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zPrediction : Silver's Rally To Close In On $19 In A Year - Analysts

MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited July 25, 2019 12:26PM in Precious Metals

The longer-term outlook for silver is very positive with TD Securities projecting the metal to climb to $18.75 by the end of 2020. “We are looking at $16.10 for Q3 and $16.70 for Q4, ultimately going to $18.75 by the end of 2020,” he said.

https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-07-22/Silver-s-Rally-To-Close-In-On-19-In-A-Year-Analysts.html

I suppose this Melek works at TD Securities. The author does not spell it out. Here he is as the Global Head of Commodities Strategy.

Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions

Comments

  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 10,201 ✭✭✭✭✭

    meh under selling it . If it is 18.75 at the end of 2020 it will because it shot up to 30 then plummeted back down to there.

    Just like tv weathermen they will be technically correct but 100% wrong at the same time as to what it really means

  • coinpalicecoinpalice Posts: 2,453 ✭✭✭✭✭

    it will depend on what the gold price is at the end of 2020. if gold is 1,700 silver should be at least 28 or more

  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @PerryHall ....No, you are not alone.... I do find them humorous.... I used to take notes on these predictions and keep the notepad by the computer.... then check periodically when predictive dates arrived.... they all missed....but the predictors still collected their checks for the articles... ;) I should start that list again...it was fun for a while. Cheers, RickO

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,808 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Regression analysis and confidence limits would be my method of choice, if I were to try and predict pricing.

    However, there are about as many opinions & predictions as there are ounces of silver or gold.

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,118 ✭✭✭✭✭

    There are only 2 professions that get to keep their jobs after being wrong most of the time...Weather forecasters & PM fortunetellers.... ;)

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @OPA said:
    There are only 2 professions that get to keep their jobs after being wrong most of the time...Weather forecasters & PM fortunetellers.... ;)

    And thats an insult to weathet forcasters. LOL.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • SmudgeSmudge Posts: 9,502 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    silver is up over 4% today into the 17's

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • MilesWaitsMilesWaits Posts: 5,338 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Sure. Why not.
    $19 sounds splendid.

    Now riding the swell in PM's and surf.
  • Timbuk3Timbuk3 Posts: 11,658 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Well, let see what happens !!! o:)

    Timbuk3
  • Dave99BDave99B Posts: 8,525 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I’m dumping everything at $40/oz. Could be awhile, but I’m willing to wait!

    Dave

    Always looking for original, better date VF20-VF35 Barber quarters and halves, and a quality beer.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭

    And for those who do not believe silver follows gold price movement. . .

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • SoldiSoldi Posts: 2,177 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @MilesWaits said:
    Sure. Why not.
    $19 sounds splendid.

    s: magnificent, sumptuous, grand, impressive, imposing, superb, spectacular, resplendent, opulent, luxurious, palatial, deluxe, rich, fine, costly, expensive, lavish, ornate, gorgeous, glorious, dazzling, elegant, handsome, beautiful

    If $19 is splendid ...............wow! I looking for $29/ounce. Wonder what that adjective's out to be.

  • ShadyDaveShadyDave Posts: 2,195 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Silver up again around 1.5% today sitting around $17.70

  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,271 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The powers that be have it under control. $19 may seem cheap, sooner than later.
    The margins remain thin, just the same.

  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭

    $18.35 this morning.... could be close higher since it is a long weekend. Investors usually try to protect some money over the weekend....Cheers, RickO

  • crazyhounddogcrazyhounddog Posts: 13,964 ✭✭✭✭✭

    So far I’m happy as a clam😊.

    The bitterness of "Poor Quality" is remembered long after the sweetness of low price is forgotten.
  • tincuptincup Posts: 5,111 ✭✭✭✭✭

    3 day weekends have been a popular time in the past to.... slam the price of silver back down. Typically happened early Tuesday morning.

    ----- kj
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,118 ✭✭✭✭✭

    $19 silver this AM. Earlier than anticipated. Will it hold?

