@stevek said:
I just noticed the Clippers have a home game tonight as well.
Clippers with three straight wins since the fire. The last two were absolute blowouts. This by a team that was just 20-17 when it started. I think something was in play here, adrenaline rush or whatever. Will it continue is the question?
The Lakers have played two games since the fire. Interesting with them, the first game back, they scored a miserable 13 points in the 4th quarter and got blown out. Next game they blew-out the other team.
Then again perhaps it's all just a coincidence because I don't know chit about the NBA. LOL
I bet this before Swami Steve made his Jimmy the Greek Special but I won't be upset if my bet loses and you guys win!
Rams-Eagles could definitely be a hard fought game. The Rams have been playing great ever since you picked them to make the playoffs during the season when they still had a losing record. Good call 👍
@stevek said:
I like the Texans +8.5, Lions ML, Eagles ML, Ravens ML in a 4 team parlay.
If anyone here plays it for a hundred and it pays $476.32 then I would expect a nice "Thank you stevek" for the tip. 😉
you've been such a great contributor to this thread even though you don't partake in the degeneracy, so i offer you this freerolling opportunity
no downside -- if it hits i'll paypal you 100 bucks
-4331.73
I'll be rooting for ya my friend as always. But if ya hit, use all that money to reduce that dam -4331.73 number. I hate seeing the bookies win, but love it when the players win. 😊
Good luck guys, weather here is supposed to be bad tomorrow and didn’t feel like going to casino after work today so no bets for me.
My parlay was going to be Chiefs, Lions, and Ohio State.
I will say I think Josh is going to lead the Bills over the Ravens but Lamar will be hard to stop. Game could be decided by an untimely turnover so who knows. Looking forward to it.
And of course I hope KC doesn’t get upset by the Texans who played very well against the Chargers.
Enjoy the games! 🥳
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Decided against a parlay of all 4 unders. Odds much longer of that eventuality,odds of all 4 under's or all 4 overs. So a mix parlay involving the o/u. Over KC,Phil games with under in Det,Balt tilts. Going against the grain with the under Det,Balt games.
As expected was a losing throwaway bet.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@stevek said:
BTW- the closing line was Houston +9.5
With that safety, there may be a lot of broken bathroom mirrors in casinos that handle sports betting.
That's why I have never watched or will watch a game at a sports book. Prefer safety of my living room. Only concern there is if I criticize the wife's game time cooking.
Also might be a good idea to have sports books only on the first floor. Not too high of a fall if one decides to take a leap after a big bet beat.😀
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
The more i look at this Eagles game, the more I'm confident about an Eagles win, and not just on the ML.
With the Lions loss, the road to get to the Super Bowl looks very good for the Eagles. If they can win today's game, I'm guessing the line for the Commanders game will be Eagles -6.5 to -7, in that vicinity. Could go higher if the Philly whales pound on it.
@stevek said:
The more i look at this Eagles game, the more I'm confident about an Eagles win, and not just on the ML.
With the Lions loss, the road to get to the Super Bowl looks very good for the Eagles. If they can win today's game, I'm guessing the line for the Commanders game will be Eagles +6.5 to +7, in that vicinity. Could go higher if the Philly whales pound on it.
@stevek said:
The more i look at this Eagles game, the more I'm confident about an Eagles win, and not just on the ML.
With the Lions loss, the road to get to the Super Bowl looks very good for the Eagles. If they can win today's game, I'm guessing the line for the Commanders game will be Eagles +6.5 to +7, in that vicinity. Could go higher if the Philly whales pound on it.
Don't sleep on the Rams Steve
The Rams will be motivated, no doubt about it. I just don't think the Rams get there, unless the Eagles make a number of monumental mistakes.
I knew that -4.5 Eagles line wasn't low enough. Already moved a full point from my earlier post. I think it may go lower still.
Other game looks about right. I'm guessing the Chiefs may move down to perhaps -2. Could go a bit lower. The Bills did beat the Chiefs around two months ago, but that was at Buffalo.
