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Swami’s NFL futures 2022

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  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:
    My NFL bets.....

    Dolphins +3.5
    Giants -1.5
    Bills -9.5

    Good luck buddy

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Vegas has tightened up the lines this week. Week 1 has always been the easiest week for me as no one knows exactly what to expect. There are some very tempting early games. Home dogs Saints, Steelers and Washington on the road but I’m going with my one pick I feel good about.

    +200
    Ravens-3 for 50

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I do like the Saints against TOMPA

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Absolutely disgusted.
    Packers-10 for 25

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:
    My NFL bets.....

    Dolphins +3.5
    Giants -1.5
    Bills -9.5

    I hope you go 3-3 this week!

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,833 ✭✭✭✭✭

    exhibit A as to why gambling is not for the faint of heart. i've just gotta laugh. at half of Ariz-Vegas the only unknown was how many points the Cardinals were going to lose by. 40? 50? then they outscored the Raiders 29-3 in the 2nd half & overtime and won the game. if you didn't see that game, i wouldn't even know where to start to describe just how unbelievable it was. suffice to say, Kyler lit my parlay on fire

    back to the drawing board

    -12.96

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,067 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:

    @Darin said:
    My NFL bets.....

    Dolphins +3.5
    Giants -1.5
    Bills -9.5

    I hope you go 3-3 this week!

    Thanks dueces, I hope the Bills destroy the Titans!
    I had kissed my Dolphins wager goodbye when they were down 3 touchdowns. Amazing comeback.

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,067 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:
    exhibit A as to why gambling is not for the faint of heart. i've just gotta laugh. at half of Ariz-Vegas the only unknown was how many points the Cardinals were going to lose by. 40? 50? then they outscored the Raiders 29-3 in the 2nd half & overtime and won the game. if you didn't see that game, i wouldn't even know where to start to describe just how unbelievable it was. suffice to say, Kyler lit my parlay on fire

    back to the drawing board

    -12.96

    There was a lot of talk before the season about the AFC west being the toughest division and
    I did agree, but now Denver and especially the Raiders look pretty disappointing so far.
    It may not be the toughest division. Today proves there are still a lot of doubts about Derek Carr
    being able to step up and lead the Raiders to the next level.

    But the question is, why did you go against your man Kyler? Have a little faith Bro!! :p

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,112 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:
    exhibit A as to why gambling is not for the faint of heart. i've just gotta laugh. at half of Ariz-Vegas the only unknown was how many points the Cardinals were going to lose by. 40? 50? then they outscored the Raiders 29-3 in the 2nd half & overtime and won the game. if you didn't see that game, i wouldn't even know where to start to describe just how unbelievable it was. suffice to say, Kyler lit my parlay on fire

    back to the drawing board

    -12.96

    I saw the game, and had the over. Line 51.5. I remarked to my GF at the 10 second mark of reg. that I needed a TD,2 Pt. conv., and an OT TD. Only way I could win other than both teams trading FG. I said no way. Am not that lucky. I would think the odds were probably 2-3% of this happening. In all my years of playing (betting) I've never been that lucky for 3 events to occur in that succession. I did not win a lot of $, but it was the way it panned out that made it so enjoyable. This game I will remember for some time. The result picked me up from the meltdown, debacle that the Browns afforded me earlier. Unreal comeback by the "Fish" as well. What a day in the NFL.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,833 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BLUEJAYWAY that was a minor miracle. congrats bro. and congrats @Darin on a profitable day. and @2dueces i'm sorry you were on the wrong end of a horrific beat as well.

    a day later and i still can't get over the Arizona game. i've been gambling long enough to have seen it all, or so i thought. but then a game like yesterday happens where literally all Vegas had to do is make one play out of about 10 to put the game away and they couldn't do it. and to Kyler's credit, he kept making them until he finally stole the game from them.

    i would not at all be surprised if there is a story today about an Arizona fan who was assaulted leaving that stadium, because i know there had to have been some crazed Raiders fans who completely lost their minds after that epic meltdown.

