will there be a dip in silver
laserart
Posts: 2,255 ✭
any time soon? what do you think? and how low will it be?
"If I had a nickel for every nickel I ever had, I'd have all my nickels back".
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Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
<< <i>I just bought a bunch of silver so it'll probably dip. >>
That makes 2 of us.
I knew it would happen.
<< <i>
<< <i>I just bought a bunch of silver so it'll probably dip. >>
That makes 2 of us. >>
3
--Severian the Lame
I knew it would happen.
"Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey
<< <i>I just offered some stuff to Gecko, so it should go up $10-$12 per ounce right after he buys it!!!
>>
And I just accepted the offer, so here comes the big diparoo!!!
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OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO-
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GGGGAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Take 'er down!!!!!
Dive!
Dive!
Dive!
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
I knew it would happen.
<< <i>I just bought a bunch of silver so it'll probably dip. >>
I told you so!
Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
"Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire
<< <i>Silver seems not to be in lockstep with gold these days. ....... The G/S Ratio is currently 64.83. ... Historically silver would be drastically underpriced relative to gold at that ratio, correct? >>
This is true. But the 16 to 1 days are long gone as they were untenable even in the 1800's. That's why we have so many silver dollars from that era as the gov't tried to coin all the silver being mined then in the American west. Now they seem to be doing a heckuva job minting ASEs and peddling them in the mid-$20's (about 50:1) range so that sort of suggests to me that's where silver's price is going to find its home. In the range where people are eagerly buying it. Perhaps a skosh higher, to the $30 ( that would be 40:1) level, but that seems like stretching it to me.
Of course none of that allows for inflation over the next say, 10 years. That's a whole 'nuther issue so just one WAG at a time.
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
GSR is currently trending up in a pullback that began at the start of April following completion of 5 legs down that began in Feb. GSR tends to somewhat follow interest rates, in particular a ratio of long term to short term rates (such as 5yr:2yr or 10:2). Considering the 5:1 is trying to come off an "oversold" condition, GSR can rise for some time. It's telling me that gold will outperform silver for a while. But it doesn't tell us if there will be a dip or a rise in the process. The ratio itself can be somewhat misleading short term....only the directional trend (up/down) and the strength of that trend really matters.
roadrunner
Do you think the chart I posted above has the look of a major double bottom? Perhaps we are beignning to make a series of higher highs and higher lows? Maybe the downtrend from 1991 has been broken?
Knowledge is the enemy of fear