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Hype~is it worth getting in now?

CoinMeisterCoinMeister Posts: 650 ✭✭✭✭
Some Examples:
The Extra Leaf Wisconsin Quarter
The Speared Bison Nickel
The MN Quarters
Every new release from the Mint with a "limited issue", i.e. 20th Anniversary Eagles
08/07 W SAE

I have read threads here constantly about the latest and greatest coin that has been issued/discovered. While the thread goes up in count so does the coin. But as the time wears on and the hype disappears, the prices seem to settle. If the flipper market is hot on a coin, it seems natural to get in immediately as long as you are a flipper as well.

However, if you are a collector, has it ever been worth getting in on hype right away or is it better to wait for the dust to settle? Obviously it depends on desire, passion and if the coin has a limited mintage.

Hype is hype and it seems like a trap.
"What we are never changes, but who we are ... never stops changing."

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    dohdoh Posts: 6,457 ✭✭✭
    No steer clear!!! Unless you're one of the first to discover the error you'll probably lose your shirt.
    Positive BST transactions with: too many names to list! 36 at last count.
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    ArizonaJackArizonaJack Posts: 4,029 ✭✭✭


    << <i>No steer clear!!! Unless you're one of the first to discover the error you'll probably lose your shirt. >>



    Agreed, I steer clear of all that carp
    " YOU SUCK " Awarded 5/18/08
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    AmigoAmigo Posts: 966

    Yep, that's about the same advice David Bowers took when he was marketing all the 55 DDO shortely after they were minted. He did great selling those things for a buck or two. It was quick money.
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    << <i>Agreed, I steer clear of all that carp >>



    Something's fishy here.....image
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    291fifth291fifth Posts: 25,169 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The items you mention are classic "flip 'em and move on" type material. Unless you got in on the ground floor it would be best to ignore them. They have had their day.
    All glory is fleeting.
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    BECOKABECOKA Posts: 16,961 ✭✭✭
    Unless you own your own mail rocket it will be impossible to keep up and make a profit.

    As a collector it is probably worth the wait to see what happens in a few years. Some will go up in value and most will tank. I think it will cost less overall to wait.
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    dohdoh Posts: 6,457 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I think it will cost less overall to wait. >>


    Bingo.
    Positive BST transactions with: too many names to list! 36 at last count.
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    mach19mach19 Posts: 4,715 ✭✭✭✭
    Do you want to roll the dice ? That is the question here. The exta leaf Wisconsin Quarter is priced @ $13,000 - $15,000 in the price guide @ MS-67 Some will fade, some will rise. Only time will tell.




    Have a good one!!!
    TIN SOLDIERS & NIXON COMING image
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    BoomBoom Posts: 10,165
    Follow your instinct and live with your decision.

    If it does not pan out - this time, if you keep trying, eventually it will.

    If you hit - you'll be thrilled. If you miss, at least you tried.

    If you feel the urge and do not follow through, it will nag you, for life.

    If you're overly apprehensive - don't do it.

    To thyself be true. image
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    PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 47,509 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Yep, that's about the same advice David Bowers took when he was marketing all the 55 DDO shortely after they were minted. He did great selling those things for a buck or two. It was quick money. >>



    Bad example. The 55 DDO is a very dramatic variety and certainly not in the same league as the speared buffalo.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

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    FullStrikeFullStrike Posts: 4,353 ✭✭✭
    The number one most important thing in the world to everyone, especially coin freaks, is U.

    Here is a coin that is, in a nutshell, all about U. What's not to like about it?

    Come on! Jump on the bandwagon - tell us afterwards how much you had to pay to climb aboard.

    image
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    coinkatcoinkat Posts: 24,379 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think those are already yesterday's mashed potatos

    Experience the World through Numismatics...it's more than you can imagine.

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    roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,371 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Buy real value based on true rarity and quality. You can only do that by diligent research. Relying on the hype burns about 90% of those who take the bait. True rarity and quality always win out. Everything else fizzles out. You many not get rewarded next week, but it will come.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
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    morgansforevermorgansforever Posts: 8,501 ✭✭✭✭✭
    IMHO the 08/07 reverse ASE, will be highly collectable in years to come.

    1k raw in 2 years, we will see.
    World coins FSHO Hundreds of successful BST transactions U.S. coins FSHO
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    << <i>IMHO the 08/07 reverse ASE, will be highly collectable in years to come.

