Just squeezed out a ML win with Rutgers. They were down by 6 with under a minute to play. Can't seem to lose lately.
Been staring at this Lakers game all day. Still can't fathom why the Lakers are only -1.5 in this game? But when I'm this confused, better off staying away from the ML or spread.
Super Bowl LX Winner
Los Angeles Rams +460
Seattle Seahawks +600
Denver Broncos +850
Buffalo Bills +850
Philadelphia Eagles +900
New England Patriots +1200
Houston Texans +1200
Green Bay Packers +1600
San Francisco 49ers +1700
Chicago Bears +1800
Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Baltimore Ravens +2000
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Detroit Lions +2700
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Carolina Panthers +22500
Indianapolis Colts +30000
I think I mentioned this last season, that at around this point in the season, it is rare that a long shot winds up winning the Super Bowl. Of course the playoffs haven't begun yet, but perhaps at this time an indicator could be provided based on the odds.
Best chance:
Los Angeles Rams +460
Seattle Seahawks +600
Denver Broncos +850
Buffalo Bills +850
Philadelphia Eagles +900
New England Patriots +1200
Houston Texans +1200
In the hunt, but tough odds:
Green Bay Packers +1600
San Francisco 49ers +1700
Chicago Bears +1800
Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Baltimore Ravens +2000
Long shots:
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Detroit Lions +2700
Prohibitive long shots:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Zero chance:
Carolina Panthers +22500
Indianapolis Colts +30000
Seems like some interesting opportunities today, along with the usual suck-in bets to make the bookies rich.
Two that jump out at me. The Dak Prescott prop at 200+ looks way too easy for a number of reasons, and that's what worries me. But it's too irresistible, so I'm playing it anyway.
Dak Prescott 200+
Now the Shedeur Sanders rushing prop. At -290 for just 5+ and almost even money for 10+ looks like a license to print money for a number of reasons. That's what really worries me. So I'm going to pass on that one. If it hits, then it hits.
.
So, for today's Raiders/Texans tilt, utilizing various profit boosts, I first got down 3 $25 bets, totaling $75, that the point total would go over 37.5. The payout will total $194.50, including my $75 bet.
.
.
.
.
Then, I placed 3 similar bets, totaling $101.99 on the total going under 38.5 points. That payout would total $193.28, including the $101.99 bet.
.
.
.
.
So, I have $176.99 invested in this bet, of which I'll win both bets if the number lands EXACTLY on 38, or else I'll win $16+ if it goes under and $17+ if it goes over.
.
But wait! Ladies and gentlemen, there's more!
Knowing I have a certain profit, I also made 2 unaided bets - $55 on the under 38.5 to pay $105 and $56 on the over 37.5 to pay $106, once again, a total of 38 pays both bets.
.
.
.
I know you're asking yourself, "Why would he do that?"
Well, DraftKings has a promotion that for every $25 in settled bets, you receive a $5 bonus bet. This bet, while yes, I lose either $5 or $6 if the total doesn't land on 38, returns me $10 worth of bonus bets, regardless.
.
.
A wise man once told me that if I was going to gamble, to remember these 3 things.
The only people that will tell you that you can't be a winner at gambling are the perpetual losers that can't be a winner at gambling.
.
Everyone wants to win, but not everyone really wants to be a winner. Everyone wants the jackpots, the longshots, the big paydays, but not everyone really wants to put the work in to be a winner if it's not coming quick or not a certain amount. Learn to be satisfied with any win. If you always stay on the positive side, the day your horse finally comes in, that payday is all profit!
.
If you can learn how to consistently win just $1 from the casino, you can win a million. All it takes is repetition/time or scaled up bets/bigger odds.
.
30+ years, and these words haven't let me down yet.
@stevek said:
Seems like some interesting opportunities today, along with the usual suck-in bets to make the bookies rich.
Two that jump out at me. The Dak Prescott prop at 200+ looks way too easy for a number of reasons, and that's what worries me. But it's too irresistible, so I'm playing it anyway.
