What young players' rookie cards should we buy today?
Darin
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I really like Eric Hosmers' chances to be an elite hitter. Last year was only his third year in pro ball, starting the year at triple A and hitting .439 in just over a month. The Royals' said, 'Hey, this kid is ready' brought him up and he hit .293 with 19 dingers and 78 RBI in a little less than 5 months.
But his bowman chrome auto card is pretty expensive. Going for roughly $200. But in my opinion a better bargain than the much hyped Bryce Harper.
Thinking about buying a few Starlin Castro 2010 BC auto cards. He should be around for a long time. Hit .300 when he was only 20, .307 last year. His defense should improve quite a bit over the next few years.
Anybody have a favorite young player whose rookie cards they're buying?
But his bowman chrome auto card is pretty expensive. Going for roughly $200. But in my opinion a better bargain than the much hyped Bryce Harper.
Thinking about buying a few Starlin Castro 2010 BC auto cards. He should be around for a long time. Hit .300 when he was only 20, .307 last year. His defense should improve quite a bit over the next few years.
Anybody have a favorite young player whose rookie cards they're buying?
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i realize the proverbial cat is out of the bag on him already, but i don't think he's scratched the surface yet on what he will do in MLB.
i don't chase or invest in cards of current players, but if i did, it would be him. i might try to score a few good ones anyways.
helps that he's a local kid and i've been watching him play since he was hitting 400+ foot homers as a teenager.
I prefer to bet on guys who have something of a track record, and yet still have good upside to their cards. Take Robinson Cano, for example, and his Signs Of Greatness RC. He's a proven elite hitter, but if he keeps performing there is room for his cards to grow in value. He was a good buy a couple years ago and still good now. If he continues to play at his level or wins a batting crown or two, the cards go up-- and I think there's better chances of an already good player staying good or becoming great than a total prospect emerging. And the funny thing is the heat or buzz on top prospects tends to inflate their cards to almost the same level of a more proven star, which is the safer bet of a couple hundo or even a few grand for the rare RCs.
Baseball is kind of killing itself in my opinion. Look at the upcoming HOF's. Vizquel will get in before Sosa or McGwire, the two people who helped resurrect the game back in the 90's. But I am sure some purest out there can see that Vizquel's game appealed to more of the fans, haha.
<< <i>i do like and always have liked Mike Stanton.
i realize the proverbial cat is out of the bag on him already, but i don't think he's scratched the surface yet on what he will do in MLB.
i don't chase or invest in cards of current players, but if i did, it would be him. i might try to score a few good ones anyways.
helps that he's a local kid and i've been watching him play since he was hitting 400+ foot homers as a teenager.
The Royals top draft pick, Bubba Starling, has an auto card in 2011 bowman chrome prospects. He was a high school phenom in Eastern Kansas. There were stories that he was hitting 500 ft. dingers. A scout was at one of his games and Bubba hit two out, the scout said the last one may have went 500 ft. He was going to be the next QB at Nebraska but the royals were able to sign him. He's 6'5 and fast. I've been buying a few of his cards.
<< <i>Considering what some of those top-dollar RCs go for, I find betting on real young prospects a dicey proposition. Just way too much uncertainty.
I prefer to bet on guys who have something of a track record, and yet still have good upside to their cards. Take Robinson Cano, for example, and his Signs Of Greatness RC. He's a proven elite hitter, but if he keeps performing there is room for his cards to grow in value. He was a good buy a couple years ago and still good now. If he continues to play at his level or wins a batting crown or two, the cards go up-- and I think there's better chances of an already good player staying good or becoming great than a total prospect emerging. And the funny thing is the heat or buzz on top prospects tends to inflate their cards to almost the same level of a more proven star, which is the safer bet of a couple hundo or even a few grand for the rare RCs. >>
Matty, thats so true about the top prospects. A lot of buzz, like the Bryce Harper auto cards really make the cards expensive. And I don't think Harper has even played in the majors yet. I'll look into Cano's cards, but I really don't like the Yankees.
