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Should sellers disclose knowledge of large coin hoards?
MGLICKER
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Assuming that the size could be market changing, is it ethically incumbent upon dealers/auction houses to alert buyers and bidders about lots that could drop substantially in value due to a large influx of similar coins?
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Say you found a roll of uncirculated 58 DDO Lincolns
If you were the seller, would you?
<< <i>Say you found a roll of uncirculated 58 DDO Lincolns
If you were the seller, would you? >>
Yes.
<< <i>Assuming that the size could be market changing, is it ethically incumbent upon dealers/auction houses to alert buyers and bidders about lots that could drop substantially in value due to a large influx of similar coins? >>
I notice you left collectors out of any potential ethical compromise for non-disclosure there. Any particular reason why?
An individual - would be nice, but they are limited in their promotion and sales compared to what one individual can do.
From a business standpoint - ethically, yes. Legally, no. However, if they knowingly promoted the items with the previous known pops while they knew it was exploding, then I would definitely question if I wanted to do business with them or not, as I would not find them trustworthy.
I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment
<< <i>
<< <i>Assuming that the size could be market changing, is it ethically incumbent upon dealers/auction houses to alert buyers and bidders about lots that could drop substantially in value due to a large influx of similar coins? >>
I notice you left collectors out of any potential ethical compromise for non-disclosure there. Any particular reason why? >>
I have to agree with this question because I think a collector is more likely to hoard a particular date then a dealer or auction house.
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<< <i>Assuming that the size could be market changing, is it ethically incumbent upon dealers/auction houses to alert buyers and bidders about lots that could drop substantially in value due to a large influx of similar coins? >>
I notice you left collectors out of any potential ethical compromise for non-disclosure there. Any particular reason why? >>
No particular reason. We can add that to the discussion.
...I really can't decide.
<< <i>No particular reason. We can add that to the discussion. >>
Fair enough. The post immediately above yours is a scenario that came to mind, prompting my original inquiry. How many collectors hoard a particular issue because they don't think there's any benefit in doing so?
Governments can print currency. Only the people can print faith in it — and they’re running low on ink.
On the other hand, I remember when a hoard of 4 rolls of 09-s vdb lincolns made their way onto the market (maybe 2 years ago?). The dealer who had the hoard slowly placed an ms66rd here- and one there, and then a 65rd here and another there.... for over a year he was slowly dispersing them. In the 09-s vdb case though- the prices have come down significantly.
http://blog.davidlawrence.com/index.php/1893-s-dollar-hoard/
EC
<< <i>Below is the link to the story joebb21 references:
http://blog.davidlawrence.com/index.php/1893-s-dollar-hoard/ >>
That was an interesting read. Thanks for the link.
We'll use our hands and hearts and if we must we'll use our heads.
<< <i>Ditto what FTB said. >>
ill second that one as well.
<< <i>
<< <i>Below is the link to the story joebb21 references:
http://blog.davidlawrence.com/index.php/1893-s-dollar-hoard/ >>
That was an interesting read. Thanks for the link. >>
I'll second that. I see the whole book is posed on the website. I am going to read the rest of the book too. I just read the intro, and can hardly wait to get started on the rest of it.
Practice makes perfect & nobody is perfect. So, practice being nobody and be perfect !
<< <i>Dispersing them all at once, or informing everyone all at once that they exist would be doing a HUGE disservice to the owner AND the people who already own an example. The population reports will reflect the existence of these coins, the best course of action is to slowly let them enter the market. If you want to talk about the moral or ethical thing to do, I believe this is the best way to proceed, by NOT announcing it out-loud. The demand is there (if it is in fact a Key date) and the market will absorb it, perhaps a price lag for a few years, it will rebound and make up for the lag. The publicity of a whole roll being discovered (it's happened many times) creates the "Mob Mentality" that all of a sudden these coins are worthless, which is untrue, but still damaging. >>
Very Wise Advise
Not really looking for much these days but if I were, it might be a toner.
<< <i>I think information should disseminate universally rather than be held within dealer circles. Often times, dealers will be aware of a hoard and leave collectors to fend for themselves. >>
I'd be willing to bet there are a substantial number of advanced collectors who know more about the availability of the coins they specialize in than all but a handful of dealers. Ethically, should they be obligated to educate others (dealers or collectors) about the scarcity of any coins they decide to sell?
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>Below is the link to the story joebb21 references:
http://blog.davidlawrence.com/index.php/1893-s-dollar-hoard/ >>
That was an interesting read. Thanks for the link. >>
I'll second that. I see the whole book is posed on the website. I am going to read the rest of the book too. I just read the intro, and can hardly wait to get started on the rest of it. >>
It really is a great read. I re-read the entire book every couple years or so because the stories or so enjoyable.
<< <i>I will never disclose my hoard of 64 key date Mercs in VF or better when I start selling them 20+ years. The hoard will likely be larger by then anyway. >>
You kinda just did.
Buyers need to take responsibility and do their homework. I see coin buyers all the time saying "I am hoarding 19xx Barber halves, etc." Aa acquaintance in the coin club hoards 1934-S Peace Dollars.
(Like bluffing in the previous poker example.)
<< <i>What if someone disclosed a new hoard of some very rare coin but the hoard didn't exist?
(Like bluffing in the previous poker example.) >>
LOL, sounds like they are looking to buy .........
<< <i>What if someone disclosed a new hoard of some very rare coin but the hoard didn't exist?
(Like bluffing in the previous poker example.) >>
Suspect that ploy has been already used.
