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1916 - 1933 Liberty Walking Half Dollars

DisneyFanDisneyFan Posts: 2,061 ✭✭✭✭✭

Why are MS64 Early Walkers ignored in favor of MS65s which sell for 2X to 10X more?

Comments

  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Condition rarity and also for use in registry sets.... Cheers, RickO

  • 291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,344 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Those are expensive coins. Expensive coins tend to be collected by the wealthy, many of whom are ego driven in their collecting interests. They have the money, want the best and overpay to get it.

    All glory is fleeting.
  • jmlanzafjmlanzaf Posts: 34,180 ✭✭✭✭✭

    You could ask this about any coin in almost any grade.

    Why would you pay more for an XF40 relative to a VF30?

    Why would you pay more for a 16-D Merc relative to a 16-P for that matter?

  • RogerBRogerB Posts: 8,852 ✭✭✭✭✭

    "Grading" is non-linear.

  • Walkerguy21DWalkerguy21D Posts: 11,443 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I would love to have those dates in MS 64 (I do own a few).
    Many years ago I opted to acquire these early dates in AU and lower MS, and the later dates in 64, rather then spending more on the mega grade late date coins. Seems to have been the better move.

    Successful BST transactions with 171 members. Ebeneezer, Tonedeaf, Shane6596, Piano1, Ikenefic, RG, PCGSPhoto, stman, Don'tTelltheWife, Boosibri, Ron1968, snowequities, VTchaser, jrt103, SurfinxHI, 78saen, bp777, FHC, RYK, JTHawaii, Opportunity, Kliao, bigtime36, skanderbeg, split37, thebigeng, acloco, Toninginthblood, OKCC, braddick, Coinflip, robcool, fastfreddie, tightbudget, DBSTrader2, nickelsciolist, relaxn, Eagle eye, soldi, silverman68, ElKevvo, sawyerjosh, Schmitz7, talkingwalnut2, konsole, sharkman987, sniocsu, comma, jesbroken, David1234, biosolar, Sullykerry, Moldnut, erwindoc, MichaelDixon, GotTheBug
  • clarkbar04clarkbar04 Posts: 4,936 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The 16-33 were not saved in roll quantity, and no doubt few survive with original gem surfaces. Many walkers from this era are also not struck very well, mainly from 1918-onward.

    The price jump helps create a bit of a barrier too, in many cases is my wager. The 18-s is not a tough coin but the jump from 64-65 is huge.

    MS66 taste on an MS63 budget.
  • batumibatumi Posts: 817 ✭✭✭✭

    clarkbar04: The 18-D also has a huge jump from 64 to 65. I have seen a couple MS-64's in the past year that were really nice w/a good strike. One I tried for went for about triple bid, and in retrospect, I believe the winning bidder got a good deal!

  • DisneyFanDisneyFan Posts: 2,061 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @clarkbar04 said:
    The 16-33 were not saved in roll quantity, and no doubt few survive with original gem surfaces. Many walkers from this era are also not struck very well, mainly from 1918-onward.

    The price jump helps create a bit of a barrier too, in many cases is my wager. The 18-s is not a tough coin but the jump from 64-65 is huge.

    I've been tracking the MS64 population of the 1918-S. In the past year it's gone from 437 and 30 in plus to 463/43+ to 477/59+. It looks like somebody discovered a fresh roll or two.

  • MFeldMFeld Posts: 13,483 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 17, 2019 11:45AM

    @DisneyFan said:

    @clarkbar04 said:
    The 16-33 were not saved in roll quantity, and no doubt few survive with original gem surfaces. Many walkers from this era are also not struck very well, mainly from 1918-onward.

    The price jump helps create a bit of a barrier too, in many cases is my wager. The 18-s is not a tough coin but the jump from 64-65 is huge.

    I've been tracking the MS64 population of the 1918-S. In the past year it's gone from 437 and 30 in plus to 463/43+ to 477/59+. It looks like somebody discovered a fresh roll or two.

    I believe it’s far more likely that the population increased due to resubmissions and submission of random coins, than to the discovery of “a fresh roll or two”.

    Mark Feld* of Heritage Auctions*Unless otherwise noted, my posts here represent my personal opinions.

  • Walkerguy21DWalkerguy21D Posts: 11,443 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Although anything is possible, I think it would have made the news if original roll(s) of early walkers turned up, unless the owner really wanted to keep it quiet.
    I agree with Mark, and also the desire to own PCGS-holdered coins probably drove some crossovers from NGC.

