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POLL Silver and Gold

Coin FinderCoin Finder Posts: 7,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
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  • MetalsmanMetalsman Posts: 2,064 ✭✭✭
    They are always a good buy........ just need to know when to sell what you've bought!image
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It hasn't "bottomed out." And for once, I believe those nasty bankers - the same ones that are controlling the spread on a daily basis image- who at the beginning of this year predicted a low of $1100 gold. I guess they must have been feeling guilty for manipulating gold and silver for all these years and decided to give our conspiracy nuts a heads-up.
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • BAJJERFANBAJJERFAN Posts: 31,082 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>They are always a good buy........ just need to know when to sell what you've bought!image >>



    Even a chance to sell would be nice.image
    theknowitalltroll;
  • tneigtneig Posts: 1,505 ✭✭✭
    I didn't vote because my choice would be a declarative YES. I don't know if it bottomed out, but my answer would be YES.
    I'm using the time to buy gold in my silver to gold conversion plan. If you like silver, buy it. If you like gold, buy it.
    Seriously WTF would you be waiting for now. I tried today by my local was out, so maybe on line, if not tomorrow.
    COA
  • VanHalenVanHalen Posts: 3,993 ✭✭✭✭✭
    A decent buy at current levels. My gut feeling we'll see $1200 gold and $18 silver this year before things turn up.

    If you're patient and don't do a lot of trading you might want to wait until next year where $1000 and $15 lows might pop up. As always my opinion is worth 2 cents!

    image
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    oops
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    I'm not buying anything other than collectible bars right now for the put-back portion of what I have. Prolly should be buying on the way down with the hope of selling on the way up, but I just aint feeling it. I think both metals are headed significantly lower by 1/15, and then even lower in '15 due to the uncertainty of new leadership. I will say that if silver gets to $22/oz again I will sell every single oz of non-collectible silver I currently own.
    jmho, because it was aksed for.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    at $40 silver it really didn't matter if one paid $10 or $20. But this time it's different?

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,856 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I only voted "I don't care" because in reality, I really don't know.

    I tend to think that Martin Armstrong is pretty good at analyzing money flows and cycles. I'm looking forward to seeing if he's right about Q3 2015.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • johnny9434johnny9434 Posts: 28,334 ✭✭✭✭✭
    i think its a good time to buy with the more bottom to come.
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>at $40 silver it really didn't matter if one paid $10 or $20. But this time it's different? >>



    At $20 silver does it matter if one paid $30 or $40? No time is ever different.

    I also voted "I dont care", mostly because I wanted to see the results. I am encouraged by the bearishness and apathy.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • s4nys4ny Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭
    My answer is may drop further, but accumulating is a good idea.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Daughter asked me just the other day "why are those squirrels burying all those acorns?"

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Daughter asked me just the other day "why are those squirrels burying all those acorns?" >>




    So they feel lucky when one of their prognostications come true?

    Text


    imageimage
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think when interest rates do rise, as everyone seems to want the way they're complaing about ZIRP, then metals will take a further hit and we could see 1000 and 14 or something even lower

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭
    $10,000 in gold earning 0% or $10,000 in the bank earning 5%?
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 5,379 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>$10,000 in gold earning 0% or $10,000 in the bank earning 5%? >>



    Where are you getting 5% guaranteed on deposit??
  • GrumpyEdGrumpyEd Posts: 4,749 ✭✭✭
    You'll need to go about 10 years on CDs and get about 3.42% and re-invest your interest to end up around 4%.
    If you want about 5% you can buy treasury direct bonds that double on the 19th year which might be higher but the amount you can buy is limited.


