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How do you define rare?

ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,863 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited March 29, 2021 2:51PM in U.S. Coin Forum

After researching a bunch of coins and medals including the following, I've come up with my definition of rare.

Basically, it's something where you have a Full Census vs. Condition Census of specimens. For my own research, this likely means less than 10-12 specimens, 20 is probably the max. Above that, my cataloging interest will drop off, but others may still have interest.

Some of my threads include:

What does rare mean to you?

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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,863 ✭✭✭✭✭

    By the way, the Sheldon Scale indicates:

    • Rare: 31-75
    • Very Rare: 13-30
    • Extremely Rare: 4-12

    https://www.pcgs.com/books/silver-dollars/chapter02/5#

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    WalkerfanWalkerfan Posts: 8,971 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 9:23AM

    Something that is both absolutely and conditionally scarce (rare).

    Throw in some tremendous eye appeal and you have a good recipe going there.

    “I may not believe in myself but I believe in what I’m doing” ~Jimmy Page~

    My Full Walker Registry Set (1916-1947)

    https://www.ngccoin.com/registry/competitive-sets/16292/

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    ShaunBC5ShaunBC5 Posts: 1,632 ✭✭✭✭✭

    To me, rare usually means I want it, but don't have it (or can't afford it).
    Under 50 seems pretty rare to me on most stuff. My mind usually says things like "if there's less than 1 per state, that's not very many."

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    MidLifeCrisisMidLifeCrisis Posts: 10,519 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Well, we have these rarity scales...

    The Sheldon Scale
    R-1 Common
    R-2 Not So Common
    R-3 Scarce
    R-4 Very Scarce (population est at 76-200)
    R-5 Rare (31-75)
    R-6 Very Rare (13-30)
    R-7 Extremely rare (4-12)
    R-8 Unique or Nearly So (1,2 or 3)

    More specifically, there are 9 levels on the Sheldon-Breen rarity scale. The numbers listed below are given as estimates:
    R-8: This is a unique coin; only 1 exists
    R-7 High: A coin that's excessively rare; 2 to 3 exist
    R-7 Low: An extremely rare coin with 4 to 12 remaining known
    R-6: A very rare coin with 13 to 30 known specimens
    R-5: 31 to 75 coins exist, classifying it as rare
    R-4: A very scarce coin with 76 to 200 examples left
    R-3: With 201 to 500 estimated pieces, this is a scarce coin
    R-2: A coin that is not common, with 501 to 1250 coins in existence
    R-1: With at least 1251 coins remaining, this is a common coin

    The Universal Rarity Scale by Q. David Bowers
    URS-0 None known
    URS-1 1 known, unique
    URS-2 2 known
    URS-3 3 or 4 known
    URS-4 5 to 8 known
    URS-5 9 to 16 known
    URS-6 17 to 32 known
    URS-7 33 to 64 known
    URS-8 65 to 125 known
    URS-9 126 to 250 known
    URS-10 251 to 500 known URS-11 501 to 1,000 known
    URS-12 1,001 to 2,000 known
    URS-13 2,001 to 4,000 known
    URS-14 4,001 to 8,000 known
    URS-15 8,001 to 16,000 known
    URS-16 16,001 to 32,000 known
    URS-17 32,001 to 65,000 known
    URS-18 65,001 to 125,000 known
    URS-19 125,001 to 250,000 known
    URS-20 250,001 to 500,000 known
    etc.

    As @Zoins noted above, the Sheldon Scale defines rare a no more than 75 known. I'm good with that definition.

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    AuldFartteAuldFartte Posts: 4,597 ✭✭✭✭

    Rare? Hmm ... probably a coin that is so wonderful that I can't possibly afford it :D
    Seriously though, I go with the Sheldon Scale.

    image

    My OmniCoin Collection
    My BankNoteBank Collection
    Tom, formerly in Albuquerque, NM.
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    keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭

    less than 75 known.

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    yspsalesyspsales Posts: 2,212 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Under 100 usually gets my attention.

    Under 50, wait for eye appeal.

    Under 20 is an automatic buy.

    These would be ANACS, NGC, PCGS combined pops in graded non detail holders.

    Typically ignore slabbed detail and raw coins on the basis if they were problem free, they would be in one of the three TPG holders.

    BST: KindaNewish (3/21/21), WQuarterFreddie (3/30/21), Meltdown (4/6/21), DBSTrader2 (5/5/21) AKA- unclemonkey on Blow Out

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    WCCWCC Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I agree with the OP but I don't extend this to specialization (die varieties, errors, "full strikes") as there is nothing out of the ordinary in it.

