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MS-67 Low Leaf State Quarter Sells for $4,750 - Is it a Tulip?

PushkinPushkin Posts: 2,029 ✭✭✭
Are the 2004-D Wisconsin Extra Upper and Lower Leaf State Quarters the next 1955 DDO or just an example of another tulip craze where the bubble is ready to burst?

Wisconsin Low Leaf NGC MS-67 $4,750!

Last week the same variety coin was going for about $3500 and the week before for $1,750, all on eBay.
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Comments

  • gripgrip Posts: 9,962 ✭✭✭✭✭
    image
  • GemineyeGemineye Posts: 5,374
    image.................No Comment.......................
    ......Larry........image
  • EagleEyeEagleEye Posts: 7,677 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Wow! I was selling 3-piece sets on ebay (on consignment from a buyer who bought 10 at $1500) for over $5000 just last week! If the singles are $4000, then what's next? $10,000 for NGC MS67 sets!

    BTW, Dave Bowers confirmed the Red Book listing to me at Baltimore. I hope they used my picutres.
    Rick Snow, Eagle Eye Rare Coins, Inc.Check out my new web site:
  • GeminiGemini Posts: 3,085
    I love this hobby it makes me smile.image
    A thing of beauty is a joy for ever
  • EagleEyeEagleEye Posts: 7,677 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think some people are using the PCGS prices guide which is based on a pop 1 coin for the NGC graded coins, which are much more loosely graded.
    Rick Snow, Eagle Eye Rare Coins, Inc.Check out my new web site:
  • GemineyeGemineye Posts: 5,374


    << <i>I love this hobby it makes me smile.image >>



    I love this.. Board....it makes me Laugh....!!!!!!!!!!!!!............................image
    ......Larry........image
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I got 2 lowleaf PCGS 64's from EE that I'm sittin on waitin for the price to top $500. image
    theknowitalltroll;
  • GeminiGemini Posts: 3,085
    Imagination is silly it makes you go willy nilly...image
    A thing of beauty is a joy for ever
  • wondercoinwondercoin Posts: 16,980 ✭✭✭✭✭
    "I think some people are using the PCGS prices guide which is based on a pop 1 coin for the NGC graded coins, which are much more loosely graded."

    Assuming that to be the case, you really have a coin worth around $2,000 TOPS IMHO (assuming it is PCGS-MS66 quality). And, as Rick commented, roughly $5,000 3 pc. NGC sets with the 2 errors in there (tops I believe).

    So, IMHO, you have a $2,000 (even say $2,500 tops based upon Rick's asking price) coin which just sold for $4,750. Based upon that, the price is rediculous IMHO. So, why are collectors paying this much for this particular error? Frankly, I have no idea - for the same money they could have bought a 1943 DDO Wash Quarter in BU where a handful or so are known to exist.

    Wondercoin

    image
    Please visit my website at www.wondercoins.com and my ebay auctions under my user name www.wondercoin.com.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This is the question.

    My opinion is that there will be no more of these found and that these will
    be widely collected by millions of people. This should translate to long term
    value. If the mint could prove they were inadvertant or if more turn up then
    they might not be so widely collected or of interest.




    << <i>How can this bubble burst?

    According to everyone here, the Modern market-which is teletrade, ebay, and their imaginations will never burst! >>




    We are merely waiting for a cogent and logical argument about why moderns
    won't be collected or supply and demand are much different or of a different
    nature than is apparent. Without these arguments there will be a lot of peo-
    ple who will continue collecting this crap. Indeed, even if you find some logic
    and facts there will still be people collecting these coins.
    Tempus fugit.
  • PushkinPushkin Posts: 2,029 ✭✭✭

    I can't tell the difference between a MS65, 66 or 67 for these things, regardless of PCGS, NGC or ANACS plastic. Would appear the prices are based only on the number and the plastic? I've looked at about 12 - 14 of them and see almost no difference in the coins themselves.

