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The auction scene, and why high reserves are detrimental

The activity of the bidding process during an auction can be wild and crazy, or just dull.

When there are multiple bidders for a rare coin, the liklihood of higher prices realized increases
when the starting bid is substantially under market value. But where the start is at the probable
retail or end result, little occurs that can help the final price to be high.

Why? I have been at many sales, as have others, where once you start bidding, and see others also involved, you
get the feeling that the coin in question has value to many, not just you. And there is competition, bluffing,
waiting, and in some cases, no end to the sale til someone just gives up.

The winning bidder may be buried, but he WON! Touchdown!!

I am not suggesting that you overpay for a common coin, just to win.

I am suggesting that high reserves on almost all coins stiffle bidding.
TahoeDale

Comments

  • I concur. In some cases nobody even bothers to make the opening bid, and the seller quickly realizes their mistake. B & M has been setting unrealistic reserves on high end common date gold for quite some time, with over 30% of their MS67 Saints going unsold. Realistic reserves I tell everyone! The usual response is "Reserves are carefully selected with our consignors". Set accurate reserves and the coins will sell for what they are worth.
  • mozinmozin Posts: 8,755 ✭✭✭
    I agree. My method is to keep track of the high bid before the reserve is shown. If this high bid was way below the reserve, I tend to not bid on the lot. When I later see this lot selling for exactly the reserve, I wonder why the winner did not do his homework.
    I collect Capped Bust series by variety in PCGS AU/MS grades.
  • Bayard1908Bayard1908 Posts: 4,092 ✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I am suggesting that high reserves on almost all coins stiffle bidding. >>



    I believe this is widely known. All bidders prefer no-minimum-no-reserve auctions because of the opportunity to get a possible "bargain." You need to convince consignors that the risk of their coins selling for bargain prices in a no reserve sale is outweighed by the probability of frenzied bidding.
  • s4nys4ny Posts: 1,573 ✭✭✭
    When I sell on Ebay, I always start at 99c. It draws in bidders and watchers and the ultimate
    results are good.

    As a buyer, I just skip by coins with reserves, buy it now, zero bids. I like to see bidder activity.
  • On the bay the few times I have sold coins there, they were 99c starting bid with no reserves and they usually sold within 10% of what I paid.
    Edit: All coins sold on ebay were under $3500 numismatic value (i.e. not buillion).
  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,688 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My attitude is that I'm willing to pay $X for a specific coin, and if someone wants to pay more for it, it's his / her coin. That's it. There's nothing out there which is of a discretionary nature that I absolutely must buy. Started attending coin auctions in the late 1960s, and I know the drill.

    I don't understand people who are so concerned about winning an auction lot - any auction lot - that they are willing to be buried in it just to say they have won.

    You might be right from the consignor's point of view. However, as a bidder, I was able to snag a hard to find type coin because I met the high reserve, and no one else would bid on the coin after that.

    I honestly think the coin will sell itself.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • TahoeDaleTahoeDale Posts: 1,785 ✭✭✭
    Jeff,

    This opinion is from a consignor's viewpoint. And in most auction company's business plan.
    But I do appreciate that some coins will sell for different amounts, depending on who is interested at
    the time for the date/grade.

    My approach to setting any reserve( if necessary), is at least 10% below the lowest amount I think
    the coin will sell for. And with the agreement of the auction house. Avoid seller's fee at all cost.
    TahoeDale
  • What about appropriate opening bids? W/gold up so high would you risk losing a bunch of generic $20's for way way way below melt? Or would you reserve them at melt? Or just let them go and whatever happens will happen?
  • Can't disagree with you, but then wouldn't that also mean that high, competitive Internet and mail bids are detrimental to the final result?
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,316 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>What about appropriate opening bids? W/gold up so high would you risk losing a bunch of generic $20's for way way way below melt? Or would you reserve them at melt? Or just let them go and whatever happens will happen? >>



    Those are the kinds of things that really don't belong at auction. Why go to all of the trouble to sell stuff like that at auction [plus the risk of getting scammed on eBay] when it's probly smarter and easier just to take them to a local B & M?
    theknowitalltroll;
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,316 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>The activity of the bidding process during an auction can be wild and crazy, or just dull.

    When there are multiple bidders for a rare coin, the liklihood of higher prices realized increases
    when the starting bid is substantially under market value. But where the start is at the probable
    retail or end result, little occurs that can help the final price to be high.

    Why? I have been at many sales, as have others, where once you start bidding, and see others also involved, you
    get the feeling that the coin in question has value to many, not just you. And there is competition, bluffing,
    waiting, and in some cases, no end to the sale til someone just gives up.

    The winning bidder may be buried, but he WON! Touchdown!!

    I am not suggesting that you overpay for a common coin, just to win.

    I am suggesting that high reserves on almost all coins stiffle bidding. >>



    Psychology works in strange and mysterious [and sometimes even wonderful] ways.

    For the life of me I can't see why anyone would bid high just to be able to say he/she/they won unless it was something that they wanted.
    theknowitalltroll;
  • mrpotatoheaddmrpotatoheadd Posts: 7,576 ✭✭✭
    Reserves don't bug me. As far as I'm concerned, it's just another bid. I figure what I'll pay and if I don't win, either because of a higher reserve or being outbid, so be it.
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My observation is that auction reserve prices are generally on the high side, not just protection, and that when there are a lot of them in an auction, they dampen my overall interest in the sale. It is like going to a coin dealer website and finding that most of the prices are too high for me or the coins are too low in quality. Even though I might pick and choose and find some coins that suit me, it is not worth my effort overall.
  • lkeigwinlkeigwin Posts: 16,893 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If I know there will be lots of interest in the coin, as a seller, I don't mind a no reserve auction. Competition for the coin will drive the price to where it belongs. And sometimes higher.

    But if it's a corner case coin, like a conditional rarity, I use a reserve. It doesn't always sell but at least I don't get burned.

    As for a bullion coin, in my experience it doesn't sell for less than its bullion value. And if I am okay with that price then I don't use a reserve.
    Lance.

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