@perkdog said:
I came so close to parlaying our big Yankees play with Duke yesterday
WOW am I glad I didn't do that
Good point, however if the Yankees game was concluded beforehand, with live game betting, when Duke had I think it was a 15 point lead, you could have cashed out the parlay then for a nice score. I'm guessing that the cashing out payoff would have only been around 10% less profit than if the game was finished and Duke still won by 15 points.
Of course it's hard to cash-out early when a team such as Duke has a 15 point lead. I mean why give-up 10% of your profit when it looks like a sure win? Although Duke wasn't a heavy favorite in that game, it was -4.5 points. So Houston closing that 15 point gap wasn't exactly a shocker, but was certainly a surprise.
The key decision making factor in cashing-out in that situation, is not only analyzing the 10% less profit, but also factoring in if you allow the bet to continue and lose, then you've also lost your original wagering amount as well.
Easy for anyone to say now what should have been done if making the bet. But considering the amount of money involved, sacrificing the 10% profit for a sure thing beautiful score, wouldn't have been a bad idea.
I've learned that greed will screw you hard if you keep. pushing the envelope, we are at the point now where we are talking about putting a $1900 bet on a baseball game so we hit the full stop button and cashed out with each of us taking a $700 profit which all started in my boss office contemplating leaving work early and putting a couple hundred on roulette at the local casino lol
The Duke game would have been a horrific outcome, so glad we didn't mess with the mojo
I've learned that greed will screw you hard if you keep. pushing the envelope, we are at the point now where we are talking about putting a $1900 bet on a baseball game so we hit the full stop button and cashed out with each of us taking a $700 profit which all started in my boss office contemplating leaving work early and putting a couple hundred on roulette at the local casino lol
The Duke game would have been a horrific outcome, so glad we didn't mess with the mojo
John Scarne the most famous gambling author of all time, I read his best selling book, stated that once he was in a casino when 17 straight, it was either red or black, came up. If the casino didn't have a cap on the wagering amount, you could let that $200 ride, and after 17 straight winning spins, you'd not only own the casino, but the casino owner's house and yacht as well. LOL
The Duke game would have been a horrific outcome, so glad we didn't mess with the mojo
they made one FG in the last 10:30 with the best player in college basketball on the floor
somewhere out there is an unfortunate soul who needed a defibrillator after that game
As in the movie Rounders when all Mike was thinking about was "Vegas and the Mirage", and he got crushed. Duke perhaps with that 15 point lead was only thinking about San Antonio, and they got crushed.
The Duke game would have been a horrific outcome, so glad we didn't mess with the mojo
they made one FG in the last 10:30 with the best player in college basketball on the floor
somewhere out there is an unfortunate soul who needed a defibrillator after that game
As in the movie Rounders when all Mike was thinking about was "Vegas and the Mirage", and he got crushed. Duke perhaps with that 15 point lead was only thinking about San Antonio, and they got crushed.
Caught 1 of my 3 golf plays. Conners let me down with a 2 over on the last day. Cost me my top 10 play. Probably a push overall in the profit department.Depends on if any split in the top 20 in my play. Nice pickup galaxy. Now on to The Masters
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Caught 1 of my 3 golf plays. Conners let me down with a 2 over on the last day. Cost me my top 10 play. Probably a push overall in the profit department.Depends on if any split in the top 20 in my play. Nice pickup galaxy. Now on to The Masters
Galaxy is way overdue for a nice score. I may be mistaken, but I think he's hit the last two out of three golf bets, maybe it's two out of four. So like a top thoroughbred, hopefully he's rounding to form.
Here's hoping that after the Masters, Galaxy makes the bookies balance sheet shorter than they expected.
It figures, no value at all on Scottie. I'm guessing the true odds should be around double that. Pathetic odds on Rory as well. But the bookies know they can get away with it, as some will bet on them anyway, despite the horrendous odds.
Galaxy is way overdue for a nice score. I may be mistaken, but I think he's hit the last two out of three golf bets, maybe it's two out of four. So like a top thoroughbred, hopefully he's rounding to form.
Here's hoping that after the Masters, Galaxy makes the bookies balance sheet shorter than they expected.
from the tips of your fingers to the eyeballs of the gambling gods
it is here -- a tradition unlike any other. anxiously awaiting the T10 & T20 odds today.
Quite a spread there. Hope it works out. I plan on spreading my play out as well. Will post plays shortly.
looking forward to yours
the first time i went to the Masters was back in 2014. seems like a distant memory. guess what else happened that year? the last time Rory won a major. the drought has got to end, and no better time than the present. he's playing some of the best golf of his career, so it feels like it's now or never. if it is indeed now, i'm ready.
percentage-wise, what type of clip are you connecting at roughly?
do i need to put your 1-900 number in my contacts?
