Are there large stashes of unopened 70's cases out there?
jsanz
Posts: 250 ✭✭
I'm new to this board and really want to thank some of you for your very interesting and informative info.
I love 1970's unopened product. I feel like there have to be cases sitting in warehouses forgotten. Remember this stuff was not worth much back then. Any good stories out there of some stashes of cases? Are there more Conlons out there just sitting on cases?
Here is my little story. I know of one guy who had a small warehouse of product. He was a grocery store owner for years and he was sitting on it as an investment. Too bad most of it was mid 80's - early 90's. He had a lot of cases with a few good ones but mostly junk. I told him to sell those 1987 cases when Bonds was really hot.
I love 1970's unopened product. I feel like there have to be cases sitting in warehouses forgotten. Remember this stuff was not worth much back then. Any good stories out there of some stashes of cases? Are there more Conlons out there just sitting on cases?
Here is my little story. I know of one guy who had a small warehouse of product. He was a grocery store owner for years and he was sitting on it as an investment. Too bad most of it was mid 80's - early 90's. He had a lot of cases with a few good ones but mostly junk. I told him to sell those 1987 cases when Bonds was really hot.
Love those 70's - early 80's packs and boxes...send me a message if you are selling because I am buying
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I can only speak for myself (40+ years into this segment of the hobby), but I believe there are very
few (if any) unopened BB cases left from 1970-1977 (other than Conlon 1975 mini wax cases). If
there really were any we would have seen at least a few of them come out into the market during
the run-up we have had in the past 3 years.
The late 1970s (1978 and 1979), and also 1980, there a probably a small number out there still. A former
board member here (BBG) has had some 1979 rack cases up on eBay for a while now. BBCE has an unopened
tray case from 1979 on their website, and its been there 5 or 6 months now.
The only "known" stash of 1970s unopened seems to be the Fritsch inventory. A good deal of that is
vending, with a little bit of 1970 cello, 1973 wax, 1975 cello and 1979 rack mixed in on the BB side of
things. But despite advertising it every month, you never know if they are willing to sell any of it
when you call (and if they do agree to sell it they usually ask for more than the price shown in the
catalog).
So basically what we tend to see now for this era (at least in BB) are boxes that move from collector
to collector. And that supply is dwindling as time passes with things like group rips happening on
boards like this.
I'm sure you will get a bunch of opinions on this. Will be interesting to hear other perspectives.
Dave
In the late 1990s, when 1985-1991 product got hot, I went up and down the east coast purchasing hundreds of cases at a time sometimes of product from former/current candy distributors who were happy to finally get rid of their product. There wasn't a single time we came across anything pre-1984.
To sit 35+ years forgotten about is unlikely, but I am sure there are some cases out there somewhere. I've watched enough American Pickers to convince myself of this. Hah. I just don't believe there are a lot of examples of this yet to be discovered and when then eventually do surface is a big question mark.
<< <i>I was chatting with Reed from BBCE on facebook about this and he said he knows of/has seen some large accumulations but these people have no reason to sell. They don't need the money and he said they are in love with their stuff. He also said that BBCE is seeing very few cases of 1970s and they consider a deal with a good amount of unopened 1970s boxes a "large" deal now. >>
It's worth noting that just because these collectors want to save this stuff it doesn't mean they'll be successful in doing so. Mother nature has a way of recycling things whether you want to or not.
No doubt Mike & Frank are on the lookout for vintage cards. It might not be their area of expertise but they know enough to
know what's valuable. To my knowledge they haven't made any major card finds and they've been on the air for years.
<< <i>I can only speak for myself (40+ years into this segment of the hobby), but I believe there are very
few (if any) unopened BB cases left from 1970-1977 (other than Conlon 1975 mini wax cases). If
there really were any we would have seen at least a few of them come out into the market during
the run-up we have had in the past 3 years. >>
I would have to think that there are some cases out there in the hands of other heavy hitters in the hobby. Although I agree that the run up in value should have resulted in some cases surfacing, when it comes to folks who already have very deep pockets, I don't think the run up in value would matter as much. On the collector side, there is a certain amount of attachment and ego that goes into owning something. On the investment side, tax implications of unloading an appreciated collectible comes into play. I see too many people refusing to unload an asset solely because they can't stand the thought of writing a check to Uncle Sam.
There was a seller - Bob Balanda who told me around 1992 that a guy near his home was sitting on a warehouse full of 70s unopened material.
