Don't Sell
jmski52
Posts: 22,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
I don't think that it's a good idea to sell into this price rise. If I were inclined to sell at all, I'd surely wait until after any spike and then take my lumps. You will never hit the peak. I'm just sayin. Besides, we aren't there yet, imo.
I'd make the usual exception. Sell only if you really need the money, but hopefully you aren't in that situation.
I'd make the usual exception. Sell only if you really need the money, but hopefully you aren't in that situation.
Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally
I knew it would happen.
I knew it would happen.
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Then at $30 i sold most of my 90% and generic bars.
Yesterday i sold my engelhards and JM bars at $35.
I am down to just ASE's.
I bought gold...The dealer seemed quite eager to do the trade.
Groucho Marx
I think we could see $40+ silver on this leg. There would be a pretty stiff pullback, but we could then go even higher come April-May-June. From my experiences most of those that sell out of physical never go back to replace it, even at lower levels, for fear it could still go even lower and give them a loss. Then as it rises they are ever-fearful of a crash where they could again lose money. And then when it exceeds the price they sold at, it's now too high. Hence they usually don't get back in. Been there....done that.
roadrunner
Speaking of which, whatever happended to the eternal "I will get back in, promise, soon" Money LA??
I miss his contrarian prognistics.
Miles
–John Adams, 1826
Groucho Marx
I'm in it for the long run either way and can't think of what else I'd do with the money.
It sure has been an interesting few weeks. The one thing that has me anticipating a decent pullback is all the talk
of people coming out of the woodwork and dropping all kinds of new money on silver. My shop has been absolutely swamped
with new buyers. It seems like when everybody and their brother starts buying there's a crash right around the corner.
Click on this link to see my ebay listings.
<< <i>I sold my sterling, silver war nickels and 40% at $25
Then at $30 i sold most of my 90% and generic bars.
Yesterday i sold my engelhards and JM bars at $35.
I am down to just ASE's.
I bought gold...The dealer seemed quite eager to do the trade. >>
I wonder why?
<< <i>
<< <i>I sold my sterling, silver war nickels and 40% at $25
Then at $30 i sold most of my 90% and generic bars.
Yesterday i sold my engelhards and JM bars at $35.
I am down to just ASE's.
I bought gold...The dealer seemed quite eager to do the trade. >>
I wonder why? >>
With gold @ $1435, it is difficult to find customers willing to pay $75 over spot for a AGE but people will pay $2 over for generic rounds all day long. I would rather make 5% hundreds of time a day than once or twice
MoneyLA last I knew still held a position after gold went off above $1100. I'm not aware of him selling out. Then again, he only carried a 5% or smaller position.
roadrunner
Instead I've been adding 50 oz of silver a week since the beginning of the September 2010 breakout. With a DCA of $23.50 I don't see any reason to slow down. Nothing else has given me a 50% return.
https://www.pcgs.com/setregistry/gold/liberty-head-2-1-gold-major-sets/liberty-head-2-1-gold-basic-set-circulation-strikes-1840-1907-cac/alltimeset/268163
<< <i>I wonder though, is this a good time to sell some silver and move it into gold (after the decline perhaps?). >>
This is what I did when GSR hit 45. I have more confidence in gold ~personally.
<< <i>I wonder though, is this a good time to sell some silver and move it into gold (after the decline perhaps?). >>
I sold a little this weekend and plan to buy a few shares of a platinum or palladium ETF.
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Seems like the general public is finally taking some notice to the price of silver. Signs of a possible intermediate top (to me).
Not selling any yet, though...as jimski52 said, you can't pick the top but it seems like a mini bubble is forming.
Still don't think we're in the USD freefall/hyperinflation scenario yet. I still think another round of deflation is in the cards to give a false sense of security in the dollar and stave off the rise in commodity prices a bit. They'll have to do it at the expense of equity prices though...
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<< <i>since last week I've seen a ton of craigslist ads wanting to buy 90% silver. At the coin show last week I saw a lot of older folks selling bags of 90% silver and some people buying it. >>
What show? And how were they selling? By weight or by X face?
There were several dealers from the mainland paying 15x FV and the locals were paying 21.5x FV.
HOWEVER due to perfect location, the dealer paying 15x FV when melt was 23-24x had a ton of people selling to them.
Why? Because they were right by the entrance so the older folks with canes and walkers didn't even have to go around the entire place but just walked right up to those dealers and sold them bags of morgans, etc and then left.
Funny thing is a local dealer was right across from these guys and were paying 21.5x FV and had few customers.
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I don't know why I'm asking this question..... cause I think I already know the answer:
Have a 18 Mo. CD due next week, earning maybe 2%. It's an IRA account.
Wouldn't the smart PM player cash out half of the amount, buy gold and place the remainder in a 6 M0. CD?
How many here still have some of their portfolios in CD"s?
<< <i>I'm getting the warm fuzzy feeling, most of us are NOT selling, but rather continue to stack.
I don't know why I'm asking this question..... cause I think I already know the answer:
Have a 18 Mo. CD due next week, earning maybe 2%. It's an IRA account.
Wouldn't the smart PM player cash out half of the amount, buy gold and place the remainder in a 6 M0. CD?
How many here still have some of their portfolios in CD"s?
>>
Call me nuts, but the smart money cashes out and goes all-in on PMs right now.
<< <i>How many here still have some of their portfolios in CD"s? >>
I don't pretend to know a fraction as much as most of you... but I'm leaving about 30K in a CD. Small yield=safe.
For myself, it just doesn't seem like the right timing to increase my metals holdings.
<< <i>
<< <i>How many here still have some of their portfolios in CD"s? >>
I don't pretend to know a fraction as much as most of you... but I'm leaving about 30K in a CD. Small yield=safe.
For myself, it just doesn't seem like the right timing to increase my metals holdings. >>
What CD is offering anything but NEGATIVE yield right now? Unless you want to believe "official government numbers", actual inflation is around 6-10% right now. Show me a CD that pays more than 10%, and I will agree with you completely.
Some very instructional silver charts from Bob Hoye. He feels that the uptrend line is now firm support at $33 as silver powers on its final leg towards
$40-$43 by end of March or early April. He has brought out charts from earlier decades to show where his "exhaustion alerts" occured. None are
currently present. The chart is taking on the general appearance of the move in late 1979.
The last chart he shows is silver from 1967-1976. It's interesting to see the first 2 upward moves in that bull market. The first one peaked in early 1968
at around $2.60/oz...then gave most of it back.
roadrunner
<< <i>
<< <i>How many here still have some of their portfolios in CD"s? >>
I don't pretend to know a fraction as much as most of you... but I'm leaving about 30K in a CD. Small yield=safe.
For myself, it just doesn't seem like the right timing to increase my metals holdings. >>
Safe? I don't consider any bank safe, they're all living on the government teet. The milk will dry up. Most major banks are insolvent and the only thing keeping them afloat is taxpayer handouts and rigged accounting procedures for their tremendous bad debt. You'd be much better off with 30K in silver eagles. What was the price of silver when you bought the CDs?
I'm with Gecko, I'm completely nuts.
"Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey
Then there's tradable PM just to stay in the game and keep your heart rate up.
My Adolph A. Weinman signature
Gecko you are absolutely correct, money in a CD now a days is losing value, not even keeping up with inflation.
Man, this is fun......
Next move...... take some profits out of the stock market and buy alittle more of the yellow metal or maybe a great birthday gift for the spouse.(April 10)
As you can see, I'm not selling....... Riding this PM train til the fat lady sings.