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Hoarding the Keys? Cornering the market?

2ltdjorn2ltdjorn Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭✭
Well I imagine know one here will admit that they are currently hoarding particular coins... But have you in the past heard of folks attempting to create a market in a particular coin by hoarding them?

One story I have heard was prior to the release of the 1903-O Morgans...

WTB... errors, New Orleans gold, and circulated 20th key date coins!

Comments

  • shorecollshorecoll Posts: 5,447 ✭✭✭✭✭
    There are many people who hoard key dates, not necessarily to create a market. Years ago I met a guy who had his retirement "fund" in slabbed keys, like a box of 20 1877 Indian cents, a box of 20 1909-SVDBs, etc. In the copper world, there are people who collect by variety and by die state, so they could have dozens of key dates just in a "regular" collection.
    ANA-LM, NBS, EAC
  • 291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,727 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Over the past 30 years the hoarding of key and semi-key dates has been a very common practice.

    Very few US coins are actually rare or even scarce as dates/mm. Hoarding just makes them look scarce or rare.
    All glory is fleeting.
  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I am hoarding wheat cents.....but so far it has not affected the market....image Cheers, RickO
  • Walkerguy21DWalkerguy21D Posts: 11,740 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Not really much of a 'hoard', but once upon a time while building sets of Indian cents for collectors, I found the 1870 to
    be underrated in the higher circ grades, and started buying them anytime I came across one. After acquiring a small group,
    either as more came on the market or whatever, I stopped. The same with the 1830 large cent....took me quite a while to find
    a nice one in XF-AU for my date set, so I bought up a few of these. Now I see them fairly regularly.
    I also rarely pass by a 21P walker in Fine or higher if the price is right - and these I think are still legitimately tough to find.

    I was also at a major wholesaler's table last year when he announced he had just acquired his fiftieth 09SVD cent, giving him a
    full roll. I have always thought this coin to be rather common, albeit a famous and popular coin.
    Successful BST transactions with 171 members. Ebeneezer, Tonedeaf, Shane6596, Piano1, Ikenefic, RG, PCGSPhoto, stman, Don'tTelltheWife, Boosibri, Ron1968, snowequities, VTchaser, jrt103, SurfinxHI, 78saen, bp777, FHC, RYK, JTHawaii, Opportunity, Kliao, bigtime36, skanderbeg, split37, thebigeng, acloco, Toninginthblood, OKCC, braddick, Coinflip, robcool, fastfreddie, tightbudget, DBSTrader2, nickelsciolist, relaxn, Eagle eye, soldi, silverman68, ElKevvo, sawyerjosh, Schmitz7, talkingwalnut2, konsole, sharkman987, sniocsu, comma, jesbroken, David1234, biosolar, Sullykerry, Moldnut, erwindoc, MichaelDixon, GotTheBug
  • DennisHDennisH Posts: 14,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm a huge fan of 1895-S Morgans in circulated grades. It's my favorite date in my favorite series. I'm not trying to hoard them, but that is how it looks. Even after selling a few last year I still have 50 of them in PCGS holders, including at least one example of all 19 circulated grades and at least one example of all 7 known VAM varieties, one of which I co-discovered.
    When in doubt, don't.
  • John Beck had 531 1856 Flying Eagle cents.
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 34,879 ✭✭✭✭✭
    In my view it is better to build a diverse collection that has a mix of dates, mint marks and designs. Putting all of you money into a narrow variety of coins means that you are betting on that small segment of the market. There have been times when small cents were in favor and when they are out of favor. When they were out of favor the key dates still brought more money than the common dates, but selling the coins was not much fun if you looking for great prices.

    There is also another way to look at this. If you really do start to control the market every piece you buy will cost more because you are drying up the supply. When it comes time to sell you had best not try to sell them all at once because flooding market will result in lower prices. It is kind of like moving an elephant in a row boat. The supply - demand function is fluid not static. Trying to hit a moving target can be very frustrating.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • I'm hoarding Morgan VAM 28s !879-O/over horizontal O. Rarity 6 coins that will be buried with me if I can't sell them for what their worth!
  • DennisHDennisH Posts: 14,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
    At least in the Morgan series, there are a whole bunch of dates that don't justify being bought at all because they're just too common. That's a lesson I learned while putting together a complete set. Another lesson I learned was, concentrate on the better dates.
    When in doubt, don't.
  • GritsManGritsMan Posts: 2,599 ✭✭✭
    I own 4.3% of the Daniel Carr's 1861 Confederate Double Eagle overstrikes image

    Winner of the Coveted Devil Award June 8th, 2010
  • rheddenrhedden Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Some recent examples:

    * there was a big-time hoard of 1844 dimes that was recently broken up. Perhaps one of the Seated dime fans can elaborate on the details.

    * 1804 quarters were hoarded by someone until a few years ago. A flood of them appeared on the market at one point, keeping prices depressed.

    * Various semi-key Seated coins are hoarded by individuals. Cornering the market on XF-AU coins may amount to buying up 100 examples (or even less). For many semi-key dates, prices are just in the $100-$400 range in XF-AU. Buying these up quietly forces prospective buyers to either settle for an unwanted lower grade coin, or pony up for a MS coin, which might cost $3000 instead of $300. As a result, many collectors are left without an example and the prices rise dramatically in the targeted grade range.

  • CoinRaritiesOnlineCoinRaritiesOnline Posts: 3,681 ✭✭✭✭
    Whenever this topic comes up, I respond as follows:

    I think a lot of people imagine themselves making a killing by hoarding some rare coin and then holding the market hostage as they release them 1 by 1 for huge prices, buy a large luxury yacht and retire at age 41 in the tropics with a young Tahitian girl who wears a bra made of two seashells.