Will hope for a KC/Eagles SB. Are my 2 SB plays left with Detroit and Baltimore failing. This way I win regardless who wins. But Eagles are better payoff. Put plays back in October.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Will hope for a KC/Eagles SB. Are my 2 SB plays left with Detroit and Baltimore failing. This way I win regardless who wins. But Eagles are better payoff. Put plays back in October.
I had Detroit vs Buffalo. x2
I would have had a nice cash out option after the Bills game had Detroit not crapped all over themselves
I dunno - you really know your chit when it comes to sports and the various players. I think instinctively thru many years of acquired knowledge, you can quickly analyze a prop, in milliseconds, and see it as a viable play with potential for a nice profit.
If I tried doing that, I'd never even hit the dartboard. LOL
Although I did call the Barkley props early in the season. Throughout the season, Barkley props have been a gold mine, including yesterday's game. But a blind squirrel could have seen those winning Barkley props, that's the acorn I found. LOL
I dunno - you really know your chit when it comes to sports and the various players. I think instinctively thru many years of acquired knowledge, you can quickly analyze a prop, in milliseconds, and see it as a viable play with potential for a nice profit.
If I tried doing that, I'd never even hit the dartboard. LOL
Although I did call the Barkley props early in the season. Throughout the season, Barkley props have been a gold mine, including yesterday's game. But a blind squirrel could have seen those winning Barkley props, that's the acorn I found. LOL
Prop bets are just another way to get your rear end frosted, I've hit a few and lost a few but I definitely admit I've done well. on the TD bets, but it really boils down to luck.
I know a buddy who had a big money parlay that got destroyed one week because Barkley didn't score a TD,
You know it's tough to make money on Sports Betting, if it was that easy we all. would be rich lol
I dunno - you really know your chit when it comes to sports and the various players. I think instinctively thru many years of acquired knowledge, you can quickly analyze a prop, in milliseconds, and see it as a viable play with potential for a nice profit.
If I tried doing that, I'd never even hit the dartboard. LOL
Although I did call the Barkley props early in the season. Throughout the season, Barkley props have been a gold mine, including yesterday's game. But a blind squirrel could have seen those winning Barkley props, that's the acorn I found. LOL
Prop bets are just another way to get your rear end frosted, I've hit a few and lost a few but I definitely admit I've done well. on the TD bets, but it really boils down to luck.
I know a buddy who had a big money parlay that got destroyed one week because Barkley didn't score a TD,
You know it's tough to make money on Sports Betting, if it was that easy we all. would be rich lol
Since around September, I've been reanalyzing it. I was completely out of the loop for well over 20 years with all the incredible computer technology now available on these various websites, particularly the live game wagering.
I'll give them credit where credit is due, the programming on these sites is phenomenal, especially the way the odds quickly change during the game. So far, I haven't found any inherent flaws in the programming that would lead to a consistent long term profit based on the math. But just out of curiosity, I'll probably keep looking. It is fascinating.
But you're right about how tough it is to make money on sports betting. Just take a look at DraftKings stock price and their profits. That $40 stock price and huge profits are built off the backs of losing bets, unfortunately. 🙁
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
I am absolutely in the mindset that Washington can beat Philly especially if Hurts is a bit hobbled but of course the potential. for Jayden Daniels to crash and burn is obviously on my mind.
I so want Buffalo to win but looking at the facts.
KC has a better D
KC has Home field advantage
KC potentially has the the refs on their side
KC will have Taylor Swift effect
KC will as also potentially have the Caitlin Clark effect, did you guys notice her cuddled up right next to Swift in the box?
KC has Andy Reid who is a far better coach than McDermott
This is a $100.Free Bet so I went a little crazy but with something that looked pretty damn good, my biggest stress is the Washington ML, the TD scorers are obviously tough to. predict but for a free roll why not dress it up nice
@perkdog said:
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
I am absolutely in the mindset that Washington can beat Philly especially if Hurts is a bit hobbled but of course the potential. for Jayden Daniels to crash and burn is obviously on my mind.
I so want Buffalo to win but looking at the facts.
KC has a better D
KC has Home field advantage
KC potentially has the the refs on their side
KC will have Taylor Swift effect
KC will as also potentially have the Caitlin Clark effect, did you guys notice her cuddled up right next to Swift in the box?