    As for condition rarity, I don't consider it meaningful in the context most US collectors do either. Practically every coin outside of NCLT and the most recent proofs are "rare" in some grade or quality.

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    wrightywrighty Posts: 837 ✭✭✭✭

    @Zoins said:
    After researching a bunch of coins and medals including the following, I've come up with my definition of rare.

    Basically, it's something where you have a Full Census vs. Condition Census of specimens. For my own research, this likely means less than 10-12 specimens, 20 is probably the max. Above that, my cataloging interest will drop off, but others may still have interest.

    Some of my threads include:

    What does rare mean to you?

    Does condition rarity ever trump absolute rarity? The easiest example may be the 1893-s Morgan Dollar , Bowers estimates 10,000 surviving pieces but only 1 is graded MS 67, 0 in 66, and 5 in 65.

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    MilesWaitsMilesWaits Posts: 5,310 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Anything modern from the Mint that is on back order, currently unavailable or sold out.
    For approximately three months, anyway. After that, it will be the next great thing.

    Now riding the swell in PM's and surf.
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    markelman1125markelman1125 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I think there are category’s, impossible to find is ultra rare such as a 1913 v nickel , vary hard to find is vary rare such as a 1916 standing liberty quarter, and hard to find as Just rare such as a 1909 s vdb to a high grade 19th century proof dime . Also I think demand should be taken into account as there may be a lot but everyone wants it so it’s all sold out and hard to find. It’s an interesting topic to discuss.

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    keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Does condition rarity ever trump absolute rarity?

    if you are fortunate enough to find the highest grade example of an absolutely rare coin, less than my 75 known, then yes. that is the best of both parameters.

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    LazybonesLazybones Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If you do an ebay search and there are thousands, it's not rare. As in: LQQK! RARE circulated 1893 Columbian Silver Half Dollar!

    USAF (Ret) 1974 - 1994 - The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries. Remembering RickO, a brother in arms.

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    ctf_error_coinsctf_error_coins Posts: 15,433 ✭✭✭✭✭

    There are some extremely rare (Unique) coins that almost anyone can afford.

    Most anyone can have super eye appealing unique coinage at any income level, you just have to know where to look ;)

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    SmudgeSmudge Posts: 9,250 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Survival in all grades,
    Under 500 scarce
    Under 50 rare
    Under 5 very rare
    1 unique.

    But, popularity wins, and when you throw in condition rarity it gets complicated, so just get good looking coins you like.

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    yspsalesyspsales Posts: 2,212 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I have a some new and old niches that interest me.

    Errors
    Varieties
    Toners
    VAM's
    Modern mint and proofs

    One is always good, but when you can marry condition rarity and scarcity you are cooking with gas.

    BST: KindaNewish (3/21/21), WQuarterFreddie (3/30/21), Meltdown (4/6/21), DBSTrader2 (5/5/21) AKA- unclemonkey on Blow Out

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    BillyKingsleyBillyKingsley Posts: 2,661 ✭✭✭✭

    After more than 10 years on the forum, and in the hobby, I consider something rare if I've never seen it or heard of it before.

    It varies by hobby. The longer you are in a hobby the easier it is to determine what's rare and unusual. I'm approaching 30 years in my main hobby, have built the largest known collection, and still making new discoveries in the primary (favorite) area/era. The new discoveries are always rare...they must be or else they wouldn't be unknown. Generally speaking they were only available regionally, which also always equals rarity.

    Billy Kingsley ANA R-3146356 Cardboard History // Numismatic History
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    NicNic Posts: 3,343 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 12:10PM

    @BryceM said:
    If I want one, can afford one, and can't find one, it's rare.

    Well said. Especially for over 10 years.

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    BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,481 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Less than 10 known.

    "Rare" is an overused word in the "Rare Coin Business." "Condition rarity" is a qualifier that has merit, but can also be over used.

    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
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    MFeldMFeld Posts: 12,041 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 12:33PM

    @BillJones said:
    Less than 10 known.

    "Rare" is an overused word in the "Rare Coin Business." "Condition rarity" is a qualifier that has merit, but can also be over used.

    I agree that "rare" is overused, but 10 or fewer seems considerably too low to qualify for "rare". As just two examples, you don't consider 1804 Dollars or 1907 Ultra High Reliefs to be rare?

    Mark Feld* of Heritage Auctions*Unless otherwise noted, my posts here represent my personal opinions.

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    BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,481 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I agree that "rare" is overused, but 10 or fewer seems considerably too low to qualify for "rare". As just two examples, you don't consider 1804 Dollars or 1907 Ultra High Reliefs to be rare?

