@galaxy27 said:
we've discussed this game so much that i decided to stick a little on it. but before i get to how i handicapped it, first i need to share something interesting that happened.
the spread finally popped up at my book. after i mulled everything over, i was ready to hit Villanova at +48.5. when i clicked on 'place bet,' i was notified that the line had changed. and it wasn't nudged......it dropped by 2.5 points to 46. dayum, i thought. so i had to start all over. typed my wager in a second time and tried to hit 'place bet' once again. nope. more movement. this time it bumped to 46.5. third time was a charm. serious volatility.
now for why i'm taking Nova. not only is the trend your friend (Penn St is 0-2 in covering 40+ the previous two weeks), but remember what i said earlier? remember who is coming to Happy Valley next? not only could Penn St be looking ahead to a gargantuan game against Oregon, but the absolute last thing on earth they want is to get key guys hurt in the midst of a blowout against Villanova.
my hope is that once they get up big, the starters come out. if they win by 47 or 48 i will be none too happy, because i wanted those extra 2 points.
gl with Tennessee perk! 🍻
-3962.92
Way to go. Nail the Ravens Sunday.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@galaxy27 said:
we've discussed this game so much that i decided to stick a little on it. but before i get to how i handicapped it, first i need to share something interesting that happened.
the spread finally popped up at my book. after i mulled everything over, i was ready to hit Villanova at +48.5. when i clicked on 'place bet,' i was notified that the line had changed. and it wasn't nudged......it dropped by 2.5 points to 46. dayum, i thought. so i had to start all over. typed my wager in a second time and tried to hit 'place bet' once again. nope. more movement. this time it bumped to 46.5. third time was a charm. serious volatility.
now for why i'm taking Nova. not only is the trend your friend (Penn St is 0-2 in covering 40+ the previous two weeks), but remember what i said earlier? remember who is coming to Happy Valley next? not only could Penn St be looking ahead to a gargantuan game against Oregon, but the absolute last thing on earth they want is to get key guys hurt in the midst of a blowout against Villanova.
my hope is that once they get up big, the starters come out. if they win by 47 or 48 i will be none too happy, because i wanted those extra 2 points.
@perkdog said:
I'm with you on all those games except I didn't touch AZ/Carolina
I threw out the Miami/N.E. game as my untouchable match up this week. I used all of the remaining 15 games on the schedule in various combinations of parlays of strictly moneyline favorites. It was a winning strategy last week, which was a continuation of a winning strategy from last season. The Packers have started this week off right for me.
i'd be remiss if i didn't touch on the bet i placed yesterday. it's stories like this that make this thread so great. talking about the good, the bad, the ugly, and in this case, the exceedingly fortuitous and insane.
so, early in the evening yesterday i had somewhere to be. thus i had to stop following my wager on the Penn St-Nova game. when i did, the 3rd quarter had just ended. Nova was down 31-0. i was getting 46.5. they could give up two more touchdowns in the 4th and i'd still be good.
later in the evening i pulled up the final score on my phone. when i saw 52-6, i knew i had to find out what exactly happened when i had a chance. when i became aware, it became an instant classic -- all things considered, from the time i placed the bet until the very last play of the game.
to rehash what i said yesterday, i had a hell of a time sticking that bet in because the line was moving around like a Mexican jumping bean. from 48.5 on my first attempt to 46 on my second attempt to 46.5 on my third attempt, which was successful.
late last night i pulled up the play-by-play on ESPN to see how it shook out. in the 4th, Villanova gave up a touchdown. 38-0.
then another. 45-0. then they threw a pick 6 for another Penn St TD and the lead swelled to 52-0 with a little over 6 minutes left. i needed a quasi-miracle because Villanova's offense had done next to nothing the entire game.
so Nova gets the ball back for what was going to be their final possession of the game. they embarked on a SIXTEEN play drive. with 52 seconds left they completed a pass to the Penn St ONE yard line.
first down: run for no gain.
timeout
second down: run for a loss of 2 yards
timeout
third down: incomplete pass
fourth down at the 3 yard line with 4 seconds left: false start
fourth down at the 8 yard line with 4 seconds left, final play of the game: touchdown
no time for the extra point. game over. 52-6.
now, that was only a $55 bet for me. but you just know there was a bettor out there on the precipice of a myocardial infarction at the end of that game. i can't imagine. the way that game ended + what i had to go through to stick a bet in + where my landing spot was made it one of the craziest wagers i've ever placed. the second failed attempt to put it in resulted in the extra half point i needed. but then i thought to myself, imagine getting +45.5 in that game. Villanova scores on the final play of the game, but no time remaining to kick the XP to get inside the number.
