Odds to win the Masters.

CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited April 7, 2019 12:35PM in Sports Talk

I like Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

Odds to win 2019 Masters (4/11/19)
Rory McIlroy 7/1
Dustin Johnson 10/1
Justin Rose 14/1
Tiger Woods 14/1
Brooks Koepka 18/1
Francesco Molinari 18/1
Jon Rahm 18/1
Justin Thomas 18/1
Rickie Fowler 18/1
Bryson Dechambeau 20/1
Jordan Spieth 20/1
Tommy Fleetwood 25/1
Paul Casey 28/1
Jason Day 30/1
Tony Finau 30/1
Bubba Watson 35/1
Hideki Matsuyama 35/1
Adam Scott 40/1
Cameron Smith 40/1
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1
Xander Schauffele 40/1
Phil Mickelson 45/1
Henrik Stenson 50/1
Marc Leishman 50/1
Matt Kuchar 50/1
Sergio Garcia 50/1
Patrick Reed 60/1
Kevin Kisner 65/1
Patrick Cantlay 70/1
Gary Woodland 80/1
Ian Poulter 80/1
Webb Simpson 80/1
Brandt Snedeker 100/1
Hao Tong Li 100/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 100/1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 100/1
Tyrrell Hatton 100/1
Billy Horschel 125/1
Branden Grace 125/1
Charl Schwartzel 125/1
Charles Howell III 125/1
Eddie Pepperell 125/1
Keegan Bradley 125/1
Lucas Bjerregaard 125/1
Matt Wallace 125/1
Shane Lowry 125/1
Zach Johnson 125/1
Alex Noren 150/1
Charley Hoffman 150/1
Danny Willett 150/1
Si Woo Kim 150/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 150/1
Byeong Hun An 190/1
Ryan Moore 200/1
J.B. Holmes 230/1
Keith Mitchell 230/1
Aaron Wise 250/1
Kyle Stanley 250/1
Emiliano Grillo 300/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300/1
Martin Kaymer 300/1
Brian Harman 350/1
Kevin Na 350/1
Jimmy Walker 400/1
Justin Harding 400/1
Stewart Cink 400/1
Andrew Landry 500/1
Bernhard Langer 500/1
Fred Couples 500/1
Ross Fisher 500/1
Satoshi Kodaira 500/1
Shugo Imahira 500/1
Vijay Singh 500/1
Adam Long 600/1
Chez Reavie 600/1
Kevin Chappell 600/1
Kevin Tway 600/1
Andrew Putnam 750/1
Jason Dufner 750/1
Jovan Rebula 750/1
Larry Mize 750/1
Michael Kim 750/1
Mike Weir 750/1
Patton Kizzire 750/1
Sandy Lyle 750/1
Shubhankar Sharma 750/1
Takumi Kanaya 750/1
Viktor Hovland 750/1
Alvaro Ortiz 1000/1
Angel Cabrera 1000/1
Devon Bling 1000/1
Kevin O'Connell 1000/1
Mark O'Meara 1000/1
Trevor Immelman 1000/1
Ian Woosnam 2000/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 2000/1

«13

Comments

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭

    i spoke to Jim Furyk this past weekend and the first thing he said to me was, "tell coinstartled to behave."

    i'm as ardent a Spieth fan as you'll find, but i wouldn't touch him @ 20/1. his showing in a very weak field at the Valero this weekend was his best of the season.......T30(!)

    ANGC is his playground, but not while he's trying to find consistency in his game

    3 long shots worth a sprinkle:

    Cantlay (70/1)
    Howell III (125/1)
    An (190/1)

    photo 20190404_132556_zpsfpg0l44j.jpg

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Great shot Galaxy. Jim is my favorite player!

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Should have asked him, if he were winning the Masters, whether his caddy would have pulled him after three rounds if his shot count was 204?

    ;)

  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭

    I like Kuch at 50/1 and Na at 350/1.

  • DIMEMANDIMEMAN Posts: 18,574 ✭✭✭✭✭

    It use to be great back in the 60's.......not so much anymore.


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  • DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 3,802 ✭✭✭✭

    Is there a self destruct odds list somewhere? I'd be interested to see what Tigers odds are there, got a feeling this year...

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭
    edited April 9, 2019 2:46PM

    not sure where coin got this list

    i'll need more attractive odds than 190/1 for Byeong Hun An, seeing as he's not even in the field :p

  • hammer1hammer1 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭

    Too hard to pick a winner.

    Better to bet the head to head wagers.