    Wonder what the crackout guys think?
  • GemineyeGemineye Posts: 5,374


    << <i>This is the question.

    My opinion is that there will be no more of these found and that these will
    be widely collected by millions of people. This should translate to long term
    value. If the mint could prove they were inadvertant or if more turn up then
    they might not be so widely collected or of interest. >>



    Cladking I somewhat disagree?!?! There might not be more of these around say by the millions ...only by the thousands.The reality is they left the mint ..That's all that matters and they are in the publics hands....................image
    ......Larry........image
  • All I know is that they're image and they are cool to look at and they help make coin collecting fun! Some people don't sound like collecting coins is fun for them any more and that's too bad image .
    What Mr. Spock would say about numismatics...
    image... "Fascinating, but not logical"

    "Live long and prosper"

    My "How I Started" columns
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>This is the question.

    My opinion is that there will be no more of these found and that these will
    be widely collected by millions of people. This should translate to long term
    value. If the mint could prove they were inadvertant or if more turn up then
    they might not be so widely collected or of interest. >>



    Cladking I somewhat disagree?!?! There might not be more of these around say by the millions ...only by the thousands.The reality is they left the mint ..That's all that matters and they are in the publics hands....................image >>



    I didn't mean to imply that every specimen released by the mint has been graded or
    accounted for. I merely meant that it is only just now becoming apparent that there
    will be no more release points. It's not out of the realm of possibility that some of these
    were intercepted before they got o circulation but it is extremely improbable. It's diffi-
    cult to picture anyone going through balistic bags while still in FED custody.

    There probably are a thousand or so of each in circulation but this number could be some-
    what lower or higher. There are probably around another thousand of each in the hands
    of Tucson area people who found them in change.

    It has become pretty unlikely that quantities of these will show up.
    Tempus fugit.
  • INXSINXS Posts: 1,202
    These were not Newbies doing the bidding either. Its hard to believe that someone would pay that kind of money for that coin.
    "Well here's another nice mess you have gotten me into" Oliver Hardy 1930
    image

    BST successful dealings with:MsMorrisine, goldman86
  • GemineyeGemineye Posts: 5,374
    Can you imagine Fed agents looking thru bags of Wisconsin quarters looking for high and low leaf...............image
    ......Larry........image
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    a tulip for sure.

    anyone who will argue otherwise is quite delusional.

    argh. this is an error. edited. misread it!
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>a tulip for sure.

    anyone who will argue otherwise is quite delusional.

    10 gazillion minted.. seriously. think about it for a second. >>










    Cheap shot deleted in edit. image
    Tempus fugit.
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    argh misread the title! edited.
  • DHeathDHeath Posts: 8,472 ✭✭✭
    Pushkin, it seems too high by a large margin to me. My credentials regarding this coin are worthless, as even though I collect modern varieties and errors, my valuations are not grade based beyond whether the coin is a nice example of the species. The only way I know to value coins like these that have no history is to value them relative to other more established varieties, rather than to attempt to value them based on graded populations. In the area of moderns that are my focus, I have a strong handle on the degree of difficulty of the coins I like, and they've enjoyed 40 years in the market. The extra leaf coins are still a little green for me to believe I won't be able to buy one in a few years for a consistently market supported price. I think the buyers are already paying all that coin will be worth in my lifetime, and there are more interesting places to park my money while I wait. JMO
    Developing theory is what we are meant to do as academic researchers
    and it sets us apart from practitioners and consultants. Gregor
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭
    <<"Its hard to believe that someone would pay that kind of money for that coin.">>

    And why is that? Its not like there are millions of them out there. Why do people pay hundreds of $$ more for Morgan VAM's which are at first glance no different than the millions of other Morgans of the same date/MM and made the same way except for a die crack or a die chip or a tiny dot of metal? I don't see the Morgan VAMMER's getting the third degree every time they post about some minute tiny teeny little difference. There is no mystique or mystery around ANY Morgan VAM like there is on these leaf error quarters.
    theknowitalltroll;
  • aficionadoaficionado Posts: 2,309 ✭✭✭
    At this rate, maybe we'll have the opposite happening. Cracking out of PCGS holders to get a MS66 or 67 with NTC.
  • FullStrikeFullStrike Posts: 4,353 ✭✭✭