@perkdog said:
I'm with you on all those games except I didn't touch AZ/Carolina
I threw out the Miami/N.E. game as my untouchable match up this week. I used all of the remaining 15 games on the schedule in various combinations of parlays of strictly moneyline favorites. It was a winning strategy last week, which was a continuation of a winning strategy from last season. The Packers have started this week off right for me.
@galaxy27 said:
i'd be remiss if i didn't touch on the bet i placed yesterday. it's stories like this that make this thread so great. talking about the good, the bad, the ugly, and in this case, the exceedingly fortuitous and insane.
so, early in the evening yesterday i had somewhere to be. thus i had to stop following my wager on the Penn St-Nova game. when i did, the 3rd quarter had just ended. Nova was down 31-0. i was getting 46.5. they could give up two more touchdowns in the 4th and i'd still be good.
later in the evening i pulled up the final score on my phone. when i saw 52-6, i knew i had to find out what exactly happened when i had a chance. when i became aware, it became an instant classic -- all things considered, from the time i placed the bet until the very last play of the game.
to rehash what i said yesterday, i had a hell of a time sticking that bet in because the line was moving around like a Mexican jumping bean. from 48.5 on my first attempt to 46 on my second attempt to 46.5 on my third attempt, which was successful.
late last night i pulled up the play-by-play on ESPN to see how it shook out. in the 4th, Villanova gave up a touchdown. 38-0.
then another. 45-0. then they threw a pick 6 for another Penn St TD and the lead swelled to 52-0 with a little over 6 minutes left. i needed a quasi-miracle because Villanova's offense had done next to nothing the entire game.
so Nova gets the ball back for what was going to be their final possession of the game. they embarked on a SIXTEEN play drive. with 52 seconds left they completed a pass to the Penn St ONE yard line.
first down: run for no gain.
timeout
second down: run for a loss of 2 yards
timeout
third down: incomplete pass
fourth down at the 3 yard line with 4 seconds left: false start
fourth down at the 8 yard line with 4 seconds left, final play of the game: touchdown
no time for the extra point. game over. 52-6.
now, that was only a $55 bet for me. but you just know there was a bettor out there on the precipice of a myocardial infarction at the end of that game. i can't imagine. the way that game ended + what i had to go through to stick a bet in + where my landing spot was made it one of the craziest wagers i've ever placed. the second failed attempt to put it in resulted in the extra half point i needed. but then i thought to myself, imagine getting +45.5 in that game. Villanova scores on the final play of the game, but no time remaining to kick the XP to get inside the number.
the hook, baby!
Glad I didn't watch it. I was just following it on the ESPN scores site. It looked hopeless, so I went out to Best Buy, shopping to get some computer chit for a project I'm working on. I came back and saw the final score and figured Villanova scored a few cheap field goals.
Now I feel even worse than I did before. Thanks a lot Galaxy, you're a real pal.
😉😉
All kidding aside, with just a little better horse chit luck, at least I'd be 3-2 right now. But a loss is a loss, and that's that.
Hopefully the Eagles later today will give me a confidence builder.
Okay I can't wait, I need one right now. How can the Ravens possibly lose this game today?
Raven ML for an easy 10% on the money. Better than a CD. LOL
@galaxy27 said:
i'd be remiss if i didn't touch on the bet i placed yesterday. it's stories like this that make this thread so great. talking about the good, the bad, the ugly, and in this case, the exceedingly fortuitous and insane.
so, early in the evening yesterday i had somewhere to be. thus i had to stop following my wager on the Penn St-Nova game. when i did, the 3rd quarter had just ended. Nova was down 31-0. i was getting 46.5. they could give up two more touchdowns in the 4th and i'd still be good.
later in the evening i pulled up the final score on my phone. when i saw 52-6, i knew i had to find out what exactly happened when i had a chance. when i became aware, it became an instant classic -- all things considered, from the time i placed the bet until the very last play of the game.
to rehash what i said yesterday, i had a hell of a time sticking that bet in because the line was moving around like a Mexican jumping bean. from 48.5 on my first attempt to 46 on my second attempt to 46.5 on my third attempt, which was successful.
late last night i pulled up the play-by-play on ESPN to see how it shook out. in the 4th, Villanova gave up a touchdown. 38-0.
then another. 45-0. then they threw a pick 6 for another Penn St TD and the lead swelled to 52-0 with a little over 6 minutes left. i needed a quasi-miracle because Villanova's offense had done next to nothing the entire game.
so Nova gets the ball back for what was going to be their final possession of the game. they embarked on a SIXTEEN play drive. with 52 seconds left they completed a pass to the Penn St ONE yard line.
first down: run for no gain.