  • BLUEJAYWAYBLUEJAYWAY Posts: 3,590 ✭✭✭✭

    Bubba or Day.

    Successful transactions:Tookybandit
  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @BLUEJAYWAY said:
    Bubba or Day.

    Bill Clinton cheats at golf don't let him near the scorecard

  • hammer1hammer1 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭

    "A bettor has placed an $85,000 wager on Tiger Woods to win the 2019 Masters at 14-1 odds, per Darren Rovell of The Action Network.

    Rovell reported that the bet, which was made at a William Hill sportsbook in Nevada, would pay out $1.19 million if Woods wins.

    Woods, a four-time Masters champion, has 13 top-10 finishes at the major, which is held at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia."__

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @hammer1 said:
    "A bettor has placed an $85,000 wager on Tiger Woods to win the 2019 Masters at 14-1 odds, per Darren Rovell of The Action Network.

    Rovell reported that the bet, which was made at a William Hill sportsbook in Nevada, would pay out $1.19 million if Woods wins.

    Woods, a four-time Masters champion, has 13 top-10 finishes at the major, which is held at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia."__

    A typical football game against the spread has a 4.55% bookies vig. And we all know how "easy" it is to make money betting on football games.

    These golf tournaments have a typical bookie vig of around 12% to 20% and sometimes higher than that. An 85k bet against a 12% to 20% vig, is an absolute delight for a sportsbook such as William Hill.

    But don't be too depressed about losing the 85k, because William Hill will be happy to comp you to a room and some meals to show you their gratitude...that will cheer ya up.

  • dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 2,362 ✭✭✭

    @Coinstartled said:
    I like Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

    I like Jordan Spieth, and I will be pleasantly surprised if he makes the cut.

    dallasactuary

    Official defender of Ron Santo
    Official defender of Bert Blyleven
    Official defender of Bill Mazeroski
    Jim Rice sucks
    Jack Morris sucks and blows simultaneously.
  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 18,602 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Patrick Reed at 60-1 seems like some value to me

    m

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    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭

    Tway (600/1) and Harding (400/1) out to the early lead.

  • dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 2,362 ✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    I like Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

    I like Jordan Spieth, and I will be pleasantly surprised if he makes the cut.

    I would like to amend my earlier statement to say that I will pleasantly surprised if Jordan Spieth still has his tour card a year from now. I don't know why he has forgotten how to play golf, but he and Rick Ankiel will be swapping "remember when we were good" stories soon.

    dallasactuary

    Official defender of Ron Santo
    Official defender of Bert Blyleven
    Official defender of Bill Mazeroski
    Jim Rice sucks
    Jack Morris sucks and blows simultaneously.
  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:

    @dallasactuary said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    I like Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

    I like Jordan Spieth, and I will be pleasantly surprised if he makes the cut.

    I would like to amend my earlier statement to say that I will pleasantly surprised if Jordan Spieth still has his tour card a year from now. I don't know why he has forgotten how to play golf, but he and Rick Ankiel will be swapping "remember when we were good" stories soon.

    With the choice of watching Jordan two better than Fred Couples or reading Iwog's posts, I will stick with the tournament!

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 18,602 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album





    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • hammer1hammer1 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭

    @Coinstartled said:
    With the choice of watching Jordan two better than Fred Couples or reading Iwog's posts, I will stick with the tournament!

    I will take one kidney stone, and 2 root canals at the same time before reading Iwog's posts.

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 18,602 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @hammer1 said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    With the choice of watching Jordan two better than Fred Couples or reading Iwog's posts, I will stick with the tournament!

    I will take one kidney stone, and 2 root canals at the same time before reading Iwog's posts.

    I concur. I’d add I’d rather read Stevek’s 2019 Phillies thread in its entirety as well then read any Iwog post

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album





    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭

    i'm starting to think that Brooks Koepka is more unflappable than Tom Brady

    nothing fazes him and the lack of notoriety pisses him off come major time

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Lefty was strong today.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Justacommeman said:

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    I dunno...maybe you're right.

    But Tiger is 4 strokes back already with a lot of players in front of him.

    The gambler may not be looking at any $1.19 million beach front property brochures right now.

  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @Justacommeman said:

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    I dunno...maybe you're right.

    But Tiger is 4 strokes back already with a lot of players in front of him.

    The gambler may not be looking at any $1.19 million beach front property brochures right now.

    He probably is today.

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Woods> @dallasactuary said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    I like Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

    I like Jordan Spieth, and I will be pleasantly surprised if he makes the cut.

    Four under today and minus 1 for the event.