Plus who knows what's truly out there in the hands of small collectors?
I don't collect unopened but when something comes up that's really reasonable - unopened late 70s in the early 90s was very affordable - I might pick something up.
With respect to 79T, e.g., I have a vending case, rack case - 1 box, 2 wax boxes. I'm sure there's many guys in my arena? Can't say for sure tho.
<< <i>I'm willing to bet there's more out there than we think. If they're still finding (albeit rarely) mint card stashes from the early 20th century, I'm sure there are still some pre-1980 cases sitting in attics, abandoned houses and personal collections. There was a coin dealer that posted on the BST forum a few years ago who purchased a house from a deceased card shop owner which was strewn with unopened boxes and packs from the early 70s through mid-80s. Granted these weren't unopened cases but they were unopened boxes and scarce rack packs. There are pack rats out there who are basically hermits and their stashes won't be found until, as gregf so aptly put, mother nature recycles them. >>
It's also possible that there's less out there than we think. And IMO, the longer we don't see it the less chance it's there.
As far as Fritsch goes, I can only imagine what of his past inventory he kept for personal collection... but I can understand their philosophy. Their vintage is such a huge percentage of their inventory's value-- and they're currently a 2nd generation family run business-- they only want to sell enough to supplement the rest of their revenue and stay profitable for a long time. It prolongs your inventory and you keep getting current market rates. I just don't like how they go about it... just be up front and limit packs per customer (and don't even list boxes in your catalog).
Great thread btw.
<< <i>I always like seeing that pic of your 79 stash... it's my favorite Topps set and can never get too much of them.
As far as Fritsch goes, I can only imagine what of his past inventory he kept for personal collection... but I can understand their philosophy. Their vintage is such a huge percentage of their inventory's value-- and they're currently a 2nd generation family run business-- they only want to sell enough to supplement the rest of their revenue and stay profitable for a long time. It prolongs your inventory and you keep getting current market rates. I just don't like how they go about it... just be up front and limit packs per customer (and don't even list boxes in your catalog).
Great thread btw. >>
Thanx.
BTW, the oldest wax I have is 76OPC - it's a beauty - I picked it up from the BBCardKid - Mark Murphy in 1993 - 48 really nice packs.
Wish I had picked up some 75s - tho I don't remember what they were going for back then?
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
Here is my next question to keep the debate going. If and when the high dollar older cases come up for sale does anybody know about it or are they sold in private? Are they changing hands and we just don't know about it?
<< <i>Exactly. People have been saying there are more case out there than people think for many years now. And guess what? There have been less and less available as time has passed. >>
It's easy to do when people think there are virtually none left... some is more than none. Once the majority of "disposable" cases get broken or into the vaults of hoarders, transactions will be few and far between regardless of actual supply. I still say there's an 86 Fleer basketball case out there somewhere... which won't surface until the owner wills it to someone who'll sell.
Let's say what we find is "good" - but what about price?
I paid under $900 for a 3 box 79T rack case; $2100 for a 79T vending case; $250 for a box of 79T wax; $700 for a 76OPC wax box e.g. And back when I bought a 3 box case of 81T racks? A few hundred bucks.
Is that stuff now priced out? Is it too much of a risk in terms of cost? I can talk all day long about how this is just a hobby and I don't concern myself with investment - but I would be lying to you "and" myself if I wake up tomorrow and can't even get the cost of a Starbucks latte for a box of cards.
I think that's why I never had unopened as a focus - I just didn't know enough about it. What I have in my closet is just plain ole luck - had no idea this stuff would get this costly.
I would've been tempted at $1100.
<< <i>Very nice box Tim.
I would've been tempted at $1100. >>
That same box has tripled in price nowadays.
<< <i>One thing I'd like to say about unopened.
Let's say what we find is "good" - but what about price?
I paid under $900 for a 3 box 79T rack case; $2100 for a 79T vending case; $250 for a box of 79T wax; $700 for a 76OPC wax box e.g. And back when I bought a 3 box case of 81T racks? A few hundred bucks.
Is that stuff now priced out? Is it too much of a risk in terms of cost? I can talk all day long about how this is just a hobby and I don't concern myself with investment - but I would be lying to you "and" myself if I wake up tomorrow and can't even get the cost of a Starbucks latte for a box of cards.