timeout
second down: run for a loss of 2 yards
timeout
third down: incomplete pass
fourth down at the 3 yard line with 4 seconds left: false start
fourth down at the 8 yard line with 4 seconds left, final play of the game: touchdown
no time for the extra point. game over. 52-6.
now, that was only a $55 bet for me. but you just know there was a bettor out there on the precipice of a myocardial infarction at the end of that game. i can't imagine. the way that game ended + what i had to go through to stick a bet in + where my landing spot was made it one of the craziest wagers i've ever placed. the second failed attempt to put it in resulted in the extra half point i needed. but then i thought to myself, imagine getting +45.5 in that game. Villanova scores on the final play of the game, but no time remaining to kick the XP to get inside the number.
the hook, baby!
This is the BOTY,Bet Of The Year, based on how you got the bet in, and how the team covered.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Comments
Glad to see Perkdog squeezed one out as well.
Nice score.
Way to go. Nail the Ravens Sunday.
Thanks, I was actually glad Tennessee lost the game as well
They miss an easy FG to force the game into OT to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory
I almost took the ML, glad I was able to. steal. one with the 4 points
The hook paid off for you!
Had a $25 bonus bet. Threw it on this 5 legger for today.
.
I'm with you on all those games except I didn't touch AZ/Carolina
I threw out the Miami/N.E. game as my untouchable match up this week. I used all of the remaining 15 games on the schedule in various combinations of parlays of strictly moneyline favorites. It was a winning strategy last week, which was a continuation of a winning strategy from last season. The Packers have started this week off right for me.
i'd be remiss if i didn't touch on the bet i placed yesterday. it's stories like this that make this thread so great. talking about the good, the bad, the ugly, and in this case, the exceedingly fortuitous and insane.
so, early in the evening yesterday i had somewhere to be. thus i had to stop following my wager on the Penn St-Nova game. when i did, the 3rd quarter had just ended. Nova was down 31-0. i was getting 46.5. they could give up two more touchdowns in the 4th and i'd still be good.
later in the evening i pulled up the final score on my phone. when i saw 52-6, i knew i had to find out what exactly happened when i had a chance. when i became aware, it became an instant classic -- all things considered, from the time i placed the bet until the very last play of the game.
to rehash what i said yesterday, i had a hell of a time sticking that bet in because the line was moving around like a Mexican jumping bean. from 48.5 on my first attempt to 46 on my second attempt to 46.5 on my third attempt, which was successful.
late last night i pulled up the play-by-play on ESPN to see how it shook out. in the 4th, Villanova gave up a touchdown. 38-0.
then another. 45-0. then they threw a pick 6 for another Penn St TD and the lead swelled to 52-0 with a little over 6 minutes left. i needed a quasi-miracle because Villanova's offense had done next to nothing the entire game.
so Nova gets the ball back for what was going to be their final possession of the game. they embarked on a SIXTEEN play drive. with 52 seconds left they completed a pass to the Penn St ONE yard line.
first down: run for no gain.
timeout
second down: run for a loss of 2 yards
timeout
third down: incomplete pass
fourth down at the 3 yard line with 4 seconds left: false start
fourth down at the 8 yard line with 4 seconds left, final play of the game: touchdown
no time for the extra point. game over. 52-6.
now, that was only a $55 bet for me. but you just know there was a bettor out there on the precipice of a myocardial infarction at the end of that game. i can't imagine. the way that game ended + what i had to go through to stick a bet in + where my landing spot was made it one of the craziest wagers i've ever placed. the second failed attempt to put it in resulted in the extra half point i needed. but then i thought to myself, imagine getting +45.5 in that game. Villanova scores on the final play of the game, but no time remaining to kick the XP to get inside the number.
the hook, baby!
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
increasing my exposure with another p-lay
go count, go Ravens, go perk, go Lions, go blue, go Cardinals
🤙🤙🤙🤙🤙
-3912.92
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Let's go brother!!! ,🍻
Best of luck! 🍻
Glad I didn't watch it. I was just following it on the ESPN scores site. It looked hopeless, so I went out to Best Buy, shopping to get some computer chit for a project I'm working on. I came back and saw the final score and figured Villanova scored a few cheap field goals.
Now I feel even worse than I did before. Thanks a lot Galaxy, you're a real pal.
😉😉
All kidding aside, with just a little better horse chit luck, at least I'd be 3-2 right now. But a loss is a loss, and that's that.
Hopefully the Eagles later today will give me a confidence builder.
Okay I can't wait, I need one right now. How can the Ravens possibly lose this game today?
Raven ML for an easy 10% on the money. Better than a CD. LOL
This is the BOTY,Bet Of The Year, based on how you got the bet in, and how the team covered.