    But I certainly laud your research and observations, DisneyFan - great work!

    Successful BST transactions with 171 members. Ebeneezer, Tonedeaf, Shane6596, Piano1, Ikenefic, RG, PCGSPhoto, stman, Don'tTelltheWife, Boosibri, Ron1968, snowequities, VTchaser, jrt103, SurfinxHI, 78saen, bp777, FHC, RYK, JTHawaii, Opportunity, Kliao, bigtime36, skanderbeg, split37, thebigeng, acloco, Toninginthblood, OKCC, braddick, Coinflip, robcool, fastfreddie, tightbudget, DBSTrader2, nickelsciolist, relaxn, Eagle eye, soldi, silverman68, ElKevvo, sawyerjosh, Schmitz7, talkingwalnut2, konsole, sharkman987, sniocsu, comma, jesbroken, David1234, biosolar, Sullykerry, Moldnut, erwindoc, MichaelDixon, GotTheBug
  • DisneyFanDisneyFan Posts: 2,061 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @DisneyFan said:

    @clarkbar04 said:
    The 16-33 were not saved in roll quantity, and no doubt few survive with original gem surfaces. Many walkers from this era are also not struck very well, mainly from 1918-onward.

    The price jump helps create a bit of a barrier too, in many cases is my wager. The 18-s is not a tough coin but the jump from 64-65 is huge.

    I've been tracking the MS64 population of the 1918-S. In the past year it's gone from 437 and 30 in plus to 463/43+ to 477/59+. It looks like somebody discovered a fresh roll or two.

    Thank you MFeld & Walkerguy21D

    Normally one would expect the populations to increase over time. In the case of the MS64 1918-S there is the increased incentive of attempting to get an upgrade to a plus or full grade because of the dramatic increase in value of a MS65. Seeing a 10% increase in the MS64 population and the pluses double within a year's time is surprising. What caused me to question all of this is the PCGS drop in value of a MS 64 in April 1, 2006 of $6,200 to day's $2,300 and seeing rare CAC examples regularly selling in the $1800s during the past two years at auction. By comparison, an MS64 1916-D has gone from $975 to $1050 during the same period. Meanwhile, the MS65 1918-S has been relatively unharmed dropping from $21,000 to $19,500 during the same time period. Are MS64 Liberty Walking Half Dollars so much out of favor?

  • WalkerfanWalkerfan Posts: 9,311 ✭✭✭✭✭

    2005 and 2006 were the two peak years for Walkers. Almost everything costed a lot more than it does now. That being said, I think that the 18 S in 64 is undervalued, right now, and I hope that it rebounds a bit more to a more realistic level in the future.

    Sometimes, it’s better to be LUCKY than good. 🍀 🍺👍

    My Full Walker Registry Set (1916-1947):

    https://www.ngccoin.com/registry/competitive-sets/16292/

  • mannie graymannie gray Posts: 7,259 ✭✭✭✭✭

    "MS" 64 offers good value in this series as well as in many others.
    It is my "favorite" grade.
    With some effort it's quite possible to find and complete a set in 64 that "looks" 65+/66.
    Same goes for the lower "MS" grades.
    There are some decent 62's and 3's still out there, as well as raw coins.

  • mannie graymannie gray Posts: 7,259 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Walkerfan said:
    I have modeled my entire early set around collecting 64s that are premium quality as opposed to run-of-the-mill 65s. I feel that I've done rather well.

    Great move on your part.

  • WalkerfanWalkerfan Posts: 9,311 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 18, 2019 8:54AM

    @mannie gray said:

    @Walkerfan said:
    I have modeled my entire early set around collecting 64s that are premium quality as opposed to run-of-the-mill 65s. I feel that I've done rather well.

    Great move on your part.

    Thanks @mannie gray !

    Sometimes, it’s better to be LUCKY than good. 🍀 🍺👍

    My Full Walker Registry Set (1916-1947):

    https://www.ngccoin.com/registry/competitive-sets/16292/

  • Aspie_RoccoAspie_Rocco Posts: 3,259 ✭✭✭✭✭

    This thread is an excellent insight into the Walker market. I lurk threads like this in hope of gaining knowledge through osmosis.
    It feels like a genuine treat to get to read and learn details like this.
    Thanks folks. B)

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