    << <i>How can this bubble burst? >>




    High Leaf / Low Leaf ?
    Now that's what Coin Collecting is All about!
    Hail yeah!
    image




    image since I don't want any variety of corn leaf Quarter or a Goodacre or a speared Bison - guess I jes ain't much o ah Corn Colletor is I ?image
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If the pcgs ms64 low leaf coins get to $500 each I will sell both of mine and I don't care if the buyer is a multimillionaire or spending his kid's braces money. Its not my place to tell others how to spend their money.
    theknowitalltroll;
  • I hate to say it, but I like the 3-coin set, at $1,000 USD (old price) isn't that much... think about it a $3,000 USD laptop replaced yearly vs. a 1-1.5 k (USD) coin which a collector will have for some time.

    And since I'm a collector, I could care less what the coin will bring me... I do get a tremendous amount of joy looking at them.

    I really don't think most of the ultra-modern collectors will ever get deep into classics, even $200 for a PR69 DCAM cent (ultramodern issue) is (way) less than one night out with the gf.


    On some level... we have been spoiled rotten by the high quality of the mint...
    I listen to your voice like it was music, [ y o u ' r e ] the song I want to know.

    image

    I'd give you the world, just because...

    Speak to me of loved ones, favorite places and things, loves lost and gained, tears shed for joy and sorrow, of when I see the sparkle in your eye ...
    and the blackness when the dream dies, of lovers, fools, adventurers and kings while I sip my wine and contemplate the Chi.
  • BochimanBochiman Posts: 25,439 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I love tulips...they smell purty!
    And, I like the extra leaves as well image

    I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment

  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    I got property in the South Seas for sale.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • Ho-Hum---more modern scat!!! Just got back from Tucson where they were found--checked my change but no luck---more power to those that want them. An extra leaf on a coin commemorating cheese--which is good on rye bread--no sour grapes here!
    Curmudgeon in waiting!
  • KaelasdadKaelasdad Posts: 1,232 ✭✭✭
    I am reminded of the words "irrational exuberance".....I seem to remember losing a boatload of money riding that last wave a bit too long.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    Ah the coin forum, never let it be said that facts and logic get in the way of a point of view. Comparing this with vams is ludicrous. They might with perhaps an exception or too add 25% to the value of the coin. No one I know pays $4000 plus for a vam and to say so is borderline unexcusable. Morgans and vams have also stood the test of time and a collecting base and a rising collecting base has grown up around them.

    I could care less if some one wants to buy an extra leaf and pay that kind of money for it, quite frankly its their business, but to not also realize that a large share of the coin collecting community is shaking their heads about is being less than genuous. No one really knows where demand and therefore prices will go for this kind of stuff so to be skeptical about that kind of price should be expected.

    Edited to add: BTW I purchased a 78 CC just a half hour ago graded MS 63 for less than three of them are being offered for sale by Heritage and I believe it to be a VAM. I will know when I get it in hand.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Ah the coin forum, never let it be said that facts and logic get in the way of a point of view. Comparing this with vams is ludicrous. They might with perhaps an exception or too add 25% to the value of the coin. No one I know pays $4000 plus for a vam and to say so is borderline unexcusable. Morgans and vams have also stood the test of time and a collecting base and a rising collecting base has grown up around them.

    I could care less if some one wants to buy an extra leaf and pay that kind of money for it, quite frankly its their business, but to not also realize that a large share of the coin collecting community is shaking their heads about is being less than genuous. No one really knows where demand and therefore prices will go for this kind of stuff so to be skeptical about that kind of price should be expected.