KC has Andy Reid who is a far better coach than McDermott
Are any of us insane not to. take KC???
All things being equal, I think the Eagles get it done in this game. Don't forget, Hurts has gotten them there before. With Barkley now in the mix, Hurts doesn't have to play his best game to win. But he still must stay away from costly picks, which he has been doing lately. That being said, Jake Elliott could be an obvious problem. One big thing this season, the Eagles D has been stepping it up nicely when it matters, and championship teams do that.
Sure is tough to go against the Chiefs at this point. Mahomes as we all know, also steps it up when it matters. But I've got no call on this game. I just don't see value in either side. Having the Bills +7.5 with a SA, may turn out to be the best move. And if the Bills happen to win the game, then so what, I'm sure you'll still be happy to take the win.
All that being said, if the Eagles have to lose, I hope you hit that very nice parlay. Based on the way your bet is structured, i would have thought you might go with the Commanders on a SA as well, But I'm guessing you may have punched that in to see the odds, and didn't like what you saw.
@perkdog said:
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
I am absolutely in the mindset that Washington can beat Philly especially if Hurts is a bit hobbled but of course the potential. for Jayden Daniels to crash and burn is obviously on my mind.
I so want Buffalo to win but looking at the facts.
KC has a better D
KC has Home field advantage
KC potentially has the the refs on their side
KC will have Taylor Swift effect
KC will as also potentially have the Caitlin Clark effect, did you guys notice her cuddled up right next to Swift in the box?
KC has Andy Reid who is a far better coach than McDermott
Are any of us insane not to. take KC???
All things being equal, I think the Eagles get it done in this game. Don't forget, Hurts has gotten them there before. With Barkley now in the mix, Hurts doesn't have to play his best game to win. But he still must stay away from costly picks, which he has been doing lately. That being said, Jake Elliott could be an obvious problem. One big thing this season, the Eagles D has been stepping it up nicely when it matters, and championship teams do that.
Sure is tough to go against the Chiefs at this point. Mahomes as we all know, also steps it up when it matters. But I've got no call on this game. I just don't see value in either side. Having the Bills +7.5 with a SA, may turn out to be the best move. And if the Bills happen to win the game, then so what, I'm sure you'll still be happy to take the win.
All that being said, if the Eagles have to lose, I hope you hit that very nice parlay. Based on the way your bet is structured, i would have thought you might go with the Commanders on a SA as well, But I'm guessing you may have punched that in to see the odds, and didn't like what you saw.
It's a free $100 bet that's why I put the long shot of Washington winning in there like that.
I'm going to do another one with both the Redskins and Bills each getting 7.5
I think Washington can win but obviously I'm not overly confident in it.
If you held my feet to the fire I'd say KC vs Philly in the Super Bowl
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
i don't think any of these teams are head and shoulders above the rest. this is the worst iteration of the Chiefs in the past 3 seasons. the only reason Buffalo is still alive is because of a +3 TO margin and Harbaugh underutilizing one of his best players in key spots. Philly has a great D, but they rely heavily on Saquon. they hardly throw the ball anymore and Hurts is gimpy. Commanders have exceeded all expectations and have a rook QB.
home field has in fact been an advantage in the playoffs...........80% winners
i think that continues and it's gonna be KC-Philly for all the marbles
besides, with all of the playful banter between stevek and darin all season long, doesn't it seem like destiny?
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
i don't think any of these teams are head and shoulders above the rest. this is the worst iteration of the Chiefs in the past 3 seasons. the only reason Buffalo is still alive is because of a +3 TO margin and Harbaugh underutilizing one of his best players in key spots. Philly has a great D, but they rely heavily on Saquon. they hardly throw the ball anymore and Hurts is gimpy. Commanders have exceeded all expectations and have a rook QB.
home field has in fact been an advantage in the playoffs...........80% winners
i think that continues and it's gonna be KC-Philly for all the marbles
besides, with all of the playful banter between stevek and darin all season long, doesn't it seem like destiny?
