iamthegreatcornholio, Maybe the Pythagorean W-L

Gemmy10 · June 7, 2005 12:55PM

is catching up with the Yankees.

iamthegreatcornholio · June 7, 2005 1:05PM

Haha, I was just about to comment on that - 2 one run losses in a row will affect that.

They've scored 295 runs, allowed 297. So their Win % should be (295)^1.83/[(295)^1.83+(297)^1.83]
Which equals 49.7% so they're about 1.4% under that, which over the course of their 58 games played is a little under 1 win.

Brian

edit to add: They were 7.5% above it last year so I'll be looking forward to more 1 run losses with an occasional blowout win

iamthegreatcornholio · June 7, 2005 1:12PM

The only significant deviations so far are Arizona: 9.2% OVER their statistical W/L and Milwaukee: 6.5% UNDER (even after tonight).

Brian

Gemmy10 · June 7, 2005 1:20PM

Brian, I am a computer programmer but I majored in Math as an undergraduate so I always enjoyed analyzing baseball statistics.

iamthegreatcornholio · June 7, 2005 1:49PM

Maybe you're not such a bad guy after all

I'm working on a master's in mechanical engineering so most of the math I do is numerically solving differential and partial differential equations. I usually use MATLAB, which is about as close as I'll get to programming.

Brian

Gemmy10 · June 7, 2005 3:01PM

I took Differential Equations in college along time ago. dy/dx. LOL

DirtyHarry · June 7, 2005 3:09PM

Oh boy. This guy shoulda been involved.....

denwd1 · June 7, 2005 8:18PM

here's an easy stat for all, yankees 0-22 when scoring 3 or less runs 0-22=lousy

Gemmy10 · June 7, 2005 10:58PM

That's right.

Dallas88 · June 8, 2005 5:05AM

Interesting stuff Gemmy and Brian.

Any good books or websites on baseball stats you guys recommend?

Dal

iamthegreatcornholio · June 8, 2005 8:48AM

ESPN stats are good, but I think the best is http://www.baseball-reference.com/

Brian

Gemmy10 · June 8, 2005 11:04AM

I agree with Brian. That is the site I was going to recommend too.

Dallas88 · June 8, 2005 12:44PM

Thanks guys - I'll cheggitout!

VoteThurmanIn · June 8, 2005 12:53PM

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iamthegreatcornholio, Maybe the Pythagorean W-L

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