Dak Prescott 200+
Now the Shedeur Sanders rushing prop. At -290 for just 5+ and almost even money for 10+ looks like a license to print money for a number of reasons. That's what really worries me. So I'm going to pass on that one. If it hits, then it hits.
I'm red hot, and I'm being cautious. LOL
Sanders already has 35 yards rushing at halftime. Coulda absolutely killed this.😒
@stevek said:
Seems like some interesting opportunities today, along with the usual suck-in bets to make the bookies rich.
Two that jump out at me. The Dak Prescott prop at 200+ looks way too easy for a number of reasons, and that's what worries me. But it's too irresistible, so I'm playing it anyway.
Dak Prescott 200+
Now the Shedeur Sanders rushing prop. At -290 for just 5+ and almost even money for 10+ looks like a license to print money for a number of reasons. That's what really worries me. So I'm going to pass on that one. If it hits, then it hits.
I'm red hot, and I'm being cautious. LOL
Sanders already has 35 yards rushing at halftime. Coulda absolutely killed this.😒
I just looked - now he's got 49 yards! The sports gods are punishing me for being so dam timid. LOL
Well I guess it evens out. I was also looking strongly at a Travis Kelce prop, figuring the new QB would go to him a lot on a number of slant routes.
Just looked and he's only got 1 catch for a measly 6 yards, as the Chiefs are getting stomped by the lowly Titans, arguably the worst team in the NFL. So I woulda gotten crushed on that prop if I had played it.
Well, sorry about my complaining about bets I didn't make.
Dam - I woulda PayPaled Galaxy the $171.89 just to see the post about making Dave Portnoy blush. 😂😉
dude i was about to lose my mind
everyone is talking about how scary the Texans are going to be come playoffs time, but i'm here to tell you that you WANT to play the team i watched today
couldn't do shit on offense and their vaunted D looked anything but. classic case of a team thinking they can just show up and win, but little did they know the 2-12 Raiders came to play.
Was 1 week late to score on the win streak derailment of Broncos. Had them losing last week. But the Jags put an end to it today and I scored with my parlay. Makes up for my loss with GB yesterday.
Next up keying in on ending win or losing streaks. Even my own.😀
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Dam - I woulda PayPaled Galaxy the $171.89 just to see the post about making Dave Portnoy blush. 😂😉
dude i was about to lose my mind
everyone is talking about how scary the Texans are going to be come playoffs time, but i'm here to tell you that you WANT to play the team i watched today
couldn't do shit on offense and their vaunted D looked anything but. classic case of a team thinking they can just show up and win, but little did they know the 2-12 Raiders came to play.
so, so lucky i am
Better to be lucky than good. 😉
That being said, IMHO, that was a well disciplined ML parlay. I think the best situations for long term success in this sports betting venture, as far as picking game winners, are in well disciplined ML wagers. Also in certain prop bets.
All I know is my bankroll since the start of this football season, and including the current basketball season is up 127% IE a bit more than doubling it.
I'm still making some mistakes, however I am pleased with the overall results so far. Still not 100% sure that sports betting can be beat, but I have been entertaining that possibility due to this new era of computer wagering.
My foundation for this venture is what Doyle used to say about poker, close paraphrase, "it's not about winning or losing, it's about making the right decisions." Using that as a guideline, has been very helpful thus far, and win or lose, I am determined to keep it that way. 😎
there's just so much parity in NFL this year. quick, who is the best team? if we polled everyone in this forum i guarantee you we'd get a handful of different answers........and it's week 16. with only 2 weeks remaining in the reg season, cut and dried it still is not. and that makes betting on these games very challenging.
maybe all sense of normalcy will be restored when the Jacksonville Jaguars become Super Bowl LX champs
Of course just when I think I'm riding on the gravy train, Jackson rolling along to easily cover, he sustains a back injury and is out for the rest of the game.
Oh well, I ain't gonna cry about it, even though I'd like to, all part of the game.
Of course just when I think I'm riding on the gravy train, Jackson rolling along to easily cover, he sustains a back injury and is out for the rest of the game.