Did the seller have an obligation to alert potential buyers that the hoard could affect the market price of US twenty-cent pieces?
Is that the question being posed?
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces
Buyers need to take responsibility and do their homework. I see coin buyers all the time saying "I am hoarding 19xx Barber halves, etc." An acquaintance in the coin club hoards 1934-S Peace Dollars.
Dispersing them all at once, or informing everyone all at once that they exist would be doing a HUGE disservice to the owner AND the people who already own an example. The population reports will reflect the existence of these coins, the best course of action is to slowly let them enter the market. If you want to talk about the moral or ethical thing to do, I believe this is the best way to proceed, by NOT announcing it out-loud. The demand is there (if it is in fact a Key date) and the market will absorb it, perhaps a price lag for a few years, it will rebound and make up for the lag. The publicity of a whole roll being discovered (it's happened many times) creates the "Mob Mentality" that all of a sudden these coins are worthless, which is untrue, but still damaging.
There is no responsibility..either legally or ethically, to inform the market of such things. It is business, and the owner of such property is in control of said property. In no way is such an individual required to potentially destroy his potential profit for the sake of an as yet unknown market. Any other assumption is flawed. And yes, I am trained and certified in ethics, and was the ethics officer for my former company. Just as a business, who makes a breakthrough on a product that will make the former products less desirable or even obsolete, is not required to inform the market prior to it's release. Cheers, RickO
<< <i>In November of this year, a hoard of of 167 double dimes came to the market. Purchased by a father and then his son over several decades, it represents one of the largest accumulations of double dimes assembled.
Did the seller have an obligation to alert potential buyers that the hoard could affect the market price of US twenty-cent pieces?
Is that the question being posed? >>
My question was more about the professional seller as opposed to the collector, though the opinions are valid on both.
I was thinking about this after buying a fairly large lot of relatively inexpensive, recently graded coins. The pop jumped from about 750 to 850 in a short time, which I assume included my lot of 50. I paid a competitive price and am quite satisfied, but I wondered if there were another 300 or 500 coins behind it, which could have cut the price by a third or half.
Absolutely no criticism of the seller in this case. Just wanted to see how you folks felt about the subject.
<< <i>....
I was thinking about this after buying a fairly large lot of relatively inexpensive, recently graded coins. The pop jumped from about 750 to 850 in a short time, which I assume included my lot of 50. I paid a competitive price and am quite satisfied, but I wondered if there were another 300 or 500 coins behind it, which could have cut the price by a third or half.
Absolutely no criticism of the seller in this case. Just wanted to see how you folks felt about the subject. >>
With a pop that high, the market likely has already factored in oversupply at the current level, but it's tough to generalize. And It would be diseconomic to tell us what the actual coins are.
Take as a "for instance" a lot of 50 white 1881-S $1's MS67. Very little upside, very little downside. Already commoditized, no matter how sweet the look. Stable price because the balance between supply and demand is self-correcting and easily calculable over any time period anyone might choose. But consistent "strong-enough" demand is pretty much a given.
50 Yorks in MS66?. Aren't they already trading for 25% over XF money? Trading may not be the right term for Yorks. Moldering is more likely. 300 pieces? Some pump-n-dump telemarketer would mayhap take a shot. But the telemarketer is going to get the juice.
I could go on and on (and usually do).... A hard overall market in which to make markets in widgets. Widgets are for bulk wholesalers, not collectors, and, in my experience, investors holding widgets are really bucking the odds. You're paying to warehouse coins for the wholesaler when the same or another wholesaler can come back and take another bite on the way out the door.
You've asked, answered and commented here often enough for me to think your (assumed by me) previous experience has exposed you to some facets of this. Hope this helped you better evaluate your situation.
My icon IS my coin. It is a gem 1949 FBL Franklin.
Indian Head $10 Gold Set Album
<< <i>Assuming that the size could be market changing, is it ethically incumbent upon dealers/auction houses to alert buyers and bidders about lots that could drop substantially in value due to a large influx of similar coins? >>
It's not the dealers job to hold a collectors/bidders hand. Caveat Emptor
<< <i>Since the trend for obtaining the highest price today seems to be (1) sending the coin to a top TPG, then (2) obtaining a CAC sticker, wouldn't the inclusion of additional coins be revealed to anyone doing their homework? The first, second or third coin might sneak past a dealer or collector, but can the same be said about the 4th, 10th, 50th? >>
Welcome to the forum csdot. I have found in the past that pop numbers can lag and not show up for a few weeks after grading.
<< <i>
<< <i>Since the trend for obtaining the highest price today seems to be (1) sending the coin to a top TPG, then (2) obtaining a CAC sticker, wouldn't the inclusion of additional coins be revealed to anyone doing their homework? The first, second or third coin might sneak past a dealer or collector, but can the same be said about the 4th, 10th, 50th? >>
Welcome to the forum csdot. I have found in the past that pop numbers can lag and not show up for a few weeks after grading. >>
Not all coins are graded. Many hoards are raw.
<< <i>Since the trend for obtaining the highest price today seems to be (1) sending the coin to a top TPG, then (2) obtaining a CAC sticker, wouldn't the inclusion of additional coins be revealed to anyone doing their homework? The first, second or third coin might sneak past a dealer or collector, but can the same be said about the 4th, 10th, 50th? >>
Welcome csdot!
The OP question was not about should people do their homework (which makes perfect sense, of course), but rather should a seller be obligated to disclose knowledge of a hoard that he/she may believe affects the value of a coin they are selling. It's a mild way of asking if a seller should be obligated to educate a buyer on potential risks of buying their coin.
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces