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Joe Orlando - The Tsunami of Cardboard

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  • blurryfaceblurryface Posts: 5,136 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:
    something to consider: the rise in grading costs are commensurate with the appreciation in card prices, therefore i personally don't foresee PSA catching up anytime soon while this bull is still charging. even if it bangs off some resistance i don't think there will be much of a slowdown. best-case scenario, it's gonna be an excruciatingly gradual process.

    e.g., i recently found some 2009-10T hoops cards (Curry, Harden, DeRozan) that had been taking a Rip Van Winkle-esque nap in a box. then i sauntered over to eBay to check current market values. then i soiled myself. then i had them at the post office the very next morning. destination: California. neither the time nor cost mattered one iota........it was the only move to make. i bid those cards adieu and said c-ya again in '22.

    i anticipate a lot of this with the status quo

    i agree. there will never be an overnight change in speed, other than backwards.

    i know thats what has me shocked right now. new barcode technology, new ownership & i was expecting things to very slowly get better. instead its only gotten slower and more aggravating.

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

  • addicted2ebayaddicted2ebay Posts: 2,097 ✭✭✭✭

    @blurryface said:

    @galaxy27 said:
    something to consider: the rise in grading costs are commensurate with the appreciation in card prices, therefore i personally don't foresee PSA catching up anytime soon while this bull is still charging. even if it bangs off some resistance i don't think there will be much of a slowdown. best-case scenario, it's gonna be an excruciatingly gradual process.

    e.g., i recently found some 2009-10T hoops cards (Curry, Harden, DeRozan) that had been taking a Rip Van Winkle-esque nap in a box. then i sauntered over to eBay to check current market values. then i soiled myself. then i had them at the post office the very next morning. destination: California. neither the time nor cost mattered one iota........it was the only move to make. i bid those cards adieu and said c-ya again in '22.

    i anticipate a lot of this with the status quo

    i agree. there will never be an overnight change in speed, other than backwards.

    i know thats what has me shocked right now. new barcode technology, new ownership & i was expecting things to very slowly get better. instead its only gotten slower and more aggravating.

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

    I would happily pay the up charge on that! Amazing card I’m sure. Congratulations!

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 8,532 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @blurryface said:

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    that's pretty much how it has played out in my head every time since i was about 7 :D

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

    can't wait to see it. btw, someone in the other thread intimated that a dime popped, but i just checked and there are no 10s. you are about to join a club more exclusive than ANGC..........only 40 members!

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • canyoubelieveitcanyoubelieveit Posts: 239 ✭✭✭

    It's supply and demand. Human grading is the bottleneck...it requires specialized talent with high levels of training to get someone ready to jump into the line. The flow of cards through PSA is like a parallel processor: each grader is single threaded. How many cores can you add and still have the architecture to support it? At the end of the day, the throughput is limited and the market will find the balance point on its own. If I were PSA, I would be very slow to expand human operations in this market unless you are hiring graders on a contract basis. In other words, you tell them their employment is temporary. I don't think the volume will be sustained long term but even if you think that it is likely to be sustained, why would take the risk if there is any chance at all it will not be? Raising prices to throttle submission rates and increase profit is the best way from the business standpoint. If you dip to under capacity of max throughput, you lower prices (or have other incentives) and increase advertising to raise throughput back to optimal.

    I think the value of PSA declines if they go to a purely automated grading mechanism. This isn't due to the quality of the grading process but rather to the flood of PSA flips that would pour onto the market. It would act as a weight on the market by driving up supply. PSA might not care but it causes a race condition where they have to push even more cards through to sustain profit levels.

  • blurryfaceblurryface Posts: 5,136 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:

    @blurryface said:

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    that's pretty much how it has played out in my head every time since i was about 7 :D

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

    can't wait to see it. btw, someone in the other thread intimated that a dime popped, but i just checked and there are no 10s. you are about to join a club more exclusive than ANGC..........only 40 members!

    i have 7 of those 40! and 60+ 8s...😈

  • galaxy27galaxy27 Posts: 8,532 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @blurryface said:

    @galaxy27 said:

    @blurryface said:

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    that's pretty much how it has played out in my head every time since i was about 7 :D

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

    can't wait to see it. btw, someone in the other thread intimated that a dime popped, but i just checked and there are no 10s. you are about to join a club more exclusive than ANGC..........only 40 members!

    i have 7 of those 40! and 60+ 8s...😈

    i am officially impressed. that was some serious foresight. you are in the catbird seat my man

    you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet

  • CakesCakes Posts: 3,687 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @galaxy27 said:

    @blurryface said:

    @galaxy27 said:

    @blurryface said:

    its like waiting all years to tee it up at the masters and then go quad>trip>quad off the rip.

    that's pretty much how it has played out in my head every time since i was about 7 :D

    btw: that jack 9 still hasnt officially popped. keeping in mind it was upgraded to the $500 level. 😡

    can't wait to see it. btw, someone in the other thread intimated that a dime popped, but i just checked and there are no 10s. you are about to join a club more exclusive than ANGC..........only 40 members!

    i have 7 of those 40! and 60+ 8s...😈

    i am officially impressed. that was some serious foresight. you are in the catbird seat my man

    blurry has been kicking some A S S! Is he the guy from the South Park episode that crushes the boys at WOW? Is he QAnon?

    Successful coin BST transactions with Gerard and segoja.

    Successful card BST transactions with cbcnow, brogurt, gstarling, Bravesfan 007, and rajah 424.
  • blurryfaceblurryface Posts: 5,136 ✭✭✭✭✭

    quick pic!

  • addicted2ebayaddicted2ebay Posts: 2,097 ✭✭✭✭

    I’m sure there’s a 10 in there somewhere

  • blurryfaceblurryface Posts: 5,136 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @addicted2ebay said:
    I’m sure there’s a 10 in there somewhere

    eventually. i like to submit several 9s at a time under a review! ;)

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