<< <i>Thinking about buying a few Starlin Castro 2010 BC auto cards. He should be around for a long time. Hit .300 when he was only 20, .307 last year. His defense should improve quite a bit over the next few years. >>
You might want to wait and see what happens with this: sexual assault case
WTB: 2001 Leaf Rookies & Stars Longevity: Ryan Jensen #/25
Justin Upton- I think he will win MVP with Fielder and Pujols now in the AL. Buy now sell in the fall.
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Starlin Castro could be a great player, but with the sexual assault case over his head, who knows.
McCluthen is awesome but stuck in a small market and dont get the attention he deserves.
Asdrubal Cabrera is one that I buy alot of. I LOVE his glove and hes got some pop.
Bubba Starling- Royals prospect.
Starlin Castro- Cubs player.
Edited to add- Thanks everyone for the ideas. Just think if I had put some money into Pujols rookie cards after his first year or two.
<< <i>Andrew McCutchen >>
Agreed. Just a matter of time before he ends up in a Yankees or Red Sox jersey.
Aaron Rodgers in football... if (and it's a big if) he goes the career route of Brady and Peyton... sure, his rookie cards took a steep climb this year... but there is still an absolute ton of growth potential in terms of value!
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<< <i>Eric Hosmer & Mark Trumbo in baseball
Aaron Rodgers in football... if (and it's a big if) he goes the career route of Brady and Peyton... sure, his rookie cards took a steep climb this year... but there is still an absolute ton of growth potential in terms of value! >>
I think Rodgers, Brady, and Manning have run out of room.
This year, Rodgers saw his huge climb, and only winning a Super Bowl would have kept the momentum going; with the loss, he has cooled somewhat, and it would take a lot to get it going again.
Brady's cards have remained almost completely stagnant since the 2007 season when they lost the Super Bowl to the Giants, despite good seasons the past two years.
If Manning never comes back, his cards will never go up again; there may be a small HOF bump, but other than that, there will be no impetus for them to move.
I did very well on Harper and Goldschmidt last year.
And all these. I expect to do the same with these names and Goldschmidt as he is just getting started.
Anthony Rizzo
Michael Pineida
Desmond Jennings
Standon is a good pick
Manny Machado for sure
Garin Cecchini I did very well with last year too
Aroldis Chapman
Eric Hosmer
Mark Trumbo is a beast!
McCutchen is a good pick
Lincecum is always great
Posey is back and healthy
Mike Leake
Strasburg for sure again
Brandon Belt
Jesus Montero
Shelby Miller
James Taillon
Castro for sure
Jurickson Profar
Dee Gordon
Freddie Freeman
That's a partial list. Gonna be a great year!!!
"Live everyday, don't throw it away"
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Michael Stanton.. He's been reported to have one of the top work ethics in MLB... players with similar approach to the sport included Roger Clemens and Joey Votto
Anthoy Rizzo.. Chicago Cubs got him solely because The is the GM... when the GM believes there is at least some reason to take note.
Eric Hosmer.. totaly seems to have the IT factor. Was not intimidated by major league pitching and adjusted well, clearly a major league hitter last year.
Guys I'd avoid, I've seen a few mentioned above
Dee Gordon/Desmond Jennings... sorry... but stolen base guys just don't sell. Vince Coleman cards are worthless, Juan Pierre is worthless, Jacoby Elsbury and Brett Garder don't garner their share of attention to a HR hitter...
CAVEAT: If you are looking for a Stolen Base guy and want to get in early... check out Billy Hamilton, #2 prospect for the Reds, absolutely rare speed, got to triple digit stolen bases last season
Brandon Belt... struggled last year and I think he's pushing 25/26 now, he's not done but if you are scouting HoF talent, his days are numbered as he's getting too late a start
<< <i>Here's my take...
Michael Stanton.. He's been reported to have one of the top work ethics in MLB... players with similar approach to the sport included Roger Clemens and Joey Votto
Anthoy Rizzo.. Chicago Cubs got him solely because The is the GM... when the GM believes there is at least some reason to take note.
