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Has anyone checked the price on a 1995-W Proof ASE lately??

keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
I did over the weekend and can hardly believe it!!!!!!!! It matters little to me what's driving the price and how stupid the collectors are who are buying the things, I wish I'd bought a few sets at the issue price!!!

Comments

  • FatManFatMan Posts: 8,977
    And the current market price is?
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    $4300!!!


  • Two sold at the last Heritage auctions for $4000 ea., one was mine.image

    and that was before the juice!
    image

    Larry
    Dabigkahuna
    image

  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    yeah, some guy asked about one over the weekend and my pal told him GreySheet $4300. i couldn't believe it and had to look myself. the funny part is that a member of a local club had one about two years ago that he was bought on eBay and another guy had asked my dealer friend if he could get him one around the same time. we both thought they were nuts to be paying the then outrageous price of $2500!!!!! as it turns out they were each a genius.

    don't even get me started on those 1999 Silver Proof Sets and the area guy who bought 500 at the time of issue........................
  • ebaytraderebaytrader Posts: 3,312 ✭✭✭


    << <i>$4300!!! >>




    I'll take it!

  • FatManFatMan Posts: 8,977
    That's impressive. It might be time to sell.
  • No reason to call the collectors of these items names really. We all have different interests and budgets. When looked at from the perspective of % of issue price there are many coins/sets with similar run-ups... no? Whatever floats your boat I guess.

    And no you didn't hit a nerve, I don't own one.image
  • RegistryCoinRegistryCoin Posts: 5,129 ✭✭✭✭
    I am sure that, with the high integrity of this crowd that this is absolutely not a "pat yourself on the back if you missed the boat" thread. image
  • fivecentsfivecents Posts: 11,207 ✭✭✭✭✭
    At 30,000 mintage, that sucker is overpriced. imo
  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 47,502 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>At 30,000 mintage, that sucker is overpriced. imo >>

    image

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • DNADaveDNADave Posts: 7,346 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I wish the 1998-S Matte Kennedy was "half" as good.
  • I sold mine about two months ago for $2200, but it was statring with those milk spots. I thought it was time to take the money and run.
    I actually sold my complete set. About 1/3 had spots.

    Broke my heart.
  • meos1meos1 Posts: 1,135
    Is that 4.3k for the coin or the entire set?
    I am just throwing cheese to the rats chewing on the chains of my sanity!

    First Place Winner of the 2005 Rampage design contest!
  • PhillyJoePhillyJoe Posts: 2,728 ✭✭✭✭
    The proof set with that ASE has been listing on ebay for between $5475-$6200. Not selling; but listing.image

    Joe
    The Philadelphia Mint: making coins since 1792. We make money by making money. Now in our 225th year thanks to no competition. image
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,668 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's coins like this that give me great hope for my Franklin Mint collection!
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,668 ✭✭✭✭✭
    At 30,000 mintage, that sucker is overpriced.

    Considering that you can buy a 1938 Texas (mintage of 3780) for a few hundred bucks? I know where my money's going!
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    the $4300 price is for the Silver Eagle alone, the remainder of the set is close to where any Proof Gold Eagle Set sells, between $1000-$1500. the mintage of 30K is what startles me and the fact that the set was well advertised and available to each of us.

    an aside to vega1-----my "name calling" is actually tongue-in-cheek based on the forum's general low opinion of Modern Issues and the sometimes impressive performance. it matters little to me why any coin appreciates in value at a rate similar to the 1995-W ASE. what amazes me is that when it's a Modern Isuue, comments like "It's coins like this that give me great hope for my Franklin Mint collection!" are always just around the corner. when it's a common date Morgan Dollar or a common date $20 St. or a common date ____________(pick any classic issue) which just so happens to be in a wonderful state of preservation there's nothing but ooh's and aah's.

    demand, Andy, it's all about demand. the 1938 Texas might be a nice looking coin and well worthy of it's salt, but if you consider it's average grade of MS64.5 it really has no hope of catching the '95-W in it's average grade of PR69DCAM. demand, Andy, it's all about demand.image

    image
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 29,907 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This is one of the few moderns which has demand on the same scale as some
    of the classics. With large numbers of people demanding this coin and so few
    available for sale the price has been driven up. While 30,000 is a huge number
    for commems or 19th century rarities it is a tiny number for a series which is
    sufficiently interesting and available to be collected by the masses.

