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2017 Investment Contest - December 1st update posted!

24

Comments

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    Pick of the week: ETRM from 2.00 to 9.19
    Unpick of the week: LINEQ (short) from 0.10 to 0.137

  • SurfinxHISurfinxHI Posts: 2,469 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Cracked the top 10! Woot!

    Dead people tell interesting tales.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭

    See now if this was the real world, which it is for me lol, I would have/did cash out my 13% 4 day profits and keep the original $9k in play.

    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,365 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Gimme a year

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Pick of the week: ETRM from 2.00 to 9.19

    ETRM over $17 per share today, ( note that this price is after the recent 1 for 70 (!) reverse split

    congrats SNMAN! (ring the bell! ;) )

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 5,409 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Baley said:
    Pick of the week: ETRM from 2.00 to 9.19

    ETRM over $17 per share today, ( note that this price is after the recent 1 for 70 (!) reverse split

    congrats SNMAN! (ring the bell! ;) )

    Pre-market over $21 this morning, nice.

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    SNMAN's portfolio just broke the $100K barrier. Not bad for Day 10 of the contest!

  • OverdateOverdate Posts: 7,017 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Wingsrule said:
    SNMAN's portfolio just broke the $100K barrier. Not bad for Day 10 of the contest!

    My calculations show around $38K. Still amazing!

    My Adolph A. Weinman signature :)

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    Whoops! Assumed ETRM was his only pick.

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭
  • JohnnyCacheJohnnyCache Posts: 1,773 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I'm off to the races.
    I can't believe this dog didn't die last year.
    I guess it's not a dog but a greek cat with nine lives

  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭

    Ouch, I've fallen (the most) and I hope that I can get up. That doesn't even sound right LOL. The goal of this contest as I understood it is to come in last, right? To get free silver, right? ;)

    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 5,409 ✭✭✭✭✭

    2 weeks and 200% up on a 3 pick, nice.

  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,365 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I suck at this. May have to stand on the corner with a cardboard sign, soon.

  • AUandAGAUandAG Posts: 24,783 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Hey, I went up two spots! Sad thing is I backed my picks with real trades!

    Don't follow me down!

    Registry: CC lowballs (boblindstrom), bobinvegas1989@yahoo.com
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    Just remembered JohnnyCache had a reverse split, so he's really not doing as well as shown.

  • aj2525raj2525r Posts: 120 ✭✭

    Drat!
    I'm losing money. :/

    I still call my accumulation my collection!
  • DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 5,409 ✭✭✭✭✭

    My political play picks need some love, otherwise I'm shooting for that last place silver!

  • 3stars3stars Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭✭✭

    after hitting near bottom, PLUG jumped up 39% today to bring me close to break even again.

    Previous transactions: Wondercoin, goldman86, dmarks, Type2
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭

    Long since out of these except for the OIH call. I rarely stay in any trade longer than a month, win or lose.

    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,949 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 13, 2017 10:12AM

    @Wingsrule said:
    Just remembered JohnnyCache had a reverse split, so he's really not doing as well as shown.

    split should not change his portfolio balance. He now has twice the shares at half the original price. A split changes the price and at the same time compensates for the change in price by proportionately changing the number of shares held so that the dollar balance remains unchanged. When you calculate his balance from here out you have to calculate using the "new" number of shares held. Price changes (splits, rev. splits) are normally done to either get the price up to avoid de-listing on the exchange or to bring the price down, usually to bring in more investors.

    The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,949 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @piecesofme said:
    Long since out of these except for the OIH call. I rarely stay in any trade longer than a month, win or lose.

    Keep in mind that this is not a game of who's the best trader. It is a game of who will be on top when the roulette wheel stops on Dec. 31. A contest of who was the best fortune teller a year ago. But still loads of fun and excitement. Thank you Wingsrule.

    The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong

  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    Agree with your statement, derryb, but my spreadsheet setup is now (incorrectly) comparing the 12/31 price to today's price to calculate gain/loss. I need to adjust the 12/31 price accordingly.

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,246 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 16, 2017 7:00AM

    wanted risk on-> gold fall

    Seems like risk on and many big commodities up
    (Check cocoa chart, tho)

    BTW, I want the #1 spot not #last

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭
    edited February 24, 2017 5:24PM

    Overall portfolio down about $250 over the last 3 weeks, even with multiple new record highs in the markets.

  • BochimanBochiman Posts: 25,410 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I'm sorry...my picks were $172 of that loss :(

    I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment

  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭

    @JohnnyCache said:
    I'm killing it! lol

    You're well on your way to getting that 1 oz of free silver from WR, but I may end up giving you a run for it lol. The goal for some here is to win this, while others is to be last for free silver ;)

    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,246 ✭✭✭✭✭

    DRYS declares it has money for a 7cent dividend!

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @piecesofme said:
    Long since out of these except for the OIH call. I rarely stay in any trade longer than a month, win or lose.

    At other end of spectrum, still have stocks I've held 20+ years, real estate 25 years, and some silver for well over 40 years.

    Have a difficult time letting go of things

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,246 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 28, 2017 3:56PM

    some PM ETFs are going to split

    NEW YORK , Feb. 28, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion has announced it will execute reverse share splits for eight of its exchange-traded funds ("ETFs"), as well as forward share splits for another seven ETFs. The total market value of the shares outstanding will not be affected as a result of these splits, except with respect to the redemption of fractional shares, as outlined below.

    Eight Reverse Splits
    Direxion will execute reverse splits of the Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X Shares, Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bear 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3X Shares , and Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 3X Share. The splits are effective at the open of the market on May 1, 2017 .
    A summary of the eight ETFs undergoing reverse splits is as follows (please note the CUSIP changes, effective May 1, 2017 ):
     

     ______________________________________________________________________________
    |                  |      |         |         |Reverse Split|Approximate       |
    |Fund Name         |Ticker|Current  |New CUSIP|             |decrease in total |
    |                  |      |CUSIP    |         |Ratio        |number of         |
    |                  |      |         |         |             |outstanding shares|
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily S&P|      |         |         |             |                  |
    |500® Bear         |SPDN  |25490K216|25460E869|1 for 2      |50%               |
    |1X Shares         |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Gold Miners       |NUGT  |25490K570|25460E844|1 for 4      |75%               |
    |Index Bull 3X     |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Shares            |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Junior Gold       |JNUG  |25490K554|25460E851|1 for 4      |75%               |
    |Miners Index Bull |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |3X Shares         |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Junior Gold       |JDST  |25490K141|25460E877|1 for 4      |75%               |
    |Miners Index Bear |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |3X Shares         |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Semiconductor     |SOXS  |25490K778|25460E836|1 for 5      |80%               |
    |Bear 3X Shares    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Regional Banks    |WDRW  |25459Y124|25460E802|1 for 5      |80%               |
    |Bear 3X Shares    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily    |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |Russia Bear 3X    |RUSS  |25490K786|25460E828|1 for 5      |80%               |
    |Shares            |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    |Direxion Daily S&P|      |         |         |             |                  |
    |500® Bear         |SPXS  |25459Y371|25460E885|1 for 5      |80%               |
    |3X Shares         |      |         |         |             |                  |
    |__________________|______|_________|_________|_____________|__________________|
    

     
    As a result of this reverse split, every two, four or five shares of a Fund will be exchanged for one share as indicated in the table above.  Accordingly, the total number of the issued and outstanding shares for the Funds will decrease by the approximate percentage indicated above.  In addition, the per share net asset value ("NAV") and next day's opening market price will be approximately two-, four- or five-times higher for the Funds.  Shares of the Funds will begin trading on the NYSE Arca, Inc. (the "NYSE Arca") on a split-adjusted basis on May 1, 2017 .
    The next day's opening market value of the Funds' issued and outstanding shares, and thus a shareholder's investment value, will not be affected by the reverse split.  The table below illustrates the effect of a hypothetical one-for-two, one-for-four or one-for-five reverse split anticipated for the Funds, as applicable and described above:
     








     
    Seven Forward Splits
    Additionally, Direxion will execute forward splits of the Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bull 3X Shares, Direxion Daily Latin America Bull 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares , Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3X Shares , Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 3X Shares , Direxion All Cap Insider Sentiment Shares , Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares .
    A summary of the seven ETFs undergoing forward splits is as follows:
     

     ______________________________________________________________________________
    |                                 |      |Forward Split|Approximate increase in|
    |Fund Name                        |Ticker|             |                       |
    |                                 |      |Ratio        |total number of        |
    |                                 |      |             |outstanding shares     |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bull 3X  |SPXL  |4 for 1      |300%                   |
    |Shares                           |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion Daily Latin America Bull|LBJ   |4 for 1      |300%                   |
    |3X Shares                        |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X |TNA   |2 for 1      |100%                   |
    |Shares                           |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3X    |RUSL  |2 for 1      |100%                   |
    |Shares                           |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp.|      |             |                       |
    |& Prod.                          |GUSH  |2 for 1      |100%                   |
    |Bull 3X Shares                   |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion All Cap Insider         |KNOW  |2 for 1      |100%                   |
    |Sentiment Shares                 |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    |Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal        |      |             |                       |
    |Weighted Index                   |QQQE  |2 for 1      |100%                   |
    |Shares                           |      |             |                       |
    |_________________________________|______|_____________|_______________________|
    

     
    As a result of these share splits, shareholders of each Fund will receive two or four shares for each share held of the applicable Fund as indicated in the table above.  Accordingly, the number of each Fund's issued and outstanding shares will increase by the approximate percentage indicated above. 
    All share splits will apply to shareholders of record as of the close of NYSE Arca, Inc. (the "NYSE Arca") on April 27, 2017 (the "Record Date"), payable after the close of the NYSE Arca on the payable date, April 28 , 2017.  Shares of the Funds will begin trading on the NYSE Arca on a split-adjusted basis on May 1, 2017 (the "Ex-Date").  On the Ex-Date, the opening market value of each Fund's issued and outstanding shares, and thus a shareholder's investment value, will not be affected by the share split.  However, the per share net asset value ("NAV") and opening market price on the Ex-Date will be approximately one-half or one-fourth for the Funds.  The tables below illustrate the effect of a hypothetical two-for-one and four-for-one split on a shareholder's investment.
     



     
    Redemption of Fractional Shares and Tax Consequences for Each Reverse and Forward Split As a result of the reverse or forward split, a shareholder of a Fund's shares could potentially hold a fractional share. However, fractional shares cannot trade on the NYSE Arca. Thus, a Fund will redeem for cash a shareholder's fractional shares at the Fund's split-adjusted NAV as of the Record Date. Such redemption may have tax implications for those shareholders and a shareholder could recognize a gain or loss in connection with the redemption of the shareholder's fractional shares. Otherwise, the reverse or forward split will not result in a taxable transaction for holders of Fund shares. No transaction fee will be imposed on shareholders for such redemption.


    "Odd Lot Unit" Also as a result of the reverse or forward split, the Funds will have outstanding one aggregation of less than 50,000 shares to make a creation unit, or an "odd lot unit." Thus, the Funds will provide one authorized participant with a one-time opportunity to redeem the odd lot unit at the split-adjusted NAV or the NAV on such date the authorized participant seeks to redeem the odd lot unit.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,365 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Gold is down a few dollars. Silver is down a few cents. Tomorrow is another day on the trading floor. TGIF.

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Not a good couple of weeks for the metals ETFs. Holders of those picks are expected to drop a few spots next update...

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • 3stars3stars Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Go PLUG! Should break into the top ten next go around.

    Previous transactions: Wondercoin, goldman86, dmarks, Type2
  • 3stars3stars Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Sweet! sitting on a 2X right now!

    Previous transactions: Wondercoin, goldman86, dmarks, Type2
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,246 ✭✭✭✭✭

    bloodbath for me

    but with multi-rev-splits the drys long is looking good to take the loser prize (it just had a 1-for-4 yesterday)

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    New blood at the top!!

  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,124 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Thanks for the update. What is surprising, less than 1/2 the players are still in the black.

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • s4nys4ny Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭

    Linn Energy (LINEQ) went bankrupt and emerged with the bondholders owning
    100% of the new shares. The existing unit holders
    received nothing. The loss was 100%. The price shown on some
    websites is the last reported price. It is now worth zero.

  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,124 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited April 18, 2017 7:41AM

    @s4ny said:
    Linn Energy (LINEQ) went bankrupt and emerged with the bondholders owning
    100% of the new shares. The existing unit holders
    received nothing. The loss was 100%. The price shown on some
    websites is the last reported price. It is now worth zero.

    Congrat. Did you replaced JohnnyCashe in last place for the free silver?

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,015 ✭✭✭✭

    Actually, it's the other way around. He was short LINEQ so he is guaranteed a double.

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Nice call s4ny!

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,124 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Wingsrule said:
    Actually, it's the other way around. He was short LINEQ so he is guaranteed a double.

    Ah so, thanks for the up date. JohnnyCashe continues to be a shoo in for the free 1 oz silver.

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • s4nys4ny Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭

    I don't deserve much credit. LINEQ was already in bankruptcy and there was
    not much chance of recovery by the unit holders.
    If I designed the contest, I would not allow options (long or short)
    and shorting shares priced under $5.

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,949 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited April 27, 2017 9:52AM

    @s4ny said:
    I don't deserve much credit. LINEQ was already in bankruptcy and there was
    not much chance of recovery by the unit holders.
    If I designed the contest, I would not allow options (long or short)
    and shorting shares priced under $5.

    Be a lot easier on the score keeper if it was limited to stocks, metals and ETFs; limit of three, longs only. In addition contestant should be responsible for notifying score keeper of splits and reverse splits.

    The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong

  • BochimanBochiman Posts: 25,410 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Agreed.
    Wingsrule is way too nice and lenient. I would scope it simple, as mentioned above.

    All in all though, kind of fun to watch what others think and research.

    I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Things have improved at least.

    The first year, some of the assets chosen were milk, lumber, and postage stamps.

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,661 ✭✭✭✭✭

    No matter what, kudos to Wingsrule for periodic updates... especially the next few

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • bluelobsterbluelobster Posts: 1,220 ✭✭✭

    Yeah, Appreciate the time Wings puts in on this.

    Even though I used options for the 1st time in the contest(looks like it will go down in flames ;~), I agree with S4ny, on options..I'd probably do away with 3x ETFs, as well, maybe keeping 2x to keep some leverage.

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