The 2021 Cent Huge K3-to-K7 Pre-Cud Die Crack
This is really quite incredible. It's amazing to see such a large die crack and progression in 2021.
Anyone into these?
I found some information on these here:
- Numismatic News - Lincoln Cent Errors Discovered in Virginia by Ken Potter
- Coin Community Family - 2021 Lincoln Shield Cent Die Event - Crack And Pre Cud Progression - Post Yours
Here are some photos from Robert Risi.
Stages 1 and 2:
Stages 3 and 4:
Regarding worth:
Ken Potter said:
So, what they are worth? That’s anybody’s guess and will ultimately be determined based on supply and demand. What we do know so far is that early on, a few two-piece sets of Lawson’s stages sold at $30 each privately, while an example in the later stage with counting machine damage sold on eBay for $126 two weeks ago.However, even more dramatically, two more eBay sales took place within just the last few days of this writing (Dec. 22). A sale ending on Dec 19 garnered $800, while another example sold on Dec 22 garnered $595. They both came with an example of the earlier stage.
These two just closed.
Comments
i really do try not to push prices to the moon but all things being equal in 2022, if the scarcity of both of those holds up, they should bring significantly more than that.
we've not heard the last of those coins.
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They need a dual holder
Yes, but more might be needed if one gets more die states!
I found no progression in the early stage examples I pulled from my recent bank box. But the starting point is not the same either.
Actually there are quite a few out there.
Prices are high because of the size of the die break.
I have been looking to find one at wholesale but it will be awhile. I can wait.
Quite a few
Quite a few cuds? Breaks? Both?
My customer has found 37 of them. I have been selling them for him since jan. The only negative of his finds, is he has not found the final stage before failure with the big cud as of yet.
Not sure how easy it will be to find one via wholesale.
I think people find these CRH. Perhaps you can hire some YNs to do CRH for you?
Agree. The size is pretty insane. Is there anything close recently?
This is one of the most exciting things I've seen in recent years with respect to die varieties.
I think demand will keep prices up for the final stage. Quantity will be important. If it's too high, the prices will be low. If the quantity is too low, it will be too much of a niche piece. The sweet spot may be a few thousand like the 1955 DDO.
What part of the country are these being found?
Ken Potter mentions that these have been found in Virginia by G.J. Lawson and Robert Risi.
Lawson is pretty determined. I love these stories about collecting!
Ken Potter has a passion in numismatics I've always enjoyed... like Bob Ross had as a painter. Thanks for sharing. Awesome die break. The search is on.
Stage 2 shows a chunk of the die missing. I wonder if any strikethroughs exist from that piece falling out.
It's referred to as a 'retained' cud in one Ebay offering. Retained on the obverse die???
Good eye! Ken Potter says the following regarding "Retained Cud":
So, Ken's term for this includes:
Now that is really surprising on modern cents. Significant fault progression. Probably never see one this far north, but will check my cents. Cheers, RickO
That sure is an interesting score. Nice pics 📸 to
I'm no expert but I would have called the later stages a retained cud.
Examples 2,3,and 4 are retained cuds due to the weak looking strike on the date. Ken Potters description of a retained cud does not include the movement to cause the weak strike. The pics indicate the cud has moved down causing the weakening of the date and surrounding area. Therefore movement does not only have to north, south,east or west but can be down or sunken as this one is causing the weak strike. There are several standing liberty quarters that have the same kind of movement causing retained cuds.
I wonder what requirement is used for displacement. Can you post some of the SLQs? It would be great if they were certified as retained cuds
Ken indicates that there's not enough displacement for him to call it a retained cud, and presumably he has seen these in hand.
J.C. Stevens and Peter Lukic use the definition of requiring displacement, but I imagine they would need to make a judgement call as well.
Ref: https://cuds-on-coins.com/retained-cuds/
Nice.
Hoard the keys.
Personally, for stage 2 onward (until the final stage, assuming they exist, when the piece broke away entirely), I might call that a cud within a retained cud.
I know that cuds are supposed to involve the rim, but that it is such a unique error.
This is listed in the Variety Coin Register, but I'm guessing it won't be called a retained cud there from what Ken wrote. Should someone reach out to VCR or Ken to get this listed as a retained cud?
I can feel the error collector's adrenalin flowing.
I am not an error collector but will definitely keep an eye out for these.
Wayne
Kennedys are my quest...
Agree. This is one of the most exciting circulation finds I've heard of in a very long time.
Now if this can make some headline news in the mainstream media, this could really encourage a surge in collecting.
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I suspect there will be many more of these available than a typical large cud for two reasons:
First, modern presses strike something like 12 planchets per second, so assuming the die deterioration took place over several minutes, it would have struck hundreds or thousands of planchets over that time.
Second, because the Mint uses horizontal presses, large pieces of the die are less likely to fall out of the press compared to a vertically oriented die, where you have gravity helping. From the later die stages posted to this thread, it looks like the broken section did not completely separate but was pushed inward, as weakly struck portions of the date are still visible.
Sean Reynolds
"Keep in mind that most of what passes as numismatic information is no more than tested opinion at best, and marketing blather at worst. However, I try to choose my words carefully, since I know that you guys are always watching." - Joe O'Connor
Oh I will find one at wholesale for sure. I have time.
I am waiting for many certified examples to hit the market and top out.
We will see how far they fall from the top.
I'll be there
Thanks for the clarification on die positioning Sean. I was under the assumption the the dies were still aligned vertically.
Wow pretty dramatic die break for a modern!
It’s pretty dramatic for any coin!
Found this> @ShannonfromNC said:
Great find @ShannonfromNC!
This is one of the really exciting recent discoveries so I'm glad you found one! I love how that various die states are known for this!