Oh well, I ain't gonna cry about it, even though I'd like to, all part of the game.
Okay I will. 😭
i donated too, and i'm ok with that because we share a mutual friend who is a fan of the other team
Of course just when I think I'm riding on the gravy train, Jackson rolling along to easily cover, he sustains a back injury and is out for the rest of the game.
Oh well, I ain't gonna cry about it, even though I'd like to, all part of the game.
Okay I will. 😭
i donated too, and i'm ok with that because we share a mutual friend who is a fan of the other team
the Pats just put the Ravens to sleep
I lost money on the game as well, in fact I got smashed yesterday for a loss of right around $500, not a great day for NFL action
Thunder is at -5.5
Highest line I've seen on them in quite some time.
My first inclination is to pass on this game, but I'll
look at it a bit closer later.
the next time i say an NBA game is over before it's actually over, someone remind me that an NBA game is never over until it's actually over. not only did Boston come back to win that came last night, but they almost covered lol. so that was a nice little Christmas present on Dec 22, especially considering the other 3 legs of my lay didn't break. but then of course i turned right around and gave that win back and a little more when i couldn't get a steal from Jalen Williams. so close, yet so far away.
and speaking of OKC, tonight's rematch against the Spurs screams "steer clear." lots of unknowns. lots of prominent players who are game-time decisions. OKC played last night, SA didn't. every time i think about this game i come up with a different outcome. so i'm just going to sit this one out, enjoy it, and root for whoever parks some money on it.
@galaxy27 said:
the next time i say an NBA game is over before it's actually over, someone remind me that an NBA game is never over until it's actually over. not only did Boston come back to win that came last night, but they almost covered lol. so that was a nice little Christmas present on Dec 22, especially considering the other 3 legs of my lay didn't break. but then of course i turned right around and gave that win back and a little more when i couldn't get a steal from Jalen Williams. so close, yet so far away.
and speaking of OKC, tonight's rematch against the Spurs screams "steer clear." lots of unknowns. lots of prominent players who are game-time decisions. OKC played last night, SA didn't. every time i think about this game i come up with a different outcome. so i'm just going to sit this one out, enjoy it, and root for whoever parks some money on it.
It's a toughie that's for sure. Your "playing the next day" angle certainly has merit, and is in play here. But It's a "revenge" game for OKC working in their favor. OKC is only 2-2 in their past 4 games, and playing like mere mortals, also has to weigh in tonight's game result.
May not do it, but I'm contemplating a first quarter prop whereby OKC wins it. I think OKC may come out strong and motivated by the revenge factor. However the next day factor could mean OKC tires later in the game, and who knows what the spread or ML could wind-up?
Also could be a lot of missed shots. So I'm thinking about a rebound prop for one or possibly two players.
@galaxy27 said:
the next time i say an NBA game is over before it's actually over, someone remind me that an NBA game is never over until it's actually over. not only did Boston come back to win that came last night, but they almost covered lol. so that was a nice little Christmas present on Dec 22, especially considering the other 3 legs of my lay didn't break. but then of course i turned right around and gave that win back and a little more when i couldn't get a steal from Jalen Williams. so close, yet so far away.
and speaking of OKC, tonight's rematch against the Spurs screams "steer clear." lots of unknowns. lots of prominent players who are game-time decisions. OKC played last night, SA didn't. every time i think about this game i come up with a different outcome. so i'm just going to sit this one out, enjoy it, and root for whoever parks some money on it.
When you made that post I was like "That game is FAR from over lol
seeing as i lost that bet, i'm going to definitively answer your question.
YES
i had an itch to try something different, hence i rolled with a multi-leg SGP. i did my homework and honestly felt good about it.
OKC has the best defense in the league and Memphis is not a great team. if someone had told me prior to the game that the Thunder would have 14 steals and SGA, Williams and Wallace would play 36, 34 and 29 minutes, respectively, i wouldn't have changed a thing
SGA had 4 and Wallace had 1
Williams was hurt to start the season and had only played 9 games prior to last night. in those 9, he had a steal in 8 of them.
