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Sucker trade?

While visiting 4 local B&M's yesterday & today, there were 3 seperate offers made to the B&M owners that I (and they) thought were a bit of a sucker trade...and I've noticed some offering it here to.

100 oz silver bar for 3 1 oz Gold eagles. Sure the pure Spot values are very close, but 100 oz Silver bars typically carry no premium, they are a slave to whatever Spot is. 1 oz AGE's on the other hand can carry a pretty decent premium. Not to mention that more can be made by selling 3 things (possibly to 3 different people for more each time, possibly) than selling 1 big hunk of a bar where all your $ is tied up in 1 thing.

Why would anyone in their right mind give up their 3 1 oz AGE's for a 100 oz. silver bar? Me thinks it's a sucker trade. You?
To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.

Comments

  • ProofCollectionProofCollection Posts: 6,117 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Sounds like a pretty fair trade to me. Trading a 100oz bar (APMEX buy price $4516 for JM) for 3 AGEs (APMEX buy price ~$1540) seems like you'd come out ahead if you turned around and sold them.
  • tydyetydye Posts: 3,894 ✭✭✭
    100 oz silver bars are a hard sell - at least near me. I traded mine in for 10 oz bars last year. I would want to be on the gold side of that trade
  • Seems like a pretty fair trade to me.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    100 oz silver bars are a hard sell - at least near me. I traded mine in for 10 oz bars last year. I would want to be on the gold side of that trade

    image

    personally, I just don't like the idea of having $X tied up in 1 thing when I can have it in 3 things that would be easier to sell when the time came.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • gecko109gecko109 Posts: 8,231


    << <i>100 oz silver bars are a hard sell - at least near me. I traded mine in for 10 oz bars last year. I would want to be on the gold side of that trade

    image

    personally, I just don't like the idea of having $X tied up in 1 thing when I can have it in 3 things that would be easier to sell when the time came. >>





    Ok, but how far do you take that philosophy? Would it then be better to have 6 half oz eagles instead of 3 of the 1oz? How about 30 tenths instead? Who wants to be tied up in 3 things when you could have 30 of them?


    See my point?
  • tydyetydye Posts: 3,894 ✭✭✭


    << <i><< 100 oz silver bars are a hard sell - at least near me. I traded mine in for 10 oz bars last year. I would want to be on the gold side of that trade



    personally, I just don't like the idea of having $X tied up in 1 thing when I can have it in 3 things that would be easier to sell when the time came. >>





    Ok, but how far do you take that philosophy? Would it then be better to have 6 half oz eagles instead of 3 of the 1oz? How about 30 tenths instead? Who wants to be tied up in 3 things when you could have 30 of them?


    See my point?
    >>




    It is a dollar figure for me 2-500 is my sweet spot. 1/10 and 1/4 oz gold and 10 oz silver fit it perfectly. Easily converted to cash on the spot.
  • gecko109gecko109 Posts: 8,231


    << <i>

    << <i><< 100 oz silver bars are a hard sell - at least near me. I traded mine in for 10 oz bars last year. I would want to be on the gold side of that trade



    personally, I just don't like the idea of having $X tied up in 1 thing when I can have it in 3 things that would be easier to sell when the time came. >>





    Ok, but how far do you take that philosophy? Would it then be better to have 6 half oz eagles instead of 3 of the 1oz? How about 30 tenths instead? Who wants to be tied up in 3 things when you could have 30 of them?


    See my point?
    >>




    It is a dollar figure for me 2-500 is my sweet spot. 1/10 and 1/4 oz gold and 10 oz silver fit it perfectly. Easily converted to cash on the spot. >>





    I agree with that. Im heavily invested in 1/4oz gold eagles and 5oz silver bars. I refuse to own anything larger than that $500 value you pointed out. I may begin swapping my 1/4s for 1/10ths soon.
  • Money wise a fair trade, but my local dealer avoids 100 oz silver bars like the plague because of the liquidity.
  • PokermandudePokermandude Posts: 2,713 ✭✭✭
    Sounds like a pretty fair trade to me too. If given the choice, I'd give a slight edge to the 3 AGEs. But I'd take the 100oz bar and $20 over the 3 AGEs.

    The B&M owners probably just don't take it because there's really no advantage to them. If anything there's a small liability since there's a higher chance there's something funny about the 100oz bar rather than the 1oz AGEs, plus the 100oz bar will be a bit harder to sell.
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  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Sheesh. The 100 oz bars are being treated like pond scum. 10 of them can easily become a Comex 1000 oz bar which is probably in strong demand.