    There are probably some of these coins in existence which aren't really avail-
    able to the market at this time. One suspects that with the relatively small pre-
    mium at which these originally sold there will be sets sitting in safety deposit
    boxes whose owners have no idea the coin has increased so dramatically.
    There are also some sets which are set aside intact as part of a collection. Some
    of these owners don't so much desire this specific coin so much as they want to
    have all the intact sets. Such coins can hit the market if the price is right.

    As these collectors expand their scope and range there will, no doubt, be many
    other surprises in store for market observers. If moderns become widely col-
    lected there are numerous issues for which 30,000 would also appear to be a
    huge number.

    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,668 ✭✭✭✭✭
    comments like "It's coins like this that give me great hope for my Franklin Mint collection!" are always just around the corner.

    But I really do collect FM and my comment was serious.

    As for the 38 Texas, I will happily bet that it outperforms the 95-W in the next year. $100 wager to the first qualified taker. CDN's MS-65 bid on the 38 Tex set compared to CDN bid on the 95-W, on a percentage basis.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭✭
    And to think 5 or 6 years ago a dealer next to me was BEGGING me to take two of those sets off his hands at $1,200 apiece. image I was seriously tempted because it is a pretty set when it is intact. To me the whole set is really attractive, but the 1995-W dollar by itself loses something.

    Sorry Clad, but I do think that the 1995-W coin is now seriously overpriced. On a relative basis, it’s almost expensive as the 1907 High Relief Saint without the great art and the great history.

    This is a coin that really made the silver eagle collectors unhappy. In order to maintain their sets they had to buy a $1,000 gold and silver Proof set that had this silver eagle “thrown in” as a bonus. Since many of these collectors would think that a $200 coin was very expensive, they passed. Now their sets are short a very expensive key coin.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Perhaps the masses....are asses.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Perhaps the masses....are asses.----a typical response, easily dismissed.

    1938 Texas (mintage of 3780) for a few hundred bucks?
    MS-65 bid on the 38 Tex set
    Andy, you changed things!!! went from a single coin to a three coin set in grades which aren't average for the issues but a little high, not comparable to the '95-W Widget in it's average grade of PR69DCAM.

    ah, BillJones, to clarify with some Numismatic definitions:
    overpriced always means high demand.
    underpriced always means low demand.
    by your own admission, the '95-W is seriously in demand and the fact that the 1907 is priced close to the same level indicates the maybe hard to swallow fact that it's demand is about the same, maybe even lower.
  • FatManFatMan Posts: 8,977
    1938 Texas vs. 1995-W SAE.......apples and oranges. I would guess that 9 out of 10 commem collectors collect by type. Texas type is one of the most common so who is going to spend the money on the 38s when you can get most others pennies on the dollar. As for the 38 Texas set out performing the 95-W SAE, I agree. But it will have more to do with the fact that commems in general are under valued and due for some nice increases, not because the 38 Texas in itself is such a great value at current prices.
  • RegistryCoinRegistryCoin Posts: 5,129 ✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Perhaps the masses....are asses.----a typical response, easily dismissed.
    1938 Texas (mintage of 3780) for a few hundred bucks?
    MS-65 bid on the 38 Tex set
    Andy, you changed things!!! >>



    Well pointed out, Keets. I agree that this happens, when the legitimate logic fails. Real, legitimate logical discourse comes from the unemotional decerning of what the real supply and demand numbers mean within the actual conditions of the current market. Also, as I know a few actually do realize that supply, demand, and the actual condition of the current market is not something one can assume, guess, or describe from "hear-say". This is a "do your homework" issue, then comment from your actual experience(s). (imho)
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭✭
    OK Keets, I'm not ready to start another fight ... This is my opinion.

    Generally coins that sell for over $4 grand have populations that number somewhere in the hundreds to perhaps a couple thousand pieces. For example the 1877 Indian cent, which is the "king" of the Indians, has a Proof mintage of 900 coins. A few months ago I sold one in PCGS PR-65, R&B for a bit over $5 grand. Lower grade examples would sell for less, and the number pieces that would grade PR-65 or higher is probably less than 150. And while I'm sure that the vast majority of those 900, 1877 Proof Indians still exist, probably 100 or so have gone to the happy hunting ground because they were spent or lost.

    The 1995-W silver eagle has a mintage of 30,125 coins. Among that group virtually all of them still exist because it was modern Proof issue that was not made for circulation that was sold to collectors and investors. Within that population PR-67 would be viewed as a “low grade” coin because these pieces were well made and carefully handled at the mint.