It is tough. Sometimes ya get caught in a precarious situation where you have a ML bet on a team, and say a points bet with a player on that team.
I forget the exact time of game on this, but at one point right around late 3rd Q or early 4th Q, OKC had around a 15 point lead, but I still needed 8 points to hit with SGA. I thought if OKC quickly popped the score up to say 25 or so, and SGA still needed 8, I'd be in deep trouble with the parlay. Because of course the coach might decide the game was in the bag, and to just sit his star player the rest of the game. I've gotten screwed a few times in this situation.
So I was in the weird position of rooting for the Grizzlies to get back in the game in order to get SGA the minutes needed to get the 8 points. I got my wish, and the Grizzlies pulled within 4 points.
Well SGA then hit a 3, and I knew then the coach wasn't taking him out. OKC as they usually do, put it into another gear, and drew away, and SGA easily covered the 24.5.
Football in a similar manner when sometimes you want the opposition to quickly score late in the game, to give your QB a chance to get some more yards needed to hit a prop. Even if that score by the opposition gets them back within striking distance to possibly ruin your ML bet.
Spurs won't have to wait long to try it again. They play on Christmas afternoon, this time at OKC.
OKC is -9.5
Tough to envision the Spurs winning that game against this team. Of course you never can tell for sure in the NBA, particularly against the spread. That being said, I'll be surprised if OKC doesn't come out steaming in this game. I'll also be surprised if the whales don't jump all over the OKC ML. I may be joining them. Be interesting to see if the line moves or not?
One thing in play here, when a dominant team begins to fade, it can sometimes happen quickly. OKC is only 2-3 in their last five games. Could their time be up? If they lose this game on Thursday, it would be arguable to think yes it may be up. So while that -9.5, considering that OKC just got blown out, in my opinion makes the OKC ML look like a lock, there is some danger involved here.
In any event, I've already decided I'll either play the OKC ML or pass on the game. Perhaps along with some OKC props.
Comments
Hisses me off, with around nine something minutes to go in the Miami game, the live O/U was 12.5
The over jumped out at me, but it looked too dam good. I made no play, and it hits. I got no stones, I admit it. 😒
Tough sledding today for 2 of my plays. Both QB'S knocked out of game. Mariota and Love, so far Love for GB. May come back in.
Mariota destroyed about 5 parlays for me, all of them were cooking which sucks
Just squeezed out a ML win with Rutgers. They were down by 6 with under a minute to play. Can't seem to lose lately.
Been staring at this Lakers game all day. Still can't fathom why the Lakers are only -1.5 in this game? But when I'm this confused, better off staying away from the ML or spread.
I do like Harden points 17.5
Well I've lost a bunch of bets I shouldn't have so I dont mind winning a couple that I shouldn't have
Super Bowl LX Winner
Los Angeles Rams +460
Seattle Seahawks +600
Denver Broncos +850
Buffalo Bills +850
Philadelphia Eagles +900
New England Patriots +1200
Houston Texans +1200
Green Bay Packers +1600
San Francisco 49ers +1700
Chicago Bears +1800
Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Baltimore Ravens +2000
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Detroit Lions +2700
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Carolina Panthers +22500
Indianapolis Colts +30000
I think I mentioned this last season, that at around this point in the season, it is rare that a long shot winds up winning the Super Bowl. Of course the playoffs haven't begun yet, but perhaps at this time an indicator could be provided based on the odds.
Best chance:
Los Angeles Rams +460
Seattle Seahawks +600
Denver Broncos +850
Buffalo Bills +850
Philadelphia Eagles +900
New England Patriots +1200
Houston Texans +1200
In the hunt, but tough odds:
Green Bay Packers +1600
San Francisco 49ers +1700
Chicago Bears +1800
Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Baltimore Ravens +2000
Long shots:
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Detroit Lions +2700
Prohibitive long shots:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Zero chance:
Carolina Panthers +22500
Indianapolis Colts +30000
-5062.93
Good luck today fellas
Seems like some interesting opportunities today, along with the usual suck-in bets to make the bookies rich.