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭

    been watching the Masters for almost 40 years and i can't remember being as amped up for the weekend as i am now

    someone pinch me with this bunched, who's who leaderboard

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 18,602 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The cheers for Tiger were off the hook. It was wonderful to see and a great day of golf period.

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album





    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @LarkinCollector said:

    @stevek said:

    @Justacommeman said:

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    I dunno...maybe you're right.

    But Tiger is 4 strokes back already with a lot of players in front of him.

    The gambler may not be looking at any $1.19 million beach front property brochures right now.

    He probably is today.

    Good for him. I like when a gambler crushes a bookie. Unfortunately, it's usually the other way around...and in the long run, it's always the other way around.

  • hammer1hammer1 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭

    I'd give the gambler 10K for half his ticket.

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @LarkinCollector said:

    @stevek said:

    @Justacommeman said:

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    I dunno...maybe you're right.

    But Tiger is 4 strokes back already with a lot of players in front of him.

    The gambler may not be looking at any $1.19 million beach front property brochures right now.

    He probably is today.

    Good for him. I like when a gambler crushes a bookie. Unfortunately, it's usually the other way around...and in the long run, it's always the other way around.

    Well all good and well but Tiger has a group of 8 players that are either tied or one better. Including the two golfers that are a stroke behind, 14 to one after two rounds is still a reasonable line. Also bookmakers often lay off large wagers. Doubt that in the aggregate any golf tournament has ever dinged the house.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @hammer1 said:
    I'd give the gambler 10K for half his ticket.

    He wouldn't take it. Woods chances to win, having gotten off to a good start, are greater than they were before the tournament began.

    One site i checked now has Woods at 6-1. The gambler got 14-1 odds on the ticket, so "technically" the ticket has approximately doubled its value.

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭

    Tiger needs to name his putter 'paradox'

    inside of 10 ft he's almost last in the field, otherwise he'd have about a 4-5 shot lead right now..........yet he's numero uno when it comes to anything outside of 10

    seems like every time he has missed a 5-footer without a hint of break, he follows up on the very next hole by dunking a 25-ft bender. or vice versa

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Coinstartled said:

    @stevek said:

    @LarkinCollector said:

    @stevek said:

    @Justacommeman said:

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:
    Tiger two back tied for 19th.

    I'm sure the 85k gambler hasn't yet torn up his betting ticket. :D

    With Tiger tied at 11th I would still be clutching it

    m

    I dunno...maybe you're right.

    But Tiger is 4 strokes back already with a lot of players in front of him.

    The gambler may not be looking at any $1.19 million beach front property brochures right now.

    He probably is today.

    Good for him. I like when a gambler crushes a bookie. Unfortunately, it's usually the other way around...and in the long run, it's always the other way around.

    Well all good and well but Tiger has a group of 8 players that are either tied or one better. Including the two golfers that are a stroke behind, 14 to one after two rounds is still a reasonable line. Also bookmakers often lay off large wagers. Doubt that in the aggregate any golf tournament has ever dinged the house.

    A William Hill isn't laying anything off. You're talking about local bookies who do that.

    I don't disagree with ya that 14-1 on Woods is still a reasonable line. That one book i mentioned which has Woods now at 6-1, in my opinion is one of those times whereby the books really jacked up the vig well above 20%.

    Even for a William Hill, getting dinged for 1.19 million, stings a bit.

    I have no idea what their total handle is on this Masters. But don't forget, Woods is a fan favorite with a lot of people and so there is other money bet on him as well.

    I'd be certain, that right now William Hill would prefer seeing Tiger Woods lose.

    All that being said, getting dinged by a winning big bet, and a bookie taking a loss on a specific sports event, has happened to them in the past, and it will happen again. So if Woods wins, internally they'll gripe about it somewhat. However they are rest assured that with future golf tournaments and other sports events, it all comes back to them eventually.

  • hammer1hammer1 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭
    edited April 12, 2019 7:41PM

    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

    Where you wrote him off after the first quarter :D

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @LarkinCollector said:

    @stevek said:

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

    Where you wrote him off after the first quarter :D

    Woods had a nice round of golf today, no doubt about it.

    We shall see if he performs good enough in the next two rounds to beat the others.

    Remember as far as the 85K bet is concerned, if Woods loses by just one stroke, it doesn't do the gambler any good. They don't pay off on win bets if the horse loses by a nose. ;)

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited April 12, 2019 8:57PM

    @stevek said:

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

    Hill scores a home run if Woods wins it. We are already discussing the company and the wager and they have yet to pay out a dime. Wood's snaps his 11 year major drought with a win Sunday and it is the biggest story of any category for three days.