    If someone were looking to trade from gold into silver the 3-4% lost premium seems reasonable. Dealers don't work for zero. And the trade on the return
    trip would be back in your favor. At $100-$150/oz silver I think the loss of 3-4% would seem negligible. At that point everyone with AGE's will have wished
    they traded them for 100 oz Ag bars. This won't be a sucker trade come July-August. The timing of this trade is the key factor, not so much the commission or
    portability/bulk.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • mkman123mkman123 Posts: 6,849 ✭✭✭✭
    not a bad trade, but I just wouldn't do it. As mentioned by others, a 100 oz bar is just not as liquid as say 20 5oz bars or 10 10 oz bars or 100 1 oz bars. I don't want a large sum of money tied into a large bar like the 100 ozer.
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  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Ok, but how far do you take that philosophy? Would it then be better to have 6 half oz eagles instead of 3 of the 1oz? How about 30 tenths instead? Who wants to be tied up in 3 things when you could have 30 of them?
    The more the better Phil. The more you have of something that you know you can sell quick in a pinch far outweighs 1 big thing sittin over in the corner that no one really has any interest in because it ties up too much funds, the better. all jmho.
    Having 3 age's gives more opportunites (for me as a seller) than 1 big arse bar.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,010 ✭✭✭✭

    The more you have of something that you know you can sell quick in a pinch

    That's why many fiscally responsible people have emergency funds set up, so you don't need to sell anything "in a pinch" and become a slave to whatever the market / buying public is feeling at any given time.

    And believe it or not, there are people who actually "collect" as opposed to "flip". Life is not squeezing every dime out of every transaction, at least not in my book.
  • Life is not squeezing every dime out of every transaction, at least not in my book.

    Then why don't you take that 100oz silver bar to a shop and sell it then buy the 3 oz gold?
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,010 ✭✭✭✭
    Then why don't you take that 100oz silver bar to a shop and sell it then buy the 3 oz gold?

    It's pretty obvious, at least to me, that Rich is referring to my thread on the BST and PM forum, so I don't have a problem addressing it here.

    One minor point is that his question is not the same as the trade I offered. Nowhere did I specifically call out 3 1 oz AGEs, that was the sucker trade he made to his local dealers. I realize there are different premiums for Ag 1 oz bars, 1 oz AGEs, 1 oz Maples, and various sizes of Ag bars and rounds.

    Addressing your question 007, I'll answer with one of my own. Why pay premiums on both sides of the deal when it can be avoided? That, to me, is not the same as worrying about whether I can get 30.0x or 30.2x for some 90% silver, for example.
  • If you were offered a 100 oz silver bar OR 3 gold eagles for $4,500. which would you take ?
    If you were offered a 100 oz silver bar OR 3 gold eagles for $4,600. which would you take ?

    1st senerio i'd take the silver
    2nd senerio i'd take the gold
    am I having a brain bubble here ?
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  • guitarwesguitarwes Posts: 9,266 ✭✭✭

    there's a sucker born every minute. With that said, I don't see a problem with the deal if both parties agree on the terms. Obviously if the deal goes through, each party wanted the other more than what they had.

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  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    It's pretty obvious, at least to me, that Rich is referring to my thread on the BST and PM forum

    Now where did I say that, anywhere? It always amazes me how much people read something into something that isn't there...whatever. Best of luck to you and what you are trying to do Mark.

    For the record when I was at the B&M's Tues. & Wed. and witnessed those people asking to do this exact trade, everyone of the B&M owners didn't have too kind of words about the person proposing the deal when they left the store.

    Anyway, I hope I haven't offended anyone, was just telling a story, gave my opinion on it and asked the Forum members here for thiers. Anyone is totally free to try and pull off any deal they feel is fair.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • 1Mike11Mike1 Posts: 4,416 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>It's pretty obvious, at least to me, that Rich is referring to my thread on the BST and PM forum

    Now where did I say that, anywhere? It always amazes me how much people read something into something that isn't there...whatever. Best of luck to you and what you are trying to do Mark.

    For the record when I was at the B&M's Tues. & Wed. and witnessed those people asking to do this exact trade, everyone of the B&M owners didn't have too kind of words about the person proposing the deal when they left the store.

    Anyway, I hope I haven't offended anyone, was just telling a story, gave my opinion on it and asked the Forum members here for thiers. Anyone is totally free to try and pull off any deal they feel is fair. >>



    I think by including in your original post "...and I've noticed some offering it here to" that you definately were aiming at some post on this forum. I don't recall seeing any other thread offering 100 oz of silver for 3 oz of gold. Some days you have to man up and stop being a drama queen.