Two that jump out at me. The Dak Prescott prop at 200+ looks way too easy for a number of reasons, and that's what worries me. But it's too irresistible, so I'm playing it anyway.
Dak Prescott 200+
Now the Shedeur Sanders rushing prop. At -290 for just 5+ and almost even money for 10+ looks like a license to print money for a number of reasons. That's what really worries me. So I'm going to pass on that one. If it hits, then it hits.
I'm still shell shocked from the demise of my GB bet yesterday.
38 POINTS, PLEASE
.
So, for today's Raiders/Texans tilt, utilizing various profit boosts, I first got down 3 $25 bets, totaling $75, that the point total would go over 37.5. The payout will total $194.50, including my $75 bet.
.
.
.
.
Then, I placed 3 similar bets, totaling $101.99 on the total going under 38.5 points. That payout would total $193.28, including the $101.99 bet.
.
.
.
.
So, I have $176.99 invested in this bet, of which I'll win both bets if the number lands EXACTLY on 38, or else I'll win $16+ if it goes under and $17+ if it goes over.
.
But wait! Ladies and gentlemen, there's more!
Knowing I have a certain profit, I also made 2 unaided bets - $55 on the under 38.5 to pay $105 and $56 on the over 37.5 to pay $106, once again, a total of 38 pays both bets.
.
.
.
I know you're asking yourself, "Why would he do that?"
Well, DraftKings has a promotion that for every $25 in settled bets, you receive a $5 bonus bet. This bet, while yes, I lose either $5 or $6 if the total doesn't land on 38, returns me $10 worth of bonus bets, regardless.
.
.
A wise man once told me that if I was going to gamble, to remember these 3 things.
.
.
.
30+ years, and these words haven't let me down yet.
I'm red hot, and I'm being cautious. LOL
Sanders already has 35 yards rushing at halftime. Coulda absolutely killed this.😒
I just looked - now he's got 49 yards! The sports gods are punishing me for being so dam timid. LOL
Been a lot of crazy chit like this going on all season in the NFL.
Never seen anything like it.
How's the High Payout Out Stakes Doin' ???
💵💵💵
We might be on to something here...
USFL Tudor Haiti Repro's...🔌🏈
On a positive note...with those Haiti Repro's...
You Can Use 🟥Reg 📌Bases and/or Old School Single Clip Rookie Bases...👍👍👍
Well I guess it evens out. I was also looking strongly at a Travis Kelce prop, figuring the new QB would go to him a lot on a number of slant routes.
Just looked and he's only got 1 catch for a measly 6 yards, as the Chiefs are getting stomped by the lowly Titans, arguably the worst team in the NFL. So I woulda gotten crushed on that prop if I had played it.
Well, sorry about my complaining about bets I didn't make.
Dart throwing for 33 yards today is just a disgusting joke
when i lost 900$ on South Carolina i didn't go crazy
when i lost a K on Ohio St i didn't go crazy
if the Texans lose to the Raiders i'm going to make Dave Portnoy blush
beyond lucky to win that parlay
the Texans were yesterday's trash on both sides of ball for 4 quarters
i'll take it, quite obviously, but i feel disgusted after witnessing that spectacle
-4891.04
Dam - I woulda PayPaled Galaxy the $171.89 just to see the post about making Dave Portnoy blush. 😂😉
dude i was about to lose my mind
everyone is talking about how scary the Texans are going to be come playoffs time, but i'm here to tell you that you WANT to play the team i watched today
couldn't do shit on offense and their vaunted D looked anything but. classic case of a team thinking they can just show up and win, but little did they know the 2-12 Raiders came to play.
so, so lucky i am
Lamar Jackson 150+
The bottom feeder Giants also almost won today. The bottom feeder Titans actually did win.
One of those days. 🤷♂️
Was 1 week late to score on the win streak derailment of Broncos. Had them losing last week. But the Jags put an end to it today and I scored with my parlay. Makes up for my loss with GB yesterday.
