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Allow me to ask a crazy (perhaps sensible) question

Don't respond too quick to this. Sit back, eat some chips, sip that ale, think about it, and then respond.

Will many of our PSA slabbed cards one day be as worthless as 1988 Score baseball commons ?

If population reports just keep going higher and higher, will we one day just see the bottom fall out of this area of collecting ?

If another (100 count) 1982 Cal Ripken Topps Traded rookies show up in PSA 10, could it drop the price in half ?
We've already seen the demise of the value of many PSA 8's and 9's from the 1970's and 80's. Many of these cards sell much less then grading fees already if the auction
starts at 0.99


We saw a 1972 Topps Nolan Ryan PSA 10 one of one sell for 10,000 when it first hit the market. After seven finally received the grade of PSA 10, the card value
was down under 4,000. If another seven hit the market, that card could perhaps be a $500.00 card.

I know many here do not collect PSA cards for monetary value. I know many did not collect 1988 Score baseball for monetary value.
But I just wonder if it's quite possible that with certain guys getting many PSA 10's on all the cards they submit, will it crash the value of many of the
things we once thought as valueable.

I've already seen this happen with many cards, and I just wonder how much lower many of these things can ultimately go.

There will be nothing to propel card prices higher if PSA 9's and 10's keep increasing by the day.

Comments

  • swartz1swartz1 Posts: 4,911 ✭✭✭
    What is for sale?


    Looking for 1970 MLB Photostamps
    - uncut


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  • This is posted in the "Buy, Sell & Trade-Sports" Section

    But to answer the question, It depends.

    Old Pre-War cards: The value will not be hurt much. Many of the High Grade cards have been graded. Just check the POP reports for PSA, SGC and BVG.

    Vintage Post War (Up to 1969): The High Grade cards should stable. Most of these cards get graded 3-6 or 7. 8-10 are not easy to find.

    1970's: Their is still unopened cards their for I would suspect the 10's will come down in value. How much, it just depends on when people start to send them in.

    1980-now: They will drop in value. I can not think of any card in this era that will not drop in value.

    Dave
  • Baez578Baez578 Posts: 967 ✭✭✭


    << <i>This is posted in the "Buy, Sell & Trade-Sports" Section

    But to answer the question, It depends.

    Old Pre-War cards: The value will not be hurt much. Many of the High Grade cards have been graded. Just check the POP reports for PSA, SGC and BVG.

    Vintage Post War (Up to 1969): The High Grade cards should stable. Most of these cards get graded 3-6 or 7. 8-10 are not easy to find.

    1970's: Their is still unopened cards their for I would suspect the 10's will come down in value. How much, it just depends on when people start to send them in.

    1980-now: They will drop in value. I can not think of any card in this era that will not drop in value.

    Dave >>



    Agreed

    Oh...and PM SENT image
  • The other variable is the quality of the issue. Psa 10 Henderson RC may still be a tough card after some more unopened is broken. Look at a 71 Munson - don't think ripping more 71 will necessarily yield more 8's or 9's of that card in any significant way.
    I don't think it's a given for every issue that ripping more packs will increase the pop for 10's.
    '82 and up psa 10's are more vulnerable but 86 could be an exception there.


  • << <i>The other variable is the quality of the issue. Psa 10 Henderson RC may still be a tough card after some more unopened is broken. Look at a 71 Munson - don't think ripping more 71 will necessarily yield more 8's or 9's of that card in any significant way.
    I don't think it's a given for every issue that ripping more packs will increase the pop for 10's.
    '82 and up psa 10's are more vulnerable but 86 could be an exception there. >>



    Yes, I did not mention the factor of some sets. 1971 Topps is difficult to get 9-10's, so they should be a great set to pick up.

    I gave a general guide line.
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,725 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I collect coins graded by pcgs (psa's coin equivalent) and prices remain strong even as pop reports rise. I think with cards it's a bit different but as long as you're not investing solely in post 1980 low pop cards, that there is atill a lot of upside to collecting graded cards. 1988 Score cards are worthless for reasons other than pop reports. And there are many key cards that have actually risen significantly in value over the past couple of years even as pop reports have risen during that same time.


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • Wasn't meant to counter your point Yankee - agree with your general guideline - just noting some exceptions.

  • I wouldn't call it a decline in price as much as it would be a reallity check.

    The stupid money given for many of those cards made them grossly overpriced in the first place.

  • Do not forget the importance of the demand side of the equation. It seems all the above comments relate to the supply side.

    What opinions do you collectors see for the future of demand for vintage cards and for 1970's and 80's cards etc? That's just as important as supply side predictions.

    Jack

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