    Given the mintage and the high survival rate, my perception is that a bid $4,300 seems high for this coin. Obviously a lot of collectors admire the silver eagles and collect them by date and mint. Still, given the comparatively small number of collectors who will pay more than $1,000 for one coin, it makes me wonder if paying over $4 grand for this issue with a mintage of 30,125 is a “safe” investment. I would not be comfortable with it.

    Obviously many others are and are maintaining this market. It’s like the stock market. Some analysts like some stocks and advise their clients to buy them. Others don’t and give different advice. It’s a matter of opinion so let’s not fight, OK?

    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 29,907 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    This is a coin that really made the silver eagle collectors unhappy. In order to maintain their sets they had to buy a $1,000 gold and silver Proof set that had this silver eagle “thrown in” as a bonus. Since many of these collectors would think that a $200 coin was very expensive, they passed. Now their sets are short a very expensive key coin. >>



    This is one of the big reasons that this coin is so high priced. Not only did the mintage
    of this coin disturb many people so that they refused to buy it, but its existence makes
    the series of more interest to collect. Large percentages of the issue was purchased
    by people with little or no interest in the silver eagle so it was distributed widely but not
    at the target audience.

    Those who believe that this is a sure winner even at current prices are well advised to
    remember there are still some of these "in the wrong hands" and these coins will trick-
    le onto the market for decades. Those who are convinced the current prices are too high
    should consider that there are large numbers of eagle collectors and this is part of the
    set no matter how it was distributed.

    Whatever the future holds for the prices of this coin it does constitute an interesting
    marker for understanding the dynamics of the coin market and modern coins in particular.
    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
  • wondercoinwondercoin Posts: 17,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I enjoy Texas Classic Silver Commems (in fact, I have had the #1 Registry Set for several years now, but, also know my set does not compare to many unregistered monster color Texas collections out there), but, I also enjoy clean, problem-free, 1995(w) Silver Eagles in PCGS-PR69DCAM. In fact, I would buy a few more clean problem-free 1995(w) Silver Eagles grading PCGS-PR69DCAM coins from board members today at $4,450/ coin if anyone thinks $4,300 is a silly retail price level (there really is a very strong 2 way market in nearly all PR69DCAM Silver Eagles, not to mention the option of auctioning coins like Larry did with his 95(w) netting around $4,000 if I read that correctly).

    I believe the 1995(w) PR69DCAM Silver Eagle is similar to some of the classic rarities that often command "too much money" for what the pop really is. But, demand is always the driving force and the 95(w) Silver Eagle is one of the strongest demand coins I encounter on the modern side.

    Wondercoin
    Please visit my website at www.wondercoins.com and my ebay auctions under my user name www.wondercoin.com.
  • RegistryCoinRegistryCoin Posts: 5,129 ✭✭✭✭
    I have noticed more and more lately, that concerning desirable and/or low pop moderns, many with quite varying mintages, that, as more "lower" pop coins are made, prices still rise. The increasing demand is there, outweighing an increasing supply. That's just the way this market is right now.
  • Al - Your point is well taken, and will always be true - with a fixed supply of anything (widgets) an increase in demand will result in an increase in price. What forces (tastes) drive the demand are irrelevant, but in many cases, it becomes the "self-fulfilling prophesy" that occurs in any market (tulips, stocks, coins, even widgets) - once the price begins to rise, more folks take notice and drive demand up more, which then is reflected in price, which then increases demand, etc, etc.
    This thread makes me pause before selling my Legacy Proof sets which are hot off the presses, and even though the mintage was 50,000, the demand appears far greater.....I planned on selling a few to cover the cost of the 1 set that I will keep, but maybe I'll wait and see where the price starts to plateau - and there is no sign of that yet! This has been a pretty nice strategy for me in the past 6-7 years - buying a quantity of new mint products that I think will be hits, wait for the price to jump, sell 'em and buy some Barber halves or commems. ( Those '99 silver proof sets were a very nice investment - sorry about that, keets!)
    Don't you know that it's worth
    every treasure on Earth
    to be young at heart?
    And as rich as you are,
    it's much better by far,
    to be young at heart!
  • PhillyJoePhillyJoe Posts: 2,728 ✭✭✭✭
    I bought the proof set several years ago for $2500. At the time, I was buying my coin magazines at the supermarket. The guy advertising on the back cover was selling Pr69 D/C ASE every month. The first issue had a 95-W for $500. Two months later, it was $800. Two months later, $1500. Then about $2000.
    A quick chart on graph paper told me this was a proof set to get and hold. I bought into the frenzy and held. The price had gotten ahead of itself and leveled off for a couple of years. Then I bought a 95-P proof ASE for $50 and realized I had paid $2500 for an ounce of bullion with a "w". I sold without getting hurt and I'm happy for those that held on.

