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Are the New Breed Collectors™ the latest scourge of numismatics?

In the past, we collectors had an easy time focusing our energies upon the scourges of numismatics-- it was mainly the bad-apple dealers who ripped off little old widows. Then, things got more complex, and we focused our attention on the bad-apple dealers who manipulated prices through the infamous Well Managed Promotions™. Again, we cast aspersions upon these dastardly denizens of our happy world.

However, now, much to my chagrin, we are taking a look inward and coming up against a force that is more powerful than the greedy participants in rip-off transactions and promotions. I am talking about the dreaded New Breed Collector™. In the latest Market Report from Pinnacle, they refer to this new animal, and its impact on the market (I copied the relevant part of the report below).

Do you think that the New Breed Collectors™ are the latest scourge of numismatics? Do you think they are negatively affecting the market overall, or just the upper tiers (which 99% of us don’t participate in)? As with everything, it all comes down to the dealers, so do you think that the New Breed Collector™ is good or bad for dealers?

Here is the Pinnacle excerpt:

“Money is No Object

The new breed of collector wants the coin regardless of price. I envy them that luxury, but hope they are not made complacent by their equally exuberant under-bidders. The extremely strong prices for the Husack collection of large cents is understandable. These coins are truly rare and may not surface again for years. Some of the other items experiencing extremely spirited bidding, however, are replaceable. These coins, or their equivalents, have sold recently for far less.”

Always took candy from strangers
Didn't wanna get me no trade
Never want to be like papa
Working for the boss every night and day
--"Happy", by the Rolling Stones (1972)

Comments

  • ziggy29ziggy29 Posts: 18,668 ✭✭✭
    To some degree I think they are feeding the bifurcated market, yes. But I'm not sure it's all on them. There's also the Greater Fool Theory at work to some degree. In an asset bubble, that's usually a requirement.
  • shirohniichanshirohniichan Posts: 4,992 ✭✭✭
    Yea, verily.

    They'll go away when the bubble bursts. The same thing happened in 1980.
    image
    Obscurum per obscurius
  • ConnecticoinConnecticoin Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Per one of the Legend Market Reports, dealers are taking advantage of this by consigning coins to auctions instead of selling them on the bourse.
  • ziggy29ziggy29 Posts: 18,668 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Per one of the Legend Market Reports, dealers are taking advantage of this by consigning coins to auctions instead of selling them on the bourse. >>

    When I look at the ridiculous money some coins are getting in auction, frankly I don't know why ANYONE would sell the best stuff at retail these days. All it takes are two determined sets of deep pockets. And there seem to be a lot of them chasing the choicest material these days.
  • BECOKABECOKA Posts: 16,961 ✭✭✭
    I consider myself part of that new breed. image

    I spent way too much on a coin I could not afford that is not so pretty to look at. But it just about finishes off my collection and the peace that comes with that is calming. That and I have only seen 5 or 6 of these period over the last 5 years. image
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,609 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Yea, verily.

    They'll go away when the bubble bursts. The same thing happened in 1980. >>



    They are the "AIR" of the bubble. But, they are a necessary part of the game. When they're educated enough to realize they're upside down in coins like so many are in automobiles, then instead of a bursting bubble... true numismatists will wait for their beloved coins to come back to market for what we know is the "right" price....
    as those who were able to conquer will find no joy in licking their wounds. (pride and ego)

    The past predicts the future.
  • BlindedByEgoBlindedByEgo Posts: 10,754 ✭✭✭✭✭
    A rising tide lifts all ships.
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,609 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>A rising tide lifts all ships. >>


    That's true, too image


    I love the many sides of our hobby. Collecting, grading, speculating, competitive bidding, growling, cussing, and even the plastic image
  • ziggy29ziggy29 Posts: 18,668 ✭✭✭


    << <i>A rising tide lifts all ships. >>

    I guess classic commems and common-date MS-65 Morgans aren't ships. image
  • RWBRWB Posts: 8,082
    No, the “buy at any price” people usually turn out to have very short attention spans – think of a 3-year old with a new shiny toy. They are not a new phenomenon to the hobby – they pop up now and then either individually or in small, ignorant groups.

    They are best dealt with by taking advantage of their self-imposed ignorance: triple your asking price and sell like mad. In a couple of years, after you’re tanned and rested, you can buy back the coins for 25-cents on the dollar.
  • BlindedByEgoBlindedByEgo Posts: 10,754 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>A rising tide lifts all ships. >>

    I guess classic commems and common-date MS-65 Morgans aren't ships. image >>



    Those are just too much weight for this bubble image
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,609 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>No, the “buy at any price” people usually turn out to have very short attention spans – think of a 3-year old with a new shiny toy. They are not a new phenomenon to the hobby – they pop up now and then either individually or in small, ignorant groups.

    They are best dealt with by taking advantage of their self-imposed ignorance: triple your asking price and sell like mad. In a couple of years, after you’re tanned and rested, you can buy back the coins for 25-cents on the dollar. >>



    Spoken like a "coin o sewer" image Did I spell that right, kind sir ?
  • ziggy29ziggy29 Posts: 18,668 ✭✭✭


    << <i> They are best dealt with by taking advantage of their self-imposed ignorance: triple your asking price and sell like mad. In a couple of years, after you’re tanned and rested, you can buy back the coins for 25-cents on the dollar. >>

    This is what I'm hoping for, and that's why I'm only buying VERY selectively now. I'm hoping to be able to spend this time raising cash to back up the truck when the "stupid money" bails for the exits.
  • I don't believe these new buyers are the latest scourge of numismatics. To me, they seem like uneducated buyers that are willing to pay whatever it takes to win.