If there's a Philly-Chiefs Super Bowl, by the time it ends with all the smack, Either me or Darin may need prolonged psychiatric care to recover. Being a Philly fan, it's happened to me many times before. But the nurses are nice, and I enjoy the bedtime stories they tell, so I don't mind. 😂
I don't think Darin will be back, I think he got tired of everyone here saying what everyone else in the NFL world except Chiefs players and fans were saying.
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
i don't think any of these teams are head and shoulders above the rest. this is the worst iteration of the Chiefs in the past 3 seasons. the only reason Buffalo is still alive is because of a +3 TO margin and Harbaugh underutilizing one of his best players in key spots. Philly has a great D, but they rely heavily on Saquon. they hardly throw the ball anymore and Hurts is gimpy. Commanders have exceeded all expectations and have a rook QB.
home field has in fact been an advantage in the playoffs...........80% winners
i think that continues and it's gonna be KC-Philly for all the marbles
besides, with all of the playful banter between stevek and darin all season long, doesn't it seem like destiny?
KC/Philadelphia would suit me just fine. Have both in my SB plays. Philadelphia the better payoff.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I don't think Darin will be back, I think he got tired of everyone here saying what everyone else in the NFL world except Chiefs players and fans were saying.
Hope I'm wrong because I really like the guy
if that happens its in large part due to me. i'm sure i royally ticked him off.
darin if you're reading this you know it's not personal and you know i like you dude. and like i said previously, i have nothing against your QB and your team. i'm just at wit's end with the NFL's antics, and your QB and your team just so happen to be a component of what's stuck in my craw.
I actually like Patrick Mahomes personally. Just not for sixty minutes of playing time when he's out on the football field. If it's against the Eagles, i hope he develops a nasty case of foot fungus and jock itch before the game. 😉
I don't think Darin will be back, I think he got tired of everyone here saying what everyone else in the NFL world except Chiefs players and fans were saying.
Hope I'm wrong because I really like the guy
if that happens its in large part due to me. i'm sure i royally ticked him off.
darin if you're reading this you know it's not personal and you know i like you dude. and like i said previously, i have nothing against your QB and your team. i'm just at wit's end with the NFL's antics, and your QB and your team just so happen to be a component of what's stuck in my craw.
Comments
Clippers with three straight wins since the fire. The last two were absolute blowouts. This by a team that was just 20-17 when it started. I think something was in play here, adrenaline rush or whatever. Will it continue is the question?
The Lakers have played two games since the fire. Interesting with them, the first game back, they scored a miserable 13 points in the 4th quarter and got blown out. Next game they blew-out the other team.
Then again perhaps it's all just a coincidence because I don't know chit about the NBA. LOL
I like the Texans +8.5, Lions ML, Eagles ML, Ravens ML in a 4 team parlay.
If anyone here plays it for a hundred and it pays $476.32 then I would expect a nice "Thank you stevek" for the tip. 😉
you've been such a great contributor to this thread even though you don't partake in the degeneracy, so i offer you this freerolling opportunity
no downside -- if it hits i'll paypal you 100 bucks
-4331.73
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I bet this before Swami Steve made his Jimmy the Greek Special but I won't be upset if my bet loses and you guys win!
Rams-Eagles could definitely be a hard fought game. The Rams have been playing great ever since you picked them to make the playoffs during the season when they still had a losing record. Good call 👍
I'll be rooting for ya my friend as always. But if ya hit, use all that money to reduce that dam -4331.73 number. I hate seeing the bookies win, but love it when the players win. 😊
Even when we lose this group of degenerate gamblers are winners in my book. Great gesture galaxy.
Good luck to all this weekend.
Couldn't ask to be around a better group of guys talking Sports!
Good luck guys, weather here is supposed to be bad tomorrow and didn’t feel like going to casino after work today so no bets for me.
My parlay was going to be Chiefs, Lions, and Ohio State.
I will say I think Josh is going to lead the Bills over the Ravens but Lamar will be hard to stop. Game could be decided by an untimely turnover so who knows. Looking forward to it.
And of course I hope KC doesn’t get upset by the Texans who played very well against the Chargers.
Enjoy the games! 🥳
As expected was a losing throwaway bet.
I'm guessing the parlay is still alive with a push, for the three remaining games and of course lower odds.
Houston kicker screwed everything up.
