12-31-10 Predictions on Plat, Gold, Silver, & Dow (Final Update)

renman95

Pontifications, extrapolations and long-windedness are welcomed.

P - $1,725
G - $1,550
S - $24
Dow 9,300

R95

Since we won't remember a year from now what today's numbers are:
P - $1,467.00
G - $1,096.50
S - $16.85
Dow 10,428.05

palladium-$406.00
S&P500-1,115.10

edtd4perspective

R95

Bear

It seems most folks are divided over whether

2010 will see deflation or inflation. I see a year

of hard times as well as a fairly tight range for

PMs. If there is no war in Iran during 2010, I would

expect PMs to explode in 2011 as inflation begines

its savage rise to the sky.

jmski52

for 2010 Year End:

Gold = $1,337.73

Silver = $21.91

Platinum = $1,833.75

Palladium = $479.08

Dow Jones = 11,053.73

Ok, what do I win?

Tomohawk

Here's my toss (thanks, jmski, for the fomat):

Gold = $1,800-ish

Silver = $34.00-ish

Platinum = $2800-ish

Palladium = $600-ish

Dow Jones = 14,000-ish

Interest rate: 4%

renman95

<< <i>Here's my toss (thanks, jmski, for the fomat):

Gold = $1,800-ish

Silver = $34.00-ish

Platinum = $2800-ish

Palladium = $600-ish

Dow Jones = 14,000-ish

Interest rate: 4% >>




Four percent? Is that fed funds or 30 year?

Kameo

Platinum = $1976.76

Gold = $1623.23

Silver = 31.18

Dow Jones = 14,457.39

Palladium = $814.70

Tomohawk

<< <i>

<< <i>Here's my toss (thanks, jmski, for the fomat):

Gold = $1,800-ish

Silver = $34.00-ish

Platinum = $2800-ish

Palladium = $600-ish

Dow Jones = 14,000-ish

Interest rate: 4% >>




Four percent? Is that fed funds or 30 year? >>



The fed rate...I'd guess that would make prime about 8%? Can't remember how much higher prime is to the FED rate...

1jester

I have absolutely no idea where prices will be in a year, but I think it all depends on the actions of the Cabal and how long they're able to keep down the prices of these metals. I think it would be much easier to predict further out, say 5-10 years because I do believe the Cabal will lose their iron grip on the metal markets by that time and prices will be substantially higher.

Pt - $2000
Au - $1700
Ag - $45
Pd - $850
Dow - 8000

RedHerring

My guesses for 12/31/2010:

Plat = $1,813

Gold = $1,287

Silver = $23

Dow = 11,100 (if the same components are still there from 12/31/2009). 13,100 with a little switcharooski!

Patches

Gold = $1,031

Silver = $14.97

Platinum = $1,782

Palladium = $473

Dow Jones = 11,343

Interest rate: 1.5%

percyb

Gold 1275
Silver 18
DJ 12000

cohodk

gold--1025
silver--15.50
copper--2.75
dow--11,300

gsa1fan

Gold - $1,275oz

Silver- $21oz

Dow- 9000

Platinum -$1,700

7over8

Au - 1650

Pt - 2100

Pd - 650

Ag - 26

DOW - 9800

Rates - Unchanged. Rates are going nowhere. The USD will be sacrificed instead, as seen by the prices above.

secondrepublic

Very hard to make predictions. I see two possible scenarios. # 1 is that PM prices slightly fall across the board over the course of the year due to an improved economy. But the # 2 scenario, which seems more likely to me, is that PMs spike at some point due to an event like increased inflation, run on the dollar, etc.

In the event of # 2, I predict:

$1700 gold
$30 silver
$2000 platinum
$500 palladium

Baley

I'll try
Gold $1455
Silver $21
Platinum $1890
and Dow 13750

Zubie

Oh my head hurts and my liver hates me...

