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Platinum Eagle Conspiracy Thread...With 12/7 Sales Figures
RichR
Posts: 3,986 ✭✭✭✭✭
Ok...let me just say that I've never seen anything like what happened last night on the Mint site EVER happen before...multiple extremely pricy PM items suddenly being scooped up en masse like that?!? That was probably many millions of dollars in sales in just a few hours!
Now...there can be several explanations...and these are my leading candidates:
1. Somebody, somewhere, within the Mint leaked info regarding 2008 plat eagle mintages...which are going to come in below everyone's expectations (except many naturally suspicious people on this board, of course)...that set off a buying frenzy to scoop up all the remaining coins, regardless of denomination. IMHO: Very likely.
2. One of the big shopping networks has decided to push platinum for the holidays, which is now cheap on a relative basis to gold...and needed to secure major quantities of coins in a hurry. IMHO Moderately likely.
3. The likely govt. bailout of the auto industry is expected to revive demand for platinum, which was now deemed too cheap, and is expected by major metals dealers to go higher in the not too distant future. IMHO Moderately/Less likely.
4. The Treasury itself has decided to suspend PM sales in the U.S. (not yet officially announced) and word leaked out...causing a buying frenzy similar to No. 1 above. IMHO At least possible/plausible.
And finally...is there much (any) chance that LESS Proofs were produced than UNCs in 2008?!? Or, alternately, assuming record low mintages across all Proof and UNC options, might the "New Kings" possibly be split among the various denominations and grades depending on final mintages?!?
Please discuss.
Now...there can be several explanations...and these are my leading candidates:
1. Somebody, somewhere, within the Mint leaked info regarding 2008 plat eagle mintages...which are going to come in below everyone's expectations (except many naturally suspicious people on this board, of course)...that set off a buying frenzy to scoop up all the remaining coins, regardless of denomination. IMHO: Very likely.
2. One of the big shopping networks has decided to push platinum for the holidays, which is now cheap on a relative basis to gold...and needed to secure major quantities of coins in a hurry. IMHO Moderately likely.
3. The likely govt. bailout of the auto industry is expected to revive demand for platinum, which was now deemed too cheap, and is expected by major metals dealers to go higher in the not too distant future. IMHO Moderately/Less likely.
4. The Treasury itself has decided to suspend PM sales in the U.S. (not yet officially announced) and word leaked out...causing a buying frenzy similar to No. 1 above. IMHO At least possible/plausible.
And finally...is there much (any) chance that LESS Proofs were produced than UNCs in 2008?!? Or, alternately, assuming record low mintages across all Proof and UNC options, might the "New Kings" possibly be split among the various denominations and grades depending on final mintages?!?
Please discuss.
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Comments
How about #5. Bear goes into hibernation.
<< <i>And finally...is there much (any) chance that LESS Proofs were produced than UNCs in 2008?!? >>
That could be the case ... I believe that the proofs were produced early in the year & production halted and never restarted when the price of Platinum shot up to $2k or more. The Mint is taking a loss on that production run.
I also believe there's little connection between the unc-w plats and the proof plats. While many of us collect both, a 4,000 mintage proof is just as impressive to me as a 2,000 mintage unc-w. Now, if the proofs DID come in under the unc-ws in mintage, that would just be astounding, but I'm looking at the two independently.
I doubt the auto bailout was the cause. It's the lack of demand killing these companies and a bailout won't improve auto sales--or the number of catalytic converters.
I've never seen anything like it. I thought the run of the Buffs was impressive.
Ren
5) These 3 little words: "30 day return"
<< <i>We will be selling these coins to each other. >>
Wanna just drop ship them to me now???
This would more likely have caused a run on the remaining "W" gold eagles instead of the platinum ones.
WEEKLY SALES REPORT FOR 12/7/2008
1OZ
.5
.25
.1
4 SET
PROOF PLATS
2432
1056
1293
2810
2296
PROOF BUFFS
11640
4637
5985
11337
7931
UNC BUFF
3138
3580
4108
12626
6561
UNC W PLATS
1951
1257
1778
2485
2158
UNC W ASE
424654
One thing to keep in mind when assessing these Proof and Unc plat numbers is that the proof numbers don't include the Monday night selling orgy...and the Uncs may not represent all of the recently canceled orders. But regardless...any potential new keys jumping off the screen here?
K
<<Hmmm...how did you all know that the selling went on? Just curious...>>
It was like a snow motion train wreck yesterday...as all remaining plat proofs literally got soaked up in something like an 8-hour time frame.