I have been doing extremely well. Much better than expected when I first began during football season last September. With a computer and the amazing variety of plays available, including live, it's of course a whole new world versus the previous century.
I try to post my top picks here for entertainment purposes only. Overall so far with MLB I'm 11-2. Probably nothing more than blind good luck. 😉
one thing the Masters is known for is the affordability of its concession stands. inflation may run rampant in our country, but not at the little slice of heaven called Augusta National. the top pic is one I took back in 2014 when I went there for the first time. bottom pic is one taken this week that I snagged from the net. over a decade later, still relatively -- and incredibly -- static. booze is the biggest jumper, not surprisingly, but considering I paid over 15$ for a jumbo Michelob Ultra at the Valero last week and had a tablet jammed in my face begging for a tip on top of that, I'd take 6$ every day of the week and twice on Sundays.
My Masters plays. Drum roll please🥁. All $5. Win:Xander,Dechambeau,Rahm. Top 20:Xander, Dechambeau,Rahm,Conners,Fleetwood,Hatton, Bezuidehout. Total play $50.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
My parents who were both golf enthusiasts, attended the Masters twice. They enjoyed it immensely.
I think I mentioned this before, they belonged to a course in Pennsylvania which was a stop on the LPGA tour. A number of times they enjoyed helping out doing things during the tourney, including changing the leaderboard, etc.
@stevek said:
My parents who were both golf enthusiasts, attended the Masters twice. They enjoyed it immensely.
I think I mentioned this before, they belonged to a course in Pennsylvania which was a stop on the LPGA tour. A number of times they enjoyed helping out doing things during the tourney, including changing the leaderboard, etc.
Sounds like an interesting experience.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@stevek said:
My parents who were both golf enthusiasts, attended the Masters twice. They enjoyed it immensely.
I think I mentioned this before, they belonged to a course in Pennsylvania which was a stop on the LPGA tour. A number of times they enjoyed helping out doing things during the tourney, including changing the leaderboard, etc.
Sounds like an interesting experience.
If I told ya the membership cost for that club, you wouldn't believe me. But my Dad wrote off a lot of it as a business expense. No fudging there, he played around three or four times a week with his customers, who loved it.
Comments
Maybe this should be in the music thread. LOL
I came so close to parlaying our big Yankees play with Duke yesterday
WOW am I glad I didn't do that
keep doing what you're doing with your buddy
WHATEVER WORKS in gambling lol
and anyone who bet on Duke last night choked on their own vomit
so glad you didn't
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Good point, however if the Yankees game was concluded beforehand, with live game betting, when Duke had I think it was a 15 point lead, you could have cashed out the parlay then for a nice score. I'm guessing that the cashing out payoff would have only been around 10% less profit than if the game was finished and Duke still won by 15 points.
Of course it's hard to cash-out early when a team such as Duke has a 15 point lead. I mean why give-up 10% of your profit when it looks like a sure win? Although Duke wasn't a heavy favorite in that game, it was -4.5 points. So Houston closing that 15 point gap wasn't exactly a shocker, but was certainly a surprise.
The key decision making factor in cashing-out in that situation, is not only analyzing the 10% less profit, but also factoring in if you allow the bet to continue and lose, then you've also lost your original wagering amount as well.
Easy for anyone to say now what should have been done if making the bet. But considering the amount of money involved, sacrificing the 10% profit for a sure thing beautiful score, wouldn't have been a bad idea.
We cashed out
I've learned that greed will screw you hard if you keep. pushing the envelope, we are at the point now where we are talking about putting a $1900 bet on a baseball game so we hit the full stop button and cashed out with each of us taking a $700 profit which all started in my boss office contemplating leaving work early and putting a couple hundred on roulette at the local casino lol
The Duke game would have been a horrific outcome, so glad we didn't mess with the mojo
they made one FG in the last 10:30 with the best player in college basketball on the floor
somewhere out there is an unfortunate soul who needed a defibrillator after that game
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
John Scarne the most famous gambling author of all time, I read his best selling book, stated that once he was in a casino when 17 straight, it was either red or black, came up. If the casino didn't have a cap on the wagering amount, you could let that $200 ride, and after 17 straight winning spins, you'd not only own the casino, but the casino owner's house and yacht as well. LOL
I like the Connecticut ladies ML to beat the South Carolina ladies for the championship.
UConn might also cover the spread of -7.5, it wouldn't surprise me.
As in the movie Rounders when all Mike was thinking about was "Vegas and the Mirage", and he got crushed. Duke perhaps with that 15 point lead was only thinking about San Antonio, and they got crushed.
Very good explanation!
Could't resist a live profit boost tickle 🤷
With the profit boost, it sort of forced the tickle.