    CDs
    Ed
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>$10,000 in gold earning 0% or $10,000 in the bank earning 5%? >>



    Where are you getting 5% guaranteed on deposit?? >>



    Im not. But responding to Baleys comment about higher rates, an investor may choose to get a 5% income stream rather than invest in something that does collect interest.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,138 ✭✭✭✭✭
    PM's are not an investment. They are a means of storing and preserving wealth. PM's will always have value unlike paper assets and have a place in a balanced portfolio.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,138 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The poll is poorly worded. The first two options indicate the ability to predict the future which no one has. We need a "I don't know and neither does anyone else" option.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • tneigtneig Posts: 1,505 ✭✭✭
    I don't get it. Its like micro-bubbles of interest coming and going in PMs over time.

    When it was real high, people were going to buy at $30, then at $27, then at $25, then if it hit $21.

    So even if it goes lower, why waiting? (same scenario w gold)

    COA
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>PM's are not an investment. They are a means of storing and preserving wealth. PM's will always have value unlike paper assets and have a place in a balanced portfolio. >>



    Spoken like a true Gold & Silver advocate. I do not subscribe to that theory in today's environment. Just another asset class, that will have it's ups and downs.
    The question is, when will the pendulum swing in the opposite direction? Answer, after it hits bottom. image
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,856 ✭✭✭✭✭
    <<I think when interest rates do rise, as everyone seems to want the way they're complaing about ZIRP, then metals will take a further hit and we could see 1000 and 14 or something even lower>>


    <Where are you getting 5% guaranteed on deposit??>

    Im not. But responding to Baleys comment about higher rates, an investor may choose to get a 5% income stream rather than invest in something that does collect interest.



    Let's review. If interest rates hit 5%, it's a whole new ballgame on the government's financing scheme. If they decide that inflation is acceptable and controllable, they will start allowing rates to rise. The problem in doing so is that it will cause big losses for every existing bondholder who bought all of these Treasuries and corporate bond issues at low rates for the past 5 years. Somebody's toes will get stepped on, and then we'll see who screws whom.

    Which indicates to me that rates will only be allowed to rise if they can't stop it from happening. Control is everything right now.







    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Metals will continue to suffer as long as the US$ shows strength. Current dollar strength is due to a weak euro that makes up 57.6% of the dollar index. Race to the bottom in currencies dictates the FED will not let the dollar remain strong. Weakening of one's currency is to support it's exports. Exports equate to jobs. FED says it is concerned about employment. We shall see if it's only FEDspeak.

    The historical relationship between the dollar and gold:

    image

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    It's silly to still being comparing what the $ does will directly affect what metals will do anymore. It may take 30 years to prove that statement as the chart provided took 30 years and suggests. I'd like to see a chart from just the last 2 years that shows the same correlation...and even then, charts can be manipulated to make you see what you want to see. I'm probably wrong, but just my .02
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    you're probably wrong, but your .02 is alway welcomed, even when its sole purpose is to just disagree.

    Dollar index and oil have both performed inversely with gold since at least 2008. Last three days have shown a surge in dollar index strength (because of pressure on the euro) and a drop in PMs.

    The best "heads up," leading indicator for coming changes to gold prices is the HUI Index.

    Since charts are based on known data, I disagree that they can be manipulated. They can be misinterpreted. The chart shown is not open for misinterpretation.

    Nothing wrong with being a contrarian, unless you are wrong.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • Coin FinderCoin Finder Posts: 7,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I just don't know what will happen....

  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Charts can be manipualted by the parameters input into the making of it...just about like anything else. If you ask the right questions, you will eventually get the answer you're attempting to achieve.
    and by the way, it's a forum. Where people can (hopefully) discuss their points of view, even if they happen to be complete opposite ends of the spectrum. No disrespect intended at all, it's discussion. Whether one chooses to participate in a civil manner and not be completely horse blindered is of course their choice.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Charts can be manipualted by the parameters input into the making of it...just about like anything else. If you ask the right questions, you will eventually get the answer you're attempting to achieve.
    and by the way, it's a forum. Where people can (hopefully) discuss their points of view, even if they happen to be complete opposite ends of the spectrum. No disrespect intended at all, it's discussion. Whether one chooses to participate in a civil manner and not be completely horse blindered is of course their choice. >>


    The input of chart parameters only determines the view of the data, not the data. The chart is based on historical price facts that one is not allowed to control when creating a price chart. Civility has not been one of your strong suits in the past. Good to see the change of heart.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,294 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I hate to use the word "DEPENDS", but it depends. It's not in the poll and I care.
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,856 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Normally, rates begin to rise in response to money getting tighter as a direct result of the economy becoming healthier and competition increases for labor and project financing.

