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ECRI SAYS US IS NOW IN RECESSION !!

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan on Bloomberg September 13th; did Bernanke just confirm it on the 15th

See the Bloomberg Interview Here !
NumbersUsa, FairUs, Alipac, CapsWeb, and TeamAmericaPac

Comments

  • JCMhoustonJCMhouston Posts: 5,306 ✭✭✭
    What's an Economic Cycle Research Institue (ECRI)? That's a new one on me. I prefer listening to the Ben Bernanke, everytime he speaks I make money. image
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,119 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan on Bloomberg September 13th; did Bernanke just confirm it on the 15th

    See the Bloomberg Interview Here ! >>



    Sorry...but I don't give to much credence to anyone who's name I can't pronounce.image
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,115 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan on Bloomberg September 13th; did Bernanke just confirm it on the 15th

    See the Bloomberg Interview Here ! >>



    If it's on the Interwebz it must be true!
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • bronco2078bronco2078 Posts: 10,211 ✭✭✭✭✭


    I like the video , I think he makes a good point about how all the numbers initially look ok when released and that is used to pump the stock market.

    In a real world reporting system it seems to me that numbers would be revised after the fact but shouldn't some go up? If every single item is revised downwards then the way the data is being presented is suspect.









  • .
    Seven months ago, the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) made a
    bold, unequivocal and somewhat controversial forecast. Chief Operations
    Officer Lakshman Achuthan and his colleagues said that ECRI’s indicators
    showed that the U.S. economy would be back in recession, most likely by
    the middle of 2012. What gave ECRI’s prediction credibility is that the
    organization successfully called each of the last four recessions — and
    did so without false alarms.
    Running With
    the Recession Forecast
    May 2012
    Lakshman Achuthan is the co-founder and chief operations
    officer of the Economic Cycle Research Institute
    (ECRI), and managing editor of ECRI’s forecasting
    publications. He is also a member of Time magazine’s
    board of economists and the Levy Institute’s Board of
    Governors, and serves as a trustee on the boards of
    several foundations. He received an undergraduate
    degree from Fairleigh Dickenson University in 1989 and
    a graduate degree from Long Island University in 1991.
    Mr. Achuthan joined Geoffrey H. Moore at Columbia
    University’s Center for International Business Cycle
    Research in 1991. In 2004, he co-authored Beating the
    Business Cycle: How to Predict and Profit from Turning
    Points in the Economy .
    NumbersUsa, FairUs, Alipac, CapsWeb, and TeamAmericaPac
  • OPAOPA Posts: 17,119 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Actually he's been predicting a recession since Sept 2011 ... I just don't pay much attention to fringe, doom & gloom forecasters, who have a poor track record in their prior crystal ball gazing record.
    "Bongo drive 1984 Lincoln that looks like old coin dug from ground."
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Their track record for calling recessions can't be any worse than the FED or BEA.
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
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