    1k raw in 2 years, we will see. >>


    Highly doubtful. Going from the experience of previous limited issues like the 2000 Millenium or the 20th anniversary NGC Blue Label ASE, the only ones that showed considerable appreciation are the MS70's. The supply of raw and lower graded material simply exceeds the demand.
    Never teach a pig to sing. You'll waste your time and annoy the pig image

    image
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    rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Ah yes... as I look at my '95 W ASE.... It has 'settled', and handsomely over my purchase price. image Cheers, RickO
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    BaleyBaley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm still waiting for they hype to die down on 1796 quarters and prices to settle before I finally purchase one

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

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    HyperionHyperion Posts: 7,465 ✭✭✭
    why does everyone say "hype" like it's a bad thing image
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    PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 47,509 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Value will be influenced by whether or not the album makers include a space for this variety. I'm guessing they won't and this relatively minor variety will fizzil.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

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    RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I collect what I like for my enjoyment and do my best to suppress or ignore what is being promoted or hyped. This may not be the most financially rewarding approach but reflects my view of the hobby.
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    BoomBoom Posts: 10,165
    The discovery of an error in the present is many times taken too lightly. Hype/ Shmype. Those labeling it hype probably didn't get in. Move now or you will have forever missed your chance. Getting lucky by any other means is basically not going to happen except for a few undelfish people like Miles that shares with others.

    Kharma is a real anomele.

    Example, just look at the Lincoln 95 DDO. During complacent market lulls I held onto mine & now they're beginning to realize the premiums they should as is also the case with the 99-W $5 &$10 Gold Eagles that were struck with unfinished Proof die.

    These NOW realize pretty hefty premiums.

    The absolute best was being able to go to my local bank literally everyday and come home with countless
    rolls of Lincoln Cents, in which I found double digits of 98, 99 & 2000 Wide AM. Now that was sweet!

    Turning Cents obtained at face into healthy numbers was indeed VERY exciring and fulfilling! image

    Some call it hype, some miss out and later wish they had jumped on board during the early stages.

    The 95-W is another great example. Don't sit there thinking - just go for it. All it takes is a couple to several
    and they can literally pay for the entire order - and then some. If you snooze and do nothing, nothing will happen for you. Give it a shot. image
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    cladkingcladking Posts: 29,937 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>The discovery of an error in the present is many times taken too lightly. Hype/ Shmype. Those labeling it hype probably didn't get in. Move now or you will have forever missed your chance. Getting lucky by any other means is basically not going to happen except for a few undelfish people like Miles that shares with others.

    Kharma is a real anomele.

    Example, just look at the Lincoln 95 DDO. During complacent market lulls I held onto mine & now they're beginning to realize the premiums they should as is also the case with the 99-W $5 &$10 Gold Eagles that were struck with unfinished Proof die.

    These NOW realize pretty hefty premiums.

    The absolute best was being able to go to my local bank literally everyday and come home with countless
    rolls of Lincoln Cents, in which I found double digits of 98, 99 & 2000 Wide AM. Now that was sweet!

    Turning Cents obtained at face into healthy numbers was indeed VERY exciring and fulfilling! image

    Some call it hype, some miss out and later wish they had jumped on board during the early stages.

    The 95-W is another great example. Don't sit there thinking - just go for it. All it takes is a couple to several
    and they can literally pay for the entire order - and then some. If you snooze and do nothing, nothing will happen for you. Give it a shot. image >>




    There you go.

    All the real hype is for the old coins. Not that I have a problem with the flowery
    language, hyperbole, and double entendre used to describe old 18th and 19th
    century coins for sale but let's get real here. Since when is reporting on new coins
    of interest to millions of people hype while the fluff associated with old coins is
    simply descriptive and defining terminology?

    I had a thread here that proved it in no uncertain terms but I guess it got under
    too many peoples' skin and it got deleted.

    There had to be one classic bashing thread. image

    If you want to see hype just open up any Coin World or any other paper and look
    at all the ads for classics and then try to find someone selling a 1971 quarter in unc.

    The simple fact is that there's a lot of hype in the coin hobby and almost every bit
    of it is promoting classic coins.
    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
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    mach19mach19 Posts: 4,715 ✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>IMHO the 08/07 reverse ASE, will be highly collectable in years to come.