Next up keying in on ending win or losing streaks. Even my own.😀
Better to be lucky than good. 😉
That being said, IMHO, that was a well disciplined ML parlay. I think the best situations for long term success in this sports betting venture, as far as picking game winners, are in well disciplined ML wagers. Also in certain prop bets.
All I know is my bankroll since the start of this football season, and including the current basketball season is up 127% IE a bit more than doubling it.
I'm still making some mistakes, however I am pleased with the overall results so far. Still not 100% sure that sports betting can be beat, but I have been entertaining that possibility due to this new era of computer wagering.
My foundation for this venture is what Doyle used to say about poker, close paraphrase, "it's not about winning or losing, it's about making the right decisions." Using that as a guideline, has been very helpful thus far, and win or lose, I am determined to keep it that way. 😎
@stevek if it ain't broke, don't fix it
there's just so much parity in NFL this year. quick, who is the best team? if we polled everyone in this forum i guarantee you we'd get a handful of different answers........and it's week 16. with only 2 weeks remaining in the reg season, cut and dried it still is not. and that makes betting on these games very challenging.
maybe all sense of normalcy will be restored when the Jacksonville Jaguars become Super Bowl LX champs
Of course just when I think I'm riding on the gravy train, Jackson rolling along to easily cover, he sustains a back injury and is out for the rest of the game.
Oh well, I ain't gonna cry about it, even though I'd like to, all part of the game.
Okay I will. 😭
i donated too, and i'm ok with that because we share a mutual friend who is a fan of the other team
the Pats just put the Ravens to sleep
I lost money on the game as well, in fact I got smashed yesterday for a loss of right around $500, not a great day for NFL action
Due to schedule restraints, publications, and blackout conditions this Tudor Production will not be televised...
🔌🏈
Please contact your local cable and Internet provider...
😂🤣😂🤣
p-laying 4 big home favorites tonight
let's see what happens
-4941.04
In with Christmas plays. Parlays:Minn. +6,over 44.5.
Wash.+6.5,over 50.5.
Both games parlay for over, same total number score as above.
Brock Purdy 200+
OKC ML
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 24.5
3 leg parlay
Saint Mary's ML
Washington ML
2 leg parlay
the Celtics were favored by 11 1/2 over the 6-22 Pacers tonight and at half it's Indiana 61, Boston 43
where is my Borat "very nice" meme when i need it
i'm going to venture out on a very sturdy limb and say that bet is toast, so onward i go
how's about a 4-leg SGP with SGA & Co.
-5001.04
8:30 PM (Tuesday)
Thunder
(26-3 12-2 Away)
Spurs
(21-7 10-2 Home)
Thunder is at -5.5
Highest line I've seen on them in quite some time.
My first inclination is to pass on this game, but I'll
look at it a bit closer later.
the next time i say an NBA game is over before it's actually over, someone remind me that an NBA game is never over until it's actually over. not only did Boston come back to win that came last night, but they almost covered lol. so that was a nice little Christmas present on Dec 22, especially considering the other 3 legs of my lay didn't break. but then of course i turned right around and gave that win back and a little more when i couldn't get a steal from Jalen Williams. so close, yet so far away.
and speaking of OKC, tonight's rematch against the Spurs screams "steer clear." lots of unknowns. lots of prominent players who are game-time decisions. OKC played last night, SA didn't. every time i think about this game i come up with a different outcome. so i'm just going to sit this one out, enjoy it, and root for whoever parks some money on it.
It's a toughie that's for sure. Your "playing the next day" angle certainly has merit, and is in play here. But It's a "revenge" game for OKC working in their favor. OKC is only 2-2 in their past 4 games, and playing like mere mortals, also has to weigh in tonight's game result.
May not do it, but I'm contemplating a first quarter prop whereby OKC wins it. I think OKC may come out strong and motivated by the revenge factor. However the next day factor could mean OKC tires later in the game, and who knows what the spread or ML could wind-up?