    They could hand the bettor $10,000,000 and still be ahead.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Coinstartled said:

    @stevek said:

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

    Hill scores a home run if Woods wins it. We are already discussing the company and the wager and they have yet to pay out a dime. Wood's snaps his 11 year major drought with a win Sunday and it is the biggest story of any category for three days.

    They could hand the bettor $10,000,000 and still be ahead.

    While I disagree with ya about the specific monetary situation for William Hill on the 2019 Masters. I do agree with ya that the publicity generated from this gambler winning the bet, would likely lead to more business for them, and in the long run generate more revenue than the loss they would take on this bet.

    That being said, bookies don't like to lose money on any sports event. I believe William Hill still wants Woods to lose...and the chances are still better that Woods will lose.

    We shall see. :)

  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭

    Odds are always in the favor against a specific golfer, but one has to win. Koepka should probably be the overwhelming fav, but he's not.

  • dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 2,362 ✭✭✭

    Tomorrow will tell. Woods has never won a major he didn't lead going in to Sunday, and he has never lost a major he did lead going into Sunday.

    dallasactuary

    Official defender of Ron Santo
    Official defender of Bert Blyleven
    Official defender of Bill Mazeroski
    Jim Rice sucks
    Jack Morris sucks and blows simultaneously.
  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @stevek said:

    @Coinstartled said:

    @stevek said:

    @hammer1 said:
    stevek as you know most recreational guys put up $10-100 on golf futures.

    Takes a lot of those bets to pay off $1.2M.

    You're right. I think it's likely William Hill loses money on this tourney if Woods wins it.

    But Woods hasn't exactly won it yet. It's only the end of the first half. ;)

    Hill scores a home run if Woods wins it. We are already discussing the company and the wager and they have yet to pay out a dime. Wood's snaps his 11 year major drought with a win Sunday and it is the biggest story of any category for three days.

    They could hand the bettor $10,000,000 and still be ahead.

    While I disagree with ya about the specific monetary situation for William Hill on the 2019 Masters. I do agree with ya that the publicity generated from this gambler winning the bet, would likely lead to more business for them, and in the long run generate more revenue than the loss they would take on this bet.

    That being said, bookies don't like to lose money on any sports event. I believe William Hill still wants Woods to lose...and the chances are still better that Woods will lose.

    We shall see. :)

    I maintain that the book would would without hesitation favor a Woods win. I Googled "how much money is wagered on the Masters" and the $85,000 wager at Hill was the first response.

    https://www.golfdigest.com/story/masters-2019-someone-bet-dollar85000-on-tiger-woods-winning-his-fifth-green-jacketand-the-payout-would-be-historic

  • CoinstartledCoinstartled Posts: 7,467 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:
    Tomorrow will tell. Woods has never won a major he didn't lead going in to Sunday, and he has never lost a major he did lead going into Sunday.

    Thought about that as well, DA, but that was 40 plus tournaments and 11 years ago. Woods has been through a bunch of surgeries a divorce and a DUI. By all rights he should be watching on a large screen somewhere sipping beer and eating Pepperidge Farm goldfish.

    a priori stuff is nearly meaningless.

    I am not a fan, but have to give him credit for tenacity.

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:
    Tomorrow will tell. Woods has never won a major he didn't lead going in to Sunday, and he has never lost a major he did lead going into Sunday.

    Very interesting stat.

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭✭

    btw a little love for Bernhard Langer. he has more than proved his mettle on the champions tour, but being under par and making the cut at the Masters while being outdriven by 40-50 yards and hitting 4-5 clubs more into greens on every hole is so incredibly impressive

    he is a machine and one badass 61-yr-old golfer

  • LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭✭
    edited April 12, 2019 9:43PM

    @dallasactuary said:
    Tomorrow will tell. Woods has never won a major he didn't lead going in to Sunday, and he has never lost a major he did lead going into Sunday.

    I'm sorry, but I can't take your opinions on golf even remotely seriously after this:
    I like Jordan Spieth, and I will be pleasantly surprised if he makes the cut.

    ETA: Stick to baseball ;)

  • stevekstevek Posts: 21,584 ✭✭✭✭✭

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/golf/tiger-woods-masters-first-round-odds-sportsbooks-liability-darren-rovell

    Tiger Woods Winning the Masters Would Be a 7-Figure Disaster for Some Sportsbooks

    .....In total, 14% of the total money wagered on futures at William Hill are on Tiger to win.

«13
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