What are your predictions of the following, by 2012

Bear · March 30, 2011 1:57PM

1. PMs

2. Housing values

3 Unemployment

4.Inflation or deflation

5. War with Iran

6. Resolution with Libyan situation

7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker

11. Will Egypt stabilize

10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies

8. Price of barrel of oil

9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas

10. Inflation rate

11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical

12. Coin market overall Higher or lower

akuracy503 · March 30, 2011 2:26PM

<< <i>1. PMs - Steady and up overall from todays numbers

2. Housing values - very flat and slowly losing value in niche markets

3 Unemployment - mediocre improvements, still a concern to recovery.

4.Inflation or deflation - inflation

5. War with Iran - Verge of WW3

6. Resolution with Libyan situation - All out Civil War, not much different than today's situation.

7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker - low 70s on the index

11. Will Egypt stabilize - not realistic within a year

10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies - same as today or worse

8. Price of barrel of oil - $95

9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas - 3.99

10. Inflation rate - i'm too dumb to answer this one

11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical - No

12. Coin market overall Higher or lower >>

- There is a market to pay premiums for coins? LOL

1Mike1 · March 30, 2011 3:59PM

1. up over all.
2. stagnate.
3. Down from today.
4. inflation will begin growing.
5. US war with Iran - no
6. a resolution on who will pay for the weapons.
7. weaker if #4 is correct.
11. No.
10. similar to what it is today.
8. $110 - $125.
9. $4.50 - $5.50.
10. 3.0 - 3.5.
11. No.
12. Higher - for high quality.

Wingsrule · March 30, 2011 5:30PM

By the end of 2011:

1. PMs - 15-20% higher than current levels
2. Housing values - same to slightly lower
3 Unemployment - same +/- 1.5 points
4.Inflation or deflation - higher
5. War with Iran - same as today
6. Resolution with Libyan situation - unresolved, but expensive
7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker. - Weaker
11. Will Egypt stabilize - slightly, still working on a new government structure
10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies - see #7
8. Price of barrel of oil - $125
9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas - $4.50 max
10. Inflation rate - 4% annually
11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical - yes
12. Coin market overall Higher or lower - higher

piecesofme · March 30, 2011 5:35PM

What's you predictions Bear, that's the only thing I care about.

CaptMorgan · March 30, 2011 8:22PM

1. PMs--- $50-75 an ounce for silver, who knows with gold.

2. Housing values-- Down, continuously

3 Unemployment-- 25-35%

4.Inflation or deflation-- Inflation up

5. War with Iran-- Yes, maybe not the U.S. directly, possibly through Isreal

6. Resolution with Libyan situation-- No, we will go and intervene like always, possibly install a new strongman who is U.S. controlled

7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker-- Weaker if still in existence

11. Will Egypt stabilize-- See Libya

10. How will the dollar compare with other world currencies-- See #7

8. Price of barrel of oil-- $175-$200

9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas-- $7-9

10. Inflation rate-- Who knows

11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical-- Yes, along with most of the Mid East, and South East Asia

12. Coin market overall Higher or lower-- Higher

Justacommeman · March 30, 2011 11:03PM

Silver will continue to fail miserably. Just sayin.............MJ

tydye · March 30, 2011 11:14PM

According to the nuts you have been knocking on doors in my neighborhood recently we wont have to worry about anything after may 11

derryb · March 31, 2011 12:14AM

Major international war in the mideast by end of 2012. Will drive oil and PMs up. US economy will be where it was just after the 2008 crisis, maybe worse. Housing will continue its slide down. Collectibles, including coins, will all be down. Japan has been at this for 20 years with no improvement.

Bear · March 31, 2011 2:31AM

<< <i>1. PMs...........................Will be slightly lower

2. Housing values..............will continue to sluide. New housing dead in the water

3 Unemployment................The real unemployed , underemployed and dropped of UI list is presently at 22%. It will improve slightly to about 18%

4.Inflation or deflation.......The real inflation weighing cost increases correctly to what people buy every day is presently around 4.2%. Will increase to 5-6%

5. War with Iran.................Will not be started by USA, but we may become involved in order to keep the Arabian Gulf oil flowing

6. Resolution with Libyan situation....This will drag on thru the year. Possibly split the Nation in two parts, east and west. USA will train Insergents but will not supply heavy weapons to them.

7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies Stronger or weaker.... Weaker as all Nations rush to the bottom of the barrel.

11. Will Egypt stabilize....Not for a few years, as regional powers and USA vie for influence. USA will have to give significant financial support to the new Government to
prevent food riots, as the fledgling government seeks a new direction for this important mid East Nation. The chances of avoiding a new strong man do not look good.

10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies It is in our Nations interest as we lead the pack of Nations to the bottom. Not a good thing but
apparently the only way for our government to extend the period before financial meltdown and disaster.

8. Price of barrel of oil......150 - 200 dollars in response to falling value of all money as well as possible interdiction of Gulf oil supply.

9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas....I most cities, gas at the pump will breach 5 dollars a gallon in response to #8. While we get most of our oil from S. America and
Canada, their pri ces will reflect world prices even though their supply lines will be uneffected.