I think that's why I never had unopened as a focus - I just didn't know enough about it. What I have in my closet is just plain ole luck - had no idea this stuff would get this costly. >>
I don't think it will ever be priced out as there's always someone with more money. In terms of risk, I guess that all depends on what you're looking for and how long you're willing to wait to see the value kick in.
Some speculate that there are hoards of this stuff hidden somewhere, but it's never been uncovered, if it even exists. So the safe bet is that what you have will only increase in value over time, if it remains sealed and in prime condition.
That $900 3 box 79T rack case is now worth around $10,000. In time I think it will be worth double that. Why? Because these cases are just disappearing and people are still, if not more so, interested in having one.
I'd say the real risk is in ripping a sealed case or box FASC. If the cards inside are even worth grading, they won't bring in nearly enough to recoup the value of the unopened form. Before a few years ago, it didn't matter as much since the case itself wasn't worth that much, but now the stakes are quite high.
That said, the value of these graded cards, sometime from now, will probably be more valuable than the case is today. And for those who care not about money, that doesn't even matter, as the joy of ripping and submitting is what it's all about.
<< <i>as the joy of ripping and submitting is what it's all about. >>
As long as this holds? People will be buying this stuff, I guess?
After all, "every" wax box, "every" rack box, e.g., has (potentially) a PSA 10 somebody in it. That's the allure.
I'm guessing the investor is holding onto unopened while the person looking for the diamond up a goat's ass hopes to pull that elusive "10?"
The whole thing interests me - that's why I've been in the hobby for 30 years.
1978 Topps Footeball Cello Case just popped up on eBay.
Guess there are a few out there!
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
I would love to see data when the last case sold publically of all 1970's B,F,B,H from 2003 to present. I think that will answer Jsanz' question.
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
Grab your 4th series 1973, 1975 mini, and 1978s/1979s and call it a day.
One thing that does surprise me is you don't see as many 1980's football unopened cases as I would expect.
<< <i>I recall Collect Auctions also sold a case of 75 baseball cellos for 67K a while back.. >>
That was from the Fritsch inventory (as just about all of their unopened is).
Tony eTrade sold a 1977 BB wax case last year right after National. Other than that and the 1977 wax case that BBCE broke
here on the boards I don't have any records of a BB case sale (other than Fritsch and Conlon 75 minis) for at least 5 years.
Dave
<< <i>
<< <i>I recall Collect Auctions also sold a case of 75 baseball cellos for 67K a while back.. >>
That was from the Fritsch inventory (as just about all of their unopened is).
Tony eTrade sold a 1977 BB wax case last year right after National. Other than that and the 1977 wax case that BBCE broke
here on the boards I don't have any records of a BB case sale (other than Fritsch and Conlon 75 minis) for at least 5 years. >>
David, there was also a 79 baseball cello case sale auctioned off by MH back in 2013 that closed at 19K.
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>I recall Collect Auctions also sold a case of 75 baseball cellos for 67K a while back.. >>
That was from the Fritsch inventory (as just about all of their unopened is).
Tony eTrade sold a 1977 BB wax case last year right after National. Other than that and the 1977 wax case that BBCE broke
here on the boards I don't have any records of a BB case sale (other than Fritsch and Conlon 75 minis) for at least 5 years. >>
David, there was also a 79 baseball cello case sale auctioned off by MH back in 2013 that closed at 19K. >>
that was mine
<< <i>I actually remember seeing that 77 case that Tonytrade had at the National. I have never seen a case of 1970-74 and 76 ever come to market. >>
Agreed. And past 1977 was not particularly interesting to track until the last 18-24 months.
Dave
<< <i>I actually remember seeing that 77 case that Tonytrade had at the National. I have never seen a case of 1970-74 and 76 ever come to market. >>
I'm too lazy to look it up now, but I also recall a couple of 1975 Topps baseball rack cases being sold at auction a few years back. Don't think you'll ever see anything come up for sale, case-wise, from 1970-1974, but 76 has a shot.
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
<< <i>
<< <i>I actually remember seeing that 77 case that Tonytrade had at the National. I have never seen a case of 1970-74 and 76 ever come to market. >>
I'm too lazy to look it up now, but I also recall a couple of 1975 Topps baseball rack cases being sold at auction a few years back. Don't think you'll ever see anything come up for sale, case-wise, from 1970-1974, but 76 has a shot. >>
There was rumor of a 1974 rack case last year, but it never materialized.
Dave