I'll go with:

$1685 gold
$24 silver
$1958 platinum
$621 palladium

Norseman88

I've been so far off on my predictions that I won't make one for this year, I will say that longer term say in 3-5 years Gold will exceed $2,000 possibly $3,000 an oz.
Silver will exceed $100 an oz. possibly getting to $150 an oz.
Paltinum will exceed $3,000 an oz. possiblt reaching $5,000 an oz.
Palladium will have the widest range due to possible future applications ranging from $1,200 an oz. all the way to over $10,000 an oz
The Dow will keep rising as long as the fed and central banks keep floating this boat but at some point I can see a huge selloff then after a bottoming out process the Dow will march ahead to new all time highs and reach levels that might astound some people.

jmski52

Come on, Norseman - it's a guess, go ahead and take the plunge! And where's MoneyLA here? I didn't make a prediction in last year's thread until July - it would've been more interesting if I had made my guess in Jan.

Bobk

+ - 5% of 12/31/09 close.

MrOrganic

1/1/2011

Gold $1025
Silver $15


Platinum $1575
Palladium $475

S&P 1k
dow 9k

Oil $65

Real Estate prices still falling

Manorcourtman

Gold - 1060 Stuck in trading range most of '10, fails to break out
Silver 19.20
Dow 12050
Plat 1400

cone10

P- 1597.48
G- 1226.52
S- 19.46
Dow- 9455

renman95

<< <i>Come on, Norseman - it's a guess, go ahead and take the plunge! And where's MoneyLA here? I didn't make a prediction in last year's thread until July - it would've been more interesting if I had made my guess in Jan. >>



Comrade, your mid-year prediction was pretty good. I'd like to be that close 6 mo. out.

renman95

<< <i>Au - 1650

Pt - 2100

Pd - 650

Ag - 26

DOW - 9800

Rates - Unchanged. Rates are going nowhere. The USD will be sacrificed instead, as seen by the prices above. >>



7/8, seems we are thinking somewhat the same. My 9,000-ish Dow comes after the index reaching a 2-year high and then begins its slide back below 10,000. The metals gain will mostly be in the 4th quarter. The Stimulus will have run its course. The House and Senate reverse the decision of 2008, but to no avail...the damage has already been done.

RedTiger

Gold $1100
Silver $15.35
Dow 10,050

Predictions are entertaining, but money management and risk management tend to be where the bulk of the money is made in trading.

Justacommeman

Gold $1075
Silver $15
DOW 10,000
UDX .79
Fed Funds rate .5

In otherwords----boring

I think a run on the dollar (.72 UDX) starts in late 2010 or in 2011 and pm prices raise in conjunction. MJ

jdimmick

Gold- 1100
Silv - 17.25
Plat - 1700

Dow - 11k

trozau

12/31/2010

Pt: $2,000
Au: $1,500
Ag: $19
DOW: 10K

BBN

Gold- 1132
Plat- 1620
Silver- 18.73
Dow- 11,525
NSDQ- 2,436

Konahead

$1550 gold
$26 silver
$1650 Plat
9000 dow
bond market takes a dump.

Konahead

Beside, I need the price of gold to stay low so I can buy the last first spouse liberty coming out in the fall!

roadrunner

I think gold will exceed this level during the year so in essence I'm factoring in a decent sized pullback by Dec 31, 2010. Calling the Dow is much harder imo but I'm basing it on the current trend in the Dow/gold ratio which could be headed towards the 3-6 range sometime this year with a rebound in the 2nd half. If gold ends even higher it will allow the Dow/gold ratio to be higher. Sinclair has predicted $1650 gold by 1/14/11. If that comes I think it will be in 2010. Market cyclist Clif Droke already likes the Dow for 2010 based on QE. It's usually a bad idea to go against him. He had predicted 2009 to be bullish for stocks right up until the end of the year.

Gold $1425
Silver $32 (GSR approx 45)
Plat $1900
Pall $575
Dow 8500

Historical Dow to Gold ratio

roadrunner

Justacommeman

Well fellow pm gurus it seems that gold and silver are a strong buy by our predictions.

The concensus lows are only 10% on the downside with a consensus 25-30% on the upside.

A decent 2.5-1 risk reward. Question, are you buying?