Great decision not to parlay the fat winnings from the previous Yankees-Pirates games. 👍
I'm so glad I didn't put myself through that horror, 9th inning 2 outs and they were down 4 to 1 then tie it lol
They had their chances in extra innings but fell short
Had no play in the game but glad the Huskies won. Surprised on the final tally they won by.
Caught 1 of my 3 golf plays. Conners let me down with a 2 over on the last day. Cost me my top 10 play. Probably a push overall in the profit department.Depends on if any split in the top 20 in my play. Nice pickup galaxy. Now on to The Masters
Galaxy is way overdue for a nice score. I may be mistaken, but I think he's hit the last two out of three golf bets, maybe it's two out of four. So like a top thoroughbred, hopefully he's rounding to form.
Here's hoping that after the Masters, Galaxy makes the bookies balance sheet shorter than they expected.
No split on my Bud Cauley play. So made a slight profit overall with 1 win,2 losses plays.
Early favorites to win:
Scottie Scheffler +400
Rory McIlroy +650
Jon Rahm +1400
Collin Morikawa +1600
Ludvig Åberg +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
It figures, no value at all on Scottie. I'm guessing the true odds should be around double that. Pathetic odds on Rory as well. But the bookies know they can get away with it, as some will bet on them anyway, despite the horrendous odds.
from the tips of your fingers to the eyeballs of the gambling gods
it is here -- a tradition unlike any other. anxiously awaiting the T10 & T20 odds today.
nice caul on Cauley, bluejay
(see what i did there)
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
my Masters bets in all their glory
-5361.17
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Quite a spread there. Hope it works out. I plan on spreading my play out as well. Will post plays shortly.
looking forward to yours
the first time i went to the Masters was back in 2014. seems like a distant memory. guess what else happened that year? the last time Rory won a major. the drought has got to end, and no better time than the present. he's playing some of the best golf of his career, so it feels like it's now or never. if it is indeed now, i'm ready.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Interesting there is a top 40. I hadn't seen that before.
I'd have to think some whales are going to pound a few of these.
Top 40 Finish (Incl. Ties)
Scottie Scheffler -6000
Rory McIlroy -2000
Collin Morikawa -1050
Jon Rahm -1050
Ludvig Aberg -900
Interesting Masters stat. Only 1 golfer has won 3 Masters within a 4 year span. That being Nichlaus. Scottie trying to be the second.
I like the Tigers ML a little bit in the 1:00 afternoon game.
@stevek
i notice you've been dishing out your own picks
percentage-wise, what type of clip are you connecting at roughly?
do i need to put your 1-900 number in my contacts?
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Good luck with the Golf bets fellas!!
Thanks. Would be great to have some of the luck you've had lately.
I have been doing extremely well. Much better than expected when I first began during football season last September. With a computer and the amazing variety of plays available, including live, it's of course a whole new world versus the previous century.
I try to post my top picks here for entertainment purposes only. Overall so far with MLB I'm 11-2. Probably nothing more than blind good luck. 😉
11-2 is totally Greek to me
2-11 I'm quite familiar with
sounds to me like I need to start paying closer attention to your picks BEFORE they happen
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I enjoy doing it.
I've always liked seeing gamblers win. I know this sounds sick, but I like it even more when bookies lose.
one thing the Masters is known for is the affordability of its concession stands. inflation may run rampant in our country, but not at the little slice of heaven called Augusta National. the top pic is one I took back in 2014 when I went there for the first time. bottom pic is one taken this week that I snagged from the net. over a decade later, still relatively -- and incredibly -- static. booze is the biggest jumper, not surprisingly, but considering I paid over 15$ for a jumbo Michelob Ultra at the Valero last week and had a tablet jammed in my face begging for a tip on top of that, I'd take 6$ every day of the week and twice on Sundays.
2014:
2025:
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
My Masters plays. Drum roll please🥁. All $5. Win:Xander,Dechambeau,Rahm. Top 20:Xander, Dechambeau,Rahm,Conners,Fleetwood,Hatton, Bezuidehout. Total play $50.
My parents who were both golf enthusiasts, attended the Masters twice. They enjoyed it immensely.
I think I mentioned this before, they belonged to a course in Pennsylvania which was a stop on the LPGA tour. A number of times they enjoyed helping out doing things during the tourney, including changing the leaderboard, etc.
Sounds like an interesting experience.
Never woulda thought the Yanks were going to get blanked 🤷
do you recall what years they went?
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
If I told ya the membership cost for that club, you wouldn't believe me. But my Dad wrote off a lot of it as a business expense. No fudging there, he played around three or four times a week with his customers, who loved it.
The result was a lot of very loyal customers. LOL
Don't recall exactly. My parents after retirement, moved around a bit, and they lived in Aiken SC at the time. Which isn't that far from Augusta.