Eric Hosmer.. totaly seems to have the IT factor. Was not intimidated by major league pitching and adjusted well, clearly a major league hitter last year.
Guys I'd avoid, I've seen a few mentioned above
Dee Gordon/Desmond Jennings... sorry... but stolen base guys just don't sell. Vince Coleman cards are worthless, Juan Pierre is worthless, Jacoby Elsbury and Brett Garder don't garner their share of attention to a HR hitter...
CAVEAT: If you are looking for a Stolen Base guy and want to get in early... check out Billy Hamilton, #2 prospect for the Reds, absolutely rare speed, got to triple digit stolen bases last season
Brandon Belt... struggled last year and I think he's pushing 25/26 now, he's not done but if you are scouting HoF talent, his days are numbered as he's getting too late a start >>
Good info but I strongly disagree especially with Jennings. This is the off season. If we are purely talking talent/future, or money making opportunities. I made a bunch off Jennings last year and plan to do the same this year. The market will get what the market wants.
January 11th
January 1
"Live everyday, don't throw it away"
For a more buy-and-hold strategy, look for power hitters who have a starting job waiting for them. I'd also add Justin Smoak and Carlos Santana to the lists others have given.
While I agree that stolen base guys don't excite the market, Dee Gordon has a couple edges over the other young speedsters - serious major league bloodlines (son of Tom Gordon) and a really cool nickname ("Flash"), both of which help his card value.
Nick
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vs lefties .237/.282/.303
vs righties .315/355/.531
that doesn't mean he won't ever hit lefties, but as we've seen with Ryan Howard, not everyone progresses in that end. The one positive that may show future development is that his walk rate is nearly identical (6.1% & 6.0%) vs lefties and his K rate is only slightly lesser vs lefties (16.6% to 13.8% vs righties). Also of note, putting aside any home park/hitter's advantage, aside from OBP, Hosmer's minor league numbers are right around, or surpass Votto and Adrian Gonzalez overall. Although despite the 1.107 OPS, Hosmer posted at AAA, he only had an ISO (Isolated power) of .143, down from .303 at AA and .191 at A+. This doesn't necessarily create cause for concern, but it does raise some questions about his raw power. Of course, there's probably still room to put on more strength on that frame....so there's that.
I'd also agree passing on Jennings. Even if he becomes Carl Crawford, how many people collect Carl Crawford? Without looking up the current VCP, I'm guessing you can probably still land as many copies of his '99 BC RC in a 10 for around the cost of a case of the average domestic beer. I'm also high on Starlin Castro, but if you're strictly talking about investment, how many Latin born players are transcendent in society and the hobby? Pretty much just Clemente. When you're talking about cards of Latin born players solely in investment scenarios you pretty much just need to look at the market for European born hockey players.
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<< <i>
Good info but I strongly disagree especially with Jennings. This is the off season. If we are purely talking talent/future, or money making opportunities. I made a bunch off Jennings last year and plan to do the same this year. The market will get what the market wants.
January 11th
January 1 >>
I should've mentioned I was referring to long term value. Obviously a guy like Brandon Belt can resurface and add a bunch of value for a quick sale, but as I mentioned his HoF potential is dwindling towards None.
I agree that Desmond Jennings is the type of guy that could post great short term value if he produces. Second year results though are often a let down for yound hitters, of course quite a few still perform in their second year. He could go the direction of Rickey Henderson or the direction of BJ Upton.
oh.... and the league batting average leader and great SB guy Jose Reyes, just netted me a wonderful $2.99 free shipping sale on his Topps RC... after adding up all my costs I think I made $.30. Thought I might catch some hype following his signing with Miami, but I thought wrong.
<< <i>For fairly short-term profit potential, look at guys who are projected to start the season in the minors but be called up during the year. Sell upon callup.
Nick >>
always amazes me how a low upside player can shoot up in value on callup! You sure got that right.