MJ

1jester

Yes, I'm a strong buyer of silver at these prices and will be till at least $50/oz. I might pick up more palladium as well. I have no platinum exposure and don't feel it's necessary, and haven't added to my gold holdings since about $900/oz and probably won't, deferring instead to silver.

rgCoinGuy

Gold = $699

Silver = $14.59

Platinum = $1452

Palladium = $115

Dow Jones = $8452

Interest Rate 7.75%

Just a WAG from me, I think this year is going to be interesting in many ways. I would not be surprised by a successful terror attack. I would not be surprised by the Fed Mopping up as much money as they can from the system to combat inflation starting pretty quickly this year. I will not be surprised at a route in November 2010. I would not be surprised if a lot of the "green shoots" turn brown and die.

I would also not be surprised if everything I wrote above proves to be wrong.

cohodk

<< <i>Well fellow pm gurus it seems that gold and silver are a strong buy by our predictions.

The concensus lows are only 10% on the downside with a consensus 25-30% on the upside.

A decent 2.5-1 risk reward. Question, are you buying?

MJ >>



Yup, I may be too optimistic in my call. But will give it the benefit of the doubt considering most all involved in the predictions have a vested interest and probably do not represent the general public.

DoubleEagle59

12-31-10 PREDICTION.....

Gold $1425.00

Silver $23.10

Platinum $2224.00

Palladium $582.00

Dow 12,900

CrimsonTider

I know of nothing in metals, however my market acumen is fairly keen. I believe that we are on tract for a double dip recession. I predict the dow to be.........


.......



......



Keep waiting.......


.........


7324! It will be a wonderful time to buy for those with cajones.

With that tid bit of knowledge, I will see my way back to baseball card forum and canoodle by banter with those AV high school club members.

Tomohawk

Justacommeman,

Yep, I'm a buying silver...in fact, bought my first 90% silver and traded for my first 10 oz'ers this year (and I JUST completed buying my first Morgan Dollars!). I hope to have 1,000+ oz's or equivalents within 2 years, but it may be too late. If I'm fortunate enough to get any bonuses, at least half will go to silver purchases.

Gold for me is too lofty (which obviously means plat is even further out), but I do follow it's path closely...and I have to admit: I feel quite empowered lately.

renman95

A mighty fine day for the bullish crowd, both plat and gold up 20 bucks!

coinnut86

Wow, I'm surprised so many of you feel silver will be around the $15 level

Justacommeman

<<..and I have to admit: I feel quite empowered lately. >>

Good for you Tomohawk! I felt exactly the same way after I bought my first silver and gold. I also slept great that night............All the best and keep stacking. It adds up : )

MJ

renman95

First quarter update:

P - $1,643 +176/12%
G - $1,113 +17/1.5%
S - $17.48 +.63/3.7%
Dow 10,857 +429/4.1%

Palladium-$478 +70/17.7%
S&P500 1,169 +54/4.8%

Platinum and Palladium are this quarters' winners.

R95

MrOrganic

<< <i>First quarter update:

P - $1,643 +176/12%
G - $1,113 +17/1.5%
S - $17.48 +.63/3.7%
Dow 10,857 +429/4.1%

Palladium-$478 +70/17.7%
S&P500 1,169 +54/4.8%

Platinum and Palladium are this quarters' winners.

R95 >>



My 2 biggest holdings!

OPA

And "holding up the rear" Gold & Silver ...

KUCH

<< <i>And "holding up the rear" Gold & Silver ... >>



Could it be market manipulation?

jmski52

Rats! My guesses were too low for the year, methinks.

renman95

P-1523
G-1217
S-18.23
Dow-10,303
S&P500-1079

OPA

<< <i>P-1523
G-1217
S-18.23
Dow-10,303
S&P500-1079 >>



Well, you give us the 1st quarter stats...where are the 2d quarter stats ending 7/31?
You left out Palladium ... 476.00

renman95

<< <i>

<< <i>P-1523
G-1217
S-18.23
Dow-10,303
S&P500-1079 >>



Well, you give us the 1st quarter stats...where are the 2d quarter stats ending 7/31?
You left out Palladium ... 476.00 >>



My "bad" OPA. I forgot I still had this thread out there....

Pal-476

Next quarter ends Sep 30.