I'm looking at taking "D" teams on Thanksgiving. Detroit may be my biggest play - here's why. The books lost a ton of $ last week. Road favorites won a ton of games and the public loves that. Who wouldn't bet on Indy the way they've been lighting teams up? I wouldn't - it's gone from -7 to -9.5 when it jumps to Detroit +10 I'll be on that.
I'm also liking the GT ML over UGA it's +650 - I think Tech has a shot, and I might lay $77 to win $500.
$55 on Texas Tech -4 over OkSt to make $50 $52.50 on GaTech +7.5 over UGA 1st Half to make $50 $125 on GaTech +800 ML over UGA to make a dime Leaning toward taking ND +24.5 over USC.
Brian
editted to step up GaTech bet
I've been looking for signs pointing to GaTech beating UGA in the past week. I called UGA losing ATS and GaTech winning ATS in men's hoops last night. Also in NCAA 2004 for Xbox. I've never beaten UGA with GaTech on the hardest setting. Last night I won 12-0 with the biggest play a PJ Daniels 86yd TD run.
Ever since I knew I was going to GaTech (senior year of HS), GaTech hasn't beaten UGA. I'm graduating GaTech this spring after going to GaTech for three years, they've got to win this one.
GaTech's defense must stop the run - they are 5-0 when they hold opponents for less than 100 yds and 1-3 when they do not. GaTech has played awesome on the road, but GaTech has more giveaway's than takeaways and UGA has the opposite. I look for Tech to stay conservative on offense so they'll have trouble moving the ball against UGA's good defense. I look for several big plays.
Play #1 - Daniels is questionable, but he'll come in late in the first quarter. UGA's secondary bites on the PA to Daniels and Ball hits Curry for an 81 yd TD pass. Curry in the only player on the team who has beaten UGA
Play #2 - GaTech's punt returns have gotten better. UGA's punter is very good, but in this case he'll outkick the coverage and GaTech will make them pay - 78 yd punt return for a TD.
Play #3 - Turnover's - GaTech's front four have improved and they'll force a UGA fumble to set up the offense on the short field.
GaTech is up 24-16 with a few minutes left. UGA scores a late TD on blown coverage, but the 2 pt conversion fails and GaTech wins 24-22.
Tough loss to UGA - all I can say is "wait 'till next year!" UGA looked bad without Greene and without Pollack, their defense will weaken
Adding 55 on USC -14 2nd half over ND. Momentum really shifted towards USC's side in the 2nd quarter and USC will feel it necessary to score as many as possible considering Oklahoma and Auburn are breathing down their necks in the AP polls.
BRIAN HE WAS OUT OF BOUNDS AND NOT SO SURE WE DIDNT TOUCH BALL BEFORE 10 YARDS ON ONSIDE KICK. BUT JUSTICE FOR THE RICE PUSHOFF ON THE OPENING DRIVE FOR SEAHAWKS! 5-7 AND STILL IN IT! NOW THAT IS PATHETIC
I agree, the NFC is very weak this year. Only two teams are in the playoffs, and so many have a shot. I hear ya on the pushoff, but I wasn't watching the whole thing. I also took Seattle pk'em for the 4th Q so that was +12 on the game so I broke even.
Sounds good kuhlmann. I've been in a slump - I've lost Falcons -1 1st half by 1 point, Falcons -3.5 by 0.5 points, and Eagles -6 by 1 point. Three bets lost by less than 3 points...
I'm leaning towards Ravens +8 tonight, but that's probably a good sign for your Colts bet...
Sorry for not keeping this stuff up to date. I did take Ravens +8, but couldn't post it in time. I also took Ravens -3 4th Q, and I owe Dungy a Christmas card for not punching that in. Whew...
Boy was that 3rd GT TD bittersweet. One of my predicted "big plays" GT needed to beat UGA was "UGA's secondary bites on the PA to Daniels and Ball hits Curry for an 81 yd TD pass." GT never did PA to Curry deep and go figure they lost by 6 to the hated bulldogs - they try that here and an 80 yd TD is the result.
Is anyone looking at the Sun night game? Two crap teams - I'm leaning towards brownies +9, they suck, but the Dolphins shouldn't be giving anyone 9 points...
I liked Dallas as well, but didn't play them. With all the history of the Dallas/Wash matchups going mostly to Dallas, I couldn't figure out how the hell Dallas was an underdog in Dallas! My only big play was Colts -7 2nd half, which won in OT. I also played a little on under 42 Pats/Jets.
I hate week 17, but I'm leaning towards taking Denver, Buffalo, and SD all minus whatever. Before today it was -3, -4.5, and -3 respectively.
Tonight I picked "field" at 5-1 to score the first TD. I have no clue who most of these losers are so I will have to lookup to see if I won...