    Labor pricing has been suppressed by a lack of decent job growth and illegal immigration. Projects have been about average, as far as I can tell. The majority of jobs being created are not high paying career jobs, which is a problem for the tax base of many municipalities who can't print their own money. The impetus will be to raise more taxes.

    Throw in "the race to the bottom" of currency devaluation into the mix (in order to remain competitive internationally), and you have an unstable system that's bandaided together with QE and/or bailout money (i.e., more new taxes in the guise of obamacare, masstransit care, publichousing care, free educationcare or support-your-local-police-state care) whenever a spring in the dike appears.

    What could possibly go wrong? Who is John Galt?
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • Coin FinderCoin Finder Posts: 7,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Great points by all! There is a difference between not knowing what will happen, and being comfortable with not knowing what will happen.... with gold, currencies or anything.. I am of the camp of latter and thus open to criticism....I have guessed right a few time and made short term cash on Gold and guessed wrong. The charts are interesting and a lot of work was put into them, they deserve a nod....
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,294 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Got my first job in '67 where I got my first silver quarter as a tip for being a good paper boy.
    My sister bought every silver quarter I got and kept them. THere were gas wars in them days and a quarter could buy a gallon of gas.
    By '73, there were lines waiting to fill up their tanks. Gas was a dollar and a silver quarter was worth enough to buy four gallons about.
    By 1979, a silver quarter would buy about five gallons of gas.
    Then by the early 80's after my first tour in the Army, silver took a dive from $50 ish to $5. A silver quarter would buy a gallon of gas.

    By 1987, a silver quarter could get 2 gallons again. By 1997, it was still worth a couple gallons of gas.

    By 2007, …. a silver quarter was enough to buy 2 gallons of gas and get change, but then CHANGE came and a silver quarter would buy 2 gallons of gas
    By 2011, a silver quarter would afford a guy almost 3 gallons of gas, but then….. it started dropping again. Soon, it got so bad that something had to be done.

    Here we are today and a silver quarter is enough for a gallon of gas


    I voted silver would drop further, but I think a silver quarter will always afford a person a gallon of gas for the car.
    image

    image


    Taxes and wages are another story.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    The charts are interesting and a lot of work was put into them, they deserve a nod....

    Oh, maybe I'm misunderstood? I certainly give it/them a nod, it did take a lot of effort in making it say what one person wanted it to. I commend the attempt in trying to show what the last 30 years meant to one person. image
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Silver broke below $19 today...."How low will it go."
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭
    image



    To update. Silver better hold 18 otherwise its 14 by end of year.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,856 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Interesting, the moonshot from July 2010 to April 2011 lasted about 9 months. Gotta remember that.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • VanHalenVanHalen Posts: 3,993 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Normally, rates begin to rise in response to money getting tighter as a direct result of the economy becoming healthier and competition increases for labor and project financing........Labor pricing has been suppressed by a lack of decent job growth..........The majority of jobs being created are not high paying career jobs, which is a problem for the tax base of many municipalities who can't print their own money.......What could possibly go wrong? Who is John Galt? >>



    Normally? Yeah, we can do anything we want without consequence and then let free markets act "normally".

    Here in the Midwest there are tens of thousands of job openings at under $10/hr. For 50 years people came out of high school and earned solid middle-class incomes with good benefits. Millions raised big families on one income from a high-school educated worker. 80% of the people were earning strong incomes and driving the economy. Come on by today. 80% of the people are under-employed and under-paid. This has been building for decades but has exploded in the last 5 years.