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  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    I think you're trolling Mike. In no way did I call anyone out specifically. And there's nothing to man up about LMAO!
    I gave my opinion, it's a sucker trade and I'll stick by it. If someone can pull it off, good for them. I just think it's a sucker trade whoever is doing, including myself. How's that for full disclosure?
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Then why don't you take that 100oz silver bar to a shop and sell it then buy the 3 oz gold? It's pretty obvious, at least to me, that Rich is referring to my thread on the BST and PM forum, so I don't have a problem addressing it here. One minor point is that his question is not the same as the trade I offered. Nowhere did I specifically call out 3 1 oz AGEs, that was the sucker trade he made to his local dealers. I realize there are different premiums for Ag 1 oz bars, 1 oz AGEs, 1 oz Maples, and various sizes of Ag bars and rounds. Addressing your question 007, I'll answer with one of my own. Why pay premiums on both sides of the deal when it can be avoided? That, to me, is not the same as worrying about whether I can get 30.0x or 30.2x for some 90% silver, for example. >>



    I thought it to be quite an unusual coincidence to see this threat about the exact trade that was being offered on the BST forum, from someone who reads the BST forum religiously.

    I have been considering the trade. I have 3 PCGS MS69 2006-W ages. What would be your offer there? --Jerry
  • WingsruleWingsrule Posts: 3,010 ✭✭✭✭
    Now where did I say that, anywhere?

    I had posted my offer shortly before this thread. At the time, it was the only active thread on the forum with a similar offer. If I missed one, I apologize and retract my statement.

    I do remember a similar thread awhile back, but that was when the GSR was near 40.
  • CoinCrazyPACoinCrazyPA Posts: 2,899 ✭✭✭✭
    When I read this, my first thought was you were referring to the post on the BST. I cannot believe that it will only take 100 oz's to buy 3 oz's of gold. Mind boggling to me. I am a strong buyer of gold right now, I still think it is cheap at these levels. I just am amazed at the run in silver.
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  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Within 12 months I suspect that the "sucker" trade will be the guy that didn't trade his 3 AGE's for a 100 oz bar. Just my 2c.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • jdillanejdillane Posts: 2,365 ✭✭✭
    Hey, Wingsrule, I suspect you are onto something re the author of this thread.

    to wit: Wednesday, I put up a 100oz bar of silver sans pics. I figure hey its not a coin so pics didn't seem to be critical. piecesofme then posts a question asking if I have pics. today, I bring my cam to work and take a few shots. Crap, forgot the usb patch to upload to my cam.

    Then, I see that piecesofme posts instructions on how to upload pics and also posts a separate thread bemoaning anyone who has the audacity to list a nearly $5K item without pics and deriding any "excuses". Later, he comments that he's not into 100oz bars.

    piecesofme seems to be a mod wanna be and a bit of a voyeur. Maybe he just likes to look!

    image
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Boy the ALT's are really coming out now. Make sure to take note folks.
    jdillane...you obviously dont have in hand what you're trying to sell, your thread and comments on it and this thread clearly show that. You may have it being in the sense that you may have purchased it and want to flip it before actually take receipt of it, but you don't have it now.

    Know how you can prove me wrong? Post a pic of it with a newspaper from today next to it.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • ajmanajman Posts: 1,359 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If you were offered a 100 oz silver bar OR 3 gold eagles for $4,500. which would you take ?
    If you were offered a 100 oz silver bar OR 3 gold eagles for $4,600. which would you take ?

    1st senerio i'd take the silver
    2nd senerio i'd take the gold
    am I having a brain bubble here ? >>

    Yes you are. image
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  • BochimanBochiman Posts: 25,377 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Hey, Wingsrule, I suspect you are onto something re the author of this thread.

    to wit: Wednesday, I put up a 100oz bar of silver sans pics. I figure hey its not a coin so pics didn't seem to be critical. piecesofme then posts a question asking if I have pics. today, I bring my cam to work and take a few shots. Crap, forgot the usb patch to upload to my cam.

    Then, I see that piecesofme posts instructions on how to upload pics and also posts a separate thread bemoaning anyone who has the audacity to list a nearly $5K item without pics and deriding any "excuses". Later, he comments that he's not into 100oz bars.

    piecesofme seems to be a mod wanna be and a bit of a voyeur. Maybe he just likes to look!

    image >>




    Jay, you have credibility, don't worry about it. Something like that, a picture is not, imho, a big deal.
    There was no interest in it, you were just being jerked around.

    I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment

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