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September 21st yes or no

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  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Goldman Saks is at 25% on a rate hike.



    mark
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    No way, wont happen this time. I'm sure of it. So sure I'd b....oh I better not say that image
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,088 ✭✭✭✭✭
    CME fed funds futures at 82% chance of a 25bps tomorrow

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • dpooledpoole Posts: 5,940 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I looked at my Magic 8 Ball. It said "No," with uncharacteristic decisiveness.
  • Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: oldstandard
    Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock


    Who really cares? Does it really matter?
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: oldstandard
    Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock


    Who really cares? Does it really matter?


    gold appears to care.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,088 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I misread the data

    It's 100-82 or 18% chance of a hike
    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    announcment at 2 pm.

    Leaks should start affecting gold price around 1:45.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • VanHalenVanHalen Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The No's have it. Again.
  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Shocking no one. Gold stocks getting a bid. Happy dance.



    mark
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Yellon at press conference: "Consumer sentiment is perfectly solid."

    Translation: "At least our lies are working."

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • JNUG time again - should run into the $30s between now and Nov meeting. ZERO chance Feds will raise a week before elections.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: MsMorrisine

    I misread the data



    It's 100-82 or 18% chance of a hike




    LOL...nice try. image
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Was there anyone who really honestly thought they would? Just raise your hand sitting there and say to yourself, I need to stop trolling, it really makes me look even more stupid.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Further proof that Wall St. does control FED policy.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Further proof that Wall St. does control FED policy.


    It's obvious you don't know how much bank profits increase with even just a 1/4 pt rise. Or how equity markets perform in the 3, 6, 12 months after a rate hike.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Further proof that Wall St. does control FED policy.


    It's obvious you don't know how much bank profits increase with even just a 1/4 pt rise. Or how equity markets perform in the 3, 6, 12 months after a rate hike.


    It's obvious you don't know that banks gamble with cheap money.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Further proof that Wall St. does control FED policy.


    It's obvious you don't know how much bank profits increase with even just a 1/4 pt rise. Or how equity markets perform in the 3, 6, 12 months after a rate hike.


    It's obvious you don't know that banks gamble with cheap money.



    Obviously I am right.


    For POM.....I think all central banks should raise rates by 200 bps.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think all central banks should raise rates by 200 bps.



    Well, sure, if they would ALL do it.

    It's like the prisoner's dilemma though, the one(s) who didn't would have a significant advantage in certain ways.



    We'll see a quarter point in December (unless something significant happens between now and then image )



    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • VanHalenVanHalen Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: Baley

    I think all central banks should raise rates by 200 bps.



    Well, sure, if they would ALL do it.

    It's like the prisoner's dilemma though, the one(s) who didn't would have a significant advantage in certain ways.



    We'll see a quarter point in December (unless something significant happens between now and then image )







    Yes, The Fed stated there is a strong possibility that there might be a rate hike before the vernal equinox.



  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,823 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: VanHalen
    The Fed stated there is a strong possibility that there might be a rate hike before the vernal equinox.


    were their lips moving?

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    1) The Feds have to say that. If they didnt then it would be weird



    2) There are as many signs that we are heading into recession then prosperity. I'm still fully invested in the stock market but starting to shuffle my chips a little





    mark
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: derryb

    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: derryb

    Further proof that Wall St. does control FED policy.




    It's obvious you don't know how much bank profits increase with even just a 1/4 pt rise. Or how equity markets perform in the 3, 6, 12 months after a rate hike.





    It's obvious you don't know that banks gamble with cheap money.







    Obviously I am right.





    For POM.....I think all central banks should raise rates by 200 bps.





    I never once said they shouldn't do it, I said they wont do it, and wont do anything before the election. I agree, it should be raised at least 1/4 and maybe even 1/2 over 2 consecutive meetings, but nothing will happen till after the election, and maybe not the rest of this year until the new POTUS gets sworn in. Just because the crooked one may win, doesn't mean she will get sworn in. Expect bombshells and re-opening of investigations if she wins, esp. if Congress stays red.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: VanHalen
    Originally posted by: Baley
    I think all central banks should raise rates by 200 bps.

    Well, sure, if they would ALL do it.
    It's like the prisoner's dilemma though, the one(s) who didn't would have a significant advantage in certain ways.

    We'll see a quarter point in December (unless something significant happens between now and then image )



    Yes, The Fed stated there is a strong possibility that there might be a rate hike before the vernal equinox.



    Did you mean to say: the Winter or December Solstice? image

    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: Justacommeman

    2) There are as many signs that we are heading into recession then prosperity.


    mark



    Isnt that the normal cycle?

    Serious question. ...how is the market for women's shoes?

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: Justacommeman



    2) There are as many signs that we are heading into recession then prosperity.





    mark






    Isnt that the normal cycle?



    Serious question. ...how is the market for women's shoes?







    Juniors tough

    Mid tier good

    Salon ok

    Discount ok

    International bad ( strong dollar )



    mark

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: Justacommeman
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: Justacommeman

    2) There are as many signs that we are heading into recession then prosperity.


    mark



    Isnt that the normal cycle?

    Serious question. ...how is the market for women's shoes?



    Juniors tough
    Mid tier good
    Salon ok
    Discount ok
    International bad ( strong dollar )

    mark



    Other than international, is the market a function of millenials?

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: Justacommeman

    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: Justacommeman



    2) There are as many signs that we are heading into recession then prosperity.





    mark






    Isnt that the normal cycle?



    Serious question. ...how is the market for women's shoes?







    Juniors tough

    Mid tier good

    Salon ok

    Discount ok

    International bad ( strong dollar )



    mark





    Other than international, is the market a function of millenials?







    Reaching them, engaging them, keeping them, entertaining them is different. As is the the buying channel



    mark

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    You think the market is so--so due to so-so economy or fickle consumer?
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk

    You think the market is so--so due to so-so economy or fickle consumer?




    Mixed bag and hard to say conclusively. FWIW my business ( high fashion non salon) thrives when recession rears its ugly head. My business is improving.



    mark
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Does your end of the business thrive on a relative basis, or does it actually do better?

    My source at a mid to high end national retailer has struggled with the millenials for about 2 years now, but is seeing improvements.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,293 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Buying and selling gets old. I'd rather be a talk show host. They're getting paid to tell us how terrible the world is. image
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: oldstandard
    Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock


    Who really cares? Does it really matter?


    gold appears to care.



    Apparently not.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • oldstandardoldstandard Posts: 387 ✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: derryb

    Originally posted by: cohodk

    Originally posted by: oldstandard

    Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock




    Who really cares? Does it really matter?




    gold appears to care.







    Apparently not.







    it does it did not like the news yesterday 2017 remains the buying year
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: oldstandard
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: derryb
    Originally posted by: cohodk
    Originally posted by: oldstandard
    Bank of Japan stayed negative one more to go, tick tock tick tock tick tock


    Who really cares? Does it really matter?


    gold appears to care.



    Apparently not.



    it does it did not like the news yesterday 2017 remains the buying year


    Yup, just buy it every year lol

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Originally posted by: cohodk



    Yup, just buy it every year lol







    Keep on stacking!



    They'll keep on mining, melting, and minting!



    (Oh, but they don't make that date any more ) image



    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

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