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a very good argument for buying gold

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    ProofCollectionProofCollection Posts: 5,492 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:

    @GoldFinger1969 said:

    @derryb said:
    not when they are financed with newly printed money.

    Doesn't matter.

    so, increasing the money supply does not create price increases? LOL
    money supply and inflation are linear, they have a direct relationship.

    It's not just supply, there are other factors such as money velocity, which I assume slows down during war.

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited May 9, 2024 1:49PM

    Money supply and inflation are linear. Go to a coin auction, give all the buyers more money and see what happens to prices.

    Apparently war increases MV. US has been at war 222 years out of the last; continuously since the 9/11 attack. Appears Washington loves war. Printing new money to be spent helps.

    @ProofCollection said:
    There's no units or title on your chart. Not sure what you're showing us.

    Money supply and inflation are linear.

    Historically maybe but that might be assuming a steady money velocity. You can have increased or decreased economic activity without touching the overall supply of money.

    MV is simply the number of times a dollar changes hands domestically in a give period of time. It tells us if consumers and businesses are spending or saving. Many things affect the decision on whether to spend or to save.

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    ProofCollectionProofCollection Posts: 5,492 ✭✭✭✭✭

    There's no units or title on your chart. Not sure what you're showing us.

    Money supply and inflation are linear.

    Historically maybe but that might be assuming a steady money velocity. You can have increased or decreased economic activity without touching the overall supply of money.

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:

    @ProofCollection said:
    There's no units or title on your chart. Not sure what you're showing us.

    Velocity of M2 Money Stock measured in ratio of value. Not really a good chart for this discussion.

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    cohodkcohodk Posts: 18,720 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:

    April Payrolls Debacle: Biggest Miss Since 2021 As Unemployment Rate Rises

    Turns out that the more they revise the data the worse it gets.

    Officer:--you were going 85 In a 55.
    Derryb--no, I was going 83 in a 55. I demand a dismissal!!

    Haha

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

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    pmbugpmbug Posts: 84 ✭✭

    US-China relations appear to be deteriorating. I expect this will add more upside pressure to gold.

    Yelling at clouds on pmbug.com

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    GoldFinger1969GoldFinger1969 Posts: 1,365 ✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:
    So, you're saying that repeal of GS did not allow banks to also become "investment" firms and trade derivatives >once GS was repealed? Do you deny that GS kept banks out of the trading business?. This conflict of interest >brought the economy to its knees in 2008.

    It had NOTHING to do with 2008. You may as well have blamed it on the Designate Hitter rule in baseball. :)

    G-S was about letting deposit institutions including commercial banks engage in investment banking activities like underwriting stocks, bonds, etc. NEITHER has anything to do with subprime mortgages or pristine mortgages or high LTV loans or low LTV loans.

    NOTHING !!!

    Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both went under and they were all about making loans to families, neither smelled underwriting securities from 10,000 miles away.

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited May 13, 2024 8:54AM

    @GoldFinger1969 said:

    @derryb said:
    So, you're saying that repeal of GS did not allow banks to also become "investment" firms and trade derivatives >once GS was repealed? Do you deny that GS kept banks out of the trading business?. This conflict of interest >brought the economy to its knees in 2008.

    It had NOTHING to do with 2008. You may as well have blamed it on the Designate Hitter rule in baseball. :)

    G-S was about letting deposit institutions including commercial banks engage in investment banking activities like underwriting stocks, bonds, etc. NEITHER has anything to do with subprime mortgages or pristine mortgages or high LTV loans or low LTV loans.

    NOTHING !!!

    Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both went under and they were all about making loans to families, neither smelled underwriting securities from 10,000 miles away.

    Gotta throw the BS flag on this one

    "A continuous buildup of toxic assets in the form of subprime mortgages purchased by Lehman Brothers ultimately led to the firm's bankruptcy in September 2008. The collapse of Lehman Brothers is often cited as both the culmination of the subprime mortgage crisis, and the catalyst for the Great Recession in the United States."