Also could be a lot of missed shots. So I'm thinking about a rebound prop for one or possibly two players.
When you made that post I was like "That game is FAR from over lol
I'm glad you cashed brother, keep it going!
Steals, that's a tough bet no?
I meen they are all "Tough"
seeing as i lost that bet, i'm going to definitively answer your question.
YES
i had an itch to try something different, hence i rolled with a multi-leg SGP. i did my homework and honestly felt good about it.
OKC has the best defense in the league and Memphis is not a great team. if someone had told me prior to the game that the Thunder would have 14 steals and SGA, Williams and Wallace would play 36, 34 and 29 minutes, respectively, i wouldn't have changed a thing
SGA had 4 and Wallace had 1
Williams was hurt to start the season and had only played 9 games prior to last night. in those 9, he had a steal in 8 of them.
i just caught the bullet last night
responsible gambling means actually sitting a game out when you say you're going to
i am so irresponsible.
-4990.85
It is tough. Sometimes ya get caught in a precarious situation where you have a ML bet on a team, and say a points bet with a player on that team.
I forget the exact time of game on this, but at one point right around late 3rd Q or early 4th Q, OKC had around a 15 point lead, but I still needed 8 points to hit with SGA. I thought if OKC quickly popped the score up to say 25 or so, and SGA still needed 8, I'd be in deep trouble with the parlay. Because of course the coach might decide the game was in the bag, and to just sit his star player the rest of the game. I've gotten screwed a few times in this situation.
So I was in the weird position of rooting for the Grizzlies to get back in the game in order to get SGA the minutes needed to get the 8 points. I got my wish, and the Grizzlies pulled within 4 points.
Well SGA then hit a 3, and I knew then the coach wasn't taking him out. OKC as they usually do, put it into another gear, and drew away, and SGA easily covered the 24.5.
Football in a similar manner when sometimes you want the opposition to quickly score late in the game, to give your QB a chance to get some more yards needed to hit a prop. Even if that score by the opposition gets them back within striking distance to possibly ruin your ML bet.
The rooting can get complicated sometimes. LOL
Exactly why I kept him out of my bets tonight
I love the kid but I just don't trust him, he needs to put on 40+ pounds of muscle
OKC First Q winner -155
Stephon Castle Pts, Reb, Ast - Over 27.5
Don't tell anyone...
I just acquired A Hush {not the Deep Purple 🟣 Jam 🎶} Odd's Maker Secret... Now don't say this to anyone...
I thought this was Pretty Cool...👍👍👍
Um... Here's the Link...
https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/superbowl/history/
and 4 those living under a rock🪨 🪨 🪨...
🟣🎶🟣🎶🟣🎶...
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=E2vxVyosi18&list=OLAK5uy_nLUuw9E_5RX1k7iDCpnrSogUtIGjReCRw&index=2&pp=8AUB
Spurs be like, man if we could play the Thunder every game we'd go 82-0
just beat the tar out of them, hanging 130 on the league's best defensive team
and here's the scary part: Wemby only had 12
they are so deep
Spurs won't have to wait long to try it again. They play on Christmas afternoon, this time at OKC.
OKC is -9.5
Tough to envision the Spurs winning that game against this team. Of course you never can tell for sure in the NBA, particularly against the spread. That being said, I'll be surprised if OKC doesn't come out steaming in this game. I'll also be surprised if the whales don't jump all over the OKC ML. I may be joining them. Be interesting to see if the line moves or not?
One thing in play here, when a dominant team begins to fade, it can sometimes happen quickly. OKC is only 2-3 in their last five games. Could their time be up? If they lose this game on Thursday, it would be arguable to think yes it may be up. So while that -9.5, considering that OKC just got blown out, in my opinion makes the OKC ML look like a lock, there is some danger involved here.
In any event, I've already decided I'll either play the OKC ML or pass on the game. Perhaps along with some OKC props.
No idea who these guys are, I'm betting on African soccer because there is NOTHING on today ⚽
I'm a degenerate lol