That same question has come up for 2 years in a row, and the answer is still NO, unless your derryb or anyone else who predicted $75 -$100 silver for 2012. A more realistic scenario would be $40
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It wouldn't surprise me to see $50 silver. With our exploding national debt, I see high inflation to pay for it in our future.
Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
"Gold may be rallying on the fiscal cliff deal, but the rally will be short lived as precious metals will fall to new lows, according to David Hunter, chief market strategist at KCCI, a brokerage firm in New York City. I believe we will see a global deflationary downturn in 2013 that will cause gold to plunge to $1,000 to $1,100 and silver to the low teens. Any near-term strength in the metals should be viewed as a selling opportunity," he wrote in an email."
Oh, added via edit. I do think silver will break out even if gold goes low. More people are stacking it. No sure within a year. Hope they keep stacking.
<< <i>I worry when I see articles like this one (off the conflation page). Deflation means PMs go low? But do they maintain their goods purchasing power?
dollar devaluation trumps deflation. dollar destruction has driven PMs and will continue to do so for quite some time. While PMs suffer any time the crowd runs to cash, it seems to suffer the least and recover the fastest. The crowd will eventually ask themselves "is the shrinking dollar really the place to be?" I suspect many will eventually turn to "real money."
That said, I expect PMs to continue their lull until it is realized the FED will have to pick up slack buying US bonds (more QE?) that Japan apparently will be shying away from as they start piling new money into their own bonds (Thank you Abe). The delay in solving the debt ceiling will creep up soon and also boost PMs. Until then look at further dips as stacking opportunities.
Gold has a world price entirely unaffected by accounting games between the Treasury and the Fed. - Jim Rickards
2013 will be a bad year to invest in PM's. $20-25 silver and $1400-1500 gold. Equities is where the world puts its $$ in 2013 with Oil drifting lower also. Where do I send my bill to?
Since this same question sends us all back to our opaque crystal balls and manipulation theories, a more useful question might be, what has the potential to outperform silver in the next couple of years? The potential for silver to appreciate is as close to a sure thing as I have seen in any investment vehicle since real estate in the late 80's, early 90's. Just do it, baby!
Markets (governments) can remain irrational longer than an investor can remain solvent.
Comments
. . . On second thought, yes.
Gold has a world price entirely unaffected by accounting games between the Treasury and the Fed. - Jim Rickards
A more realistic scenario would be $40
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Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
Linky
"Gold may be rallying on the fiscal cliff deal, but the rally will be short lived as precious metals will fall to new lows, according to David Hunter, chief market strategist at KCCI, a brokerage firm in New York City.
I believe we will see a global deflationary downturn in 2013 that will cause gold to plunge to $1,000 to $1,100 and silver to the low teens. Any near-term strength in the metals should be viewed as a selling opportunity," he wrote in an email."
Oh, added via edit.
I do think silver will break out even if gold goes low. More people are stacking it. No sure within a year. Hope they keep stacking.
<< <i>I worry when I see articles like this one (off the conflation page). Deflation means PMs go low? But do they maintain their goods purchasing power?
Linky >>
dollar devaluation trumps deflation. dollar destruction has driven PMs and will continue to do so for quite some time. While PMs suffer any time the crowd runs to cash, it seems to suffer the least and recover the fastest. The crowd will eventually ask themselves "is the shrinking dollar really the place to be?" I suspect many will eventually turn to "real money."
That said, I expect PMs to continue their lull until it is realized the FED will have to pick up slack buying US bonds (more QE?) that Japan apparently will be shying away from as they start piling new money into their own bonds (Thank you Abe). The delay in solving the debt ceiling will creep up soon and also boost PMs. Until then look at further dips as stacking opportunities.
Gold has a world price entirely unaffected by accounting games between the Treasury and the Fed. - Jim Rickards
Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry
The potential for silver to appreciate is as close to a sure thing as I have seen in any investment vehicle since real estate in the late 80's, early 90's. Just do it, baby!
I knew it would happen.