    Like you said, "G-S was about letting deposit institutions including commercial banks engage in investment banking activities like underwriting stocks, bonds, etc." Repeal of GS permitted Lehman and other financial institutions to load up on toxic mortgage derivatives. Many of us are old enough to remember when investment firms such as Schwab and Merrill Lynch were not allowed to be partnered with commercial banks. The barrier between the banks and the investment firms prevented disasters such as the subprime crisis. Repeal of GS (led by big bank lobbying) removed that barrier and enabled disaster.

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,471 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited May 13, 2024 9:49AM

    Don’t forget the bogus ploy of changing the “mark to market” accounting of toxic assets on bank balance sheets to “mark to maturity” - completely ignoring GAAAP and common sense as well. The bankers playing with toxic (losing) derivative contracts were never held financially accountable.

    AIG got bailed out and Goldman Sachs got their bonuses.

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    dcarrdcarr Posts: 8,088 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @jmski52 said:
    ... The bankers playing with toxic (losing) derivative contract were never held financially accountable.
    ...

    .

    Not in the USA, anyway.
    But in Iceland they were.

    .

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    GoldFinger1969GoldFinger1969 Posts: 1,365 ✭✭✭✭

    @jmski52 said:
    Don’t forget the bogus ploy of changing the “mark to market” accounting of toxic assets on bank balance sheets to >“mark to maturity” - completely ignoring GAAAP and common sense as well. The bankers playing with toxic (losing) >derivative contracts were never held financially accountable.
    AIG got bailed out and Goldman Sachs got their bonuses.

    GAAP is not hard-and-fast rules. They can be relaxed. Whether they should is another question, as with short-selling prohibitions.

    AIG wasn't bailed out. It got a temporary loan and paid it back. Shareholders are down 93% from 2007......that's a bailout ? Teamsters CSPF got $36,000,000,000 with no payback -- 100 cents on the dollar, inexchange for supporting the president -- THAT'S a bailout.

    Goldman slashed bonuses.

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    GoldFinger1969GoldFinger1969 Posts: 1,365 ✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:
    Like you said, "G-S was about letting deposit institutions including commercial banks engage in investment banking >activities like underwriting stocks, bonds, etc." Repeal of GS permitted Lehman and other financial institutions to >load up on toxic mortgage derivatives. Many of us are old enough to remember when investment firms such as >Schwab and Merrill Lynch were not allowed to be partnered with commercial banks. The barrier between the banks >and the investment firms prevented disasters such as the subprime crisis. Repeal of GS (led by big bank lobbying) >removed that barrier and enabled disaster.

    Again, you have mistatements of fact.

    Lehman and others were ALWAYS allowed to hold derivatives and MBS. G-S had NOTHING to do with that. Lehman was levered 35-to-1...that's why they went under. Even owning 100% AAA Treasury Bonds at 35-to-1 leverage leads to blowups. See: Carlyle Capital. :)

    Subprime lending has nothing to do with G-S and investment firms. HUD and the GSEs promoted this slop.

    Other countries never had G-S type laws....their banks are fine.

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    meluaufeetmeluaufeet Posts: 756 ✭✭✭

    I'll be selling a little GLD, SLV etc, if its green Thursday. Just to buy it back next week.

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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,471 ✭✭✭✭✭

    AIG got bailed out so that Goldman Sachs could be made whole and get their bonuses. Their bonuses weren’t cut by any significant amount. The AIG bailout was done for Goldman Sachs’ benefit.

    Bestowing “too big to fail” status on losing enterprises only encourages further mismanagement and crooked accounting practices - for the few selected insiders - ALWAYS at the expense of taxpayers.

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    UpGrayeddUpGrayedd Posts: 545 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @jmski52 said:
    AIG got bailed out so that Goldman Sachs could be made whole and get their bonuses. Their bonuses weren’t cut by any significant amount. The AIG bailout was done for Goldman Sachs’ benefit.

    Bestowing “too big to fail” status on losing enterprises only encourages further mismanagement and crooked accounting practices - for the few selected insiders - ALWAYS at the expense of taxpayers.