    Edited to add: BTW I purchased a 78 CC just a half hour ago graded MS 63 for less than three of them are being offered for sale by Heritage and I believe it to be a VAM. I will know when I get it in hand. >>



    There are not millions of people collecting VAMS. Many people who collect moderns
    collect these as part of the set. Also check the Morgan dollar listing. The 1879-S
    reverse of 1878 has about a $22,000 premium to the regular coin in high grade.

    I don't know any better than anyone else what this coin is "really" worth, but do
    know that supply and demand determine the price and writing off a great coin with
    a great story just because it isn't old makes very little sense.
    Tempus fugit.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭
    As time goes by the not being old problem WILL take care of itself.
    Tempus fugit.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    cladking I am not arguing against moderns, I collect them too and I also pointed out with exceptions so what is your point about my post I missed it? State quarters are what 7 years old? Nothing wrong with collecting them at last count I approximately 1600 of them, probably more. Did you pony up the $4700 for that quarter and if not why?
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Comparing this with vams is ludicrous. They might with perhaps an exception or too add 25% to the value of the coin. No one I know pays $4000 plus for a vam and to say >>



    I said hundreds of dollars not $1,000's of differences between VAM prices tho I spose there are some that are worth a lot more than a few hundred for one VAM over another.
    theknowitalltroll;
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>cladking I am not arguing against moderns, I collect them too and I also pointed out with exceptions so what is your point about my post I missed it? State quarters are what 7 years old? Nothing wrong with collecting them at last count I approximately 1600 of them, probably more. Did you pony up the $4700 for that quarter and if not why? >>



    I would pay market price for this coin if it were more affordable. I am not in the market for this coin at the current time and price but not because I expect it to go down.

    Tempus fugit.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Probably a lot of how people see this coin is determined by what they think it is. Some believe
    they are simple errors as the mint has said but most believe these were done intentionally and
    unofficially.

    If you believe it was done by mint employees on a lark then it is of far more interest then if you
    think it's an accidental error. It looks as though we already have as definitive an answer as we'll
    ever get so again it's "to each his own". Certainly if everyone felt these were accidental then the
    comparison to VAM's would be very appropriate.
    Tempus fugit.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    You and I have discusse this privately, I am not convinced "modern collectors" are the ones paying these prices or the millions more who collect moderns rather than morgans. My bet its either in the hand of an error collector or speculator which makes any comparison to VAM collectors more tenuous. I still fail to see a connection whether the error was obvious which any logical thinking person would deduce or not to a VAM, they cover the gamut of all sorts of striking issues from clashed, to chips to doubling, on and on and on. There are millions of them and few if any bring much of a premium and are not sought for speculation or necesesarily by error collectors.

    Its just hard to imagine to most of us getting $4700 of collecting pleasure out of owning one. Whereas finding a vam just adds to the coolness factor. Its a history of that die etc.

    I guess you could call it a die marker. image
  • PushkinPushkin Posts: 2,029 ✭✭✭

    I don't collect moderns except for a few low priced proofs that I think are attractive. I think the Wisconsin quarters are one of only three or four States quarters that aren't ugly. I also collect a few varieties and I like the up and down leafs and bought a few for fun when they first became available. That said I don't understand prices like $4,750 for a NGC MS-67. I've seen no difference in real grade between most of the MS-65 to MS-67 coins that I've owned in either NGC, PCGS or ANACS plastic - just my opinion - but it looks like the number on the plastic is the primary reason for the prices of the 67's?

