the same horse.
I follow you on the co-mingled point. Many,many years ago NY OTB did not co-mingle NH flat tracks. On occasion one could get good prices on an entry that was a fav. at NH ,but paid better at the OTB due to a lack of co-mingling.
Not sure if this is the case any longer, but the two West Virginia tracks used to have a minimum payout of $2.20 versus $2.10 at other US tracks. The whales loved betting big with heavy favorites on those WV show pools, to receive 10% on their money. Still a tough game though. You have to hit 10 out of 11 of those $2.20 payouts just to break even. But of course that's better than having to hit 20 out of 21 on $2.10 payouts just to break even.
The rewards are usually on teams that are roughly like -200 at best especially for parlays
Not much you can do with that type of Auburn ML
Nope, still can't win a College Hoops Parlay
I sincerely Hate NCAA hoops
You're right about that. I'm not sure why they do that? I mean they're getting juice on a -200 or +200 bet, so why should they care about how a player uses an earned reward? I guess they have some reason. Perhaps their juice is less on -200 bets?
I know at the track, I received rewards based on the monthly dollar amount bet. Didn't matter whether the horses were 1-9 or 9-1.
Oh well just curious. At least they give ya something. Thanks for the reply.
These college basketball playoff games are especially difficult to handicap. Although the very heavily favored teams kept their form and won their games, unless I missed one. More heavy favorites playing today.
Lots of brackets still alive.
Conners in the house at T12 heading into the weekend as I write this
the amount of time it took me to stick this wager in was longer than the college hoops I've watched this season. but GC is in my alma mater's conference and they have a pretty good team every year.
let's see if they can hang with the Terps
-5334.92
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
couple of questions
is 28.6% from the field and 21.7% from downtown good
and
is 32 less than 10 and a half
asking for a retarded friend
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I like the Pistons ML in the 8:40 game.
10:00 PM ESPN Women's
Southern (21-14, 8-10 Away)
UCLA (30-2, 13-1 Home)
UCLA is a 41 point favorite!
Crazy thing it wouldn't surprise me if UCLA covers.
On one of my golf bets I bet $5 on a top 20 finish. There were so many ties that the bet returned only my $5. A push. Least with the horses you get a $2.10 minimum return for your $2.
That can also happen with British horse racing which can be wagered on here. You can technically win the bet, but if the track isn't making enough money on it, the bet is a push. There are no minimum payout laws there.
I guess i shouldn't be posting this, but I just can't help myself.
In just the second quarter of the women's UCon vs Arkansas State game, in the live spread, with Arkansas you are now getting +73 points.
No typo - yes that's seventy-three points. LOL
Yep still can't smash a hoops parlay
How's those High Stake Dividins Doin'??? 💰💲💵
This looks like it could be A Lot Of Fun...🔌🏈
Looks like a Civil War battle looming.