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Guess the DOW 30 / Gold ratio for Year end 2014

MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭
in Precious Metals
Dow stands at 16550 with Gold at $1205, so the current ratio is 13.73 to 1.

What will the ratio look like a year from today.

I will add my prediction later.

Comments

  • renman95renman95 Posts: 7,037 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Guess: 18,088, 955...18.94:1
  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭
    Prediction Dow 12230 Gold 1223 for a ratio of 10 to 1


    Inflation and interest will rise dampening the market PE's. Gold will be split between the two factors and tread water.


  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,779 ✭✭✭✭✭
    5:1

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,119 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Dow....$18,549.....Gold..$1399.......13.25 to 1
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • DeepCoinDeepCoin Posts: 2,781 ✭✭✭
    Dow 18.250, Gold 1,125 or 16.22
    Retired United States Mint guy, now working on an Everyman Type Set.
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'll guess 17.76

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • ZubieZubie Posts: 1,160 ✭✭✭✭
    15.55
    Positive BST Transactions with:
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  • VanHalenVanHalen Posts: 3,945 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My guess is DOW 18290 and GOLD 1265 for 14.45

    12/31/2015 will be much more interesting. image
  • jdimmickjdimmick Posts: 9,673 ✭✭✭✭✭
    dow 18K, gold sub 1100
  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭
    Interesting that 5 posters chose Dow 18k. This nutty market may be there in a week.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,779 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Interesting that 5 posters chose Dow 18k. This nutty market may be there in a week. >>


    A lot will happen between week 1 and week 52.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭✭
    13.13
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • jrt103jrt103 Posts: 419 ✭✭✭
    10:1
  • bonkroodbonkrood Posts: 796 ✭✭✭
    15.89 to 1
    image Steam Power
  • JustlookingJustlooking Posts: 2,895 ✭
    Dow down ... 13,500

    Gold up ... 1,450
    Let's try not to get upset.
  • FullCameoFullCameo Posts: 492
    Dow = 0

    Gold = 400 rounds of 223/556

    image
  • Steve27Steve27 Posts: 13,274 ✭✭✭
    Hmm...I see gold falling and the Dow flat over the next year; thus, 16:1 is my guess.
    "It's far easier to fight for principles, than to live up to them." Adlai Stevenson
  • s4nys4ny Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭
    By year end 2014, Dow 17,000 and
    Gold $1250. Ratio of 13.6.

    Not much net change in 12 months, but some wild
    moves in between.
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭✭
    About a year ago I had posted a chart of the inverse of this ratio. A chart that if I recall correctly had predicted a ratio of about 0.075 or the inverse of 13.3

    Can anyone find that thread?
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The original version of this chart I had posted on Feb 3, 2013. This is updated in Sept.

    image

    Target was around .07 or the inverse of 14.3. Seems we be pretty close so I would expect some outperformance of gold vs stocks this yr. Outperformance does not necessarily mean up.


    But again, another instance where charts were useless and cant predict the future.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • DoubleEagle59DoubleEagle59 Posts: 8,307 ✭✭✭✭✭
    8:1
    "Gold is money, and nothing else" (JP Morgan, 1912)

    "“Those who sacrifice liberty for security/safety deserve neither.“(Benjamin Franklin)

    "I only golf on days that end in 'Y'" (DE59)
  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭
    Ratio has dropped to 12.51.

    DJ at 15879
    Gold at 1268.80
  • AmigoAmigo Posts: 966 ✭

    17.97 to 1 end of 2014

    I figure the Feds have about another 4-5 yrs before the phony game bursts at the seams. Then I'd be looking at around 7.33 to 1 shortely after a few million sheepies wake up, then my crystal ball becomes cloudy.
  • DoubleEagle59DoubleEagle59 Posts: 8,307 ✭✭✭✭✭
    ----oops! already guessed.
    "Gold is money, and nothing else" (JP Morgan, 1912)

    "“Those who sacrifice liberty for security/safety deserve neither.“(Benjamin Franklin)

    "I only golf on days that end in 'Y'" (DE59)
  • MetalsmanMetalsman Posts: 2,064 ✭✭✭
    well a little late but my take is 9.5:1 gold
  • johnny9434johnny9434 Posts: 28,298 ✭✭✭✭✭
    the dow - 13,000, gold - where it is now.
  • renman95renman95 Posts: 7,037 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I may update my earlier prediction come December 30th. Prolly still be way off. image
  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I may update my earlier prediction come December 30th. Prolly still be way off. image >>



    If you verify that it is made over the international date line, you may update!
  • OverdateOverdate Posts: 7,007 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I guess Dow 11,200 Gold $1600. Ratio 7:1.

    My Adolph A. Weinman signature :)

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    With the year half over, maybe time for a ttt

    Dow nearing 17,000, gold around $1330.

    12.78

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>With the year half over, maybe time for a ttt

    Dow nearing 17,000, gold around $1330.

    12.78 >>



    Lets end the contest now.....cuz I said 13.13. What do I win?image

    image

    image
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>With the year half over, maybe time for a ttt

    Dow nearing 17,000, gold around $1330.

    12.78 >>



    Lets end the contest now.....cuz I said 13.13. What do I win?image

    image

    image >>



    Half of a new Cadillac! image
  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>

    << <i>With the year half over, maybe time for a ttt

    Dow nearing 17,000, gold around $1330.

    12.78 >>



    Lets end the contest now.....cuz I said 13.13. What do I win?image

    image

    image >>



    Half of a new Cadillac! image >>



    There will be a delay in delivering that caddy , it's been recalledimage

    Along with every other car GM has made since 1922 , now that they fired that one guy that is to blame for everything I'm sure it will all sort itself outimage
  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Along with every other car GM has made since 1922 , now that they fired that one guy that is to blame for everything I'm sure it will all sort itself out >>



    ...a good reason why capitalism is to be respected and the rusting Goliath needed to fold. The assets that were worth saving would be in stronger and smarter hands today.
  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭✭



    GM cars were running on fumes in the 80's Every GM product line in the 80's was awful excluding the C/K trucks and blazers the 3rd generation of which from 73-87 were near perfection . A fact I've been reminded of recently while binge watching the Fall Guy on Hulu. image


    Gm was at its peak cranking out those super standardized pickups . The small and big block V8's the turbo 350 trans the classic design that they didn't feel the need to pointlessly change every other year.








  • MGLICKERMGLICKER Posts: 7,995 ✭✭✭
    Down the stretch.

    Gold $1169
    DJIA 17,404

    Ratio 14.89
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>13.13 >>



    Interesting. The 13 year trend line is now exceeded at 0.067. Key horizontal support at 0.064 coming up.
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,087 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>13.13 >>



    Interesting. The 13 year trend line is now exceeded at 0.067. Key horizontal support at 0.064 coming up. >>



    Yup. And I think that's where it stops. Relative value has swung to gold.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,660 ✭✭✭✭✭
    well, who was closest? Link to chart

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • renman95renman95 Posts: 7,037 ✭✭✭✭✭
    17,823/1,183=15

    I think Zubie and VanHalen are tied.

    /////

    I had the Dow at 18,088. I thought gold would go sub-$1000.

    Ed4adtn
  • hopsinhopsin Posts: 212 ✭
    ratio of 16 by the end of 2015
    Positive BST transactions with Timbuk3, coindeuce, charlottedude.
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