By 2046 will "Moderns" be a hot or not?

SanctionII

I pick 2046 since that will mean that the first baby boomers will be 100 and most of us boomers will probably be dead or mostly out of the hobby.

As for "Moderns", use whatever definition of same you want (I would consider post 1933 US coinage to be Modern; or alternatively post 1964 US coinage to be Modern).

Your predictions please.

After posting your prediction, check this thread in 34 years to see how you did

RYK

I will be 80 and won't give a damn!

JCMhouston

I don't think so, way to many coins minted. Even if the collector base quadruples there will be more than enough coins for everyone that wants one. And I'll be way more than 80.

keyman64

Nope...not in my collection.

BaseballAbs

I will be most likely long gone. Don't know, don't care. Heck I don't care for moderns now.

tightbudget

I'll be 54 at that time and would not be surprised to see 1965 quarters and dimes in circulation. The modern clad coinage of today seems to last forever.

In other words, I predict maybe some hotness for high grade examples but not hot overall.

llafoe

I've always preferred "Modern" women over "Classic" women! If they're "Modern" women today; I doubt they'll be too hot in 2046!

ambro51

Too many unknowns but I do think that there will be some all time winners to emerge, but they will be low in number compared to the volumes of proof and mint sets STILL remaining. I dont think the commems will amount to anything, a few winners may be the buffalo fractionals and the UHR.

collectors will no doubt have it very easy in the future, God only knows how the internet will evolve by then....

LanLord

Are you asking about 2046 moderns or 2011 moderns?

SanctionII

For the purposes of my thread, "Modern" is anything you want it to be.

If you want to consider "Moderns" to be coins minted in and after 2011, or in 2046, go ahead.

I suspect that some hard to find Cameo and DCAM proof and SMS coins (i.e. a gem 1950 Cameo or DCAM Franklin; a gem Cameo of DCAM 1965 cent, etc.) will be in demand, hard to find and pricey. On the other hand, a gem Cameo 1964 nickel or quarter will not be in high demand, will be easy to find and will be inexpensive. I also suspect that gem, toned early clad quarters (those minted from 1965 until the spaghetti hair, flat devices look appeared) will also be in demand. Other circulations strikes that are well known varieties will be in demand.

anablep

I'll be a little more than 70 and I can't figure what's going to happen in my life past this weekend much less 30+ years from now.

I'd consider anything past 1964 modern by composition and 1947 by design (last year for a liberty design on a circulating coin).

Modern clad coinage might become valuable if copper rises substantially.

Bochiman

<< <i>I will be 80 and won't give a damn! >>



You'll be one of the young'uns in the hobby by then

RYK

<< <i>

<< <i>I will be 80 and won't give a damn! >>



You'll be one of the young'uns in the hobby by then >>


Gosh, I hope not.

Bochiman

<< <i>

<< <i>

<< <i>I will be 80 and won't give a damn! >>



You'll be one of the young'uns in the hobby by then >>


Gosh, I hope not. >>



Q. David RYK

percyb

Keys will be the ones to own.

TheCoinGeezer

I'll most likely be dead by that time and far beyond caring.

pitboss

I was born in 1939 so you figure it out.

dpoole

There are many minute mintages and more than a few attractive designs among the modern commems and PM issues.

If coins are still around and still have a following among collectors, I expect several of these will be "hot."

coindeuce

In 2046, we'll all be serfs under the rule of the PRC. There won't be any such thing as a coin collecting hobby.

atarian

ill be 63. Hmm I wouldnt invest in it as a retirement plan. Heck no. BUT i would be interested to see what the 1998 99 and 2000 Wide AM cents will be doing by that time. Wouldnt mind seeing what the 2009 extra finger cents do too. Trail dies i doubt will be as big as BIE cents are but who knows. Outside of that I ill stick to my other coins to help me out

johnny9434

ill be 86. who cares at that point and ill be happy i didnt mess the bed up any

fishcooker

Pristine, antique credit cards will be hot.

messydesk

If I define moderns as clad coinage, in 2046 that will include coins up to 81 years old. I think fewer coins made between 1965 and 2046 will be hot in 2046 than coins made between 1930 and 2011 are hot today. I could probably also say that number would be fewer than the number of coins between 1930 and 1939 that are hot today.

illini420

I'm going to be buying a few 2046 Mint Sets for sure to get the 2046-W Roosevelt Dimes

Manorcourtman

Well I'd bet in 2046 there will be no coins in circulation. All commerce is conducted via eye pattern recognition which is connected to your Bank account. Coin collecting will be in vogue again and Moderns will be highly collectible. Coins will be unknown to those born after 2020.

cladking

By 2046 moderns will have come and gone. No, I don't mean that the price will go to
the moon and then crash forever just that the prices of the rare moderns will have gone
up during the eras in which collectors favored them and then settled into a long term
pricing pattern like classics. Some series will have even had multiple times in the spot-
light and the common issues will still be common. While there might be some wholesale
demand for things like non-cull average circ 1965 dimes such coins simply won't ever
get a lot of price premium because enough will be saved out when they are recalled
for melting. Such a roll might bring $10 but that won't nearly be enough to make of for
the losses caused by inflation. Even typical uncs will be common enough to not create
much excitement despite being far less common than they are today.

The move in moderns really started in 1995 and has broadened and deepened over the
last 15+ years. Currently it's mostly world moderns that are soaring because the explo-
sion in the size of the middle classes in other countries more than makes up for the world
economic problems. As the middle class grows demand for coins grows and most moderns
are scarce and this goes double for most other countries. Now the US moderns are being
held back by the economic woes which has large numbers of raw coins enterring the mar-
ketplace but this is temporary. The increasing demand for US moderns will mop up this
new supply. Indeed, the prices of the earlier mint sets is little affected simply because
the attrition on these has been so high that such large numbers can't come up for sale.
The 1995 mint set has lost most of its value despite have a mintage under a million yet
the 1971 mint set has held relatively stable suggesting very few survive. Of course you
must factor in that the '95 set was grossly over valued.

The next wave for US moderns will be much more dramatic than anything to date and will
start as soon as the economy begins to improve. In the past the prices affected have been
mostly just the very high grade but this time it will be all the scarcities from varieties, types,
and high grade. The demand will be much deeper and will affect not only the highest grades
but also almost all of them down to MS-64. The base is being built right now. There are mil-
lions of collectors dabbling in moderns and many more who will be returning to the hobby as
young adults who collected states quarters as children.

By 2046 virtually all of today's "established collectors" will have left the hobby and two new
generations of hobbyists will have arisen. Collecting will be changed by the computer. The
ease with which collectors can branch out will result in more diversity in collecting especially
among those who grew up with the internet.

There's a good chance that the hobby will be starting to shrink by that time since coins might
well be a thing of the past.

I have to imagine that ancients will have become popular again.