    I understand both sides of this one. I've been known to buy coins that are a little quirky and will continue to do so. I don't have to say "if only I had bought a 95-w"; because I did.

    Joe
    The Philadelphia Mint: making coins since 1792. We make money by making money. Now in our 225th year thanks to no competition. image
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The trouble I see with the Lagacy Proof sets is that all of the coins in it can be obtained in other ways. You can buy the commemorative dollars as single coins as well as the clad Proof set. Therefore all you are buying is the presentation, which is attractive, but only made of cardboard. At least the 1995-W silver eagle is a stand alone issue that could be obtained from only one mint product source.

    Having said that, I do own an Legacy Set so it would be nice if the price did go up, but I'm not so sure that this one is a long term winner. Earlier commemorative coins came in rich looking cherrywood boxes, and according to the Gray Sheet the value of the parts is greater than the whole. image ... Currently less than melt !!! image

    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Bill, i'm not looking for a fight, just pointing the always evident flaws in the logic of why coins are priced the way they are and why it makes no sense to use words like undervalued and overvalued when every value is predicated on demand. virtually every Two-Cent and Three-Cent nickel Proof can be bought in a nice eye-appealing grade for less than $1000 and they are all very low mintage issues. there are many others. the plain-as-the-nose-on-your-face answer to that is because the demand is low----period. if demand was high, the price would rise----period. Numismatics certainly has some anomalies regarding the price structure, but overall it follows economics101.

    this '95-W is no exception. the demand is high and the price has steadily risen since they were released with no sign of falling off. the aforementioned classic issues are historically stuck in the mud(but i like thatimage). also, Bill, as i've said before with regard to Modern coinage, it is a market that you aren't well equipped to hold really strong opinions on since you are relatively disconnected from it. i think what happens is that you bring your considerable knowledge about Classic issues to the table along with a Modern bias and it prevents you from having an objective view of the market.
  • Bill - I agree with you about the presentation being the difference, but for some reason, the sets that cost about $140 from the mint are now sellling for over $200 on eBay.....if I sell 2 sets, I've virtually paid for the 3rd. However, that $200 threshold was just passed this w/e and who knows when the increase will end...I wish I did! There are sure lots of 'em listed, but evidently the demand for that nice black cardboard is still strong, cuz the price keeps goin' up!image
    Don't you know that it's worth
    every treasure on Earth
    to be young at heart?
    And as rich as you are,
    it's much better by far,
    to be young at heart!
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Just because something sells for a lot of money today does not mean that that price will hold up tomorrow. In the coin market when prices start to fall it is imperceptible to most collectors. The guidebooks might say the price is $X, but no one is PAYING prices that are commensurate with $X. The promotions are over, and the money has been made. When the price drops do become general knowledge the “bloom as gone off the rose long ago.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    i think much of the demand for the intact sets has to do with originality. collectors of Classic coins want a coin with original surfaces, collectors of Modern Mint Products want the same thing, originality in the packaging. it's kind of like the same thing from different eras. i would imagine that collectors in the 40's may have had fits over why coins in their original issue packaging cost less/more than those pushed into a Wayte Raymond album. for what it's worth, the sets in their original packaging also store better and look more uniform in presentation which may also appeal to those collecting them.
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Keets, for the record, I think that the prices for some classic coins have gotten very high, and I'm not comfortable with them also in the long term.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • keetskeets Posts: 25,351 ✭✭✭✭✭
    hey, we agree on something!!!!!!!! i have been out of work due to "the treetop fall" since September 1st and in that time i've sold quite a bit and have done an inventory on everything. just last night/this morning i finished up and will be selling what's in the pile at various auction venues. since i can't buy much now and need the money to tide me over till i can work again, the time has caused me to watch where things have been selling. i figure it's as good a time as any to see where things go in the time between now and the Feb. ??Long Beach?? auctions just after the F.U.N. Show.

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