10. Inflation rate.........will continue to increase by 1-2% points but nothing overwhelming as yet this year. However it may well be coming by the year 2014.

Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical ....Yes, gradually, over the next 2 tears, Turkey will seek to regain the influence held by the Old Ottoman Empire. It will seek
to replace Egypt, successfully as the dominant Nation in the Arabian middle east. A strange dicotomy will exist between Turkey and Iran. While they will seem to cooperate
in actuality, they are both in quiet conflict for regional dominance. It may well be in Turkeys best interests to insure that Iran does not get the bomb, however, since Pakistan
sold Saudi Arabia the supposed use of two nuclear tipped rockets, Turkey may cut the same deal to equal the playing field.

The Middle East, with the present replacement of Governments whose leadership we could do business with , whil make trouble for America thrughout the entire region.
While the revolutions may offer a new way forward for this backward region of the world, I fear instead of leaving the 15th century we are headed for an unstable extended
period leading to a general war that will replay the Muslim vrs christianity wars for world dominance.

12. Coin market overall Higher or lower >>

...For most average collectors side ways to down. For the really expensive rare coins, who knows. They may increase or crash
as money seeks the best avenue for profit and return.

OPA · November 20, 2011 10:13PM

Time to review some of those "predictions" by the experts.

Kd5ddo · November 20, 2011 11:26PM

1. PMs - Silver 27 Gold 1700
2. Housing values - Down 5-10%
3 Unemployment - Real Value of 18-20%
4.Inflation or deflation - Inflation
5. War with Iran - Tense, but no action till after elections
6. Resolution with Libyan situation - Nope
7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker - Stronger against Euro, Weaker against the pound
11. Will Egypt stabilize - Nope
10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies - Stronger overall
8. Price of barrel of oil - $91
9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas - In my area of Texas at 3.95 (Currently 3.74)
10. Inflation rate - Annualized rate of 3.5-4%
11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical - Not by the years end
12. Coin market overall Higher or lower - Sideways

cohodk · November 20, 2011 11:53PM

<< <i>1. PMs

2. Housing values--within 3% of today

3 Unemployment--within 5% of today

4.Inflation or deflation--both

5. War with Iran---no

6. Resolution with Libyan situation--thought it was resolved

7 Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker---within 5% of today

11. Will Egypt stabilize--seems historically stable now.

10How will the dollar compare with other world currencies

8. Price of barrel of oil---within 5% of today

9. Price at pump for gallon of regular gas---within 5% of today

10. Inflation rate---same as today

11. Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical ---not yet

12. Coin market overall Higher or lower >>

---lower.

Baley · November 21, 2011 12:01AM

punctuated equilibrium.

I predict general stabilization, offset by occasional small, medium, and huge swings in values (both economic and cultural)

KUCH · November 21, 2011 2:51AM

Cohodk,

You say, inflation and deflation will increase. If you please, would you give further explanation on this point?

cohodk · November 21, 2011 5:46AM

Kuch, I dont expect an "increase" in inflation or deflation. That is, I do not expect the rate of price change to accelerate. If the rate were to increase I would expect it to be more on the deflationary side rather than inflationary as the global economy slows.

I would expect both, just as we have both right now. Some things go up, while others go down. And those that go to high, will suffer demand destruction thus limiting the rate of increases.

JCMhouston · November 21, 2011 8:29AM

I predict that whatever is best for the banskters at the JP Morgue is what will happen, the Bernank will make it so.

If you want to make a pile of money just listen to what the JP Morgue tells their customers to buy, because they are sure to do the opposite to make money. Then just follow what the boys at JPM are doing secretly (normally the opposite of what they tell their customers to do) and Bob's your uncle.

AMERTZ · November 21, 2011 9:13AM

derryb · November 21, 2011 9:25AM

RIP ole bear.

It's 2008 all over again, european style:

PMs - sideways

Housing values - continuing down

Unemployment - continuing up

Inflation or deflation - Money supply will not get smaller, QE3 is not likely before 2012, but very likely after first of year. Wages (or their equivelent benefits) will deflate.

War with Iran - involving US troops? No. Involving US taxdollars? Very Likely, probably already underway.

Resolution with Libyan situation - Nothing will change. Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.

Value of dollar compared with other National currencies. Stronger or weaker - Stronger, but only because everything else will appear to be failing faster.

How will the dollar compare with other world currencies - More flight to US$ as europe implodes.

Price of barrel of oil - wants to go up, but like every thing else, who can afford to pay more.

Price at pump for gallon of regular gas - sideways.

Inflation rate - whatever Washington wants it to be.

Will Turkey turn more Islamic radical - Is there a such thing as Islamic non-radical?

Coin market overall Higher or lower - lower.

Will Egypt stabilize - meet the new boss, same as the old boss.

KUCH · November 21, 2011 10:06AM

Cohodk, thanks for your clarification..... and

fastrudy · November 22, 2011 4:40AM

RIP wise old bear.

Julio · November 22, 2011 4:54AM

I will miss you Bear. Take care. jws

Baley · December 21, 2011 3:58PM

Gold $1600, Silver $30 Oil $97/bbl, Gas $3.75/gal, Euro $1.29, Dollar index ~80, unemployment 8%, inflation 2-3%

get used to it

What are your predictions of the following, by 2012

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