    1k raw in 2 years, we will see. >>


    Highly doubtful. Going from the experience of previous limited issues like the 2000 Millenium or the 20th anniversary NGC Blue Label ASE, the only ones that showed considerable appreciation are the MS70's. The supply of raw and lower graded material simply exceeds the demand. >>




    This is the same coin, Just a different label. Totaly different. I do not know where the price will be in the future, as compaired to the " KING OF SILVER EAGLES " ( 1995-W ) The 2008 /2007 Reverse certainly has the potential to become the " QUEEN "



    Have a good one!!!
    TIN SOLDIERS & NIXON COMING image
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    CoinspongeCoinsponge Posts: 3,927 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I'm still waiting for they hype to die down on 1796 quarters and prices to settle before I finally purchase one >>




    Me too. Meantime I will have to settle on the newer hyped stuff.
    Gold and silver are valuable but wisdom is priceless.
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    LincolnCentManLincolnCentMan Posts: 5,347 ✭✭✭✭
    If you didnt like them before the hype, why would you like them after the hype?

    -David
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    HIGHLOWLEAVESHIGHLOWLEAVES Posts: 799 ✭✭✭
    "Hype" comes in many forms. The greatest hype IMHO comes from coin magazine writers who usually have an unbias motive. It is simply their job to report the New kid on the block. The one major exception is Mr Ken Potter's rapid assessment of the WI Leaves. I truly think that his opinion and many of coin error collectors would be different if those WI quarters had been discovered in their own backyards. Next, is the US Mint. They give out very misleading estimates of so called mintage figures whether it be 50,000 WI Highs or 47,000 2008/7 ASEs. Don't forget "The Bay". That crowd can run you over everytime that there is a new coin error !! Ebay manipulators ran the prices of the WI varieties and the Speared Bison up to unbelievable prices which were certain to collapse. And they did !! The same thing is likely with the 2008/7 ASE's. The MN DDR/DDO never really got off the ground even in light of all of Ken Potter's detailed and boring personal web site. The WI quarters values have retraced back to many of Snow/Old Pueblo/Tucson Coin prices of 02/05 in Coin World. Those were realistic prices w/o much BS. WI prices w/o Ebay would not have left many speculators losing big money in hopes for a quick profit. Same with the Speared Bisons and the MN coins and the "Godless Dollars". Summary: some of the modern varieties/errors will be desired by collectors at NON Hype prices for their quarter, etc collections. Yes, it is best not to chase these coins right out of the shoot and in the middle of the "hype". Let the prices come down to a reasonable level and then decide whether you want the coin for your set.
    Specialized Investments
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    TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 45,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Hype is never the reason to get in unless one has money to burn.
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    dpooledpoole Posts: 5,940 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The hype comes from the desire to acquire a specimen at the outset, while they are available. The fuel for hype is that when an interesting anomaly appears, one cannot know in the beginning whether the item will prove to be scarce, or not.

    One makes one's own judgments about whether an anomaly is essentially cool and will be regarded as others as such (e.g., the WI high/low leafs vs the MN varieties). There are the objective considerations as well that are typically unknown, viz, how many dies were involved, how many coins are produced by the die(s), whether the production was interrupted early on in a run, whether mint employees caught and screened out a proportion of the production, etc.

    For my part, I consider the ones I acquire to be of essential interest, and I'll try and acquire one when the news comes out. At times, the strategy works out OK because the item holds some interest over time and proves to be scarce (e.g. 1999 Lincoln Wide AM MS); at other times, I overpay because the item proves to be of less abiding interest/ and to be relatively plentiful vis a vis demand (e.g. 1999-S Lincoln Close AM Proof). It's a dollar clost averaging model, which so far has worked out in the aggregate.
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    ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,740 ✭✭✭✭✭
    These same comments also apply to hyped type coins. Every now and then, a number of dealers corner a market on a specific type coin in specific grade(s). You can always tell what they are, because
    'mysteriously,' the price doubles or triples, and suddenly, these coins that you could never find anywhere before are now readily available.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
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    Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭
    You can get in just buy them befor there is a hype and you will do fine. I picked up 40 Rev proof set @ 100.00 ea from the mint and did well, I buy from the mint and sell what I dont want it works for me. image


    Hoard the keys.
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    19Lyds19Lyds Posts: 26,503 ✭✭✭✭
    I try to obtain at least one of any of the "latest' variety/error coins that come out.

    Usually I get in, thanks to this board, before the prices get too outrageous.
    I decided to change calling the bathroom the John and renamed it the Jim. I feel so much better saying I went to the Jim this morning.



    The name is LEE!

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