    Privatize the profits and socialize the losses...

    Philippians 4:4-7

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    HigashiyamaHigashiyama Posts: 2,172 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Actually in the case of AIG the bailout was profitable and the profits were socialized (i.e. they accrued to the government)

    Higashiyama
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,471 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited May 16, 2024 12:22PM

    Actually in the case of AIG the bailout was profitable and the profits were socialized (i.e. they accrued to the government)

    Why should a select few get bailed out? What makes them more "special" than any other business? Nobody lost their jobs at AIG, and if I remember correctly, even AIG got bonuses that year.

    Again, what makes them so special?

    Oh, I remember - AIG's insurance group had to be bailed out in order to make Goldman Sachs' insurance claims whole.

    So, I repeat myself - what makes them all so special?

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    HigashiyamaHigashiyama Posts: 2,172 ✭✭✭✭✭

    AIG senior management lost their jobs and a good part of the company was cut up and sold.

    Higashiyama
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,471 ✭✭✭✭✭

    AIG senior management lost their jobs and a good part of the company was cut up and sold.

    Funny, I can search any number of news articles that talk about the bonuses of OVER $1,000,000 each that some 73 employees of AIG received, only 11 of whom had “left the company.”

    $170 billion in bailout funds, $165 million in performance bonuses paid.

    …. according to CBS News…..March 17, 2009.

    Tell me you are cool with that.

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    blitzdudeblitzdude Posts: 5,542 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @jmski52 said:
    AIG senior management lost their jobs and a good part of the company was cut up and sold.

    Funny, I can search any number of news articles that talk about the bonuses of OVER $1,000,000 each that some 73 employees of AIG received, only 11 of whom had “left the company.”

    $170 billion in bailout funds, $165 million in performance bonuses paid.

    …. according to CBS News…..March 17, 2009.

    Tell me you are cool with that.

    Fake Newz. Cripes that was 15 years ago. Forward. RGDS!

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Fake news (propaganda): news you do not like or do not agree with. LOL

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    blitzdudeblitzdude Posts: 5,542 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:
    Fake news (propaganda): news you do not like or do not agree with. LOL

    Hello, 2016ish pot meet kettle. LOL Conspiracies r' us. CRZY!!

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    derrybderryb Posts: 36,329 ✭✭✭✭✭

    without doubt, as nations continue to destroy their fiat currencies, gold in some fashion is the money of the future. Central banks are gearing up for this.

    The things I don’t always agree with are always worth considering.

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    GoldFinger1969GoldFinger1969 Posts: 1,365 ✭✭✭✭

    @jmski52 said:
    AIG got bailed out so that Goldman Sachs could be made whole and get their bonuses. Their bonuses weren’t cut >by any significant amount. The AIG bailout was done for Goldman Sachs’ benefit.

    Totally false. AIG wasn't bailed out, the shares are down 94% from 2007. Is that your idea of a bailout ? :D

    100% wrong on the bonuses, too.

    Bestowing “too big to fail” status on losing enterprises only encourages further mismanagement and crooked >accounting practices - for the few selected insiders - ALWAYS at the expense of taxpayers.

    Yes...and the TBTF institutions are the GSEs, the Unions, Pension funds, and HUD. Again, you've gotten wrong information from people with a political bias. The proof lies in who got the $$$ and who didn't pay it all back.

    I suggest you check the TARP scorecard. That tells you who got what and who was "bailed out."

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    GoldFinger1969GoldFinger1969 Posts: 1,365 ✭✭✭✭

    @Higashiyama said:
    AIG senior management lost their jobs and a good part of the company was cut up and sold.

    The stock is down 94%. Let's see the unions and pensioners take a 94% cut. :o

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    Clackamas1Clackamas1 Posts: 800 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @GoldFinger1969 said:
    Banks have used derivatives going back to the 1930's.

    Options are a derivative.

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    logger7logger7 Posts: 8,193 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Clearly those who manipulated gold a lot in the past are having trouble doing so now. It appears to be untethered from control.

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