Lucky safety at the end though.
BTW- the closing line was Houston +9.5
With that safety, there may be a lot of broken bathroom mirrors in casinos that handle sports betting.
That's why I have never watched or will watch a game at a sports book. Prefer safety of my living room. Only concern there is if I criticize the wife's game time cooking.
Also might be a good idea to have sports books only on the first floor. Not too high of a fall if one decides to take a leap after a big bet beat.😀
All the parlays have been deep sixed. Most likely will just wait out my advanced SB bets. Best of luck to everyone going forward with your plays.
Well Jared Goff personally took care of ruining the parlay.
I can't recall a worse performance from a quarterback as a heavy favorite in a playoff game at home.
The more i look at this Eagles game, the more I'm confident about an Eagles win, and not just on the ML.
With the Lions loss, the road to get to the Super Bowl looks very good for the Eagles. If they can win today's game, I'm guessing the line for the Commanders game will be Eagles -6.5 to -7, in that vicinity. Could go higher if the Philly whales pound on it.
Don't sleep on the Rams Steve
The Rams will be motivated, no doubt about it. I just don't think the Rams get there, unless the Eagles make a number of monumental mistakes.
i mistakenly posted this in the NFL thread
i wonder if that's a 15-yarder on the Texans too
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Had to repost this where it belongs
I got all my parlay money back plus about $300 and I still got some Buffalo/Baltimore action going
Beautiful score! 👍
@perkdog
did you go ballistic when he broke into the clear?
and did the thought of him potentially parking it again (to kill clock instead of scoring) enter your mind? you REALLY would have gone ballistic lol
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Eagles/Commanders line opened up at Eagles -4.5
I thought the Eagles would be at least -6.5? We shall see what the big boys do with this line.
I actually wouldn't be typing this response because my phone would have been smashed lol
Early lines:
Commanders +5.5
Eagles -5.5
Bills +1.5
Chiefs -1.5
I knew that -4.5 Eagles line wasn't low enough. Already moved a full point from my earlier post. I think it may go lower still.
Other game looks about right. I'm guessing the Chiefs may move down to perhaps -2. Could go a bit lower. The Bills did beat the Chiefs around two months ago, but that was at Buffalo.
Will hope for a KC/Eagles SB. Are my 2 SB plays left with Detroit and Baltimore failing. This way I win regardless who wins. But Eagles are better payoff. Put plays back in October.
I had Detroit vs Buffalo. x2
I would have had a nice cash out option after the Bills game had Detroit not crapped all over themselves
Totally forgot this little nugget
I cashed out after my Barkley Win and had $10 in the account and put a pair of first TD darts in
I'm up about $475 after all the action so solid weekend
Very nice, picking a 14-1 prop. 👍
That's what dart throws produce sometimes lol
I dunno - you really know your chit when it comes to sports and the various players. I think instinctively thru many years of acquired knowledge, you can quickly analyze a prop, in milliseconds, and see it as a viable play with potential for a nice profit.
If I tried doing that, I'd never even hit the dartboard. LOL
Although I did call the Barkley props early in the season. Throughout the season, Barkley props have been a gold mine, including yesterday's game. But a blind squirrel could have seen those winning Barkley props, that's the acorn I found. LOL
Prop bets are just another way to get your rear end frosted, I've hit a few and lost a few but I definitely admit I've done well. on the TD bets, but it really boils down to luck.
I know a buddy who had a big money parlay that got destroyed one week because Barkley didn't score a TD,
You know it's tough to make money on Sports Betting, if it was that easy we all. would be rich lol
Since around September, I've been reanalyzing it. I was completely out of the loop for well over 20 years with all the incredible computer technology now available on these various websites, particularly the live game wagering.
I'll give them credit where credit is due, the programming on these sites is phenomenal, especially the way the odds quickly change during the game. So far, I haven't found any inherent flaws in the programming that would lead to a consistent long term profit based on the math. But just out of curiosity, I'll probably keep looking. It is fascinating.
But you're right about how tough it is to make money on sports betting. Just take a look at DraftKings stock price and their profits. That $40 stock price and huge profits are built off the backs of losing bets, unfortunately. 🙁
So what are the early thoughts on this weekends games?