    The reality is that most people who do try to hoard pick items that aren't that rare, they buy examples of the coins enthusiastically for a while, then realize that corning the market on some of this stuff is impossible and ridiculous and not that much fun and so they give up, but when they do give up they just unload everything all at once and take a huge bath trying to liquidate 100 of something at one time, which is no longer a hoard but a glut.
  • johnny9434johnny9434 Posts: 29,394 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I am hoarding wheat cents.....but so far it has not affected the market....image Cheers, RickO >>

    me to. problem is there worth more at melt right now image
  • halfhunterhalfhunter Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭
    Have a closet full of "Westward Journey" mint wrapped nickel rolls . . .

    And YES, I'm holding the numismatic community hostage ! ! !

    image

    HH
    Need the following OBW rolls to complete my 46-64 Roosevelt roll set:
    1947-P & D; 1948-D; 1949-P & S; 1950-D & S; and 1952-S.
    Any help locating any of these OBW rolls would be gratefully appreciated!
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This concept worked quite well with better date Liberty Seated coins from the early 1970's to around 2003 before prices really started to take off in short order.
    I know I was actively trying to stockpile all the better date quarters I could find from 1974-1988. The problem was more finding them than buying 'em.
    No doubt there were people that hoarded a lot of better date quarters as they popped up (ie 42-0 sd, 47-0, 49-0, 51, 51-0, 52-0, 53 na, 60-s, 64-s, 66-s, 67-s,
    70-cc, 71-cc, 71-s, 72-s to name a few of them). These dates rarely lasted on the market before they were scarfed up as they were always too cheap. I have to think there are
    people out there that have a half a dozen to a dozen or more of some of these dates. One collector put together a hoard of 50-100 1870-cc halves....maybe 20% or more
    of all extant. Anyone doing this prior to around 2000 has made out very well indeed. And to ensure you had plenty of opportunity to buy key dates, one could have
    looked at all denominations from seated half dimes to dollars. But it appears to me the 30-35 year window to hoard and easily profit on these is gone. Personally, I once toyed
    with the idea of hoarding all the known unc 1867-s seated quarters. Once I purchased the only gem it would have been a snap to get all the rest. But I let that opportunity slip by
    when I allowed a fellow seated quarter collector to buy the Norweb 1867-s quarter uncontested. It sold for considerably less than what I would have paid for it as well. I also let the
    Eliasberg MS64 go uncontested for a stupid cheap $4K or so. I could have profited quite handsomely speculating on those and the couple of other 62/63 coins that have come
    since. I knew cornering the market would be easy but decided against doing it. I suspect there are others that have contemplated similar actions on key date pop tops and
    have succeeded. 1872-s quarters were one date I considered hoarding in all grades. Had I carried that through over 30 yrs I probably would have been able to buy 20 or more
    pieces. There would have been no downside in doing so with only 100-150 pieces in existence. It took the prices guides a long time to catch up to this date.
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • CoinosaurusCoinosaurus Posts: 9,645 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I am aware of a hoard that will bring considerable profit to the owner. It will be documented in time, but that may well be ten to twenty years down the road.

    It can be done successfully but you have to maintain extraordinary discipline for a long time and maintain the highest level of discretion. Your friends (and dealers) also have to keep their mouths shut image
  • Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'll just say i hoard keys and any other nice coin i come across, But that is just me Type2.image


    Hoard the keys.
  • mrearlygoldmrearlygold Posts: 17,858 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Whenever this topic comes up, I respond as follows:

    I think a lot of people imagine themselves making a killing by hoarding some rare coin and then holding the market hostage as they release them 1 by 1 for huge prices, buy a large luxury yacht and retire at age 41 in the tropics with a young Tahitian girl who wears a bra made of two seashells.

    The reality is that most people who do try to hoard pick items that aren't that rare, they buy examples of the coins enthusiastically for a while, then realize that corning the market on some of this stuff is impossible and ridiculous and not that much fun and so they give up, but when they do give up they just unload everything all at once and take a huge bath trying to liquidate 100 of something at one time, which is no longer a hoard but a glut. >>




    imageimage
  • Crazy4CoinsCrazy4Coins Posts: 1,922 ✭✭✭
    I'm convinced someone is hoarding 1937-D Buffalo nickels in grades 66 and 67. Try to find one. You'll come to realize that for a coin with such a high pop, they are much more difficult to locate than one would expect. Even though the 3 leg is supposed to be a key variety, there's more of them available to buy than the 4 legged counterpart.
  • ebaybuyerebaybuyer Posts: 2,984 ✭✭✭
    always worthwhile to hoard what cant be bought any day of the week, for instance, i wouldnt hoard anything with even a full page on ebay
    regardless of how many posts I have, I don't consider myself an "expert" at anything
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,645 ✭✭✭✭✭
    What is a KEY if it's a HOARD ? I don't want to be lulled into a false sense of perception.
  • MrSpudMrSpud Posts: 4,499 ✭✭✭
    I (jokingly) say to do opposite first. Buy one or 2 really rare coins where the population is like 10 or so. Then keep cracking them out and resubmitting them until the population numbers go up enough to make their value go down. Then buy up as many of the 8 or so other coins as you can, crack out all but 1 and then return all the slab inserts to PCGS. Then when they redo the pop numbers it'll look like you have a really low pop coin and the value will go up.
  • coinkatcoinkat Posts: 23,906 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The 1895-S has always been very under appreciated in circulated grades. The only reason they do not bring more is because there are Unc examples that survived- it is just different than the 1892-s in terms high grade

    Experience the World through Numismatics...it's more than you can imagine.

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