McNabb and Westbrook are only playing a few series. Although I don't expect Philly to roll over as their defense is still great, they won't be able to maintain drives without these guys. I'm taking Rams -3 before it goes up. Under 45 looks good, but I'd rather take Rams -3.
Everything looks odd for the week 17 lines. The books reflect Indy will blow off their game as they went from a 3 to 9 point underdoggie. Will Manning play? If not, I find it ironic that last year in week 17 Denver laid down and helped someone get in the playoffs and this year someone may lay down for them giving them a playoff berth. What goes around comes around!
Anyway, I'm going to wait and see which teams care and which don't. I think it'd be foolish for the Falcons to play Vick much as there's a good chance the Falcons will play the 'Hawks in the playoffs. The Falcons have shown that they're better the first time they face an opponent.
As far as bowls go, I'm taking it slowly. I came close to taking UVA along with the rest of thw world today, and I'm glad I didn't.
UNC will be very motivated and the big east blows so I'll take UNC -125 ML risk 62.50 to win 50.
As far as future bowl games go, I am leaning towards the Miami ML currently at -155 - too much pride to lose this game and Northern Illinois +3 - the MAC has to win one of their crappy bowl games. Nothing final on these yet.
Against better judgement, I'm taking a prop - whoever scores the most points on Thurs & Friday. Louisville is a huge favorite and will probably win, but I'm taking Cal at 6-1 odds for $15. And for the dumbest bet ever, I am taking the Atlanta Hawks at 3000-1 to win the Eastern Conference and 2500-1 to win the South East Division. $5 on each. Heh.
Holiday Bowl - My gut feeling is that Cal wins this game depite trailing by double digits at halftime. Cal is a second half team, and every call seems to be going Cal's way. That coupled with bowl history, I'm taking Cal -6.5 2nd half (+3.5 for the game) - risk 55 to win 50.
Comments
Clev-NYJ OVER 40.5
Oak +4.5
Wash-Phi Over 40.5
NWO-DEN over 47.5
Buf +1.5
Hou +3
Website
Buff +1
Under 45 Bears/Colts - risk 60 to win 50
Brian
iamthegreatcornholio $63
Wondo ($20)
xbaggypants ($20)
kuhlmann ($55)
KOBEcollector ($165)
Books up $197
****Cumulative totals:
KOBEcollector $380
iamthegreatcornholio $228
Wondo $20
kuhlmann ($49)
xbaggypants ($50)
jason045 ($60)
Books down $469
Brian
I'm also liking the GT ML over UGA it's +650 - I think Tech has a shot, and I might lay $77 to win $500.
Brian
Brian
$55 on Texas Tech -4 over OkSt to make $50
$52.50 on GaTech +7.5 over UGA 1st Half to make $50
$125 on GaTech +800 ML over UGA to make a dime
Leaning toward taking ND +24.5 over USC.
Brian
editted to step up GaTech bet
I've been looking for signs pointing to GaTech beating UGA in the past week. I called UGA losing ATS and GaTech winning ATS in men's hoops last night. Also in NCAA 2004 for Xbox. I've never beaten UGA with GaTech on the hardest setting. Last night I won 12-0 with the biggest play a PJ Daniels 86yd TD run.
Ever since I knew I was going to GaTech (senior year of HS), GaTech hasn't beaten UGA. I'm graduating GaTech this spring after going to GaTech for three years, they've got to win this one.
GaTech's defense must stop the run - they are 5-0 when they hold opponents for less than 100 yds and 1-3 when they do not. GaTech has played awesome on the road, but GaTech has more giveaway's than takeaways and UGA has the opposite. I look for Tech to stay conservative on offense so they'll have trouble moving the ball against UGA's good defense. I look for several big plays.
Play #1 - Daniels is questionable, but he'll come in late in the first quarter. UGA's secondary bites on the PA to Daniels and Ball hits Curry for an 81 yd TD pass. Curry in the only player on the team who has beaten UGA
Play #2 - GaTech's punt returns have gotten better. UGA's punter is very good, but in this case he'll outkick the coverage and GaTech will make them pay - 78 yd punt return for a TD.
Play #3 - Turnover's - GaTech's front four have improved and they'll force a UGA fumble to set up the offense on the short field.
GaTech is up 24-16 with a few minutes left. UGA scores a late TD on blown coverage, but the 2 pt conversion fails and GaTech wins 24-22.
Adding 55 on USC -14 2nd half over ND. Momentum really shifted towards USC's side in the 2nd quarter and USC will feel it necessary to score as many as possible considering Oklahoma and Auburn are breathing down their necks in the AP polls.
Brian
KC -0.5
Minn -3.0
Brian
I'll bite on OVER 41 Den/Oak
Brian
iamthegreatcornholio $68
Books down $68
****Cumulative totals:
KOBEcollector $380
iamthegreatcornholio $296
Wondo $20
kuhlmann ($49)
xbaggypants ($50)
jason045 ($60)
Books down $537
Brian
Colts -11 vs. Titans
Bills -3 1/2 @ Miami (remember, never bet against a home dog)
Under 47 in Packers/Eagles
I took Sixers tonight for real at + 10 1/2
And no I haven't been hiding after the Falcons loss, I've been studying for finals, 3 down 2 more to go - Nuclear Reactor Physics at 8am tomorrow...
Brian
Brian
Brian
edit to add - yippee 1000th post
Steelers -6 vs. Jets
Dolphins +11 1/2 vs. Broncos
Eagles -10 vs. Redskins
TB +5.5
NWO +7.5
OAK +7.5
NYJ +6
CHI +7
MIA +12
MIN OVER 50.5
IND OVER 57
OAK OVER 46
Website
Giants +10 vs. Steelers
Cowboys +13 vs. Eagles
Redskins -5 1/2 vs. 49ers
WASH -5.5
CAR +3.5
TEN-OAK OVER 47.5
HOU-CHI UNDER 36
WASH-SF UNDER 41
Website
I don't have plays for this week, but I'll take Philly -7 2nd half over Dallas.
Brian
I'm leaning towards Ravens +8 tonight, but that's probably a good sign for your Colts bet...
Brian
Week 13-15 Totals:
Wondo $240
Kuhlmann $150
iamthegreatcornholio ($110)
xbaggypants ($195)
Books down $85
Great going Wondo!
****Cumulative totals:
KOBEcollector $380
Wondo $260
iamthegreatcornholio $186
kuhlmann $101
jason045 ($60)
xbaggypants ($245)
Books down $622
Brian
I'll take GaTech -3 1st half over 'Cuse.
Brian
Brian
Brian
Packer + 3 1/2 vs. Vikings
Chiefs - 8 1/2 vs. Raiders
Eagles + 3 vs. Rams
Brian
tonite i dont know what to do. kind of like the under 41.
I liked Dallas as well, but didn't play them. With all the history of the Dallas/Wash matchups going mostly to Dallas, I couldn't figure out how the hell Dallas was an underdog in Dallas! My only big play was Colts -7 2nd half, which won in OT. I also played a little on under 42 Pats/Jets.
I hate week 17, but I'm leaning towards taking Denver, Buffalo, and SD all minus whatever. Before today it was -3, -4.5, and -3 respectively.
Tonight I picked "field" at 5-1 to score the first TD. I have no clue who most of these losers are so I will have to lookup to see if I won...
Brian
Brian
Brian
Brian
Kuhlmann $25
iamthegreatcornholio $10
Wondo ($60)
Books up $25
****Cumulative totals:
KOBEcollector $380
Wondo $200
iamthegreatcornholio $196
kuhlmann $126
jason045 ($60)
xbaggypants ($245)
Books down $597
Brian
Anyway, I'm going to wait and see which teams care and which don't. I think it'd be foolish for the Falcons to play Vick much as there's a good chance the Falcons will play the 'Hawks in the playoffs. The Falcons have shown that they're better the first time they face an opponent.
As far as bowls go, I'm taking it slowly. I came close to taking UVA along with the rest of thw world today, and I'm glad I didn't.
I am taking the OreSt ML -170: risk 85 to win 50.
Brian
Brian
UNC will be very motivated and the big east blows so I'll take UNC -125 ML risk 62.50 to win 50.
As far as future bowl games go, I am leaning towards the Miami ML currently at -155 - too much pride to lose this game and Northern Illinois +3 - the MAC has to win one of their crappy bowl games. Nothing final on these yet.
Against better judgement, I'm taking a prop - whoever scores the most points on Thurs & Friday. Louisville is a huge favorite and will probably win, but I'm taking Cal at 6-1 odds for $15. And for the dumbest bet ever, I am taking the Atlanta Hawks at 3000-1 to win the Eastern Conference and 2500-1 to win the South East Division. $5 on each. Heh.
Brian
Brian
Miami ML -160: risk 80 to win 50.
Oklahoma +3 -115 risk 115 to win 100.
Brian
49ers + 14 vs. Pats
Steelers + 10 vs. Bills
Rams + 3 vs. Jets
I had the Criminoles -4 2nd half but couldn't post it in time, I'll take Texas -4 for the 2nd half and NYG -2.5 over Dallas.
I'm leaning towards the Utes -14 over Pitt, but I'm still unsure.
Brian
Also I'll take Minn -1.5 1st half over Wash tomorrow.
Brian
Utes -14 over Pitt.
Brian
I took the over on Pitt-Buff when it
was at 32.5 Sunday afternoon.
What a steal.
Brian