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 19, 2022 8:54AM

    I got the feel of the NFL betting world yesterday, both my 4 team parlay's got annihilated for a neat loss of $120

    Pittsburgh ML
    Cincy ML
    Seattle +8
    Chicago ÷10

    Pittsburgh +3.5
    Cincy ML
    Seattle +7.5
    Chicago +10

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 19, 2022 10:39AM

    Btw I'll tell ya this much, its extremely difficult to go 0-4 on a parlay, there should be a prize for that honestly

    However I will take 0-4 100% of the time over 3 for 4 though 🙄

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +170
    After the fiasco that was the NFL yesterday I’m going to try a slightly different strategy. If 75% of things went as planned yesterday I’d take the Bills -10 and sit back and enjoy. 10 points favorites went 1-2 yesterday. Ugly.
    2 team teaser for 50
    Bills -4
    Vikings +8.5

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,067 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Of all the teams that were 9 to 10 point favorites this week,
    and I can think of Rams, Niners, Bills, Packers, I just decided I wanted
    to bet on one of them and go with the best of the best. Thank you Buffalo Bills
    for an amazing performance.
    Even if deuces had a sub par week on his bets you have to be thrilled with that game.
    They beat them into submission in only 3 quarters!!

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,112 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Went 11-5 for week 2. My picks here for week 3.Steelers,Patriots,Bills,Bengals,Vikings,Texans,Chiefs,Raiders,Saints,Eagles,Chargers,Seahawks,Buccaneers,Rams,Broncos,Dallas. Good luck to all and thanks again DD for running this. One good thing about this contest, we can't lose any $. :)

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +115
    2 team teaser for 25
    Browns +2
    Under 44

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +90

    Ravens -3 for 50
    Bills-4.5 for 50
    Chiefs -5 for 25
    Raiders-2 for 25
    Texans+3 for 25

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    +90

    Ravens -3 for 50
    Bills-4.5 for 50
    Chiefs -5 for 25
    Raiders-2 for 25
    Texans+3 for 25

    Good luck Joe!

  • DarinDarin Posts: 7,067 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I went with the moneyline on both the Chiefs and Bills thinking they were
    pretty safe bets and they both let me down. :'(

    Took the spread with the Ravens and won,
    my last bet is for the 49'ers -1.5

  • thisistheshowthisistheshow Posts: 9,386 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Darin said:

    Took the spread with the Ravens > and won,

    .........

    my pain is your gain

    You're Welcome

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +40
    Bengals-3 for 200

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +240
    Lions -3 for 50
    Packers-9.5 for 50

    I’m staying away from the Bills until they get healthy again although the #1 pass offense vs the #32 pass defense is tempting. Looks like rain and wind in Baltimore throughout the game.

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +140
    Bills -14 for 200

    2 team teaser for 50
    Giants +14
    Lions +9

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    2 team teaser for 25
    Seahawks +11.5
    Seahawks under 51

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If I bet live action I’d take the Bills 2nd half as long as it was under 13

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 9, 2022 11:36AM

    Rodgers looked like crap today

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    Yes, the woeful Jets, who have had two winning seasons since 2007, have more bets on them to win the AFC East at DraftKings Sportsbook than the New England Patriots!
    "A young team with a ton of talent led by a second-year QB (Zach Wilson, the No. 2 pick in 2021) that has a chance to explode with an easier schedule? It's hard to blame bettors for seeing the Cincinnati Bengals when they look at this season's Jets team," Newman explained.

    As I explained after the draft I believe the Jets will exceed expectations. The youth, stellar draft, another year for Zach Wilson and easy schedule they will win at least 6 games. As for the East, highly doubtful but I was pretty surprised they are getting more action than the Patriots. One explanation is the longer odds.

    This is from July. I had another take on the Jets after the draft. My largest futures bet was the Jets over 5.5 wins for $250. Not there yet but looking pretty good after 5 games.