    People should collect what they want and enjoy. I hope these leafs don't become coins for people who can't afford very high risk investments since autumn usually follows summer. My gut feeling is the MS67s are tulip bulbs, but that is just a gut feeling.
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My comparison of Wis leaf errors to VAM's was mainly to illustrate that people will pay sometimes large differences in price for what are trivial differences in die states between two like coins whether those differences are intentional or not. When people post here about VAM's the get a pat on the back for a discovery, but when mention is made of paying big money for an error coin like a leaf quarter they get taken to task. Why is this?
    theknowitalltroll;
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word image
  • PushkinPushkin Posts: 2,029 ✭✭✭


    << <i>When people post here about VAM's the get a pat on the back for a discovery, but when mention is made of paying big money for an error coin like a leaf quarter they get taken to task. Why is this? >>



    I used to be a serious collector of Indian Head cent varieties. Collecting them was fun and exciting but when I wanted to get out it was exceedingly difficult if not impossible to get out even 70% of what I put into them on average (Cherrypicker's prices for most are a sad joke if you are selling). Maybe some of the complaints are based on jealousy and sour grapes? image
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,701 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I still can't help but think much of the difference is if varieties are listed in the Redbook
    and the price guides. Those which are get widely collected. This has been a growing
    field for decades probably because mintages now are high enough to make regular
    issues of little interest in typical grades. As time goes on I would expect more and more
    of these to get listed and more interest. This will apply to all coins but especially to the
    20th century issues and more especially to circulating varieties. Any coins which can
    be found in quantity will be more likely affected than types which are expensive in all grades
    or seldom seen.
    Tempus fugit.


  • << <i>Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word image >>



    Uh.....there are VAMs that have sold for much more than that coin did.
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,125 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word >>



    How much do some of the really scarce/rare VAM's sell for?
    theknowitalltroll;
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word image >>



    Uh.....there are VAMs that have sold for much more than that coin did. >>



    Didn't say there weren't in fact in a previous post I mentioned there are exceptions, but not the vast majority of them.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word >>



    How much do some of the really scarce/rare VAM's sell for? >>



    Have no clue not interested in them, collecting is relative cheap fun for me.


  • << <i>

    << <i>Why because the price is what astounds folks, when is the last time you saw a VAM sell for anything like that? It's the MONEY word >>



    How much do some of the really scarce/rare VAM's sell for? >>



    Depends on the VAM...any of the really big 1878 8TFs (9, 14.5, 14.6, 14.7, 14.9, 14.11, 14.12, 14.13, 14.14...and there are others) would bring at least $5k in mint state in a PCGS holder. There was a Vam 9 not too long ago on Ebay that went for $9K plus in a PCGS 63 holder and a 14.9 that went for around $9k in I believe a 63DMPL holder.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    Try this post again, seems to be lost in cyber space, I recall a 78 in 61 a vam a 44 selling for close to 3 grand. But morgan varities have been collected and recognize long before the word VAM was used, hardly seems possible that its 50 years more or less. Out of 2000 plus varieties not many will command those kinds of price premiums. But I reckon if you can find a morgan with extra corn leafs it might. image


  • << <i>Try this post again, seems to be lost in cyber space, I recall a 78 in 61 a vam a 44 selling for close to 3 grand. But morgan varities have been collected and recognize long before the word VAM was used, hardly seems possible that its 50 years more or less. Out of 2000 plus varieties not many will command those kinds of price premiums. But I reckon if you can find a morgan with extra corn leafs it might. image >>



    You'll find it hard to purchase a mint state Vam-44 these days for anywhere near $3k. As far as not many varieties commanding premiums I guess it depends on what you consider to be "not many". There are at least 15 1878 8TF varieties that bring very substantial premiums. Also the Vam-44 just mentioned. The Vam-32, also one of the so called 7/8 varieties commands a big premium as does the Vam-45. Several of the 1880-P overdates, the 1880-P "knobbed 8" variety, the major "E" on reverse varieties, the 1888-O "Hot Lips", "Scar Face", 1887-P "Donkey Tail" and there are a number of others.
  • GemineyeGemineye Posts: 5,374
    The key word is " Market Acceptable "..........Is the community willing to keep boosting the price for this so called error-variety....???...It really has not been classified yet therein the mystery !!!! So far the community has accepted it and thus creating a market for it.... so by rights it ..IS.. deemed ..".Market Accepteble."........Wll the demand fade...???....Probably not.....because it is an interesting piece...........!!!!!!!!!..............image
    ......Larry........image

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