    It all depends upon how many people are chasing them. Back in the 1970s, a small coin dealer, newspaper writer and Sunday news paper coin collecting columnist, Harold Flarty, had some dies made of historic site in Morristown, New Jersey and used them to over strike the reverses of cents. He sold them at his table at the small New Jersey shows.

    He also used those dies to strike pieces on .999 silver cent-sized planchets. The mintages for those ranged from 5 to 10 pieces. Since no one probably wants them, would you call them "rare?"

    Sure, the 1804 Dollars and the Ultra High relief coins are "rare" because they are worth millions, but if no body cares about an item, would you call it "rare?'

    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
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    oih82w8oih82w8 Posts: 11,896 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Rare? Anything I cannot afford...which is not a large leap anyway.

    oih82w8 = Oh I Hate To Wait _defectus patientia_aka...Dr. Defecto - Curator of RMO's

    BST transactions: dbldie55, jayPem, 78saen, UltraHighRelief, nibanny, liefgold, FallGuy, lkeigwin, mbogoman, Sandman70gt, keets, joeykoins, ianrussell (@GC), EagleEye, ThePennyLady, GRANDAM, Ilikecolor, Gluggo, okiedude, Voyageur, LJenkins11, fastfreddie, ms70, pursuitofliberty, ZoidMeister,Coin Finder, GotTheBug, edwardjulio, Coinnmore...
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    TurtleCatTurtleCat Posts: 4,592 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Rare means not cooked well enough, lol. I would go with a less scientific/precise way of describing rare: not easily obtained and opportunities don't come around very often. The cool part is that can apply in many contexts:

    1. Absolute - no one can easily obtain and opportunities don't come around often
    2. Relative - for a specific individual it's difficult to obtain and opportunities are few and far between
    3. Casual - difficult to obtain but opportunities are present or easy to obtain but opportunities are rare

    I'll likely never have an absolute rarity in coin terms. I have several relatively rare coins for my socio-economic situation. And there is one set of medals I collect of my hometown that are very rare to show up. I've snatched all 4 that have shown up on eBay in the last several years all at different prices. Haven't seen one in months. And those are the only 4 I've ever seen in original packaging.

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    WildIdeaWildIdea Posts: 1,875 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If I can’t find one and I’m not sure I’ll ever get the chance to based on my outlets, resources or connections. Individual results may vary.

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    SkyManSkyMan Posts: 9,493 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I can go with the Sheldon scale.

    Varieties do make an interesting subspecies. I just finished a deal where there were 1,080 of the items created. Probably all of them still exist. Within that 1,080 there were 48 of a specific variety that has arguably much more pizzazz, and I purchased one of those 48. I got it for a good price, and it has an unquestionable provenance trail too.

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    WCCWCC Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @wrighty said:

    Does condition rarity ever trump absolute rarity? The easiest example may be the 1893-s Morgan Dollar , Bowers estimates 10,000 surviving pieces but only 1 is graded MS 67, 0 in 66, and 5 in 65.

    There is nothing unusual in the example you provided. At minimum, there must be thousands with a similar quality distribution though most are not US.

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    AercusAercus Posts: 381 ✭✭✭✭

    If I can't find an example currently for sale or auction, at any grade, it's rare to me. As a quantitative benchmark, less than 100 known for a date/mintmark combo certainly works.

    Aercus Numismatics - Certified coins for sale

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    sellitstoresellitstore Posts: 2,482 ✭✭✭✭✭

    For obsolete bank notes, 5-10 known has traditionally been considered "rare" (R6) and fewer than 5 known
    "very rare" (R7). Rarity 5, with 11-25 known, is considered "very scarce".

    Collector and dealer in obsolete currency. Always buying all obsolete bank notes and scrip.
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    BuffaloIronTailBuffaloIronTail Posts: 7,408 ✭✭✭✭✭

    RARE

    When a coin costs BOO KU money to buy.

    Pete

    "I tell them there's no problems.....only solutions" - John Lennon
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    WCCWCC Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @markelman1125 said:
    I think there are category’s, impossible to find is ultra rare such as a 1913 v nickel , vary hard to find is vary rare such as a 1916 standing liberty quarter, and hard to find as Just rare such as a 1909 s vdb to a high grade 19th century proof dime . Also I think demand should be taken into account as there may be a lot but everyone wants it so it’s all sold out and hard to find. It’s an interesting topic to discuss.

    The 1913 LHN is the only coin in your examples that is even close to being difficult to buy.

    All of the others are easy to extremely easy. Right now, Collectors Corner has seven MS-64 or higher 1916 SLQ, including two MS-66. Far more 09-S VDB up to MS-65 For 19th century proof dimes, depends upon the date but I'm confident that at minimum, every single date 1858 and later is available from some dealer right now or on eBay. And if it isn't, it will be within a few days or weeks at most.