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • ashelandasheland Posts: 23,177 ✭✭✭✭✭
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,118 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Hype or possibility? .... Wishful dreaming? I'm waiting for the fortune tellers to say: $5k gold & $100 silver.

    ..'Silver can easily achieve $25 by Thanksgiving'

    https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-09-03/-Silver-can-easily-achieve-25-by-Thanksgiving-analyst.html

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,808 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Silver. She is an emotional girl, but I love her. <3

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I don't think they meant this fast. I can only grant "they were right" on technical grounds.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @OPA said:
    Hype or possibility? .... Wishful dreaming? I'm waiting for the fortune tellers to say: $5k gold & $100 silver.

    ..'Silver can easily achieve $25 by Thanksgiving'

    https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-09-03/-Silver-can-easily-achieve-25-by-Thanksgiving-analyst.html

    This analyst is Melek who is the same one as in the OP

    Now I'm really calling it "technically right"

    $25 ? Last time it was up here it didn't come close to $25. More like low 20s.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I just wish smoeone would have alerted us to this move by asking smoeone to post a 6 yr chart of silver a few weeks ago. HAHA

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭

    you were alerted well before that when prices were even much lower. HA HA

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • coinpalicecoinpalice Posts: 2,453 ✭✭✭✭✭

    it might just break 20 dollars on Wednesday

  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 10,201 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I state categorically there is no way we will see $19 !!

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,808 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Now is when we get to see the game of cat & mouse between the buyers and the sellers. This should go on for awhile, now that there's been enough interest to get some attention.

    In the meantime - if we get some real economic news, it could get a bit wild.

    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 4, 2019 4:01AM

    @derryb said:
    you were alerted well before that when prices were even much lower. HA HA

    I guess you are referring to my May 23rd post. Hahahaha!!!!🥇

    https://forums.collectors.com/discussion/1020057/ahh-that-was-a-nice-nap

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Well before then. HA

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @derryb said:
    Well before then. HA

    I forgot about the monster boxes you bragged about biying in 2012.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 4, 2019 3:06PM

    @cohodk said:

    @derryb said:
    Well before then. HA

    I forgot about the monster boxes you bragged about biying in 2012.

    I've bought them every year since 2004. And since when did sharing recent purchases on the forum become bragging? Bet you say don't say that to all the girls. LOL

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Yeah, but how much do ya bench?

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 4, 2019 8:25AM

    @derryb said:

    @cohodk said:

    @derryb said:
    Well before then. HA

    I forgot about the monster boxes you bragged about biying in 2012.

    I've bought them every year since 2004.

    The average price since 2004 is anout 17.50. Congrats. You finally broke even last week..

    https://www.macrotrends.net/1470/historical-silver-prices-100-year-chart

    Thanks for the timely heads up. Lol.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 4, 2019 6:04PM

    i didn't say I bought only one a year or the same number every year. But I do appreciate you taking the time to do all that incorrect math.

    Every ounce of PM that I hold was bought with collector coin profits. After subtracting my initial investment on the collector coins that got me started (been rolling them over and investing in gold, silver, and more collector coin inventory ever since) I'm holding over 35 times my initial, out of pocket, collector coin investment in gold and silver, plus a nice collector coin inventory that I continue to roll over into more gold, silver and collector coin inventory. Ah, the rewards of compounding.

    The reason you don't see me worrying about current prices is that I buy with other peoples' money (my collector coin profits). I paid myself back the initial investment long, long ago. So, as long as PM prices are above zero, I'm in the black.

    Of course there is always the valid argument that I could have done better putting the money into other things, but that would not have been as much fun. And, part of this fun is you!

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,778 ✭✭✭✭✭

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If silver is peaking then it's time to sell

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,076 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited September 8, 2019 5:06PM

    .

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,271 ✭✭✭✭✭

    After a "Steely Dan" concert , the other night, we stopped for gas.
    And like this discussion ...I realize where we've gotten, after all this time.

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    but we had a great time!

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,118 ✭✭✭✭✭

    One must ask themselves, will silver stay above $17 before the end of year? My guess....unlikely.

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 32,994 ✭✭✭✭✭

    how about by the end of the month?

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
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