    I believe part of this mentality comes from dealers and collectors who say "pay strong money when a rare coin comes to market." I agree with this logic assuming you know what rare really means. Generally this term is only understood by specialists and honest dealers who have been in the business many years.
  • jfoot13jfoot13 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭
    " New breed collectors " more like a tax rebate than a scourge.. take the money and stimulate the coin economy...

    now milk spots... that's a real scourge
    If you can't swim you better stay in the boat.......
  • tcmitssrtcmitssr Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭
    I think certain, unnamed, major dealers are getting too full of themselves.
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,609 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I think certain, unnamed, major dealers are getting too full of themselves. >>



    Just remember, ... those who's noses are too high in the air are only looking for a bigger butt to sniff.
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  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    i do feel a bit thuggish when i pop a bid in ebay for 100 more then
    the current bid knowing i am going to win it.

    but a scourge? well, my ego just got boosted a bit more!

    i can win any auction i want, so bow down t` yer master, th` scourge o` ebay

    thanks.
  • MrBreezeMrBreeze Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭
    Would you separate the "new" collectors into two categories - those with "representation," and those without? It would be interesting to see what the agents'/dealers'/advisers' roles are in these transactions. If the buyers are truly "uneducated," are the representatives driving the prices? At some point, I would think that I would tell someone that they will be buried at "X" price. Lawsuits always seem to follow bubbles.


  • << <i>

    << <i>No, the “buy at any price” people usually turn out to have very short attention spans – think of a 3-year old with a new shiny toy. They are not a new phenomenon to the hobby – they pop up now and then either individually or in small, ignorant groups.

    They are best dealt with by taking advantage of their self-imposed ignorance: triple your asking price and sell like mad. In a couple of years, after you’re tanned and rested, you can buy back the coins for 25-cents on the dollar. >>




    image

    The only one who should be complaining about this is the underbidder, and that has been me at times and at times I was forced to be the winning bidder inorder to get that coin that I wanted because one of these new breed collectors was going for the same coin. Wow could I be called a new breed collector for doing the same thing, I hope not, but if the shoe fits, or if the glove fits in this day and age. I think possibly any one of us at some time or another could be accused of being the new breed collector when we go after what we really want and have to get it at all costs. Looks like the dealer will end up on the winning side unless they happen to be going up against the new breed collector but what I have seen the dealer usually wins (sounds like Vegas) just ask Laura Sperber, so are you saying that certain dealers are equivalent to the so-called new breed collector? >>



    Actually, the underbidder should be happy.
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  • IGWTIGWT Posts: 4,975
    -- "and at times I was forced to be the winning bidder inorder to get that coin that I wanted because one of these new breed collectors was going for the same coin" --

    What makes you believe that the person you outbid qualifies as a New Breed of Collector?
  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,686 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Just more hype. Dealers love doing business with "buy at any price" guys, and these guys have always been out there. What goes on at the top of the market doesn't affect hardly anyone else.

    BTW, the two rather insignificant coins of the Husak collection I was considering were both imo problem coins, and I did not bid on either of them. Apparently others were fine paying strong money for coins which either had corrosion or excessive pitting.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Just wait until they have to cover their 'shorts' in a falling market... Cash becomes king... and it is way below their buy price. I know this from personal experience. Cheers, RickO


  • << <i>The new breed of collector wants the coin regardless of price. I envy them that luxury, but hope they are not made complacent by their equally exuberant under-bidders. >>



    Dealers hate it when high-end coins sell at auction for "all" the money. It makes it so much harder to stock inventory when most good pieces are not seen on the bourse floor.

    Who is John Galt?
  • rheddenrhedden Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The high-end of the market may indeed be driven up by uber-rich, foolhardy collectors/investors who will pay any price for the top-end coins. However, I am reticent to agree with the majority of experienced collectors who are saying the bubble will soon burst, just like 1980, just like 1989, etc. After all, the bubble was supposed to burst back in 2004, according to many on these boards; and in 2005; and in 2006; and in 2007.......... It's a bit like the door-to-door preachers who want you to believe the world will end in the near future. Until the aforementioned bubble bursting finally occurs, the people who are buying these top-end rarities are going to just keep reaping huge capital gains. And I'm willing to bet that at least a portion of them are clever enough not to be caught holding the bag.

  • jhdflajhdfla Posts: 3,030 ✭✭✭
    Not all of this supposed "new breed" of collector are unknowledgeable... quite the contrary with at least one that I've met.
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Many coin collectors, with careful preparation,

    make money on their collections. But the new

    breed of uninformed investors ,will surely lose

    and will miss all chance for enjoyment.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • I would not assume everyone who hugely overpay's is a 'new breed' of collector. Overpaying for coins has always happened, for many reasons, not all because someone has money to burn. Sometimes it is simply a hard to find coin that only hits the market rarely, and the collector does not want to risk missing it, on the lower end, it could be a really nicely toned low dollar coin someone is willing to pay 2x retail for simply because it will bring them that much pleasure.
    Folks knowingly overpaying for coins don't hurt the hobby. Folks unknowingly grossly overpaying often do, as they become angry, jaded, and may drop away. The difference is education and intent. I often intend to overpay and amazingly manage to do so!
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Many knowing collectors will stretch for a really

    outstanding coin. This expense, however, will be well

    thought out and within some measure of reason, in keeping

    with the quality and rarity of the coin in question.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage

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