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    291fifth291fifth Posts: 23,936 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Rare: An item that is not readily available even if the money to purchase it is.

    All glory is fleeting.
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    Peace_dollar88Peace_dollar88 Posts: 1,220 ✭✭✭✭✭

    According to ebay listings 1881-s morgans and 1922 peace dollars.

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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,863 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 8:38PM

    @MFeld said:

    @BillJones said:
    Less than 10 known.

    "Rare" is an overused word in the "Rare Coin Business." "Condition rarity" is a qualifier that has merit, but can also be over used.

    I agree that "rare" is overused, but 10 or fewer seems considerably too low to qualify for "rare". As just two examples, you don't consider 1804 Dollars or 1907 Ultra High Reliefs to be rare?

    I would still consider 1804 dollars rare with Bill's requirement because I rate the different classes separately. Class I is the most desirable as the were minted for official US use, though for diplomatic presentation, not actual currency. The unique Class II dollar is in the NNC and Class III dollars are more like collector-ordered patterns to me. I wouldn't group them together.

    That being said, 20ish is my limit so both would be rare for my standard, though at the very outer limit. When cataloging 20 specimens, it just feels like a lot. Even looking at a census of 20 specimens feels like a lot. Of course, with the 1907 UHR, you can break them up as seen here.

    https://coins.ha.com/itm/high-relief-double-eagles/double-eagles/1907-20-ultra-high-relief-normal-edge-lettering-pr68-ngc-jd-3-low-r7-pcgs-9131-/a/1327-3802.s?

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    BaleyBaley Posts: 22,658 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BryceM said:
    If I want one, can afford one, and can't find one, it's rare.

    This. My white whale is an 1822 25/50 C. Quarter (and 1806 B8, and a half dozen other R6+ varieties)... Not a "nice one" in a high grade pedigree old green PCGS slab with CAC from a top tier dealer or auction, and not a nasty cleaned damaged Ebay museum one, but an original surface VG or Fine with minor problems (not affecting the reverse) that nets the price down to AG. Rare coin.

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

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    jesbrokenjesbroken Posts: 9,283 ✭✭✭✭✭

    In all seriousness and in my opinion, rarity in coinage is due to scarcity. Lack of funds actually do not make an item scarce only its unavailability does that. If someone bought up the majority of a large coin issue and refused to make it available to the public for purchase, then that very large issued coin may be considered scarce due to unavailability. As I said, this is my opinion.
    Jim


    When a man who is honestly mistaken hears the truth, he will either quit being mistaken or cease to be honest....Abraham Lincoln

    Patriotism is supporting your country all the time, and your government when it deserves it.....Mark Twain
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    pursuitoflibertypursuitofliberty Posts: 6,592 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I think of Rare being when there are less than 50 examples extant. Doesn't matter if no one wants them and I can find one cheap, they are still technically Rare.

    I also think of conditionally Rare when it is certain the example is known to be within the top 10 examples that can not be classified as Rare otherwise.


    “We are only their care-takers,” he posed, “if we take good care of them, then centuries from now they may still be here … ”

    Todd - BHNC #242
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,863 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Conditionally rare is a tricky slope for me.

    What if there's one in MS67 but 1000 in MS66?

    I tend to think of conditionally rare when there are less than 20 in MS.

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    pursuitoflibertypursuitofliberty Posts: 6,592 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 9:50PM

    @Zoins said:
    Conditionally rare is a tricky slope for me.

    What if there's one in MS67 but 1000 in MS66?

    I tend to think of conditionally rare when there are less than 20 in MS.

    Well in that case, the 67 is Rare ... the 66's, not so much! :D

    .

    All joking aside, I agree. I don't think that is a case where anyone can be certain the example is known to be within the top 10 examples, whether in 66 or 67 plastic


    “We are only their care-takers,” he posed, “if we take good care of them, then centuries from now they may still be here … ”

    Todd - BHNC #242
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    MarkInDavisMarkInDavis Posts: 1,699 ✭✭✭✭

    Warm in the center but definitely red, not pink.

    image Respectfully, Mark
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,863 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 10:33PM

    @MarkInDavis said:
    Warm in the center but definitely red, not pink.

    Medium rare.

    At R6, there are 21 to 75 specimens, so not quite meeting my requirement for rarity at a max of 20 ;)

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    3keepSECRETif2rDEAD3keepSECRETif2rDEAD Posts: 4,285 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 29, 2021 10:34PM

    ...True Rare is cool to the touch red in the center fellas...no doubt ;)

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