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    NY Jets over 5.5 for $250
    Broncos under 10 for $250
    Bengals under 10 for $200
    Bills over 11.5 for $200
    Patriots under 8.5 for $100
    Cardinals under 10 for $100
    Cowboys under 10.5 for $100
    Rams over 10.5 for $100
    Eagles over 8 for $100
    Raiders over 8.5 for $100
    Panthers over 6 for $100

    Let’s revisit my investment after 5 weeks
    Jets and Eagles look like early wins.
    Cowboys, Rams and Raiders not looking real good
    The rest are pretty much on schedule

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭

    My buddy has a 4500 bet on Pats under 8.5 wins

  • thisistheshowthisistheshow Posts: 9,386 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:
    My buddy has a 4500 bet on Pats under 8.5 wins

    ...Is that to win 4500 or he bet 4500. Either way, don't let yesterday's win throw you off. We are going through a very soft spot in the schedule. But best case scenario, we win 4 of the next 5 and have 6 wins , but 3 wins after that might be hard to come by.

  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @thisistheshow said:

    @perkdog said:
    My buddy has a 4500 bet on Pats under 8.5 wins

    ...Is that to win 4500 or he bet 4500. Either way, don't let yesterday's win throw you off. We are going through a very soft spot in the schedule. But best case scenario, we win 4 of the next 5 and have 6 wins , but 3 wins after that might be hard to come by.

    He bet 4500

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +260
    I’ve been brutal betting teasers. I know better but can’t help myself
    2 team teaser for 50
    Chiefs-1
    Over 45.5

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Just an update. Right and left eye cataract and corrective lens surgery completed today. All went well and am in my second week of vacation and healing. The difference is stark and is amazing what we get used to if it’s slow over a 7 year period.
    Probably 40% more light allowed into the right eye. White went from eggshell to stark white.
    Now for the second life changing moment. Later in the week my wife is taking me to an optometrist who sells color blind glasses. Not only will I see clearly but how the world looks to everyone else. It’s been a great two weeks

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 11, 2022 4:21PM

    Glad it went well Joe!

  • thisistheshowthisistheshow Posts: 9,386 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    Just an update. Right and left eye cataract and corrective lens surgery completed today. All went well and am in my second week of vacation and healing. The difference is stark and is amazing what we get used to if it’s slow over a 7 year period.
    Probably 40% more light allowed into the right eye. White went from eggshell to stark white.
    Now for the second life changing moment. Later in the week my wife is taking me to an optometrist who sells color blind glasses. Not only will I see clearly but how the world looks to everyone else. It’s been a great two weeks

    ...
    That's great to hear! I might send send you a PM with some questions if that's ok.

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,112 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    Just an update. Right and left eye cataract and corrective lens surgery completed today. All went well and am in my second week of vacation and healing. The difference is stark and is amazing what we get used to if it’s slow over a 7 year period.
    Probably 40% more light allowed into the right eye. White went from eggshell to stark white.
    Now for the second life changing moment. Later in the week my wife is taking me to an optometrist who sells color blind glasses. Not only will I see clearly but how the world looks to everyone else. It’s been a great two weeks

    Great news. I may face this procedure soon myself. This should help you see the betting lines better. :)

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @thisistheshow said:

    @2dueces said:
    Just an update. Right and left eye cataract and corrective lens surgery completed today. All went well and am in my second week of vacation and healing. The difference is stark and is amazing what we get used to if it’s slow over a 7 year period.
    Probably 40% more light allowed into the right eye. White went from eggshell to stark white.
    Now for the second life changing moment. Later in the week my wife is taking me to an optometrist who sells color blind glasses. Not only will I see clearly but how the world looks to everyone else. It’s been a great two weeks

    ...
    That's great to hear! I might send send you a PM with some questions if that's ok.