I am absolutely in the mindset that Washington can beat Philly especially if Hurts is a bit hobbled but of course the potential. for Jayden Daniels to crash and burn is obviously on my mind.
I so want Buffalo to win but looking at the facts.
KC has a better D
KC has Home field advantage
KC potentially has the the refs on their side
KC will have Taylor Swift effect
KC will as also potentially have the Caitlin Clark effect, did you guys notice her cuddled up right next to Swift in the box?
KC has Andy Reid who is a far better coach than McDermott
Are any of us insane not to. take KC???
This is a $100.Free Bet so I went a little crazy but with something that looked pretty damn good, my biggest stress is the Washington ML, the TD scorers are obviously tough to. predict but for a free roll why not dress it up nice
@perkdog
i REALLY hope you drill that
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Eagles got another dose of money. Line now at -6
Chiefs got some money as well. Now at -2
All things being equal, I think the Eagles get it done in this game. Don't forget, Hurts has gotten them there before. With Barkley now in the mix, Hurts doesn't have to play his best game to win. But he still must stay away from costly picks, which he has been doing lately. That being said, Jake Elliott could be an obvious problem. One big thing this season, the Eagles D has been stepping it up nicely when it matters, and championship teams do that.
Sure is tough to go against the Chiefs at this point. Mahomes as we all know, also steps it up when it matters. But I've got no call on this game. I just don't see value in either side. Having the Bills +7.5 with a SA, may turn out to be the best move. And if the Bills happen to win the game, then so what, I'm sure you'll still be happy to take the win.
All that being said, if the Eagles have to lose, I hope you hit that very nice parlay. Based on the way your bet is structured, i would have thought you might go with the Commanders on a SA as well, But I'm guessing you may have punched that in to see the odds, and didn't like what you saw.
It's a free $100 bet that's why I put the long shot of Washington winning in there like that.
I'm going to do another one with both the Redskins and Bills each getting 7.5
I think Washington can win but obviously I'm not overly confident in it.
If you held my feet to the fire I'd say KC vs Philly in the Super Bowl
i don't think any of these teams are head and shoulders above the rest. this is the worst iteration of the Chiefs in the past 3 seasons. the only reason Buffalo is still alive is because of a +3 TO margin and Harbaugh underutilizing one of his best players in key spots. Philly has a great D, but they rely heavily on Saquon. they hardly throw the ball anymore and Hurts is gimpy. Commanders have exceeded all expectations and have a rook QB.
home field has in fact been an advantage in the playoffs...........80% winners
i think that continues and it's gonna be KC-Philly for all the marbles
besides, with all of the playful banter between stevek and darin all season long, doesn't it seem like destiny?
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
If there's a Philly-Chiefs Super Bowl, by the time it ends with all the smack, Either me or Darin may need prolonged psychiatric care to recover. Being a Philly fan, it's happened to me many times before. But the nurses are nice, and I enjoy the bedtime stories they tell, so I don't mind. 😂
I don't think Darin will be back, I think he got tired of everyone here saying what everyone else in the NFL world except Chiefs players and fans were saying.
Hope I'm wrong because I really like the guy
KC/Philadelphia would suit me just fine. Have both in my SB plays. Philadelphia the better payoff.
if that happens its in large part due to me. i'm sure i royally ticked him off.
darin if you're reading this you know it's not personal and you know i like you dude. and like i said previously, i have nothing against your QB and your team. i'm just at wit's end with the NFL's antics, and your QB and your team just so happen to be a component of what's stuck in my craw.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I actually like Patrick Mahomes personally. Just not for sixty minutes of playing time when he's out on the football field. If it's against the Eagles, i hope he develops a nasty case of foot fungus and jock itch before the game. 😉
I'm right there with you 100%
seeing as i don't win my wagers.......stevek.......darin........i'm sorry, but your team isn't going to the SB
and quite possibly both of your teams 😅
-4774.73
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
BTW - the "Like" that Galaxy just received from me is only for the first part of the parlay. 😉
Love the Celtics later today for a ML win.
May cover the spread as well, not 100% sure on that one.