    How 10% of the population holding 90% of the money will support our future economy will be interesting. I'm still wondering how long it will last.......

    image
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I think when interest rates do rise, as everyone seems to want the way they're complainingg about ZIRP, then metals will take a further hit and we could see 1000 and 14 or something even lower >>




    Rising interest rates aren't always detrimental to PM prices. Interest rates doubled from 1977 to early 1980. That didn't hurt PM prices one bit.

    One can look at silver as either rallying 18 years (1993-2011) or 10 years (2001-2011). Either way, a 3-1/2 year correction is still relatively brief in the bigger picture. 3.8 years would be a simple 38% Fib (time) retrace.



    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    duplicate post - deleted
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold


  • << <i>

    How 10% of the population holding 90% of the money will support our future economy will be interesting. I'm still wondering how long it will last.......

    >>



    Sounds like a quick history lesson is in order. Ever hear of the 80/20 rule? Also known as the Pareto principle. In 1906 Italy. Pareto observed that 20% of the pea pods in his garden produced 80% of the edible peas. He also observed that land ownership had about the same distribution in Italy, 20% owned 80% of the land. This is 1906 so it only counts adult males, so it was really 10% of the population, virtually owning all the land. In feudal times, the wealth concentration was even greater. Peasants had nothing, no hope of anything, merchants had a little, and those with land had the only real asset with real value.

    What comes to mind is a question about volunteer organizations. Ever do much volunteer work? Did it seem like 20% of the volunteers did 80% of the work? The 80/20 rule came from observing pea pods, so it is a rule of nature, though it may not apply to every situation.

    In the long run, it is like an over grown forest. Eventually a huge fire levels things out. In historical terms that may mean revolution, civil war, a lot of people dead, mostly the poor "peasant" class. A few of the wealthy do sometimes get their heads chopped off, and many more see their fortunes vanish, or greatly diminished.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Rising interest rates are bullish for PMs. High interest rates are not.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭
    For those that answered with a "bottomed out"

    Here are some facts. Gold & Silver price as of 9/4/2014 (when this poll was taken)

    Au.............$1271
    Ag.............$19.20

    today 9/11 @ approx 1:45 PM EDT

    Au................$1238
    Ag................$18.61
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • joefrojoefro Posts: 1,872 ✭✭
    I think gold and silver are a great buy right now, but I also think they will drop further over the next month or two. I could see silver getting to $16.xx All my own speculation of course.
    Lincoln Cent & Libertad Collector
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,121 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I think gold and silver are a great buy right now, but I also think they will drop further over the next month or two. I could see silver getting to $16.xx All my own speculation of course. >>



    A great buy would be after it bottoms out, lets say $16, and within a week goes up to today's price of $18.70. Not the other way around.
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • perkdogperkdog Posts: 30,643 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I dont follow the Gold market, just Silver and I think we will see $15 Silver
  • Coin FinderCoin Finder Posts: 7,166 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Thanks OPA, I was just going to update. Look like the "it will get lower" folks were spot on to coin a phrase... I was wrong. If it gets to low like below 10 bucks an OZ for silver for example, it will curtail the buying me thinks..
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,129 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If it gets to low like below 10 bucks an OZ for silver for example, it will curtail the buying me thinks..

    As crazy as that sounds, that exactly what happens, which is why it is generally better to sell when everyone wants it and buy when nobody wants it. Who wanted silver in 1998? Who wanted silver in 2011?
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • mozinmozin Posts: 8,755 ✭✭✭
    I must have about $1000 average in my US gold collection. Sold off my ordinary $20 gold pieces when gold was $1500 an ounce. Now, I have only very small gold pieces.
    I collect Capped Bust series by variety in PCGS AU/MS grades.
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