    Absolutely! It’s really a simple procedure. You put drops in your eye for a few days before. They give you a shot of Demerol and the whole procedure takes about 10 minutes.
    My insurance paid 100% of the cataract surgery with zero co pay for anything. The hi tech lens cost $3000 an eye. Went for a follow up and my eye sight is 20-25 and takes a few months to complete the total process. Life changing.
    PM me with any questions @BLUEJAYWAY , you’re also welcome to ask

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +260
    Carson Wentz is 6-0 on TNF and 3-0 against the Bears. If those stats don’t make you sit up well….
    Commodes-1 for 100

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 9,112 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:

    @thisistheshow said:

    @2dueces said:
    Just an update. Right and left eye cataract and corrective lens surgery completed today. All went well and am in my second week of vacation and healing. The difference is stark and is amazing what we get used to if it’s slow over a 7 year period.
    Probably 40% more light allowed into the right eye. White went from eggshell to stark white.
    Now for the second life changing moment. Later in the week my wife is taking me to an optometrist who sells color blind glasses. Not only will I see clearly but how the world looks to everyone else. It’s been a great two weeks

    ...
    That's great to hear! I might send send you a PM with some questions if that's ok.

    Absolutely! It’s really a simple procedure. You put drops in your eye for a few days before. They give you a shot of Demerol and the whole procedure takes about 10 minutes.
    My insurance paid 100% of the cataract surgery with zero co pay for anything. The hi tech lens cost $3000 an eye. Went for a follow up and my eye sight is 20-25 and takes a few months to complete the total process. Life changing.
    PM me with any questions @BLUEJAYWAY , you’re also welcome to ask

    Thanks for the offer.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +360
    Minnesota-3 for 50
    Cleveland-3 for 25
    Tampa-9.5 for 150

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • thisistheshowthisistheshow Posts: 9,386 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 16, 2022 9:43AM

    @2dueces said:
    +360
    Minnesota-3 for 50
    Cleveland-3 for 25
    Tampa-9.5 for 150

    I'm sorry, but Cleveland is hopefully losing today . :)

    ETA:hopefully

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Tampa bay 3 first half FG’s against a team Josh Allen threw for 348 yards for in the first half. Maybe Tampa bay isn’t that good.

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Bills -2.5 for 50

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Can’t help myself. I’m riding the Cooper Rush!! Lol
    Cowboys +6.5 for 25

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • thisistheshowthisistheshow Posts: 9,386 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    Can’t help myself. I’m riding the Cooper Rush!! Lol
    Cowboys +6.5 for 25

    Cooper Rush.
    Zappe Fever.
    It's unavoidable.

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 18, 2022 10:55AM

    I do this from time to time with my NFL futures. Thanks to my hit on the Rams Super Bowl victory I had more disposable income to play with. These were my top 4 plays and garnered sizable bets.

    NY Jets over 5.5 for $250

    Ok so the Jets aren’t there yet but even with a total collapse this is money in the bank.

    Broncos under 10 for $250

    Never bought the let Russ cook hype and he’s proving me correct. Now with a hamstring injury on a short week. Brett Rypien??

    Bengals under 10 for $200

    3-3 They’re going to have to step it up 8 wins in 11 games to prove me wrong.

    Bills over 11.5 for $200

    Was there ever a doubt? Please!

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 7,833 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    I do this from time to time with my NFL futures. Thanks to my hit on the Rams Super Bowl victory I had more disposable income to play with. These were my top 4 plays and garnered sizable bets.

    NY Jets over 5.5 for $250

    Ok so the Jets aren’t there yet but even with a total collapse this is money in the bank.

    Broncos under 10 for $250

    Never bought the let Russ cook hype and he’s proving me correct. Now with a hamstring injury on a short week. Brett Rypien??

    Bengals under 10 for $200

    3-3 They’re going to have to step it up 8 wins in 11 games to prove me wrong.

    Bills over 11.5 for $200

    Was there ever a doubt? Please!

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +260
    Early bet after a bad night at holdem. 😔
    Arizona-2.5 for 25

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @2dueces said:
    +260
    Early bet after a bad night at holdem. 😔
    Arizona-2.5 for 25

    Never wager after a bad night in cards. I now think New Orleans will win outright but a bets a bet. 😔

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
  • 2dueces2dueces Posts: 6,446 ✭✭✭✭✭

    +285
    2 team teaser for 50
    Giants +9
    Niners +7

    W.C.Fields
    "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
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